scholarly journals The impact of anatomical uncertainties on the predictions of a musculoskeletal hand model – a sensitivity study

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Maximilian Melzner ◽  
Franz Süß ◽  
Sebastian Dendorfer
Keyword(s):  
Sensitivity Study ◽  
Hand Model ◽  
The Impact

scholarly journals Modeling Bacterial Regrowth and Trihalomethane Formation in Water Distribution Systems

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 463
Author(s):  
Gopinathan R. Abhijith ◽  
Leonid Kadinski ◽  
Avi Ostfeld
Keyword(s):  
Distribution Systems ◽  
Water Distribution ◽  
Mechanistic Model ◽  
Water Distribution Systems ◽  
Sensitivity Study ◽  
Operating Conditions ◽  
Growth Rate Constant ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Bacterial Regrowth ◽  
The Impact

The formation of bacterial regrowth and disinfection by-products is ubiquitous in chlorinated water distribution systems (WDSs) operated with organic loads. A generic, easy-to-use mechanistic model describing the fundamental processes governing the interrelationship between chlorine, total organic carbon (TOC), and bacteria to analyze the spatiotemporal water quality variations in WDSs was developed using EPANET-MSX. The representation of multispecies reactions was simplified to minimize the interdependent model parameters. The physicochemical/biological processes that cannot be experimentally determined were neglected. The effects of source water characteristics and water residence time on controlling bacterial regrowth and Trihalomethane (THM) formation in two well-tested systems under chlorinated and non-chlorinated conditions were analyzed by applying the model. The results established that a 100% increase in the free chlorine concentration and a 50% reduction in the TOC at the source effectuated a 5.87 log scale decrement in the bacteriological activity at the expense of a 60% increase in THM formation. The sensitivity study showed the impact of the operating conditions and the network characteristics in determining parameter sensitivities to model outputs. The maximum specific growth rate constant for bulk phase bacteria was found to be the most sensitive parameter to the predicted bacterial regrowth.

scholarly journals A model sensitivity study of the impact of clouds on satellite detection and retrieval of volcanic ash

2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (5) ◽  
pp. 1935-1949 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Kylling ◽  
N. Kristiansen ◽  
A. Stohl ◽  
R. Buras-Schnell ◽  
C. Emde ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Radiative Transfer ◽  
Liquid Water ◽  
Volcanic Ash ◽  
Spectral Band ◽  
Sensitivity Study ◽  
Transfer Model ◽  
Mass Loading ◽  
Ice Clouds ◽  
Medium Range Weather Forecast ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Volcanic ash is commonly observed by infrared detectors on board Earth-orbiting satellites. In the presence of ice and/or liquid-water clouds, the detected volcanic ash signature may be altered. In this paper the sensitivity of detection and retrieval of volcanic ash to the presence of ice and liquid-water clouds was quantified by simulating synthetic equivalents to satellite infrared images with a 3-D radiative transfer model. The sensitivity study was made for the two recent eruptions of Eyjafjallajökull (2010) and Grímsvötn (2011) using realistic water and ice clouds and volcanic ash clouds. The water and ice clouds were taken from European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast (ECMWF) analysis data and the volcanic ash cloud fields from simulations by the Lagrangian particle dispersion model FLEXPART. The radiative transfer simulations were made both with and without ice and liquid-water clouds for the geometry and channels of the Spinning Enhanced Visible and Infrared Imager (SEVIRI). The synthetic SEVIRI images were used as input to standard reverse absorption ash detection and retrieval methods. Ice and liquid-water clouds were on average found to reduce the number of detected ash-affected pixels by 6–12%. However, the effect was highly variable and for individual scenes up to 40% of pixels with mass loading >0.2 g m−2 could not be detected due to the presence of water and ice clouds. For coincident pixels, i.e. pixels where ash was both present in the FLEXPART (hereafter referred to as "Flexpart") simulation and detected by the algorithm, the presence of clouds overall increased the retrieved mean mass loading for the Eyjafjallajökull (2010) eruption by about 13%, while for the Grímsvötn (2011) eruption ash-mass loadings the effect was a 4% decrease of the retrieved ash-mass loading. However, larger differences were seen between scenes (standard deviations of ±30 and ±20% for Eyjafjallajökull and Grímsvötn, respectively) and even larger ones within scenes. The impact of ice and liquid-water clouds on the detection and retrieval of volcanic ash, implies that to fully appreciate the location and amount of ash, hyperspectral and spectral band measurements by satellite instruments should be combined with ash dispersion modelling.

