scholarly journals A 16-year prospective cohort study to evaluate effects of long-term fluctuations in obesity indices of prediabetics on the incidence of future diabetes

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Shahla Safari ◽  
Maryam Abdoli ◽  
Masoud Amini ◽  
Ashraf Aminorroaya ◽  
Awat Feizi

AbstractThis study aimed to evaluate the patterns of changes in obesity indices over time in prediabetic subjects and to classify these subjects as either having a low, moderate, and high risk for developing diabetes in the future. This study was conducted among 1228 prediabetics. The patterns of changes in obesity indices based on three measurements including first, mean values during the follow-up period, and last visit from these indices were evaluated by using the latent Markov model (LMM). The mean (standard deviation) age of subjects was 44.0 (6.8) years and 73.6% of them were female. LMM identified three latent states of subjects in terms of change in all anthropometric indices: a low, moderate, and high tendency to progress diabetes with the state sizes (29%, 45%, and 26%), respectively. LMM showed that the probability of transitioning from a low to a moderate tendency to progress diabetes was higher than the other transition probabilities. Based on a long-term evaluation of patterns of changes in obesity indices, our results reemphasized the values of all five obesity indices in clinical settings for identifying high-risk prediabetic subjects for developing diabetes in future and the need for more effective obesity prevention strategies.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shahla Safari ◽  
Maryam Abdoli ◽  
Masoud Amini ◽  
Ashraf Aminorroaya ◽  
Awat Feizi

Abstract Background Obesity indices abnormality pervasively is associated with the risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). This study aimed to identify the patterns of changes in obesity indices over time in prediabetic subjects and to classify these subjects as either having a low, moderate, and high risk for developing diabetes in future. Methods This prospective 16-year cohort study was conducted among 1228 prediabetic subjects. The patterns of changes in general and abdominal obesity indices based on three measurements including first, mean values during the follow-up period and last visit from these indices were evaluated by using the latent Markov model (LMM). Results The mean (standard deviation) age of subjects was 44.0 (6.8) years and 73.6% of them were female. The LMM identified three latent states of subjects in terms of change in all anthropometric indices: a low, moderate, and high tendency to progress diabetes with the state sizes (29%, 45%, and 26%), respectively. LMM showed that the probability of transitioning from a low to a moderate tendency to progress diabetes was higher than the other transition probabilities.Conclusions Based on a long-term evaluation of patterns of changes in general and abdominal obesity indices, we classified prediabetic subjects into three groups (low, moderate, and high risk to progress diabetes in future). Also, the method used enabled us to estimate the transition probabilities from low- to moderate and to high-risk states and vice versa. Our results reemphasized the values of all five obesity indices in clinical settings for identifying prediabetic subjects as a high-risk people for progressing diabetes and the need for more effective obesity prevention strategies.


2020 ◽  
Vol 39 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Antonio Valvano ◽  
Giorgio Bosso ◽  
Valentina Apuzzi ◽  
Valentina Mercurio ◽  
Valeria Di Simone ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
K Stepien ◽  
P Furczynska ◽  
M Zalewska ◽  
K Nowak ◽  
A Wlodarczyk ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Recently heart failure (HF) has been found to be a new dementia risk factor, nevertheless their relations in patients following HF decompensation remain unknown. Purpose We sought to investigate whether a screening diagnosis for dementia (SDD) in this high-risk population may predict unfavorable long-term clinical outcomes. Methods 142 patients following HF decompensation requiring hospitalization were enrolled. Within a median time of 55 months all patients were screened for dementia with ALFI-MMSE scale whereas their compliance was assessed with the Morisky Medication Adherence Scale. Any incidents of myocardial infarction, coronary revascularization, stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA), revascularization, HF hospitalization and bleedings during follow-up were collected. Results SDD was established in 37 patients (26%) based on the result of an ALFI-MMSE score of <17 points. By multivariate analysis the lower results of the ALFI-MMSE score were associated with a history of stroke/TIA (β=−0.29, P<0.001), peripheral arterial disease (PAD) (β=−0.20, P=0.011) and lower glomerular filtration rate (β=0.24, P=0.009). During the follow-up, patients with SDD were more often rehospitalized following HF decompensation (48.7% vs 28.6%, P=0.014) than patients without SDD, despite a similar level of compliance (P=0.25). Irrespective of stroke/TIA history, SDD independently increased the risk of rehospitalization due to HF decompensation (HR 2.22, 95% CI 1.23–4.01, P=0.007). Conclusions As shown for the first time in literature patients following decompensated HF, a history of stroke/TIA, PAD and impaired renal function independently influenced SDD. In this high-risk population, SDD was not associated with patients' compliance but irrespective of the stroke/TIA history it increased the risk of recurrent HF hospitalization. The survival free of rehospitalization Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None


