scholarly journals Interim Analysis of Risk Factors for Severe Outcomes among a Cohort of Hospitalized Adults Identified through the U.S. Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)-Associated Hospitalization Surveillance Network (COVID-NET)

Author(s):  
Lindsay Kim ◽  
Shikha Garg ◽  
Alissa O'Halloran ◽  
Michael Whitaker ◽  
Huong Pham ◽  
...  

Background: As of May 15, 2020, the United States has reported the greatest number of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases and deaths globally. Objective: To describe risk factors for severe outcomes among adults hospitalized with COVID-19. Design: Cohort study of patients identified through the Coronavirus Disease 2019-Associated Hospitalization Surveillance Network. Setting: 154 acute care hospitals in 74 counties in 13 states. Patients: 2491 patients hospitalized with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 during March 1-May 2, 2020. Measurements: Age, sex, race/ethnicity, and underlying medical conditions. Results: Ninety-two percent of patients had at least 1 underlying condition; 32% required intensive care unit (ICU) admission; 19% invasive mechanical ventilation; 15% vasopressors; and 17% died during hospitalization. Independent factors associated with ICU admission included ages 50-64, 65-74, 75-84 and 85+ years versus 18-39 years (adjusted risk ratio (aRR) 1.53, 1.65, 1.84 and 1.43, respectively); male sex (aRR 1.34); obesity (aRR 1.31); immunosuppression (aRR 1.29); and diabetes (aRR 1.13). Independent factors associated with in-hospital mortality included ages 50-64, 65-74, 75-84 and 85+ years versus 18-39 years (aRR 3.11, 5.77, 7.67 and 10.98, respectively); male sex (aRR 1.30); immunosuppression (aRR 1.39); renal disease (aRR 1.33); chronic lung disease (aRR 1.31); cardiovascular disease (aRR 1.28); neurologic disorders (aRR 1.25); and diabetes (aRR 1.19). Race/ethnicity was not associated with either ICU admission or death. Limitation: Data were limited to patients who were discharged or died in-hospital and had complete chart abstractions; patients who were still hospitalized or did not have accessible medical records were excluded. Conclusion: In-hospital mortality for COVID-19 increased markedly with increasing age. These data help to characterize persons at highest risk for severe COVID-19-associated outcomes and define target groups for prevention and treatment strategies.

Author(s):  
Lindsay Kim ◽  
Shikha Garg ◽  
Alissa O’Halloran ◽  
Michael Whitaker ◽  
Huong Pham ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Currently, the United States has the largest number of reported coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases and deaths globally. Using a geographically diverse surveillance network, we describe risk factors for severe outcomes among adults hospitalized with COVID-19. Methods We analyzed data from 2491 adults hospitalized with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 between 1 March–2 May 2020, as identified through the Coronavirus Disease 2019–Associated Hospitalization Surveillance Network, which comprises 154 acute-care hospitals in 74 counties in 13 states. We used multivariable analyses to assess associations between age, sex, race and ethnicity, and underlying conditions with intensive care unit (ICU) admission and in-hospital mortality. Results The data show that 92% of patients had ≥1 underlying condition; 32% required ICU admission; 19% required invasive mechanical ventilation; and 17% died. Independent factors associated with ICU admission included ages 50–64, 65–74, 75–84, and ≥85 years versus 18–39 years (adjusted risk ratios [aRRs], 1.53, 1.65, 1.84, and 1.43, respectively); male sex (aRR, 1.34); obesity (aRR, 1.31); immunosuppression (aRR, 1.29); and diabetes (aRR, 1.13). Independent factors associated with in-hospital mortality included ages 50–64, 65–74, 75–84, and ≥ 85 years versus 18–39 years (aRRs, 3.11, 5.77, 7.67, and 10.98, respectively); male sex (aRR, 1.30); immunosuppression (aRR, 1.39); renal disease (aRR, 1.33); chronic lung disease (aRR 1.31); cardiovascular disease (aRR, 1.28); neurologic disorders (aRR, 1.25); and diabetes (aRR, 1.19). Conclusions In-hospital mortality increased markedly with increasing age. Aggressive implementation of prevention strategies, including social distancing and rigorous hand hygiene, may benefit the population as a whole, as well as those at highest risk for COVID-19–related complications.