Local Mesh Refinement for Correlation of FEA Estimated Plastic Strain to Tests in Areas of High Plastic Strain

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Katharine Liu ◽  
Emma Xiao ◽  
Gregory Westwater ◽  
Christopher R. Johnson ◽  
J. Adin Mann
Keyword(s):  
Plastic Strain ◽  
Mesh Refinement ◽  
Sensitivity Study ◽  
Linear Elastic ◽  
Mesh Sensitivity ◽  
Local Mesh Refinement ◽  
Order Of Magnitude ◽  
High Plastic Strain ◽  
Stabilization Technique ◽  
The Impact

The total strain, elastic plus plastic, was measured with strain gages on valve bodies with internal pressure that caused surface yielding. The correlation of the simulated maximum principal strain was compared to strain gage data. A mesh sensitivity study shows that in regions of large plastic strain, mesh elements are required that are an order of magnitude smaller than what is used for linear elastic stress analysis for the same structure. A local mesh refinement was adequate to resolve the local high strain values. Both the location and magnitude of the maximum strain changed with a local mesh refinement. The local mesh refinement requirement was consistent over several structures that were tested. The test and simulation work will be presented along with the mesh sensitivity study. Some results on using an energy stabilization technique to aid convergence will be presented in terms of the impact on the predicted plastic strain.

scholarly journals Development and application of the WRFPLUS-Chem online chemistry adjoint and WRFDA-Chem assimilation system

2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (6) ◽  
pp. 1857-1876 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. J. Guerrette ◽  
D. K. Henze
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Vertical Mixing ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Sensitivity Study ◽  
Climate Impacts ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Develop Land ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Here we present the online meteorology and chemistry adjoint and tangent linear model, WRFPLUS-Chem (Weather Research and Forecasting plus chemistry), which incorporates modules to treat boundary layer mixing, emission, aging, dry deposition, and advection of black carbon aerosol. We also develop land surface and surface layer adjoints to account for coupling between radiation and vertical mixing. Model performance is verified against finite difference derivative approximations. A second-order checkpointing scheme is created to reduce computational costs and enable simulations longer than 6 h. The adjoint is coupled to WRFDA-Chem, in order to conduct a sensitivity study of anthropogenic and biomass burning sources throughout California during the 2008 Arctic Research of the Composition of the Troposphere from Aircraft and Satellites (ARCTAS) field campaign. A cost-function weighting scheme was devised to reduce the impact of statistically insignificant residual errors in future inverse modeling studies. Results of the sensitivity study show that, for this domain and time period, anthropogenic emissions are overpredicted, while wildfire emission error signs vary spatially. We consider the diurnal variation in emission sensitivities to determine at what time sources should be scaled up or down. Also, adjoint sensitivities for two choices of land surface model (LSM) indicate that emission inversion results would be sensitive to forward model configuration. The tools described here are the first step in conducting four-dimensional variational data assimilation in a coupled meteorology–chemistry model, which will potentially provide new constraints on aerosol precursor emissions and their distributions. Such analyses will be invaluable to assessments of particulate matter health and climate impacts.

Sensitivity Analysis and Experimental Validation of Transient Performance Predictions for a Short-Range Turbofan

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maria V. Culmone ◽  
Nicolás Garcia-Rosa ◽  
Xavier Carbonneau
Keyword(s):  
Short Range ◽  
Engine Performance ◽  
Sensitivity Study ◽  
Simulation Software ◽  
Tip Clearance ◽  
Mass Storage ◽  
Transient Effects ◽  
Transient Model ◽  
Blade Tip ◽  
The Impact

