scholarly journals Comparison of seven prognostic tools to identify low-risk pulmonary embolism in patients aged <50 years

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Luis Jara-Palomares ◽  
◽  
Maria Alfonso ◽  
Ana Maestre ◽  
David Jimenez ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Pulmonary Embolism ◽  
Prognostic Value ◽  
Young Patients ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Shock Index ◽  
Number Of Patients ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Risk Patients ◽  
Acute Pe ◽  
Related Mortality

AbstractIn young patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE), the predictive value of currently available prognostic tools has not been evaluated. Our objective was to compare prognostic value of 7 available tools (GPS, PESI, sPESI, Prognostic Algorithm, PREP, shock index and RIETE) in patients aged <50 years. We used the RIETE database, including PE patients from 2001 to 2017. The major outcome was 30-day all-cause mortality. Of 34,651 patients with acute PE, 5,822 (17%) were aged <50 years. Of these, 83 (1.4%) died during the first 30 days. Number of patients deemed low risk with tools was: PREP (95.9%), GPS (89.6%), PESI (87.2%), Shock index (70.9%), sPESI (59.4%), Prognostic algorithm (58%) and RIETE score (48.6%). The tools with a highest sensitivity were: Prognostic Algorithm (91.6%; 95% CI: 85.6–97.5), RIETE score (90.4%; 95%CI: 84.0–96.7) and sPESI (88%; 95% CI: 81–95). The RIETE, Prognostic Algorithm and sPESI scores obtained the highest overall sensitivity estimates for also predicting 7- and 90-day all-cause mortality, 30-day PE-related mortality, 30-day major bleeding and 30-day VTE recurrences. The proportion of low-risk patients who died within the first 30 days was lowest using the Prognostic Algorithm (0.2%), RIETE (0.3%) or sPESI (0.3%) scores. In PE patients less 50 years, 30-day mortality was low. Although sPESI, RIETE and Prognostic Algorithm scores were the most sensitive tools to identify patients at low risk to die, other tools should be evaluated in this population to obtain more efficient results.

scholarly journals Increasing the low-risk threshold for patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding during the COVID-19 pandemic: a prospective, multicentre feasibility study

2021 ◽  
pp. flgastro-2021-101851
Author(s):  
Philip Dunne ◽  
Victoria Livie ◽  
Aaron McGowan ◽  
Wilson Siu ◽  
Sardar Chaudhary ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Gastrointestinal Bleeding ◽  
Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Descriptive Data ◽  
Risk Threshold ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Risk Patients ◽  
Rebleeding Rate ◽  
Upper Gastrointestinal ◽  
Related Mortality

ObjectiveDuring the COVID-19 pandemic, we extended the low-risk threshold for patients not requiring inpatient endoscopy for upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) from Glasgow Blatchford Score (GBS) 0–1 to GBS 0–3. We studied the safety and efficacy of this change.MethodsBetween 1 April 2020 and 30 June 2020 we prospectively collected data on consecutive unselected patients with UGIB at five large Scottish hospitals. Primary outcomes were length of stay, 30-day mortality and rebleeding. We compared the results with prospective prepandemic descriptive data.Results397 patients were included, and 284 index endoscopies were performed. 26.4% of patients had endoscopic intervention at index endoscopy. 30-day all-cause mortality was 13.1% (53/397), and 33.3% (23/69) for pre-existing inpatients. Bleeding-related mortality was 5% (20/397). 30-day rebleeding rate was 6.3% (25/397). 84 patients had GBS 0–3, of whom 19 underwent inpatient endoscopy, 0 had rebleeding and 2 died. Compared with prepandemic data in three centres, there was a fall in mean number of UGIB presentations per week (19 vs 27.8; p=0.004), higher mean GBS (8.3 vs 6.5; p<0.001) with fewer GBS 0–3 presentations (21.5% vs 33.3%; p=0.003) and higher all-cause mortality (12.2% vs 6.8%; p=0.02). Predictors of mortality were cirrhosis, pre-existing inpatient status, age >70 and confirmed COVID-19. 14 patients were COVID-19 positive, 5 died but none from UGIB.ConclusionDuring the pandemic when services were under severe pressure, extending the low-risk threshold for UGIB inpatient endoscopy to GBS 0–3 appears safe. The higher mortality of patients with UGIB during the pandemic is likely due to presentation of a fewer low-risk patients.