Blood ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 126 (23) ◽  
pp. 531-531
Author(s):  
Anna B. Halpern ◽  
Eva Culakova ◽  
Roland B. Walter ◽  
Gary H. Lyman

Abstract BACKGROUND: The survival expectations of adults with AML have significantly improved over the last 4 decades, partly due to supportive care advancements that have enabled the delivery of increasingly intensive treatment modalities. Even today, however, mortality is high and long-term sequelae are substantial for adults with AML if ICU support becomes necessary. Thus far, information on risk factors for ICU admission and subsequent outcomes in these patients largely stems from small, single-institution studies. Additionally, existing studies have not focused on resource utilization or cost. We therefore utilized the University HealthSystem Consortium (UHC) database to examine risk factors, length of stay (LOS), mortality, and cost associated with ICU admission for adults with AML hospitalized in centers across the United States (U.S.) over a 9-year period. METHODS: A longitudinal discharge database derived from 239 U.S. UHC participating hospitals was used to retrospectively study adults with AML hospitalized between 2004 and 2012. Clinical data from discharge summaries from each hospital was extracted by certified coders and cost data from all payers was analyzed. This data was then merged to create the central UHC database. To identify the patient population of interest, we developed inclusion criteria based on ICD-9 CM code information. To be included, patient claims had to contain a diagnosis of active AML. Patients were excluded if their disease was in remission or if they had undergone a hematopoietic stem cell transplant. For those with >1 admission during the observation period, one hospitalization was selected randomly for analysis. Primary outcomes included total hospitalization duration, ICU admission and LOS, mortality, and cost (adjusted to 2014 dollars). Independent variables included age, gender, race, year of hospitalization, geographic location, hospital size, comorbidities (e.g. cardiac disease, thrombosis), and types of infectious complications. For binary outcomes, risk categories were compared using unadjusted odds ratios (ORs). Data are presented as means, proportions, or ORs followed by their 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS: 43,334 hospitalized adult patients with AML were identified. The mean age was 59 years and 41.3% were age ≥65. 54.9% were male, 73.0% Caucasian, 9.6% Black, 4.9% Hispanic, 2.6% Asian, and 9.9% other/unknown. Overall, 26.0% of patients were admitted to the ICU during their hospitalization with a mean ICU LOS of 9.3 days (9.1-9.6). Risk factors for ICU admission included black race (OR=1.2 [1.12-1.29]), hospitalization in the South (OR=1.58 [1.50-1.66]), ≥1 comorbidity (OR=3.61 [3.37-3.86]), and diagnosis of invasive fungal infection (OR=2.35 [2.14-2.59]; p<.0001 for all factors). Overall in-hospital mortality was 17.9% (17.5-18.3%), but was significantly higher for patients requiring ICU care (43.4% vs. 9.0%, p<.0001). Risk factors associated with mortality in those admitted to the ICU included age ≥60 (OR=1.39 [1.29-1.49]), non-white race (OR=1.25 [1.15-1.36]), hospitalization on the West Coast (OR=1.26 [1.14-1.40]), number of comorbidities (trend p<.0001; Figure 1), and invasive fungal infection (OR=1.89 [1.63-2.18]; p<.0001 for all risk factors). In-hospital mortality for ICU patients remained relatively constant over the observation period: 40.6% of patients requiring ICU support died in 2004 vs. 39.9% in 2012 (trend p=.62). Overall, mean LOS was 16 days and total hospitalization cost was $50,176 ($3,263/ day). Mean hospitalization cost increased with each increasing comorbidity from $32,153 to $109,783 per stay for those with 0 vs. ≥5 comorbidities (trend p <.0001; Figure 2). Costs for patients admitted to the ICU were significantly higher than for those who did not require the ICU at $82,350 vs. $38,766, respectively (p<.0001). CONCLUSION: ICU admission for adults with AML is associated with high mortality and cost that both increase proportionally with the number of comorbidities.Factors associated with ICU admission and mortality in AML patients include both non-modifiable demographic factors (age, race, and geographic location), and medical characteristics (number of comorbidities and underlying infections). These factors may be useful in identifying patients at increased risk for ICU admission early and provide an opportunity for the testing of primary prevention and intervention strategies. Disclosures Walter: Amgen, Inc.: Research Funding; Pfizer, Inc.: Consultancy; AstraZeneca, Inc.: Consultancy; Covagen AG: Consultancy; Seattle Genetics, Inc.: Research Funding; Amphivena Therapeutics, Inc.: Consultancy, Research Funding. Lyman:Amgen: Research Funding.