2021 ◽  
pp. 000313482110233
Author(s):  
Jordan Robinson ◽  
Jesse K. Sulzer ◽  
Benjamin Motz ◽  
Erin H. Baker ◽  
John B. Martinie ◽  
...  

Background Abdominal wall reconstruction in high-risk and contaminated cases remains a challenging surgical dilemma. We report long-term clinical outcomes for a rifampin-/minocycline-coated acellular dermal graft (XenMatrix™ AB) in complex abdominal wall reconstruction for patients with a prior open abdomen or contaminated wounds. Methods Patients undergoing abdominal wall reconstruction at our institution at high risk for surgical site occurrence and reconstructed with XenMatrix™ AB with intent-to-treat between 2014 and 2017 were included. Demographics, operative characteristics, and outcomes were collected. The primary outcome was hernia recurrence. The secondary outcomes included length of stay, surgical site occurrence, readmission, morbidity, and mortality. Results Twenty-two patients underwent abdominal wall reconstruction using XenMatrix™ AB during the study period. Two patients died while inpatient from progression of their comorbid diseases and were excluded. Sixty percent of patients had an open abdomen at the time of repair. All patients were from modified Ventral Hernia Working Group class 2 or 3. There were a total of four 30-day infectious complications including superficial cellulitis/fat necrosis (15%) and one intraperitoneal abscess (5%). No patients required reoperation or graft excision. Median clinical follow-up was 38.2 months with a mean of 35.2 +/− 18.5 months. Two asymptomatic recurrences and one symptomatic recurrence were noted during this period with one planning for elective repair of an eventration. Follow-up was extended by phone interview which identified no additional recurrences at a median of 45.5 and mean of 50.5 +/−12.7 months. Conclusion We present long-term outcomes for patients with high-risk and contaminated wounds who underwent abdominal wall reconstruction reinforced with XenMatrix™ AB to achieve early, permanent abdominal closure. Acceptable outcomes were noted.


2021 ◽  
Vol 80 (Suppl 1) ◽  
pp. 1306.1-1306
Author(s):  
P. Tremaskina ◽  
E. Loginova ◽  
T. Korotaeva ◽  
S. Glukhova ◽  
A. Lila

