scholarly journals Ice Loss in the Ablation Area of a Himalayan Glacier; Studies on Miar Glacier, Karakoram Mountains, Pakistan

1989 ◽  
Vol 13 ◽  
pp. 289-293 ◽  
Author(s):  
G.J. Young ◽  
J.P. Schmok

One of the main aims of the Snow and Ice Hydrology Project, a joint Canada-Pakistan endeavour, is to estimate ice loss in the ablation areas of glaciers in order to predict with greater confidence stream flow in the headwaters of the Indus River. To this end, Miar Glacier, located in the central Karakoram Range, north of Gilgit, was intensively studied during the summers of 1986 and 1987. Measurements of glacier mass balance by the monitoring of accumulation and ablation at stake locations is very difficult in the Himalyan environment. It is usually almost impossible to reach elevations above the equilibrium line without major effort, and always very difficult once there to make meaningful measurements; the ablation areas are often heavily crevassed and/or debris-covered, and this poses difficult sampling problems. The method used in this study was to monitor annual surface movement on a cross-profile as near as possible to the equilibrium line. The measurements, obtained in conjunction with depth soundings made on the same profile, allow the annual ice flux through the cross-profile to be calculated. If an approximately steady-state glacier is assumed, it would be expected that this flux would be roughly equivalent to the rate of ice loss below the profile. The movements of wooden stakes drilled into the glacier were monitored throughout each of the summers and, since two of the stakes survived the intervening winter, this allowed calculation of annual movement. Distances between the crests of ogives were also surveyed, providing an independent assessment of glacier movement. Depth measurements by radio-echo sounder were successfully made in the summer of 1987, showing maximum ice depths of 550 m. The annual ice flux through the transverse profile was estimated as 5.67 × 107 m3, which corresponds to a mean annual ice loss from the glacier surface below the profile of 8.10 m of ice.

1989 ◽  
Vol 13 ◽  
pp. 289-293 ◽  
Author(s):  
G.J. Young ◽  
J.P. Schmok

One of the main aims of the Snow and Ice Hydrology Project, a joint Canada-Pakistan endeavour, is to estimate ice loss in the ablation areas of glaciers in order to predict with greater confidence stream flow in the headwaters of the Indus River. To this end, Miar Glacier, located in the central Karakoram Range, north of Gilgit, was intensively studied during the summers of 1986 and 1987.Measurements of glacier mass balance by the monitoring of accumulation and ablation at stake locations is very difficult in the Himalyan environment. It is usually almost impossible to reach elevations above the equilibrium line without major effort, and always very difficult once there to make meaningful measurements; the ablation areas are often heavily crevassed and/or debris-covered, and this poses difficult sampling problems.The method used in this study was to monitor annual surface movement on a cross-profile as near as possible to the equilibrium line. The measurements, obtained in conjunction with depth soundings made on the same profile, allow the annual ice flux through the cross-profile to be calculated. If an approximately steady-state glacier is assumed, it would be expected that this flux would be roughly equivalent to the rate of ice loss below the profile.The movements of wooden stakes drilled into the glacier were monitored throughout each of the summers and, since two of the stakes survived the intervening winter, this allowed calculation of annual movement. Distances between the crests of ogives were also surveyed, providing an independent assessment of glacier movement. Depth measurements by radio-echo sounder were successfully made in the summer of 1987, showing maximum ice depths of 550 m. The annual ice flux through the transverse profile was estimated as 5.67 × 107 m3, which corresponds to a mean annual ice loss from the glacier surface below the profile of 8.10 m of ice.


2022 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 272
Author(s):  
Chunhai Xu ◽  
Zhongqin Li ◽  
Feiteng Wang ◽  
Jianxin Mu ◽  
Xin Zhang

The eastern Tien Shan hosts substantial mid-latitude glaciers, but in situ glacier mass balance records are extremely sparse. Haxilegen Glacier No. 51 (eastern Tien Shan, China) is one of the very few well-measured glaciers, and comprehensive glaciological measurements were implemented from 1999 to 2011 and re-established in 2017. Mass balance of Haxilegen Glacier No. 51 (1999–2015) has recently been reported, but the mass balance record has not extended to the period before 1999. Here, we used a 1:50,000-scale topographic map and long-range terrestrial laser scanning (TLS) data to calculate the area, volume, and mass changes for Haxilegen Glacier No. 51 from 1964 to 2018. Haxilegen Glacier No. 51 lost 0.34 km2 (at a rate of 0.006 km2 a−1 or 0.42% a−1) of its area during the period 1964–2018. The glacier experienced clearly negative surface elevation changes and geodetic mass balance. Thinning occurred almost across the entire glacier surface, with a mean value of −0.43 ± 0.12 m a−1. The calculated average geodetic mass balance was −0.36 ± 0.12 m w.e. a−1. Without considering the error bounds of mass balance estimates, glacier mass loss over the past 50 years was in line with the observed and modeled mass balance (−0.37 ± 0.22 m w.e. a−1) that was published for short time intervals since 1999 but was slightly less negative than glacier mass loss in the entire eastern Tien Shan. Our results indicate that Riegl VZ®-6000 TLS can be widely used for mass balance measurements of unmonitored individual glaciers.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pascal Egli ◽  
Stuart Lane ◽  
James Irving ◽  
Bruno Belotti

