Latin America's External Debt Problem: Debt-Servicing Strategies Compatible with Long-Term Economic Growth

1986 ◽  
Vol 34 (3) ◽  
pp. 641-671 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frank Orlando ◽  
Simón Teitel
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Debt Problem

The Causal Relationship Between Foreign Debt and Economic Growth: Evidence from Commonwealth Independent States

2021 ◽  
pp. 001573252110183
Author(s):  
Nermin Yasar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Economic Transition ◽  
Foreign Debt ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Transition Process ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Independent States

This study investigates the relationship between external borrowing and economic growth in the Commonwealth Independent States during the period 1995–2018. Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model is employed to determine the co-integration relationship among the series and then vector error correction model (VECM) is used to analyse the causality between external debt and income. The obtained results suggest that there is a negative long-term unidirectional causal relationship running from external debt to GDP presenting a strong evidence of existence of debt overhang hypothesis. The possible reasons for this unidirectional causal relationship can be explained by poor management of provided financial resources and incomplete governance in economic transition process along with structural rigidities and immature institutions in these countries which, in the long term, resulted in insufficient capital charged to service external debt. The policymakers in these post-Soviet countries should not use foreign loans to capitalise the deficits in the economies; instead, they should be more determined in employing these funds in the areas that will create national value-added production and, thus, future income. JEL Classification: C10, F34, H63

scholarly journals External Debt and Economic Growth in Nigeria

2019 ◽  
pp. 1-6
Author(s):  
OBAYORI, Joseph Bidemi ◽  
KROKEYI, Wisdom Selekekeme ◽  
KAKAIN, Stephen
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Generalized Method Of Moments ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Debt Management ◽  
Stationarity Test ◽  
Kpss Unit Root Test ◽  
The Impact

External credits have been received from various sources including bilateral and multilateral arrangements but the country’s debt is a source of worry since the projects for which these loans were contracted cannot finance the credit facilities. This paper focused on the impact of external debt on economic growth in Nigeria within the period of 1980 to 2016. Thus, secondary data on gross domestic product and external debt were sourced from CBN statistical bulletin and debt management office fact book. The econometric method of Generalized Method of Moments(GMM) test was used. Priori the GMM test is the Kwiatkowski, Phillips, Schemidt and Shin, (KPSS) unit root test to ascertain the stationarity of the variables. Based on the empirical results; the KPSS stationarity test for each of the series showed that all the variables were stationary at order one as their respective LM statistics was less than the critical value at 5%. The GMM test shows that external debt and economic growth has positive and significant relationship with R2 of 54 percent. Therefore, to achieve long-term solution to the problem of external debts burden, government should stimulate domestic production to liberate the Nigerian economy from the shackles of wants and excessive dependence on external economics, which build up debt. Also, government should avoid unnecessary and unproductive borrowing that will serve as a leakage to the economy. This to a large extent will enhance the growth of the Nigerian economy.

scholarly journals External Debt, External Reserves, Debt Service Costs and Economic Growth: Implications for the Nigerian Transport Sector

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 182-191
Author(s):  
Osadume C. Richard ◽  
Edih University Ovuokeroye
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Debt Service ◽  
Transport Sector ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Key Sectors ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Relationship

Abstract The objective of the study presented in this article is to examine the relationship between external debt (EXDT), external reserves (EXRS), total debt service costs (TDS) and Nigeria’s economic growth (RGDP) and how these variables impact on the Nigerian transport economy employing profligacy theory. The study used secondary data for Nigeria for the period 1979 to 2019 obtained from the International Debt Office (WBG). The econometric techniques used include OLS, Granger causality and Engle-Granger cointegration at a 0.05 confidence level. The results show that EXDT has a statistically significant negative relationship with EXRS, with no statistically significant relationship existing with RGDP and TDS in the short term. All the variables showed significant cointegration over the long term, with the conclusion that the relationship between EXRS and EXDT is negatively significant in the short term, while the other variables are insignificant. The recommendations of the study include, that the government and monetary authorities should endeavour to reduce the creation of foreign debt for nonreproductive projects in key sectors due to its adverse effect on external reserves, and instead pursue aid, grants and domestic long-term loan options necessary for effective growth of the transport and other key sectors of the economy.

scholarly journals Empirical Evaluation On External Debt Of Malaysia

2011 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nor’Aznin Abu Bakar ◽  
Sallahuddin Hassan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Capital Accumulation ◽  
Empirical Evaluation ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Aggregate Level ◽  
Percentage Point Increase ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Point Increase ◽  
Short Run

This study analyzes the effects of external debts on economic growth in Malaysia. The analysis is conducted both at aggregate and disaggregate levels. The empirical results are based on VAR estimates using GDP, external debts, capital accumulation, labor force and human capital. Estimation results at the aggregate level indicate that total external debts affect economic growth positively. In particular, one percentage point increase in total external debts generates 1.29 percentage point of economic growth in the long term. Meanwhile, the positive effects of project loan has been detected at the disaggregate level. However, market loan has not shown any significant effect on economic growth. In the short-run, total external debts as well as project loan has positive effects on economic growth.