Treatment of acute pulmonary embolism as outpatients or following early discharge

2008 ◽  
Vol 100 (05) ◽  
pp. 756-761 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Janjua ◽  
Aaref Badshah ◽  
Fadi Matta ◽  
Liviu G. Danescu ◽  
Abdo Y. Yaekoub ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Pulmonary Embolism ◽  
Major Bleeding ◽  
Acute Pulmonary Embolism ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Early Discharge ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Exclusion Criteria ◽  
Average Hospital ◽  
Risk Patients ◽  
Acute Pe

SummaryThe purpose of this systematic review is to test the hypothesis that carefully selected low-risk patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) can safely be treated entirely as outpatients or after early hospital discharge.Included articles were required to describe inclusion or exclusion criteria and outcome of patients treated for PE.Early hospital discharge was defined as an average hospital stay ≤3 days.Six investigations included patients with PE who were treated entirely as outpatients; two investigations included patients with PE who were treated after early discharge. All investigations included only low-risk patients or patients with small or medium sized PE. Outcome after 3-46 months in patients treated entirely as outpatients showed recurrent PE in 0% to 6.2% of patients, major bleeding in 0% to 2.8% with one death from an intracerebral bleed. Definite death from PE did not occur, but there was one possible death from PE. Outcome in three months in patients treated after early discharge showed no instances of recurrent PE. Major bleeding occurred in 0% to 3.7% of patients.There were no deaths from PE, but there was one death from bleeding. In conclusion, outpatient therapy of acute PE is probably safe in low-risk,carefully selected compliant patients who have access to outpatient care if necessary. Such outpatient treatment would be cost-effective.

scholarly journals Long-term mortality after massive, submassive, and low-risk pulmonary embolism

2019 ◽  
Vol 25 (2) ◽  
pp. 141-149 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rajesh Gupta ◽  
Zaid Ammari ◽  
Osama Dasa ◽  
Mohammed Ruzieh ◽  
Jordan J Burlen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Pulmonary Embolism ◽  
Mortality Rate ◽  
Tertiary Care ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Acute Pe ◽  
Long Term Mortality ◽  
Overall Mortality

Guidelines for management of normotensive patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) emphasize further risk stratification on the basis of right ventricular (RV) size and biomarkers of RV injury or strain; however, the prognostic importance of these factors on long-term mortality is not known. We performed a retrospective cohort study of subjects diagnosed with acute PE from 2010 to 2015 at a tertiary care academic medical center. The severity of initial PE presentation was categorized into three groups: massive, submassive, and low-risk PE. The primary endpoint of all-cause mortality was ascertained using the Centers for Disease Control National Death Index (CDC NDI). A total of 183 subjects were studied and their median follow-up was 4.1 years. The median age was 65 years. The 30-day mortality rate was 7.7% and the overall mortality rate through the end of follow-up was 40.4%. The overall mortality rates for massive, submassive, and low-risk PE were 71.4%, 44.5%, and 28.1%, respectively ( p < 0.001). Landmark analysis using a 30-day cutpoint demonstrated that subjects presenting with submassive PE compared with low-risk PE had increased mortality during both the short- and the long-term periods. The most frequent causes of death were malignancy, cardiac disease, respiratory disease, and PE. Independent predictors of all-cause mortality were cancer at baseline, age, white blood cell count, diabetes mellitus, liver disease, female sex, and initial presentation with massive PE. In conclusion, the diagnosis of acute PE was associated with substantial long-term mortality. The severity of initial PE presentation was associated with both short- and long-term mortality.

scholarly journals Contemporary Clinical Management and Course of ACUTE Pulmonary Embolism: The COPE Study

Blood ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 138 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 3230-3230
Author(s):  
Cecilia Becattini ◽  
Giancarlo Agnelli ◽  
Aldo P Maggioni ◽  
Francesco Dentali ◽  
Andrea Fabbri ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Pulmonary Embolism ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Stratification ◽  
Major Bleeding ◽  
Acute Pulmonary Embolism ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Intermediate Risk ◽  
Bayer Healthcare ◽  
Risk Patients ◽  
Acute Pe