Author(s):  
Jacob McPadden ◽  
Frederick Warner ◽  
H. Patrick Young ◽  
Nathan C. Hurley ◽  
Rebecca A. Pulk ◽  
...  

AbstractObjectiveSevere acute respiratory syndrome virus (SARS-CoV-2) has infected millions of people worldwide. Our goal was to identify risk factors associated with admission and disease severity in patients with SARS-CoV-2.DesignThis was an observational, retrospective study based on real-world data for 7,995 patients with SARS-CoV-2 from a clinical data repository.SettingYale New Haven Health (YNHH) is a five-hospital academic health system serving a diverse patient population with community and teaching facilities in both urban and suburban areas.PopulationsThe study included adult patients who had SARS-CoV-2 testing at YNHH between March 1 and April 30, 2020.Main outcome and performance measuresPrimary outcomes were admission and in-hospital mortality for patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection as determined by RT-PCR testing. We also assessed features associated with the need for respiratory support.ResultsOf the 28605 patients tested for SARS-CoV-2, 7995 patients (27.9%) had an infection (median age 52.3 years) and 2154 (26.9%) of these had an associated admission (median age 66.2 years). Of admitted patients, 2152 (99.9%) had a discharge disposition at the end of the study period. Of these, 329 (15.3%) required invasive mechanical ventilation and 305 (14.2%) expired. Increased age and male sex were positively associated with admission and in-hospital mortality (median age 80.7 years), while comorbidities had a much weaker association with the risk of admission or mortality. Black race (OR 1.43, 95%CI 1.14-1.78) and Hispanic ethnicity (OR 1.81, 95%CI 1.50-2.18) were identified as risk factors for admission, but, among discharged patients, age-adjusted in-hospital mortality was not significantly different among racial and ethnic groups.ConclusionsThis observational study identified, among people testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 infection, older age and male sex as the most strongly associated risks for admission and in-hospital mortality in patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection. While minority racial and ethnic groups had increased burden of disease and risk of admission, age-adjusted in-hospital mortality for discharged patients was not significantly different among racial and ethnic groups. Ongoing studies will be needed to continue to evaluate these risks, particularly in the setting of evolving treatment guidelines.