Transient effects are important features of engine performance calculations. The aim of this paper is to analyze a new, fully transient model implemented using the PRopulsion Object Oriented Simulation Software (PROOSIS) for a civil, short range turbofan engine. A transient turbofan model, including the mechanical inertia effect has been developed in PROOSIS. Specific physical effects such as heat soakage, mass storage, blade tip clearance and combustion delay have been implemented in the relevant components of PROOSIS to obtain a fully transient model. Since a large number of components are concerned by all the transient effects, an influence study is presented to determine which are the most critical effects, and in which components. Inertia represents the relevant phenomenon, followed by thermal effects, combustion delay and finally mass storage. The comparison with experimental data will provide a first validation of the model. Finally a sensitivity study is reported to assess the impact of uncertain knowledge of key input parameters in the response time prediction accuracy.

scholarly journals On the Influence of Kinetic Uncertainties on the Accuracy of Numerical Modeling of an Industrial Flameless Furnace Fired With NH3/H2 Blends: A Numerical and Experimental Study

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marco Ferrarotti ◽  
Andrea Bertolino ◽  
Ruggero Amaduzzi ◽  
Alessandro Parente
Keyword(s):  
Numerical Models ◽  
Molar Fraction ◽  
Kinetic Scheme ◽  
Sensitivity Study ◽  
Pure Hydrogen ◽  
Fuel Blend ◽  
Stirred Reactor ◽  
Flameless Burner ◽  
Reactor Network ◽  
The Impact

Ammonia/hydrogen-fueled combustion represents a very promising solution for the future energy scenario. This study aims to shed light and understand the behavior of ammonia/hydrogen blends under flameless conditions. A first-of-its-kind experimental campaign was conducted to test fuel flexibility for different ammonia/hydrogen blends in a flameless burner, varying the air injector and the equivalence ratio. NO emissions increased drastically after injecting a small amount of NH3 in pure hydrogen (10% by volume). An optimum trade-off between NOx emission and ammonia slip was found when working sufficiently close to stoichiometric conditions (ϕ = 0.95). In general, a larger air injector (ID25) reduces the emissions, especially at ϕ = 0.8. A well-stirred reactor network with exhaust recirculation was developed exchanging information with computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations, to model chemistry in diluted conditions. Such a simplified system was then used in two ways: 1) to explain the experimental trends of NOx emissions varying the ammonia molar fraction within the fuel blend and 2) to perform an uncertainty quantification study. A sensitivity study coupled with latin hypercube sampling (LHS) was used to evaluate the impact of kinetic uncertainties on NOx prediction in a well-stirred reactor network model. The influence of the identified uncertainties was then tested in more complex numerical models, such as Reynolds-averaged Navier–Stokes (RANS) simulations of the furnace. The major over-predictions of existing kinetic scheme was then alleviated significantly, confirming the crucial role of detailed kinetic mechanisms for accurate predictive simulations of NH3/H2 mixtures in flameless regime.

Investigating triggering mechanisms for the large hailstorm event of July 10th, 2019 on the Adriatic Sea

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Antonio Ricchi ◽  
Vincenzo Mazzarella ◽  
Lorenzo Sangelantoni ◽  
Gianluca Redaelli ◽  
Rossella Ferretti
Keyword(s):  
Adriatic Sea ◽  
Initial Conditions ◽  
Central Italy ◽  
Radar Data ◽  
Sensitivity Study ◽  
Convective Cell ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
Microphysics Scheme ◽  
The Balkans ◽  
The Impact

<div> <p><span>A severe weather events hit Italy on July 9-10, 2019 causing heavy damages by the falling of large-size hail. A trough from Northern Europe affected Italy and the Balkans advecting cold air on the Adriatic Sea. The intrusion of relatively cold and dry air on the Adriatic Sea, in a first stage through the "Bora jets" generated by the Dinaric Alps gave rise to a frontal structure on the ground, which rapidly moved from North to South Adriatic. The large thermal gradient (also with the sea surface), the interaction with the complex orography and the coastal zone, generated several storm structures along the eastern Italian coast. In particular, on 10 July 2019 between 8UTC and 12UTC a deep convective cell (probably a supercell) developed along the coast North of the city of Pescara, producing intense rainfall (accumulated rainfall reaching 130 mm/3h) and a violent hailstorm with hailstones larger than 10 cm in diameter. The storm quickly moved southward, evolving into a complex multicellular structure clearly visible by observing radar data. In this work the frontal dynamics and the genesis of the storm cell are investigated using the numerical model WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting system). Numerical experiments are carried out using a 1 km grid on Central Italy, initialized using the ECMWF dataset and the Sea Surface Temperature (SST) taken by MFS-CMEMS Copernicus dataset. The sensitivity study investigated both the impact of the initial conditions, the quality and the anomaly of the SST on the Adriatic basin in those days. Furthermore, in order to quantify the importance of the use of different microphysics, Planetary boundary Layer (PBL) and radiative schemes, several experiments are performed. The role of orography in the development and location of the convective cell is also investigated. Preliminary results show that initialization and SST played a fundamental role. In particular, the initialization several hours before the event, coupled with a detailed SST allows to correctly reproduce the atmospheric fields. The microphysics scheme turned out to play a key role for this event by showing a significant greater impact than the PBL, in terms of frontal genesis on both the synoptic and local scale. </span></p> </div>