Abstract Background. New management strategies, risk stratification procedures and treatments have become available over the last years for patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE), leading to changes in clinical practice and potentially influencing patient's course and outcome. Methods: The COntemporary management of Pulmonary Embolism (COPE) is an academical prospective, non-interventional, multicentre study in patients with confirmed acute symptomatic PE. In-hospital and 30-day mortality were the co-primary study outcomes. At first evaluation, patients were categorized at low-risk (simplified PESI [sPESI]=0), intermediate-risk (further classified based presence/absence of increased levels and right ventricle dysfunction [RVD] at echocardiography) and high-risk (shock or cardiac arrest). Results. Among 5213 study patients, PE was confirmed by computed tomography in 96.3% and at least one test for risk stratification was obtained in more than 80% (81% echocardiography, 83% troponin, 56% brain natriuretic peptide/NT-pro BNP). Among 4885 patients entering the Emergency Department for acute PE, 1.2% were managed as outpatients and 5.8% by short-observation. In-hospital, 289 patients underwent reperfusion (5.5%); at discharge, 6.7% received a vitamin K antagonist and 75.6% a direct oral anticoagulant. Median duration of hospitalization was 7 days (IQR 5-12 days). Overall in-hospital mortality was 3.4% (49% due to PE, 16% cancer and 4.5% major bleeding) and 30-day mortality 4.8% (36% PE, 28% cancer and 4% major bleeding). In-hospital major bleeding was 2.6%. Death at 30 days occurred in 22.6% of 177 high-risk patients, in 6% of the 3281 intermediate-risk and in 0.5% of 1702 low-risk patients. Time to death at 30 days in patients at low, intermediate and high risk for death is reported in the Figure. Conclusions: COPE is the largest ever cohort of patients with acute PE. In this contemporary scenario, the majority of patients received CT for diagnosis, at least one test for risk stratification and direct oral anticoagulants as long-term treatment. Short term death remains not negligible in patients with high and intermediate-risk PE. Figure 1 Figure 1. Disclosures Becattini: Bristol Myers Squibb: Honoraria; Daiichi Sankyo: Honoraria; Bayer HealthCare: Honoraria. Agnelli: Bristol Myers Squibb: Honoraria; Pfizer: Honoraria; Daiichi Sankyo: Honoraria; Bayer HealthCare: Honoraria. Dentali: Daiichi Sankyo: Honoraria; Bayer: Honoraria; Sanofi: Honoraria; Pfizer: Honoraria; Bristol-Myers Squibb: Honoraria; Novartis: Honoraria; Boehringer: Honoraria; Alfa Sigma: Honoraria.

scholarly journals Is the Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index Being Routinely Used in Clinical Practice?

Thrombosis ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-5 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ali Shafiq ◽  
Hamza Lodhi ◽  
Zaheer Ahmed ◽  
Ata Bajwa
Keyword(s):  
Pulmonary Embolism ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Hospital Stay ◽  
Length Of Hospital Stay ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Severity Index ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Risk Patients ◽  
Acute Pe

Background. The Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI) score can risk-stratify patients with PE but its widespread use is uncertain. With the PESI, we compared length of hospital stay between low, moderate, and high risk PE patients and determined the number of low risk PE patients who were discharged early. Methods. PE patients admitted to St. Joseph Mercy Oakland Hospital from January 2005 to August 2010 were screened. PESI score stratified acute PE patients into low (<85), moderate (86–105), and high (>105) risk categories and their length of hospital stay was compared. Patients with low risk PE discharged early (≤3 days) were calculated. Results. Among 315 PE patients, 51.7% were at low risk. No significant difference in hospital stay between low (7.11 ± 3 d) and moderate (6.88 ± 2.9 d) risk, p > 0.05, as well as low and high risk (7.28 ± 3.0 d), p > 0.05, was found. 9% of low risk patients were discharged ≤ 3 days. Conclusions. There was no significant difference in length of hospital stay between low and high risk groups and only a small number of low risk patients were discharged from the hospital early suggesting that risk tools like PESI may not have a widespread use.

The Prognostic Value of Renal Function in Acute Pulmonary Embolism—A Multi-Centre Cohort Study

2018 ◽  
Vol 119 (01) ◽  
pp. 140-148 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maciej Kostrubiec ◽  
Magdalena Pływaczewska ◽  
David Jiménez ◽  
Mareike Lankeit ◽  
Michał Ciurzynski ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Pulmonary Embolism ◽  
Cohort Study ◽  
Prognostic Value ◽  
Acute Pulmonary Embolism ◽  
Fatal Outcome ◽  
Prognostic Significance ◽  
Prognostic Models ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Acute Pe