Background:The concept of treat to target (T2T) in psoriatic arthritis (PsA) has been established recently and already shown its benefits [1]. But the long-term outcomes of the T2T have not been studied yet.Objectives:To study 5 years (yrs) follow-up of PsA patients (pts) treated according to T2T strategy at the early stage.Methods:35 (M/F–17/18) PsA pts fulfilling CASPAR criteria, who were treated according to T2T strategy at the early stage (PsA duration≤2 yrs) within 24 months (mos) were analyzed. At the time of evaluation mean age is 42.7±11.2 yrs, median (Me) PsA duration 72 [60;95] mos, psoriasis duration 120 [88;180] mos. All pts underwent standard clinical examinations of PsA before started T2T therapy and at follow-up. Within 24 mos of T2T strategy all pts were taking Methotrexate (MTX) monotherapy in increasing dose up to 25 mg/wk and 18 out of 35 (51%) pts received MTX in combination with iTNF. When T2T study was stopped all pts were treated according to standard care with NSAIDs, bDMARDs, MTX, tsDMARDs based on PsA activity and physician decision. The number of pts achieved minimal disease activity (MDA, 5 of 7) and remission by DAPSA (≤4)/low disease activity (LDA)≤14) at the 24 mos of T2T strategy and at 5 yrs follow-up were calculated. The results are presented in the form of mean values, median, upper and lower quartiles.Results:Me duration of follow-up is 68 [53.5;81.5] mos. At 24 mos Me DAPSA 3.48 [0.45;21.76], remission by DAPSA (REM-DAPSA) were seen in 20 out of 35 (57%) pts, LDA-DAPSA in 4 (12%) pts, moderate activity (MoA) by DAPSA in 6 (17%) pts and high disease activity by DAPSA (HDA-DAPSA) in 5 (14%) pts. MDA was noted in 21 out of 35 (60%) pts. At 5 yrs Me DAPSA 7.4 [2.22;13.87], REM-DAPSA was noted in 12 (34%) pts, LDA-DAPSA in 14 (40%), MoA-DAPSA in 5 (14%), HDA-DAPSA in 4 (12%) pts. MDA was observed in 17 of 35 pts (49%). Among 20 pts who had REM-DAPSA at 24 mos only 6 pts (30%) remained in remission at 5 yrs follow-up and 12 out of 21 pts (57.14%) remained in MDA status.Conclusion:In early PsA pts remission and MDA are achievable goal of T2T strategy. But most pts lost remission/MDA after this strategy was changed to a standard care, despite being in remission/MDA status before change of therapy. Further investigations of the long-term outcomes of T2T strategy in PsA, including radiographic outcomes are needed.References:[1]Coates LC, Moverley AR, McParland L, et al. Lancet 2015; 386: 2489–98.Disclosure of Interests:None declared.


2005 ◽  
Vol 33 (8) ◽  
pp. 1220-1223 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joseph R. Carney ◽  
Timothy S. Mologne ◽  
Michael Muldoon ◽  
Jay S. Cox

Background Few published articles exist reporting the long-term evaluation of the Roux-Elmslie-Trillat procedure. Purpose To assess the long-term effect of the Roux-Elmslie-Trillat procedure in preventing recurrent subluxation and dislocation of the patella. Study Design Case series; Level of evidence, 4. Methods Eighteen patients who underwent the Roux-Elmslie-Trillat procedure for dislocation or subluxation of the patella were identified from a group previously evaluated at a mean follow-up of 3 years. The prevalence of recurrent subluxation or dislocation at a mean follow-up of 26 years was compared with the prevalence reported at the mean follow-up of 3 years. Although not the focus of this study, Cox functional scores were obtained from the smaller group and compared with the results at the 3-year follow-up. Results Seven percent (95% confidence interval, 0.00-0.32) of the patients had recurrent subluxation at 26 years compared with 7% (95% confidence interval, 0.03-0.13) of the study population reported at 3 years (P = 1.00). Fifty-four percent (95% confidence interval, 0.27-0.79) rated their affected knee as good or excellent at 26 years compared with 73% (95% confidence interval, 0.64-0.81) of the larger study population reported at 3 years (P = .14). Conclusion The prevalence of recurrent subluxation and dislocation in patients with patellofemoral malalignment who underwent the Roux-Elmslie-Trillat procedure for dislocation or subluxation of the patella is similar at 3 and 26 years after the procedure. The long-term functional status of the affected knee in patients who underwent the Roux-Elmslie-Trillat procedure declined.


2009 ◽  
Vol 27 (32) ◽  
pp. 5350-5355 ◽  
Author(s):  
Odile Oberlin ◽  
Oumaya Fawaz ◽  
Annie Rey ◽  
Patrick Niaudet ◽  
Vita Ridola ◽  
...  

