Thai security outlook varies regionally

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
National Security ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Export Growth ◽  
Computer Crime ◽  
Military Coup ◽  
Political Pressure ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Third

Significance The attack occurred on the third anniversary of the 2014 military coup. Both the hospital bombing and a spike in violence in the southern insurgency point to a deterioration in national security. Impacts The junta will use the recent violence to step up its crackdown on dissidents. The new Computer Crime Act that comes into effect this week could be used in a new purge of online dissidents. Recent export growth will provide an economic boost over the next six months, easing some political pressure on the junta. However, further attacks on the capital could prevent a rebound in private investment, which has been weakening since the start of 2016.

Thai junta's 2015 growth forecast to prove optimistic

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Household Consumption ◽  
Domestic Demand ◽  
Export Growth ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Third ◽  
The Military ◽  
Economic Outlook

Subject 2015 economic outlook. Significance According to the Ministry of Finance's Fiscal Policy Office, GDP growth slowed to between 1.2% and 1.7% in 2014 from 2.9% in 2013. Data released by the Bank of Thailand on December 30 suggest that the final figure is likely to be at the lower end of the range. Recovery in the fourth quarter was modest (at an estimated 1.0%) against 0.6% in the third. The military-backed government forecasts 4.1% GDP growth this year, assuming more tourists, higher domestic demand, export growth and rapid implementation of infrastructure plans. Impacts Sluggish growth will intensify calls for elections, but the junta will not relent, especially until the royal transition has been secured. The 2014 coup may not be the last; this will maintain the long-term contractual risks for investors. Political instability could return by end-2015, dampening household consumption.

Greek election may not bring stability

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Prime Minister ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Grand Coalition ◽  
Structural Reforms ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Third ◽  
New Democracy

Significance Radical leftist Syriza and centre-right New Democracy (ND) are neck-and-neck as they near the September 20 election finishing-line. Neither has viable solutions for Greece's economic woes other than the third rescue package agreed between Greece's creditors and the then Syriza Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras in July. Impacts A coalition between Syriza and centre parties would recapitalise the banks, but resist cuts in incomes and structural reforms. If ND comes first, it too will seek centrist support to recapitalise the banks, pursue privatisations and facilitate private investment. Small centre parties would result either in unstable majorities with Syriza or ND, or a fragile Syriza-ND grand coalition.

US-Thai military and trade links could cool

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Prime Minister ◽  
Trade Deficit ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Military Coup ◽  
Content Type ◽  
White House ◽  
Political Role ◽  
The Us ◽  
Trade War ◽  
The Military

Subject US-Thailand relations. Significance The US Pacific Command's participation in the successful international collaboration to rescue 13 people from a cave in Thailand on July 10 was viewed on both sides as an affirmation of the US-Thailand alliance, and as a further boost to a new momentum in the broader bilateral relationship following a sharp slowdown after Thailand’s 2014 military coup. Improvement in relations is due partly to the reluctance of President Donald Trump's administration to emphasise democracy and human rights in foreign policy and more specifically to Thai Prime Minister Prayuth Chan-o-cha’s visit to the White House last October. Impacts Warmer ties will not necessarily translate to increased US investment in Thailand. Thailand will need to look further afield for private investment in its Eastern Economic Corridor. If a China-US trade war occurs, Bangkok would try to avoid choosing sides but could ultimately pick Washington. The Trump administration’s push to reduce the US trade deficit with Thailand could cause frictions absent a quick deal. Thailand’s new constitution gives the military a lasting political role; US-Thai military links could therefore later help ties.

UMNO rural vote likely to survive in Malaysia

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Corporate Governance ◽  
Prime Minister ◽  
Land Development ◽  
General Election ◽  
Court Cases ◽  
Political Pressure ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Third ◽  
Federal Land ◽  
National Organisation

Subject Rural constituencies and Malaysia's forthcoming general election. Significance The inquiries into Malaysia’s Felda Global Ventures Holdings (FGV), the third-largest palm oil plantation conglomerate globally, continue. On June 19, the office of Prime Minister Najib Razak in a statement encouraged FGV’s investigation of allegations of mismanagement and encouraged the firm to improve its corporate governance, while cautioning that those accused were innocent unless formally proven guilty. Federal Land Development Authority (FELDA) settlers are a key constituency for Najib, and alleged mismanagement at FGV could threaten support for his United Malays National Organisation (UMNO) in the next general election. Impacts Popular and political pressure for effective corporate governance may grow in Malaysia. New electoral boundaries are likely to be voted through by parliament by August. Further court cases against the Election Commission’s constituency boundary re-delineation are likely.

