scholarly journals 395. Early Predictors of Intensive Care Unit Admission among COVID-19 Patients in Qatar

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. S299-S299
Author(s):  
Safae Abuyousef ◽  
Shaikha Alnaimi ◽  
Nabil E Omar ◽  
Reem Elajez ◽  
Eman Zeyad Ibrahim Elmekaty ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. This study aimed to explore the early predictors of intensive care unit (ICU) admission and in-hospital mortality among patients diagnosed with COVID-19. Methods This was a case-control study of adult patients with confirmed COVID-19. Cases were defined as patients admitted to ICU during the period February 29 - May 29, 2020. For each case enrolled, one control was matched by age and gender. Results A total of 1560 patients with confirmed COVID-19 were included. Each group included 780 patients with a predominant male gender (89.7%) and a median age of 49 years (interquartile range = 18). Predictors independently associated with ICU admission were cardiovascular disease (CVD) (adjusted odds ratio (aOR)=1.64, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.16 - 2.32, p=0.005), diabetes (aOR=1.52, 95% CI: 1.08 - 2.13, p= 0.016), obesity (aOR=1.46, 95% CI: 1.03-2.08, p= 0.034), lymphopenia (aOR=2.69, 95% CI: 1.80-4.02, p< 0.001), high aspartate aminotransferase (AST) (aOR= 2.59, 95% CI: 1.53-4.36, p< 0.001), high ferritin (aOR=1.96, 95% CI: 1.40-2.74, p< 0.001), high C-reactive protein (CRP) (aOR=4.09, 95% CI: 2.81-5.96, p< 0.001), and dyspnea (aOR=2.50, 95% CI: 1.77-3.54, p< 0.001). Similarly, significant predictors of mortality included CVD (aOR=2.16, 95% CI: 1.32- 3.53, p=0.002), diabetes (aOR=1.77, 95% CI: 1.07-2.90, p=0.025), cancer (aOR=4.65, 95% CI: 1.50-14.42, p= 0.008), lymphopenia (aOR=2.34, 95% CI: 1.45-3.78, p= 0.001), and high AST (aOR= 1.89, 95% CI: 1.04-3.43, p=0.036). Risk Factors for ICU admission among patients with COVID-19 (N=1560) Conclusion Having CVD, diabetes, lymphopenia, and increased AST were independent predictors for both ICU admission and in-hospital mortality in patients with COVID-19. In addition, obesity, high ferritin, and CRP levels were associated with increased risk of ICU admission, while cancer was strongly associated with in-hospital mortality. Early identification and monitoring of patients at risk is essential in planning the level of care needed to prevent delay in medical intervention. Disclosures Adel Abou-Ali, PharmD, PhD, Astellas Pharma Global Development, Inc. (Employee)

PLoS ONE ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 12 (7) ◽  
pp. e0181808 ◽  
Author(s):  
Laure Doukhan ◽  
Magali Bisbal ◽  
Laurent Chow-Chine ◽  
Antoine Sannini ◽  
Jean Paul Brun ◽  
...  

1998 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 761-770 ◽  
Author(s):  
J S Groeger ◽  
S Lemeshow ◽  
K Price ◽  
D M Nierman ◽  
P White ◽  
...  