scholarly journals Groundwater flow below construction pits and erosion of temporary horizontal layers of silicate grouting

2020 ◽  
Vol 28 (8) ◽  
pp. 2821-2832
Author(s):  
Joris M. Dekker ◽  
Thomas Sweijen ◽  
Alraune Zech
Keyword(s):  
Hydraulic Conductivity ◽  
Groundwater Flow ◽  
Analytical Solutions ◽  
Mass Flux ◽  
Approximate Solutions ◽  
Sensitivity Study ◽  
Advective Transport ◽  
Dilution Ratio ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Horizontal Layers

AbstractInjection of silicate grouting materials is widely used to create temporary horizontal layers for reducing inflow of groundwater at construction sites, in regions with shallow water tables. The erosion of a grouting layer was investigated by means of analytical solutions for groundwater flow and transport within a pit after construction finished. Erosion is assumed to occur by dissolution of the temporary injection layer and subsequent advective transport. Thereby, the hydraulic conductivity changes with time. This paper presents novel analytical solutions and approximate solutions for the major fluxes in the construction pit as a function of the domain settings, aquifer gradient and hydraulic conductivity. In addition, the mass flux and the dilution ratio of erosion-related components leaving the construction pit and entering the aquifer are quantified. Derived solutions are verified against numerical simulations. A sensitivity study shows the impact of domain settings on fluxes and dilution ratio. The results confirm that mass flux of grout components increases with ongoing erosion. Thus, its effect on groundwater quality increases with time after construction ceased.

scholarly journals Investigating the impact of Lake Agassiz drainage routes on the 8.2 ka cold event with a climate model

2009 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 471-480 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y.-X. Li ◽  
H. Renssen ◽  
A. P. Wiersma ◽  
T. E. Törnqvist
Keyword(s):  
Atlantic Ocean ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
North Atlantic Ocean ◽  
Sensitivity Study ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Labrador Sea ◽  
Cold Event ◽  
The North ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. The 8.2 ka event is the most prominent abrupt climate change in the Holocene and is often believed to result from catastrophic drainage of proglacial lakes Agassiz and Ojibway (LAO) that routed through the Hudson Bay and the Labrador Sea into the North Atlantic Ocean, and perturbed Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (MOC). One key assumption of this triggering mechanism is that the LAO freshwater drainage was dispersed over the Labrador Sea. Recent data, however, show no evidence of lowered δ18O values, indicative of low salinity, from the open Labrador Sea around 8.2 ka. Instead, negative δ18O anomalies are found close to the east coast of North America, extending as far south as Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, suggesting that the freshwater drainage may have been confined to a long stretch of continental shelf before fully mixing with North Atlantic Ocean water. Here we conduct a sensitivity study that examines the effects of a southerly drainage route on the 8.2 ka event with the ECBilt-CLIO-VECODE model. Hosing experiments of four routing scenarios, where freshwater was introduced to the Labrador Sea in the northerly route and to three different locations along the southerly route, were performed to investigate the routing effects on model responses. The modeling results show that a southerly drainage route is possible but generally yields reduced climatic consequences in comparison to those of a northerly route. This finding implies that more freshwater would be required for a southerly route than for a northerly route to produce the same climate anomaly. The implicated large amount of LAO drainage for a southerly routing scenario is in line with a recent geophysical modelling study of gravitational effects on sea-level change associated with the 8.2 ka event, which suggests that the volume of drainage might be larger than previously estimated.

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