<p>If tongues of temperate Alpine glaciers are subjected to high temperatures their topography may change rapidly due to the effects of differential melt related to aspect and debris cover. Independent of local surface melt, the position of subglacial conduits may have an important influence on ice creep and so on changes in topography at the ice surface. This reflects analyses that suggest that subglacial conduits at glacier margins may not be permanently pressurised; and that creep closure rates are insufficient to close subglacial conduits completely. Rapid climate warming may exacerbate this process, due both to surface-melt driven glacier thinning and over-enlargement of conduits due to high upstream melt rates. Over-enlarged conduits that are not permanently pressurised would lead to the development of structural weaknesses and eventual collapse of the ice surface into the conduits. We hypothesise that this collapse mechanism could represent an important and alternative driver of rapid glacier retreat.</p><p>In this paper we combine: (1) an extensive survey of glacier margin collapse in the Swiss Alps with (2) intensive monitoring of the dynamics of such collapse at the Otemma Glacier in the south-western Swiss Alps. Daily UAV surveys were undertaken at a high spatial resolution and with precise and accurate ground control. These datasets were used to generate surface change information using SfM-MVS photogrammetry. Surfaces of difference showed surface loss that could not be related to ablation alone. Combining them with three-dimensional ground-penetrating radar (GPR) surveys in the same zone showed that the surface loss was coincident spatially with the positions of sub-glacial conduits, for ice thicknesses between 20 m and 50 m. We show that this form of subglacial conduit collapse is also happening for several other glaciers in the Swiss Alps, and that this mechanism of snout collapse and glacier retreat has become more common than has hitherto been the case. It also leads to temporal patterns of glacier margin retreat that differ from those that might be expected due to glacier mass balance and ice mass flux effects alone.</p>


2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 549-563 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eleanor A. Bash ◽  
Brian J. Moorman

Abstract. Models of glacier surface melt are commonly used in studies of glacier mass balance and runoff; however, with limited data available, most models are validated based on ablation stakes and data from automatic weather stations (AWSs). The technological advances of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) and structure from motion (SfM) have made it possible to measure glacier surface melt in detail over larger portions of a glacier. In this study, we use melt measured using SfM processing of UAV imagery to assess the performance of an energy balance (EB) and enhanced temperature index (ETI) melt model in two dimensions. Imagery collected over a portion of the ablation zone of Fountain Glacier, Nunavut, on 21, 23, and 24 July 2016 was previously used to determine distributed surface melt. An AWS on the glacier provides some measured inputs for both models as well as an additional check on model performance. Modelled incoming solar radiation and albedo derived from UAV imagery are also used as inputs for both models, which were used to estimate melt from 21 to 24 July 2016. Both models estimate total melt at the AWS within 16 % of observations (4 % for ETI). Across the study area the median model error, calculated as the difference between modelled and measured melt (EB = −0.064 m, ETI = −0.050 m), is within the uncertainty of the measurements. The errors in both models were strongly correlated to the density of water flow features on the glacier surface. The relation between water flow and model error suggests that energy from surface water flow contributes significantly to surface melt on Fountain Glacier. Deep surface streams with highly asymmetrical banks are observed on Fountain Glacier, but the processes leading to their formation are missing in the model assessed here. The failure of the model to capture flow-induced melt would lead to significant underestimation of surface melt should the model be used to project future change.


2015 ◽  
Vol 76 (13) ◽  
Author(s):  
Siraj Muhammed Pandhiani ◽  
Ani Shabri

In this study, new hybrid model is developed by integrating two models, the discrete wavelet transform and least square support vector machine (WLSSVM) model. The hybrid model is then used to measure for monthly stream flow forecasting for two major rivers in Pakistan. The monthly stream flow forecasting results are obtained by applying this model individually to forecast the rivers flow data of the Indus River and Neelum Rivers. The root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE) and the correlation (R) statistics are used for evaluating the accuracy of the WLSSVM, the proposed model. The results are compared with the results obtained through LSSVM. The outcome of such comparison shows that WLSSVM model is more accurate and efficient than LSSVM.