PURPOSE To develop prospectively and validate a model for probability of hospital survival at admission to the intensive care unit (ICU) of patients with malignancy. PATIENTS AND METHODS This was an inception cohort study in the setting of four ICUs of academic medical centers in the United States. Defined continuous and categorical variables were collected on consecutive patients with cancer admitted to the ICU. A preliminary model was developed from 1,483 patients and then validated on an additional 230 patients. Multiple logistic regression modeling was used to develop the models and subsequently evaluated by goodness-of-fit and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. The main outcome measure was hospital survival after ICU admission. RESULTS The observed hospital mortality rate was 42%. Continuous variables used in the ICU admission model are PaO2/FiO2 ratio, platelet count, respiratory rate, systolic blood pressure, and days of hospitalization pre-ICU. Categorical entries include presence of intracranial mass effect, allogeneic bone marrow transplantation, recurrent or progressive cancer, albumin less than 2.5 g/dL, bilirubin > or = 2 mg/dL, Glasgow Coma Score less than 6, prothrombin time greater than 15 seconds, blood urea nitrogen (BUN) greater than 50 mg/dL, intubation, performance status before hospitalization, and cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR). The P values for the fit of the preliminary and validation models are .939 and .314, respectively, and the areas under the ROC curves are .812 and .802. CONCLUSION We report a disease-specific multivariable logistic regression model to estimate the probability of hospital mortality in a cohort of critically ill cancer patients admitted to the ICU. The model consists of 16 unambiguous and readily available variables. This model should move the discussion regarding appropriate use of ICU resources forward. Additional validation in a community hospital setting is warranted.


Nutrients ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (12) ◽  
pp. 3773
Author(s):  
Alice G. Vassiliou ◽  
Edison Jahaj ◽  
Maria Pratikaki ◽  
Stylianos E. Orfanos ◽  
Ioanna Dimopoulou ◽  
...  

We aimed to examine whether low intensive care unit (ICU) admission 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) levels are associated with worse outcomes of COVID-19 pneumonia. This was a prospective observational study of SARS-CoV2 positive critically ill patients treated in a multidisciplinary ICU. Thirty (30) Greek patients were included, in whom 25(OH)D was measured on ICU admission. Eighty (80%) percent of patients had vitamin D deficiency, and the remaining insufficiency. Based on 25(OH)D levels, patients were stratified in two groups: higher and lower than the median value of the cohort (15.2 ng/mL). The two groups did not differ in their demographic or clinical characteristics. All patients who died within 28 days belonged to the low vitamin D group. Survival analysis showed that the low vitamin D group had a higher 28-day survival absence probability (log-rank test, p = 0.01). Critically ill COVID-19 patients who died in the ICU within 28 days appeared to have lower ICU admission 25(OH)D levels compared to survivors. When the cohort was divided at the median 25(OH)D value, the low vitamin D group had an increased risk of 28-day mortality. It seems plausible, therefore, that low 25(OH)D levels may predispose COVID-19 patients to an increased 28-day mortality risk.


2005 ◽  
Vol 31 (10) ◽  
pp. 1345-1355 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rui P. Moreno ◽  
Philipp G. H. Metnitz ◽  
Eduardo Almeida ◽  
Barbara Jordan ◽  
Peter Bauer ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jitain Sivarajah ◽  
Michael Toolis ◽  
Samantha Seminoff ◽  
Jesse Smith ◽  
Vikram Bhalla ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Type II myocardial injury following surgical procedures is associated with adverse outcomes. The prognostic value of prognostic value of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) due to type II myocardial injury in surgical patients admitted to intensive care unit (ICU) remains unclear. The aim of this study was to assess prognostic value of hs-cTn in type II acute myocardial injury in noncardiac surgical patients requiring post-operative ICU admission.Methods: Retrospective analysis of patients admitted to two level III ICUs following surgery and had hs-cTn measured on the day of ICU admission. Patients who had type I acute myocardial infarction (AMI) during their admission were excluded from the study. The primary outcome was hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes included ICU mortality, ICU length of stay (LOS) and hospital LOS.Results: A total of 420 patients were included. On univariable analysis, higher hs-cTn was associated with increased hospital mortality (14.6% vs 6.3%, p = 0.008), ICU LOS (41.1, vs 25 hours, p = 0.004) and hospital LOS (253 hours vs 193 hours, p = 0.02). On multivariable analysis, hs-cTn was not independently associated with increased risk of hospital mortality. However, in patients who had elective surgery, hs-cTn was associated with increased risk (OR 1.048; 95% CI 1.004-1.094; p = 0.031) of hospital morality with area under the receiver operating characteristic curves of 0.753 (95% CI 0.598- 0.908).Conclusions: In elective surgical patients, hs-cTn was associated with increased risk of mortality. Larger multicentre studies are required to confirm this association that may assist in risk stratification of elective surgical patients requiring ICU admission.