Biden’s US team will differ in focus from Obama’s

2020 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
National Security ◽  
Security Policy ◽  
Democratic Party ◽  
Vice President ◽  
Tea Party ◽  
National Security Policy ◽  
Obama Administration ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Third ◽  
Islamist Terrorism

Significance If confirmed, Buttigieg would become the first openly LGBTQ US cabinet official. In assembling his team, Biden is emphasising experience and diversity, drawing heavily on past Democratic administrations’ personnel, particularly the 2009-17 Obama administrations, where Biden was vice-president. This has opened Biden to jibes that his will be ‘the third Obama administration’. Impacts Not appointing ideologues from either Democratic Party wing will help Biden keep party peace for as long as possible. Trump-supporting Republicans will be even more resistant to Biden’s agenda than the Tea Party was to Obama’s. In practice, Biden cannot swiftly and immediately undo President Donald Trump’s actions across all areas. National security policy could align with Obama’s, especially if Islamist terrorism resurges.

Covert Action: United States Law in Substance, Process, and Practice

2010 ◽  
pp. 586-607 ◽  
Author(s):  
James E. Baker
Keyword(s):  
National Security ◽  
Executive Branch ◽  
Legal Practice ◽  
Legal Regime ◽  
Covert Action ◽  
The Third ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
Traditional Activity ◽  
The U.S

This article discusses covert action within the context of the U.S. law. The first section describes the main elements of the U.S. legal regime, including the definition of covert action and the “traditional activity” exceptions, the elements of a covert action finding, and the thresholds and requirements for congressional notification. The second section describes some of the significant limitations on the conduct of covert action. The third section discusses the nature of executive branch legal practice in this area of the law. And the last section draws conclusions about the role of national security law within the context of covert action.

Climate change and security in Canada

2021 ◽  
Vol 76 (2) ◽  
pp. 183-203
Author(s):  
Wilfrid Greaves
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
National Security ◽  
Human Security ◽  
Climate Change Impacts ◽  
Future Research ◽  
National Interests ◽  
Domestic Conflict ◽  
The Third ◽  
Current State ◽  
Humanitarian Crises

This article examines the implications of human-caused climate change for security in Canada. The first section outlines the current state of climate change, the second discusses climate change impacts on human security in Canada, and the third outlines four other areas of Canada’s national interests threatened by climate change: economic threats; Arctic threats; humanitarian crises at home and abroad; and the threat of domestic conflict. In the conclusion, I argue that climate change has clearly not been successfully “securitized” in Canada, despite the material threats it poses to human and national security, and outline directions for future research.

Changing concepts in the treatment of colloid cysts

1987 ◽  
Vol 66 (2) ◽  
pp. 186-191 ◽  
Author(s):  
Walter A. Hall ◽  
L. Dade Lunsford
Keyword(s):  
Third Ventricle ◽  
Ct Scanning ◽  
Morbidity Rate ◽  
Ct Guided ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Persistent Symptoms ◽  
The Third ◽  
Stereotaxic Surgery ◽  
Colloid Cysts ◽  
The University

✓ Since computerized tomography (CT) scanning became available at the University Health Center of Pittsburgh in July, 1975, 17 patients have undergone removal of colloid cysts of the third ventricle by transfrontal, transcallosal, or stereotaxic surgery. All patients presented with symptoms and signs of increased intracranial pressure; CT scanning proved to be the best neurodiagnostic test to define the colloid cysts. Since the development of CT-guided stereotaxic surgery, the authors have preferentially performed stereotaxic aspiration in seven patients; three of these subsequently required craniotomies to remove residual cysts producing persistent symptoms. The viscosity of the intracystic colloid material and/or displacement of the cyst away from the aspiration needle were reasons for unsuccessful aspiration; the CT appearance did not correlate with the ability to aspirate the lesion by the stereotaxic technique. Postoperative patency of the ventricular system was documented by intraoperative CT ventriculography performed during stereotaxic surgery. Removal of the cyst wall was not necessary. Because of the low associated morbidity rate, percutaneous stereotaxic aspiration is recommended as the initial treatment of choice for colloid cysts of the third ventricle. If stereotaxic aspiration fails and symptoms persist, craniotomy should be performed.

Washington will rethink its foreign chip strategy

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Supply Chain ◽  
The United States ◽  
Export Controls ◽  
Political Pressure ◽  
Technical Standards ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Us ◽  
Technology Competition ◽  
Business In China

Significance Follow-on action from Washington and responses from foreign actors will shape the US government’s adversarial policy towards China in semiconductors and other strategic technologies. Impacts The Biden administration will likely conclude that broad-based diversion of the semiconductor supply chain away from China is not feasible. The United States will rely on export controls and political pressure to prevent diffusion to China of cutting-edge chip technologies. The United States will focus on persuading foreign semiconductor leaders to help develop US capabilities, thereby staying ahead of China. Washington will focus on less direct approaches to strategic technology competition with China, notably technical standards-setting. Industry leaders in the semiconductor supply chain worldwide will continue expanding business in China in less politically sensitive areas.

US bill would make tech central to national security

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
National Security ◽  
Content Type

Headline US/CHINA: US bill would make tech central to security

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