1998 ◽  
Vol 44 (147) ◽  
pp. 231-238 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Oerlemans ◽  
W. H. Knap

AbstractWe analyse data on solar radiation measured with an automatic weather station on Morteratschgletscher, Switzerland, for the period 1 October 1995–30 September 1996. The station is in the lower ablation zone. Due to shading by surrounding mountains and atmospheric attenuation, only 49% of the annual extraterrestrial irradiance (mean: 292 W m−2) reaches the glacier surface. About 48% of this is absorbed at the surface (mean: 79 W m−2; annual albedo of 0.53).We present a simple albedo scheme for use in glacier mass-balance models. We fit the model to the 1 year dataset by optimizing five control parameters (optimal values in brackets): albedo of snow (0.75), albedo of firn (0.53), albedo of ice (0.34),e-folding constant for effect of ageing on snow albedo (21.9 days) ande-folding constant for effect of snow depth on albedo (3.2 cm). The input consists of daily albedo, snow depth and dates of snowfall events. The correlation coefficient between observed and simulated albedo is 0.931, the corresponding rms difference being 0.067.


1998 ◽  
Vol 44 (147) ◽  
pp. 383-393 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jakob Wallinga ◽  
Roderik S.W. Van De Wal

AbstractA one-dimensional time-dependent flowline model of Rhonegletscher, Switzerland, has been used to test the glacier’s response to climatic warming. Mass-balance variations over the last 100 years are obtained from observations of the equilibrium-line altitude (ELA) and a reconstruction of the ELA based on a statistical correlation between temperature and ELA. For the period prior to AD 1882, for which no reliable climate data exist, we chose equilibrium-line altitudes that enabled us to simulate accurately the glacier length from AD 1602.The model simulates the historical glacier length almost perfectly and glacier geometry very well. It underestimates glacier-surface velocities by 1-18%. Following these reference experiments, we investigated the response of Rhonegletscher to a number of climate-change scenarios for the period AD 1990-2100. For a constant climate equal to the 1961-90 mean, the model predicts a 6% decrease in glacier volume by AD 2100. Rhonegletscher will retreat by almost 1 km over the next 100 years at this scenario. At a warming rate of 0.04 K a-1, only 4% of the glacier volume will be left by AD 2100.


1987 ◽  
Vol 33 (115) ◽  
pp. 363-368 ◽  
Author(s):  
A.N Krenke ◽  
V.M Menshutin

Abstract An investigation of the combined heat, ice, and water balances was carried out in the Marukh glacier basin (west Caucasus) in 1966–67 to 1976–77, according to the International Hydrological Decade programme. Averaged glacier mass balance for these 11 years appears to be −55 g cm−2 year−1 according to stake measurements, and −51 g cm−2 year−1 according to geodetic measurements. The variability of accumulation is estimated as C v = 0.15 and of ablation as C v = 0.11. Thus, the variation in accumulation governs the oscillations in glacier balance. The inner nourishment of the glacier was also taken into account. The glacier mass balance is closely related to the relation between the accumulation and ablation areas. The “transient” values of both figures during the whole period of ablation can be used for this relation. The forms of the accumulation and ablation fields are similar from year to year and from one 10 day period to another. The areas of the accumulation and ablation zones are very different from one year to another. On the contrary, the average specific balance for each zone changes very little. One can use these features for the construction of accumulation, ablation, and specific mass-balance maps from satellite imagery. Mean values for the mass-balance terms occur in the vicinity of the equilibrium line. They can be calculated by using the air temperatures. Deviations from the means in different areas of the glacier determine the typical fields of the mass-balance terms.


1997 ◽  
Vol 43 (143) ◽  
pp. 131-137 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Vincent ◽  
M. Vallon

AbstractGlacial mass-balance reconstruction for a long-term time-scale requires knowledge of the relation between climate change and mass-balance fluctuations. A large number of mass-balance reconstructions since the beginning of the century are based on statistical relations between monthly meteorological data and mass balance. The question examined in this paper is: are these relationships reliable enough for long-term time-scale extrapolation? From the glacier de Sarennes long mass-balance observations series, we were surprised to discover large discrepancies between relations resulting from different time periods. The importance of the albedo in relation to ablation and mass balance is highlighted, and it is shown that it is impossible to ignore glacier-surface conditions in establishing the empirical relation between mass-balance fluctuations and climatic variation; to omit this parameter leads to incorrect results for mass-balance reconstruction in the past based on meteorological data.


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