Author(s):  
Charles Chin Han Lew ◽  
Gabriel Jun Yung Wong ◽  
Ka Po Cheung ◽  
Ai Ping Chua ◽  
Mary Foong Fong Chong ◽  
...  

There is limited evidence for the association between malnutrition and hospital mortality as well as Intensive Care Unit length-of-stay (ICU-LOS) in critically ill patients. We aimed to examine the aforementioned associations by conducting a prospective cohort study in an ICU of a Singapore tertiary hospital. Between August 2015 and October 2016, all adult patients with ≥24 h of ICU-LOS were included. The 7-point Subjective Global Assessment (7-point SGA) was used to determine patients’ nutritional status within 48 hours of ICU admission. Multivariate analyses were conducted in two ways: 1) presence versus absence of malnutrition, and 2) dose-dependent association for each 1-point decrease in the 7-point SGA. There were 439 patients of which 28.0% were malnourished, and 29.6% died before hospital discharge. Malnutrition was associated with an increased risk of hospital mortality [adjusted-RR 1.39 (95%CI: 1.10–1.76)], and this risk increased with a greater degree of malnutrition [adjusted-RR 1.09 (95%CI: 1.01–1.18) for each 1-point decrease in the 7-point SGA]. No significant association was found between malnutrition and ICU-LOS. Conclusion: There was a clear association between malnutrition and higher hospital mortality in critically ill patients. The association between malnutrition and ICU-LOS could not be replicated and hence requires further evaluation.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Iacopo Chiodini ◽  
Davide Gatti ◽  
Davide Soranna ◽  
Daniela Merlotti ◽  
Christian Mingiano ◽  
...  

Background: Several studies suggest an association between serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25OHD) and the outcomes of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Corona-Virus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection, in particular Coronavirus Disease-2019 (COVID-19) related severity and mortality. The aim of the present meta-analysis was to investigate whether vitamin D status is associated with the COVID-19 severity, defined as ARDS requiring admission to intensive care unit (ICU) or mortality (primary endpoints) and with the susceptibility to SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19-related hospitalization (secondary endpoints).Methods: A search in PubMed, ScienceDirect, Web of Science, Google Scholar, Scopus, and preprints repositories was performed until March 31th 2021 to identify all original observational studies reporting association measures, or enough data to calculate them, between Vitamin D status (insufficiency <75, deficiency <50, or severe deficiency <25 nmol/L) and risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection, COVID-19 hospitalization, ICU admission, or death during COVID-19 hospitalization.Findings: Fifty-four studies (49 as fully-printed and 5 as pre-print publications) were included for a total of 1,403,715 individuals. The association between vitamin D status and SARS-CoV2 infection, COVID-19 related hospitalization, COVID-19 related ICU admission, and COVID-19 related mortality was reported in 17, 9, 27, and 35 studies, respectively. Severe deficiency, deficiency and insufficiency of vitamin D were all associated with ICU admission (odds ratio [OR], 95% confidence intervals [95%CIs]: 2.63, 1.45–4.77; 2.16, 1.43–3.26; 2.83, 1.74–4.61, respectively), mortality (OR, 95%CIs: 2.60, 1.93–3.49; 1.84, 1.26–2.69; 4.15, 1.76–9.77, respectively), SARS-CoV-2 infection (OR, 95%CIs: 1.68, 1.32–2.13; 1.83, 1.43–2.33; 1.49, 1.16–1.91, respectively) and COVID-19 hospitalization (OR, 95%CIs 2.51, 1.63–3.85; 2.38, 1.56–3.63; 1.82, 1.43–2.33). Considering specific subgroups (i.e., Caucasian patients, high quality studies, and studies reporting adjusted association estimates) the results of primary endpoints did not change.Interpretations: Patients with low vitamin D levels present an increased risk of ARDS requiring admission to intensive care unit (ICU) or mortality due to SARS-CoV-2 infection and a higher susceptibility to SARS-CoV-2 infection and related hospitalization.


