Panama security gains will be challenging to maintain

Subject Despite being situated in one of the world's most notorious drug trafficking regions, Panama enjoys comparative peace and security. Significance Panama is emerging as an outlier in Central America, with homicide rates falling as a result of novel approaches to dealing with gang violence and drug trafficking. This raises questions about whether the country offers lessons that could be applied elsewhere in the region. Impacts Panama will remain at the forefront of international security cooperation. Corruption and public pressure for a tough approach could undermine security gains in Panama. There is little prospect of other Central American countries being able to replicate Panama's security strategy.

Subject The militarisation of security. Significance Lack of police capability and the scale of Guatemala's security challenges mean that the military role in combatting organised crime will continue, despite concerns. President Jimmy Morales recently announced that the military would continue to support police with domestic security. This comes as security challenges remain acute, particularly in urban areas and the northern Peten department. Impacts Peten will remain the focus point of drug trafficking activity, though extortion in urban areas will be a more pressing concern. Public pressure for a tough approach to crime means that periodic excesses by security forces will continue to be tolerated. While Guatemala faces similar security challenges to neighbouring countries, there is little prospect of increased cooperation.


Subject Costa Rica drugs. Significance Costa Rican police on February 15 seized more than five tonnes of cocaine in a single operation -- the country’s largest-ever drugs seizure. The haul underlines the extent to which transnational drug-trafficking organisations have infiltrated the country, compounding concerns about related impacts on crime. The government of President Carlos Alvarado is currently implementing a new security strategy, but it is unclear how effective this will be in combating drug gangs. Impacts Costa Rica will seek extra security funding from partners such as the United States. Violence in neighbouring Nicaragua will exacerbate the pressures facing security forces along the border. The Limon region will be a bellwether for security trends as new infrastructure opens up the region.


Significance One major step to that end was the agreement in August to increase cooperation to tackle gang activity with the creation of a trinational force. Impacts Stemming funding will be key to meaningful progress in combating organised criminal activity. November's US presidential election is an uncertainty in terms of how the Central American security issue will be addressed. Broader security cooperation would require a fully regional approach, probably through the Central American Integration System (SICA).


Significance The move follows weeks of heightened tension over Central American migrant caravans, which saw Nielsen launch a new border security strategy with the ‘Northern Triangle’ governments of El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras, and Trump order an end to US aid to the region, before renewing, then retracting, threats to close the US-Mexico border. Impacts Seemingly soft migration policies could provoke anger with AMLO in northern Mexico, especially if caravans hinder cross-border travel. Trump’s climbdown on the border closure undermines his threats towards Mexico generally and may embolden the Mexican government. Increased deportations from the United States would put even more pressure on Northern Triangle governments, especially that of El Salvador.


Subject SICA's relative ineffectiveness. Significance The partial withdrawal of Costa Rica from the Central America Integration System (SICA) on December 18 serves to highlight underlying regional tensions that undermine the effectiveness of the body. At the same time, common security challenges mean cooperation has become increasingly important. Impacts Costa Rica's dispute with SICA is likely to be short-lived. However, territorial issues will drive periodic tensions between countries. Without greater resourcing, security cooperation will have limited effect.


Significance The situation has highlighted several issues of concern around the influence of the Mexican military, the government’s reliance on it and the challenges Mexico and its security agencies face in trying to meet US demands while addressing domestic threats. Impacts Mexican militarisation was facilitated by Trump administration apathy on human rights; this will change under President Joe Biden. Increased US-bound migration, encouraged by Biden’s more humane rhetoric, will heighten the need for bilateral security cooperation. Future Mexican administrations will struggle to reverse the political influence the military has obtained.