PurposeIfosfamide is widely used in pediatric oncology but its nephrotoxicity may become a significant issue in survivors. This study is aimed at evaluating the incidence of late renal toxicity of ifosfamide and its risk factors.Patients and MethodsOf the 183 patients prospectively investigated for renal function, 77 treated for rhabdomyosarcoma, 39 for other soft tissue sarcoma, 39 for Ewing's sarcoma, and 28 for osteosarcoma were investigated at least 5 years after treatment. No patients had received cisplatin and/or carboplatin. Glomerular and tubular functions were graded according to the Skinner system.ResultsThe median dose of ifosfamide was 54 g/m2(range, 18 to 117 g/m2). After a median follow-up of 10 years, 89.5% of patients had normal tubular function, and 78.5% had normal glomerular function rate (GFR). Serum bicarbonate and calcium were normal in all patients. Hypomagnesemia was observed in 1.2% and hypophosphatemia in 1%. The tubular threshold for phosphate was reduced in 24% of the patients (grade 1 in 15%, grade 2 in 8%, and grade 3 in 0.5%). Glycosuria was detected in 37% of the patients but was more than 0.5 g/24 hours in only 5%. Proteinuria was observed in 12%. Ifosfamide dose and interval from therapy to investigations were predictors of tubulopathy in univariate and multivariate analysis. In a multivariate analysis, an older age at diagnosis and the length of interval since treatment had independent impacts on the risk of abnormal GFR.ConclusionRenal toxicity is moderate with a moderate dose of ifosfamide. However, since it can be permanent and can get worse with time, repeated long-term evaluations are important, and this risk should be balanced against efficacy.


EP Europace ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (Supplement_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
A Briosa E Gala ◽  
MTB Pope ◽  
C Monteiro ◽  
M Leo ◽  
TR Betts

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Introduction Left atrial appendage occlusion (LAAO) is a well-established stroke prevention strategy in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF) and high risk of bleeding or contra-indication to oral anticoagulation (OAC). Despite encouraging randomised control trial and international registry safety and efficacy data, long-term outcome data remains sparce. Purpose This study sought to evaluate the long-term outcomes in ‘real-world’ AF patients undergoing left atrial appendage occlusion in a large UK tertiary centre. Methods This retrospective study included all patients that had a LAAO device implanted in our institution from January 2010 to December 2020. Medical notes, electronic patient records, procedural and imaging reports were reviewed. Annual bleeding risk was extrapolated from the Swedish National Cohort study according to CHA2DS2-VASc and HASBLED score. Results During the study period a total of 225 patients underwent LAAO device implant. Seventy-two percent were male, age 74 ± 8 years, BMI 27 ± 6 kg/m2, CHA2DS2-VASc score 4.4 ± 1.2, HASBLED score 3.2 ± 0.8 and at high risk of stroke (98 ischaemic strokes and 129 haemorrhagic strokes) and bleeding (151 life-threatening bleeding episodes). Three different LAAO devices were used: 136 Watchman, 54 Watchman FLX and 35 Amplatzer Cardiac plugs. Three patients (1.3%) had fatal complications related to the procedure. At discharge, 10% were taking single antiplatelet (ATP), 79% dual-antiplatelet (DAPT), 1.4% OAC, 3.6% ATP and OAC, 3.1% DAPT and OAC, 1.3% were not taking any anti-thrombotic. Nine (4%) patients had device-related thrombus on follow-up transoesophageal echocardiography with no significant difference between devices (5.0%, 2.8% and 6.7% p = 0.8, respectively) and anticoagulation strategy (p = 0.7). Over a total follow-up of 889 patient-years (mean follow-up 3.9 ± 3.7 years), 24 (10.4%) patients died, 55 patients (6.2/100 patient-years) suffered an adverse event, 15 ischaemic strokes (1.7/100 patient-years) and 20 non-procedural major bleeding episodes (2.3/100 patient-years) occurred. Compared to estimated annual stroke and bleeding risk adjusted for CHA2DS2-VASc and HASBLED score, our cohort had a 79% and 65% relative risk reduction in ischaemic stroke and major bleeding, respectively. Conclusion In this cohort of "real-world" high-risk patients, major bleeding and thromboembolic rate remained low on long-term follow-up. Abstract Figure 1


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