Author(s):  
Audrey F Pennington ◽  
Lyudmyla Kompaniyets ◽  
April D Summers ◽  
Melissa L Danielson ◽  
Alyson B Goodman ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Older adults and people from certain racial and ethnic groups are disproportionately represented in COVID-19 hospitalizations and deaths. Methods Using data from the Premier Healthcare Database on 181,813 hospitalized adults diagnosed with COVID-19 during March–September 2020 we applied multivariable log-binomial regression to assess the associations between age and race/ethnicity and COVID-19 clinical severity (intensive care unit [ICU] admission, invasive mechanical ventilation [IMV], and death); and determine whether the impact of age on clinical severity differs by race/ethnicity. Results Overall, 84,497 (47%) patients were admitted to the ICU, 29,078 (16%) received IMV, and 27,864 (15%) died in the hospital. Increased age was strongly associated with clinical severity when controlling for underlying medical conditions and other covariates; the strength of this association differed by race/ethnicity. Compared with non-Hispanic White patients, risk of death was lower among non-Hispanic Black patients (adjusted risk ratio [95% CI]: 0.96 [0.92, 0.99]), and higher among Hispanic/Latino patients (RR [95% CI]: 1.15 [1.09, 1.20]), non-Hispanic Asian patients (RR [95% CI]: 1.16 [1.09, 1.23]), and patients of other racial and ethnic groups (RR [95% CI]: 1.13 [1.06, 1.21]). Risk of ICU admission and IMV was elevated among some racial and ethnic groups. Conclusions These results indicate that age is a driver of poor outcomes among hospitalized persons with COVID-19. Additionally, clinical severity may be elevated among patients of some racial and ethnic minority groups. Public health strategies to reduce SARS-CoV-2 infection rates among older adults and racial and ethnic minorities are essential to reduce poor outcomes.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (23) ◽  
pp. 5650
Author(s):  
Maxime Volff ◽  
David Tonon ◽  
Youri Bommel ◽  
Noémie Peres ◽  
David Lagier ◽  
...  

Objectives: To describe clinical characteristics and management of intensive care units (ICU) patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 and to determine 90-day mortality after ICU admission and associated risk factors. Methods: This observational retrospective study was conducted in six intensive care units (ICUs) in three university hospitals in Marseille, France. Between 10 March and 10 May 2020, all adult patients admitted in ICU with laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 and respiratory failure were eligible for inclusion. The statistical analysis was focused on the mechanically ventilated patients. The primary outcome was the 90-day mortality after ICU admission. Results: Included in the study were 172 patients with COVID-19 related respiratory failure, 117 of whom (67%) received invasive mechanical ventilation. 90-day mortality of the invasively ventilated patients was 27.4%. Median duration of ventilation and median length of stay in ICU for these patients were 20 (9–33) days and 29 (17–46) days. Mortality increased with the severity of ARDS at ICU admission. After multivariable analysis was carried out, risk factors associated with 90-day mortality were age, elevated Charlson comorbidity index, chronic statins intake and occurrence of an arterial thrombosis. Conclusion: In this cohort, age and number of comorbidities were the main predictors of mortality in invasively ventilated patients. The only modifiable factor associated with mortality in multivariate analysis was arterial thrombosis.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yang Cao ◽  
Zhenzhen Xing ◽  
Huangyu Long ◽  
Yilin Huang ◽  
Yanfei Guo

Abstract Background: Studies report high in-hospital mortality of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbations especially for those who requiring intensive care unit (ICU) admission. Recognizing factors associated with mortality in those patients could reduce healthcare costs and improve end-of-life care. Methods: This retrospective cohort study included 384 patients with AECOPD admitted to the respiratory ICU (RICU) of a tertiary hospital in Beijing from Jan 1, 2011 to Dec 31, 2018. Patients demographic characteristic, blood test results and comorbidities were extracted from the electronic medical record system and compared between survivors and non-survivors. Results: We finally enrolled 384 AECOPD patients, 44 (11.5%) patients died in hospital and 340 (88.5%) were discharged. The most common comorbidity was respiratory failure (294 (76.6%)), followed by hypertension (214 (55.7%)), coronary heart disease (CHD, 115 (29.9%)) and chronic heart failure (CHF, (76 (19.8%)). Multiple logistic regression analysis revealed the independent risk factors associated with in-hospital mortality included lymphocytopenia, leukopenia combined with CHF and the requirement for invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV).Conclusions: The in-hospital mortality of patients with COPD exacerbation requiring RICU admission is high. Lymphocytes<0.8×109/L, leukopenia, requirement for IMV, combined with CHF could be identified as risk factors associated with increased mortality rates.