The Second Start of Transformation in Ukraine?

2014 ◽  
pp. 30-52 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Grigoryev ◽  
E. Buryak ◽  
A. Golyashev
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Armed Conflict ◽  
Political Crisis ◽  
Investment Climate ◽  
Institutional Reforms ◽  
Personal Consumption ◽  
Governance Quality ◽  
Political Turmoil

The Ukrainian socio-economic crisis has been developing for years and resulted in the open socio-political turmoil and armed conflict. The Ukrainian population didn’t meet objectives of the post-Soviet transformation, and people were disillusioned for years, losing trust in the state and the Future. The role of workers’ remittances in the Ukrainian economy is underestimated, since the personal consumption and stability depend strongly on them. Social inequality, oligarchic control of key national assets contributed to instability as well as regional disparity, aggravated by identity differences. Economic growth is slow due to a long-term underinvestment, and prospects of improvement are dependent on some difficult institutional reforms, macro stability, open external markets and the elites’ consensus. Recovering after socio-economic and political crisis will need not merely time, but also governance quality improvement, institutions reform, the investment climate revival - that can be attributed as the second transformation in Ukraine.

Russian low carbon development strategy

2020 ◽  
pp. 51-74
Author(s):  
I. A. Bashmakov
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Development Strategy ◽  
Low Carbon ◽  
Security Risk ◽  
Ghg Emission ◽  
Emission Mitigation ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Scenario Projections

The article presents the key results of scenario projections that underpinned the Strategy for long-term low carbon economic development of the Russian Federation to 2050, including analysis of potential Russia’s GHG emission mitigation commitments to 2050 and assessment of relevant costs, benefits, and implications for Russia’s GDP. Low carbon transformation of the Russian economy is presented as a potential driver for economic growth that offers trillions-of-dollars-worth market niches for low carbon products by mid-21st century. Transition to low carbon economic growth is irreversible. Lagging behind in this technological race entails a security risk and technological backwardness hazards.

Is inflation targeting useful for economic growth?

2017 ◽  
pp. 62-74 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Kartaev
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Test Performance ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Growth Regime ◽  
Potential Channels

The paper presents an overview of studies of the effects of inflation targeting on long-term economic growth. We analyze the potential channels of influence, as well as modern empirical studies that test performance of these channels. We compare the effects of different variants of inflation targeting (strict and mixed). Based on the analysis recommendations on the choice of optimal (in terms of stimulating long-term growth) regime of monetary policy in developed and developing economies are formulated.

Low-Carbon Russia: Prospects after the Crisis

2009 ◽  
pp. 107-120 ◽  
Author(s):  
I. Bashmakov
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Potential Energy ◽  
Greenhouse Gas Emissions ◽  
Greenhouse Gas ◽  
Low Carbon ◽  
Modeling Tools ◽  
Gas Emissions ◽  
Scenario Approach

On the eve of the worldwide negotiations of a new climate agreement in December 2009 in Copenhagen it is important to clearly understand what Russia can do to mitigate energy-related greenhouse gas emissions in the medium (until 2020) and in the long term (until 2050). The paper investigates this issue using modeling tools and scenario approach. It concludes that transition to the "Low-Carbon Russia" scenarios must be accomplished in 2020—2030 or sooner, not only to mitigate emissions, but to block potential energy shortages and its costliness which can hinder economic growth.

Central Otago - Built on gold, growing on grass.

2014 ◽  
Vol 76 ◽  
pp. 15-23
Author(s):  
Barrie J. Wills
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Land Use ◽  
National Economy ◽  
Local Community ◽  
Central Government ◽  
Future Generations ◽  
Economic Potential ◽  
District Council ◽  
Definition Of

A warm welcome to our "World of Difference" to all delegates attending this conference - we hope your stay is enjoyable and that you will leave Central Otago with an enhanced appreciation of the diversity of land use and the resilient and growing economic potential that this region has to offer. Without regional wellbeing the national economy will struggle to grow, something Central Government finally seems to be realising, and the Central Otago District Council Long Term Plan 2012-2022 (LTP) signals the importance of establishing a productive economy for the local community which will aid in the economic growth of the district and seeks to create a thriving economy that will be attractive to business and residents alike. Two key principles that underpin the LTP are sustainability and affordability, with the definition of sustainability being "… development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs."

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