Background Haemodynamic alterations caused by acute pulmonary embolism (PE) may affect multi-organ function including kidneys. This multi-centre, multinational cohort study aimed to validate the prognostic significance of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and its potential additive value to the current PE risk assessment algorithms. Methods The post hoc analysis of pooled prospective cohort studies: 2,845 consecutive patients (1,424 M/1,421 F, 66 ± 17 years) with confirmed acute PE and followed up for 180 days. We tested prognostic value of pre-specified eGFR level ≤60 mL/min/1.73 m2 calculated on admission according to the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease study equation. The primary outcome was all-cause 30-day mortality; the secondary outcomes were PE-related mortality, 180-day all-cause mortality, bleeding and composite outcome (PE-related death, thrombolysis or embolectomy). Results Two hundred and twenty-three patients (8%; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 7–9%) died within the first 30 days after the diagnosis. The eGFR on admission was significantly lower in non-survivors than in survivors (64 ± 34 vs. 75 ± 3 mL/min/1.73 m2, p < 0.0001). Independent predictors for a fatal outcome included: cancer, systolic blood pressure, older age, hypoxia, eGFR, heart rate and coronary artery disease. The eGFR of ≤60 mL/min/1.73 m2 independently predicted all-cause mortality (hazard ratio: 2.3; 95% CI: 1.7–3.0, p < 0.0001), PE-related outcome and clinically relevant bleedings (odds ratio: 0.90 per 10 mL/min/1.73 m2, 95% CI: 0.85–0.95, p = 0.0002). The eGFR assessment significantly improved prognostic models proposed by European guidelines with net re-classification improvement of 0.42 (p < 0.0001). Conclusion The eGFR of ≤60 mL/min/1.73 m2 not only independently predicted higher 30- and 180-day all-cause mortality and bleeding events, but when added to the current European Society of Cardiology risk stratification algorithm improved identification of both low- and high-risk patients. Therefore, eGFR calculation should be implemented in the risk assessment of acute PE.

scholarly journals The shock index and the simplified PESI for identification of low-risk patients with acute pulmonary embolism

2010 ◽  
Vol 37 (4) ◽  
pp. 762-766 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Sam ◽  
D. Sanchez ◽  
V. Gomez ◽  
C. Wagner ◽  
D. Kopecna ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Pulmonary Embolism ◽  
Acute Pulmonary Embolism ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Shock Index ◽  
Risk Patients

Out of Hospital Treatment of Acute Pulmonary Embolism in Patients with a Low NT-ProBNP Level.

Blood ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 114 (22) ◽  
pp. 3996-3996
Author(s):  
Mariette J Agterof ◽  
Roger E.G. Schutgens ◽  
Repke J Snijder ◽  
G. Epping ◽  
Henny G Peltenburg ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Pulmonary Embolism ◽  
Emergency Room ◽  
Acute Pulmonary Embolism ◽  
Conflicts Of Interest ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Hospital Treatment ◽  
Serious Adverse Events ◽  
Risk Patients ◽  
Acute Pe

Abstract Abstract 3996 Poster Board III-932 Background NT-proBNP is emerging to be of great importance in risk assessment of patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE), by identifying both high and low-risk patients. The aim of the present management study was to investigate the safety of out of hospital treatment of patients with acute PE based on a NT-proBNP < 500 pg/ml. Methods Hemodynamically stable outpatients with objectively diagnosed acute PE and a NT-proBNP level < 500 pg/ml, were considered eligible for participation in this multicenter prospective study. Patients were discharged immediately from the emergency room or within the first 24 hours of admission. The primary objective was the 10-days mortality rate. Secondary objectives were the incidence of re-admission to hospital due to PE or its treatment, the patient's satisfaction during the first ten days of treatment and the incidence of serious adverse events in a 3-month follow-up period. Results Approximately 40 percent of all patients presenting at the emergency room with acute PE fulfilled the inclusion criteria. In total, 152 patients (mean age 53.4 ± 14.3 years; 51% female) with PE were treated as outpatients. No deaths, major bleedings or recurrent venous thromboembolism occurred during the first 10 days or in a follow-up period of 3 months. Seven patients required readmission. Three patients were admitted because of complaints of their PE: two patients with anxiety and pain and one patient with dyspnoea and low oxygen saturation. There were no signs of progression of PE in these 3 patients. Four patients were re-admitted because of an illness unrelated to PE. According to the PSQ18 and anxiety score, patients were satisfied with their out of hospital treatment; they had no progression of anxiety during the first ten days of treatment. Conclusion Out of hospital treatment is safe in a group of low risk patients with non-massive PE, based on NT-proBNP levels < 500 pg/ml. Approximately 40 percent of PE-patients can be treated in an outpatient setting. Patients consider out of hospital treatment as comfortable and have no increase in anxiety scores. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

Early and Long-Term Outcomes of Endovascular Aortic Repair in Young and Low Surgical Risk Patients in the Global Registry for Endovascular Aortic Treatment

2021 ◽  
pp. 152660282110457
Author(s):  
Michele Piazza ◽  
Francesco Squizzato ◽  
Velipekka Suominen ◽  
Franco Grego ◽  
Santi Trimarchi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Young Patients ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Long Term Outcomes ◽  
Surgical Risk ◽  
High Risk Patients ◽  
Risk Patients ◽  
Global Registry ◽  
Related Mortality