Author(s):  
Guillaume Fond ◽  
Vanessa Pauly ◽  
Marc Leone ◽  
Pierre-Michel Llorca ◽  
Veronica Orleans ◽  
...  

Abstract Patients with schizophrenia (SCZ) represent a vulnerable population who have been understudied in COVID-19 research. We aimed to establish whether health outcomes and care differed between patients with SCZ and patients without a diagnosis of severe mental illness. We conducted a population-based cohort study of all patients with identified COVID-19 and respiratory symptoms who were hospitalized in France between February and June 2020. Cases were patients who had a diagnosis of SCZ. Controls were patients who did not have a diagnosis of severe mental illness. The outcomes were in-hospital mortality and intensive care unit (ICU) admission. A total of 50 750 patients were included, of whom 823 were SCZ patients (1.6%). The SCZ patients had an increased in-hospital mortality (25.6% vs 21.7%; adjusted OR 1.30 [95% CI, 1.08–1.56], P = .0093) and a decreased ICU admission rate (23.7% vs 28.4%; adjusted OR, 0.75 [95% CI, 0.62–0.91], P = .0062) compared with controls. Significant interactions between SCZ and age for mortality and ICU admission were observed (P = .0006 and P < .0001). SCZ patients between 65 and 80 years had a significantly higher risk of death than controls of the same age (+7.89%). SCZ patients younger than 55 years had more ICU admissions (+13.93%) and SCZ patients between 65 and 80 years and older than 80 years had less ICU admissions than controls of the same age (−15.44% and −5.93%, respectively). Our findings report the existence of disparities in health and health care between SCZ patients and patients without a diagnosis of severe mental illness. These disparities differed according to the age and clinical profile of SCZ patients, suggesting the importance of personalized COVID-19 clinical management and health care strategies before, during, and after hospitalization for reducing health disparities in this vulnerable population.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Akbar Davoodi ◽  
Shaghayegh Haghjooy Javanmard ◽  
Golnaz Vaseghi ◽  
Amirreza Manteghinejad

Abstract Background:The COVID-19 pandemic challenges the healthcare system to provide enough resources to battle the pandemic without jeopardizing routine treatments. As a result, this is important that we can predict the outcomes of patients at the time of admission. This study aims to apply different machine learning (ML) models for predicting Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission and mortality of Cancer Patients infected with COVID-19.Methods:This study's data were collected from a referral cancer center in Iran. The study included all patients with cancer and a confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19.Different ML prediction algorithms like Logistic Regression (LR), Naïve Bayes (NB), k-Nearest Neighbours (kNN), Random Forest (RF), and Support Vector Machine (SVM) were used. Also, we applied the SelectKBest method to find the most important features for predicting ICU admission and mortality.Results:Three hundred thirty-nine patients enrolled in the study. One hundred fifteen were admitted to the Intensive Care Unit (ICU), and 118 patients died during the hospital admission. The Area Under Curve (AUC) for predicting mortality is 0.61 for LR, 0.74 for NB, 0.61 for kNN, 0.6 for SVM, and 0.79 for RF. The AUC for predicting ICU admission is 0.61 for LR, 0.74 for NB, 0.56 for kNN, 0.55 for SVM, and 0.7 for RF.C-reactive protein (CRP), Aspartate transaminase (AST), and Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR) also are the most common features in predicting ICU admission and mortality.Conclusion:Our findings show the promise of different AI methods for predicting the risk of death or ICU in cancer patients infected with COVID-19, highlighting the importance of first laboratory results and patients' symptoms.


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