Geriatrics ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 32 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mendiratta ◽  
Dayama ◽  
Azhar ◽  
Prodhan ◽  
Wei

Background: Bariatric procedures help reduce obesity-related comorbidities and thus improve survival. Clinical characteristics and outcomes after bariatric procedures in older adults were investigated. Methods: A multi-institutional Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS) database was queried from years 2005 through 2012. Older adults >60 years of age with procedure codes for bariatric procedures and a diagnosis of obesity/morbid obesity were selected to compare clinical characteristics/outcomes between those undergoing closed versus open procedures and identify risk factors associated with in-hospital mortality and increased hospital length of stay (LOS). Results: Over the study period, 79,122 bariatric procedures were performed. Those undergoing open procedures compared to closed procedures had a higher in-hospital mortality (0.8% vs. 0.2%) and a longer hospital LOS (4.8 days vs. 2.2 days). Risk factors significantly associated with in-hospital mortality were open procedures, the Western region, and the Elixhauser comorbidity index. Risk factors associated with increased LOS were Medicaid insurance type, an open procedure, a higher Elixhauser comorbidity score, a required skilled nursing facility (SNF) discharge, and died in hospital. Conclusion: Closed bariatric procedures are increasingly being preferred in older adults, with a four-fold lower mortality compared to open procedures. Besides choice of procedure, the presence of specific comorbidities is associated with increased mortality in older adults.


2020 ◽  
Vol 48 (8) ◽  
pp. 030006052094651
Author(s):  
Huiyu Tian ◽  
Meiji Chen ◽  
Weiguang Yu ◽  
Qinying Ma ◽  
Peng Lu ◽  
...  

Objective This study was performed to determine the risk factors associated with intensive care unit delirium (ICUD) in patients undergoing invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) secondary to acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Methods Data involving 620 patients undergoing IMV secondary to acute exacerbation of COPD from 2009 to 2019 at the First Hospital of Hebei Medical University were retrospectively analysed. The primary endpoint was the risk factors associated with developing ICUD. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to identify these risk factors. Results Of 620 patients, 93 (15.0%) developed ICUD. In the multivariable analysis, risk factors that were significantly associated with ICUD were increased age, male sex, alcoholism with active abstinence, current smoking, stage 3 acute kidney injury (AKI), and an American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) physical status of III. Conclusion This study showed that increasing age, male sex, alcoholism with active abstinence, current smoking, stage 3 AKI, and an ASA physical status of III might be associated with a risk of developing ICUD. Even if these risk factors are unaltered, they provide a target population for quality improvement initiatives.


2020 ◽  
Vol 71 (15) ◽  
pp. 799-806 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kaijin Xu ◽  
Yanfei Chen ◽  
Jing Yuan ◽  
Ping Yi ◽  
Cheng Ding ◽  
...  

Abstract Background An outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is becoming a public health emergency. Data are limited on the duration and host factors related to viral shedding. Methods In this retrospective study, risk factors associated with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) RNA shedding were evaluated in a cohort of 113 symptomatic patients from 2 hospitals outside Wuhan. Results The median (interquartile range) duration of SARS-CoV-2 RNA detection was 17 (13–22) days as measured from illness onset. When comparing patients with early (&lt;15 days) and late (≥15 days after illness onset) viral RNA clearance, prolonged SARS-CoV-2 RNA shedding was associated with male sex (P = .009), old age (P = .033), concomitant hypertension (P = .009), delayed admission to hospital after illness onset (P = .001), severe illness at admission (P = .049), invasive mechanical ventilation (P = .006), and corticosteroid treatment (P = .025). Patients with longer SARS-CoV-2 RNA shedding duration had slower recovery of body temperature (P &lt; .001) and focal absorption on radiograph images (P &lt; .001) than patients with early SARS-CoV-2 RNA clearance. Male sex (OR, 3.24; 95% CI, 1.31–8.02), delayed hospital admission (OR, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.10–1.54), and invasive mechanical ventilation (OR, 9.88; 95% CI, 1.11–88.02) were independent risk factors for prolonged SARS-CoV-2 RNA shedding. Conclusions Male sex, delayed admission to hospital after illness onset, and invasive mechanical ventilation were associated with prolonged SARS-CoV-2 RNA shedding. Hospital admission and general treatments should be started as soon as possible in symptomatic COVID-19 patients, especially male patients.


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