Climate change will affect European tourism flows

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Food Production ◽  
Tourism Demand ◽  
European Regions ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Physical Environments ◽  
Mediterranean Countries ◽  
Air Conditioning Systems ◽  
Tourism Flows ◽  
Lower Carbon

Subject European tourism. Significance Tourism is crucial for Mediterranean economies, driven by the comparative advantage of attractive climates and physical environments. However, the Mediterranean is one of the European regions worst affected by climate change. This will have implications for tourism demand in the region and across Europe. Impacts Tourism growth in Spain, France and Italy could slow as other Mediterranean countries recover from tourism downturns. Coastal erosion threatens to displace settlement and increase migration to inland areas. Freshwater resources will diminish with lower rainfall, seawater infiltration and increased demand, resulting in greater water scarcity. Changes in temperatures and rainfall will affect food production, including reducing yields and raising demands on irrigation. Businesses are being driven towards lower carbon emissions through new heating and air-conditioning systems and better insulation.

Shifting tourism flows in a changing climate: policy implications for the Caribbean

2014 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 118-126 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kwame Emmanuel
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Rapid Assessment ◽  
Tourism Industry ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Tourism Demand ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Changing Climate ◽  
The Future ◽  
The Caribbean ◽  
Tourism Flows

Purpose – Population growth, climate change, shortages of oil and other resources will have dramatic implication on where, when and how tourists travel in the future. This will also reshape the tourism industry for the future. Knowing what will happen in the future has always fascinated mankind from time immemorial. However, forecasting and predictions require not only a systematic approach to development but also an imagination and the ability to think and see beyond the ordinary. As a result, the purpose of this paper is to underscore the projected northward shift in tourism demand due to the global impacts of climate change and the lack of policy attention. Design/methodology/approach – A rapid assessment of the literature was conducted to explore tourism flows to the Caribbean in a changing climate and recommendations for adaptation. Findings – Tourism demand from major markets such as Europe and North America may be reduced significantly as tourists travel to other destinations, which are closer to home and have a more favourable climate. Regulation of carbon emissions from long haul flights will also influence demand substitution. Despite this projection, current policies in the Caribbean promote further development of the climate sensitive 3S model without anticipating a possible decrease in demand in the future. Research limitations/implications – Research implications include a recalibration of tourism policy and diversification of Caribbean tourism and economies. Originality/value – Recommendations are outlined for a critical issue that is not on the policy agenda.

Sustainability as a key driver to address challenges

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (6) ◽  
pp. 662-673 ◽  
Author(s):  
Célia Veiga ◽  
Margarida Custódio Santos ◽  
Paulo Águas ◽  
José António C. Santos
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Service Providers ◽  
Tourism Demand ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Good Practices ◽  
Tourism Sector ◽  
Specific Objective ◽  
Key Driver ◽  
Systematic Identification ◽  
Accurate Quantification

Purpose This study aims to address the paradigm changes currently affecting tourism: the increasingly recognisable signs of irreversible climate change and the consequences of this and overtourism for service providers, destinations and tourists’ experiences. A more specific objective was to identify good practices carried out by destinations and companies in different tourism sectors to increase sustainability. Design/methodology/approach The research involved examining the academic, institutional and trade literature to develop an overview of the most important challenges and an accurate portrayal of how innovative and proactive companies and destination managers are addressing these issues. Findings Increased tourism demand has contributed to social and environmental unsustainability in tourism. Although the tourism sector has already implemented sustainable initiatives, an accurate quantification and measurement of these practices’ real impacts on global tourism’s sustainability is not yet possible. Originality/value This study’s value arises from the systematic identification of the implications of climate change and overtourism as major features of a paradigm shift in tourism. This paper also presents a set of good practices to provide tourism stakeholders with more sustainable strategies and inspire these entities to adopt appropriate measures.

EU drought response may focus on short-term fixes

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Agricultural Policy ◽  
Food Production ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Food Prices ◽  
Drought Response ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Eu Policies

Significance The resulting drought in many parts of the continent and its impact on agriculture have highlighted the threat posed by climate change to future food production. It has also raised questions about the role of EU policies in exacerbating or mitigating this threat. Impacts Weather conditions in Europe and elsewhere will increase the prices of many agricultural commodities. Higher food prices will affect poorer households disproportionately. Reforming EU agricultural policy will remain a secondary consideration, after the priorities of producers and wider budgetary battles.

Shipping emissions strategy offers hope

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Global Market ◽  
Paris Agreement ◽  
Emissions Reduction ◽  
Shipping Industry ◽  
Market Uncertainty ◽  
International Maritime Organisation ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Energy Options ◽  
Lower Carbon

Subject Shipping emissions reduction Significance Talks on the Paris Agreement on climate change concluded in Bonn this month, having achieved little progress toward procedures for emissions reduction and financial pledges. This raises doubts about whether such procedures -- known as the Agreement’s ‘rulebook’ -- will be finalised as planned at December’s COP24 climate change conference in Katowice. Progress towards meeting the Paris Agreement’s goals still leaves much to be desired. A recent agreement by the International Maritime Organisation (IMO) on a strategy for reducing greenhouse gas emissions from shipping -- a sector not included in the Paris Agreement -- provides a rare note of optimism. Impacts Carbon credits negotiations have seen little progress and are unlikely to be resolved, prolonging global market uncertainty. ‘Alternative’, lower-carbon fuels are likely to be more promising than renewable energy options for the shipping industry. Opposition to slower shipping speeds by trade-distant countries will be formidable.