Purpose: To investigate early- and long-term outcomes of endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) for infrarenal abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) in young and low surgical risk patients. Methods: The global registry for endovascular aortic treatment (GREAT) was queried for all patients with AAA undergoing standard EVAR; patients were excluded if had previous AAA repair or underwent concomitant procedures. Young patients were defined if age <60; surgical risk was assessed through the validated Medicare perioperative risk score (MPRS) based on age, sex, renal function, heart failure, and peripheral vascular disease. Patients were classified as low (MPRS<3), average (MPRS 3–11), or high (MPRS>11) risk. Young versus older patients and low-risk versus average/high-risk patients were compared. The primary endpoints were early (30 days) major adverse events (MAEs), 5-year freedom from overall mortality, aortic-related mortality, and freedom from device-related reinterventions. Time-to-event endpoints were calculated by Kaplan–Meier curves. Results: Of 3217 included patients, 182 (6%) were <60 years old, 956 (30%) had a low surgical risk, 1561 (49%) an average risk, 700 (22%) a high risk. Young patients had a less angulated proximal neck (27.2±18.4° vs 30.9±21.5°; p=0.05); in low-risk compared to average/high-risk patients, a longer neck length (3±1.8 vs 2.8±1.4 cm; p=0.01) and lower neck angulation (29.7±21.8° vs 33.2±22.2°; p=0.01) were present. Young age alone had no significant impact on early mortality (0% vs 0.6%; p=0.62.) and MAEs (3.9% vs 6.1%; p=0.20), while these were significantly lower in low-risk compared to average/high-risk patients (early mortality: 0.1% vs 0.7%, p=0.04; MAEs: 4.1% vs 6.7%, p=0.005). At 5 years, overall survival was significantly higher in young (88% vs 76%; p<0.001) and lower-risk (77% vs 54%; p<0.001) patients; low-risk patients also had significantly decreased aortic-related mortality (0% vs 2%; p=0.04) and reintervention rates (6% vs 11%; p=0.007). There were no statistically significant differences in mortality (0% vs 2%; p=0.42) and reintervention rate (10% vs 10%; p=1.00) between young and older patients. Conclusion: In this real-world registry, EVAR was more often offered in cases with suitable anatomy in young and low-risk patients. Low operative risk, rather than young age alone, predicted excellent early outcomes and low 5-year mortality, aortic-related mortality, and reintervention rates.

scholarly journals Association Between Preexisting Versus Newly Identified Atrial Fibrillation and Outcomes of Patients With Acute Pulmonary Embolism

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Behnood Bikdeli ◽  
David Jiménez ◽  
Jorge del Toro ◽  
Gregory Piazza ◽  
Agustina Rivas ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Pulmonary Embolism ◽  
Reference Group ◽  
Adverse Outcomes ◽  
Risk Of Mortality ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Multivariable Analyses ◽  
Multivariable Adjustment ◽  
Acute Pe ◽  
Related Mortality

Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) may exist before or occur early in the course of pulmonary embolism (PE). We determined the PE outcomes based on the presence and timing of AF. Methods and Results Using the data from a multicenter PE registry, we identified 3 groups: (1) those with preexisting AF, (2) patients with new AF within 2 days from acute PE (incident AF), and (3) patients without AF. We assessed the 90‐day and 1‐year risk of mortality and stroke in patients with AF, compared with those without AF (reference group). Among 16 497 patients with PE, 792 had preexisting AF. These patients had increased odds of 90‐day all‐cause (odds ratio [OR], 2.81; 95% CI, 2.33–3.38) and PE‐related mortality (OR, 2.38; 95% CI, 1.37–4.14) and increased 1‐year hazard for ischemic stroke (hazard ratio, 5.48; 95% CI, 3.10–9.69) compared with those without AF. After multivariable adjustment, preexisting AF was associated with significantly increased odds of all‐cause mortality (OR, 1.91; 95% CI, 1.57–2.32) but not PE‐related mortality (OR, 1.50; 95% CI, 0.85–2.66). Among 16 497 patients with PE, 445 developed new incident AF within 2 days of acute PE. Incident AF was associated with increased odds of 90‐day all‐cause (OR, 2.28; 95% CI, 1.75–2.97) and PE‐related (OR, 3.64; 95% CI, 2.01–6.59) mortality but not stroke. Findings were similar in multivariable analyses. Conclusions In patients with acute symptomatic PE, both preexisting AF and incident AF predict adverse clinical outcomes. The type of adverse outcomes may differ depending on the timing of AF onset.

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