Local resistance will thwart reforms in China
Subject Political contention between central and local government. Significance The central government has identified a set of reforms to address China's structural economic and social problems, but it faces a challenge ensuring compliance. Even if the Xi administration manages to silence political opponents in the top echelons, a greater challenge lies on the front line of policy implementation, at the county and township levels where silent non-implementation and policy distortion threaten the outcome of the reforms. Impacts Beijing has limited capacity to monitor local cadres; major progress is likely only on reforms singled out as national priorities. Political and administrative reforms and environmental policies have the brightest prospects for local implementation. Financial reform, wealth redistribution and marketisation of local-level state-owned enterprises will be more challenging.