2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Agung Citra Purnama

<p><strong>Abstrak</strong> – Kawasan Indo-Pasifik merupakan kawasan yang menjadi perhatian dunia saat ini, karena kekuatan di bidang politik, ekonomi dan militer dari negara-negara yang ada didalam kawasan tersebut. Permasalahan keamanan yang terjadi di kawasan tersebut menjadi perhatian dunia dan Indonesia merasa perlu berperan aktif dalam menciptakan perdamaian dan keamanan di kawasan. Oleh karena itu, melalui mantan Menteri Luar Negeri Marty Natalegawa, Indonesia mengajukan sebuah gagasan pembentukan Indo-Pacific Treaty of Friendship and Cooperation untuk menjaga keamanan kawasan. Artikel ini bermaksud mengetahui makna dan tujuan gagasan pembentukan traktat ini, serta prospek dan masalah dalam mewujudkannya. Di akhir penelitian ditemukan simpulan bahwa gagasan dan tujuan dari pembentukan Indo-Pacific Treaty ini adalah menciptakan mekanisme untuk mempromosikan cara damai dan saling percaya dengan tidak menggunakan cara pengerahan kekuatan militer dan tidak merugikan pihak-pihak lain di dalam kawasan. Walaupun untuk saat ini prospek mewujudkan gagasan ini masih kecil dikarenakan adanya sejumlah masalah yang menghadang, namun gagasan ini tetap dapat diwujudkan di masa depan dengan menggunakan strategi yang mendapat dukungan dari negara-negara lain di kawasan.</p><p><br /><strong>Kata Kunci</strong> : gagasan, indo-pacific treaty, prospek, masalah, keamanan kawasan, kerjasama keamanan</p><p><br /><em><strong>Abstract</strong></em> – Indo-Pacific region is an area of concern for the world today, because of the power in politics, economics and military of the countries that are in this region. Security problems that occur in this region become the attention of the world and Indonesia felt it necessary to play an active role in establishing peace and security in the region. Therefore, through the former Minister of Foreign Affairs Marty Natalegawa, Indonesia proposed the idea of establishment an Indo-Pacific Treaty of Friendship and Cooperation for maintaining regional security. This article intends to determine the meaning and purpose of the idea of this treaty, as well as the prospects and problems in realizing them. In conclusion, the idea and the purpose of the establishment of Indo-Pacific Treaty is to create mechanisms to promote peaceful means and mutual trust without deployment of military force and harming other parties in the region. Although for now the prospect of realizing this idea is still small due to a number of problems facing, but this idea can still be realized in the future by using a strategy that has the support of other countries in the region.</p><p><br /><em><strong>Keywords</strong></em>: idea, indo-pacific treaty, prospects, problems, regional security, security cooperation</p>


2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-35
Author(s):  
Antonia Dimou

Overcoming gender bias has been increasingly important to counter ongoing threats to national and international security. The article focus on the institutional framework that exists for the participation of women in peace and security at the United Nations and NATO levels. It expands to the success story of women’s inclusiveness in the Jordanian armed forces, as well as to the challenges of health security, and concludes with a set of concrete policy recommendations.


Significance The relationship is shaped and moderated by Turkey's mix of cooperation and competition with Moscow. Ankara will not use Ukraine as an arena for challenging Russia openly, but its more active engagement signals a subtle change in approach. Impacts Simultaneous NATO and Russian naval exercises create scope for heightened friction. Turkey will explore greater security cooperation with Georgia as well as Azerbaijan. Ankara will also build on previous growth in relations with Moldova.


2019 ◽  
pp. 167-176
Author(s):  
Najum Mushtaq

This chapter presents a brief review of the African Union Mission in Somalia's (AMISOM) origins, growth, and performance from a Somali peace-building and conflict transformation perspective. It also draws lessons for future international security cooperation as spelt out in the May 2017 New Partnership for Somalia. Employing a comparative contextual analysis approach, the chapter takes stock of AMISOM's intervention against some key objectives listed in its mandate and seeks to answer the question of how the conflict landscape in south-central Somalia has changed since the deployment of AMISOM. It asks whether AMISOM's multi-pronged strategy of complementing the dominant military approaches with support to the Federal Government of Somalia in reconciliation, dialogue, and peace-building has been successful. The chapter also examines AMISOM's military and non-military measures to catalyse progress towards the objective for which this mission was set in motion in 2007.


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