scholarly journals The Use of Tourism Demand Models in the Estimation of the Impact of Climate Change on Tourism

2015 ◽  
Vol 26 (1) ◽  
pp. 4-20 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jaume Rosselló ◽  
Aon Waqas
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Theoretical Background ◽  
Tourism Demand ◽  
Weather Factors ◽  
Demand Models ◽  
Demand Modelling ◽  
Methodological Considerations ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Tourism Flows

With the increasing interest in evaluating the consequences of climate change on tourism, part of the literature on tourism demand modelling has tried to integrate climate and weather factors into the estimation of tourism demand models. This study analyses how the effects of climate change on tourism flows have been evaluated using these models by discussing the theoretical background behind each one of the three perspectives considered in the literature: time series, choice models and aggregated models. Despite the differences in methodological considerations, results suggest a similar map on major affected destinations.

Climate change, tourism and water resources in the Mediterranean

2014 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 212-228 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roberto Roson ◽  
Martina Sartori
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
General Equilibrium ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Tourism Industry ◽  
Service Industries ◽  
Climate Index ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Impact Of Climate Change ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Tourism Flows

Purpose – This paper aims to present and discuss some quantitative results obtained in assessing the economic impact of variations in tourism flows, induced by climate change, for some Mediterranean countries. Design/methodology/approach – Estimates by a regional climate model are used to build a tourism climate index, which indicates the suitability of climate, in certain locations, for general outdoor activities. As climate change is expected to affect a number of variables like temperature, wind and precipitation, it will have consequences on the degree of attractiveness of touristic destinations. The authors estimate the macroeconomic consequences of changing tourism flows by means of a computable general equilibrium model. Findings – The authors found that more incoming tourists will increase income and welfare, but this phenomenon will also induce a change in the productive structure, with a decline in agriculture and manufacturing, partially compensated by an expansion of service industries. The authors found that, in most countries, the decline in agriculture entails a lower demand for water, counteracting the additional demand for water coming from tourists and bringing about a lower water consumption overall. Research limitations/implications – A great deal of uncertainty affects, in particular: estimates of future climate conditions, especially for variables different from temperature, the relationship between climate and tourist demand, and its interaction with socio-economic variables. This also depends on the reliability of the TCI index as an indicator of climate suitability for tourism, on its application to spatially and temporally aggregated data, on the degree of responsiveness of tourism demand to variations in the TCI. Furthermore, as the authors followed here a single region approach, the authors were not able to consider in the estimates the impact of climate change on the global tourism industry. Nonetheless, the authors believe that a quantitative analysis like the one presented here is not without scope. First, it provides an order of magnitude for the impact of climate change on tourism and the national economy. Second, it allows to assess systemic and second-order effects, which are especially relevant in this context and, moreover, appear to be sufficiently robust to alternative model specifications. In other words, the value added of this study does not lie in the specific figures obtained by numerical computations, but on the broader picture emerging from the overall exercise. Originality/value – To the authors' knowledge, this is the first study in which, by assessing higher tourism attractiveness into a general equilibrium framework, the effect described above is detected and highlighted.

Investigating the impact of climate change on the tourism sector: evidence from a sample of island economies

2019 ◽  
Vol 74 (2) ◽  
pp. 194-203 ◽  
Author(s):  
Boopen Seetanah ◽  
Sheereen Fauzel
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
Climatic Change ◽  
Tourism Development ◽  
Dynamic Panel Data ◽  
Small Island ◽  
Tourism Demand ◽  
Dynamic Panel ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Impact

PurposeAlthough it is a widely accepted fact that climate change can negatively impact on tourism demand and affect the economies at the socio-economic level, empirical studies on the climate change tourism development nexus has been quite scant, especially for the case of island economies that are heavily dependent on tourism. This study aims to supplement the literature on climate change and tourism by empirically assessing the relationship between climate change and tourist arrivals for the case of 18 small island developing states over the period from 1989 to 2016.Design/methodology/approachThis paper uses dynamic panel data techniques, namely, a panel vector autoregressive framework, which accounts for dynamic and endogeneity issues.FindingsThe results from the analysis confirm the existence of a significant relationship between climate change and tourism demand in both the long-run and short run. Further analysis shows a bi-directional causality between climatic change and tourism demand while the study also confirms the tourism led growth hypothesis.Research limitations/implicationsThis research supplements the literature on the tourism-environment link, especially for tourism dependent island economies.Practical implicationsResults from this study are important to policymakers who should spare no effort to mitigate the effect of adverse climatic change in the context of tourism development.Originality/valueThis study is built on a unique data set for a sample of island economies and interestingly adopts dynamic panel data analysis to account for dynamics and endogenity in the climate change-tourism development nexus.

Governing climate change for sustainable food production: A case study of emerging markets

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 64-75
Author(s):  
Robert Ddamulira
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Food Production ◽  
Extreme Weather Events ◽  
Sustainable Food ◽  
Role Of The State ◽  
Weather Events ◽  
Future Success ◽  
Governance Challenges ◽  
Change Impact ◽  
Document Review

This article addresses three research questions: How does climate change impact food production? What are the governance challenges associated with managing such impacts? What are the conditions for future success in managing the impacts of climate change on food production? To answer these questions, the researcher undertook a document review and analysis to address these various aspects with a major focus on East Africa. The study finds that climate change affects food production largely through its physical impacts on precipitation and increased the frequency of extreme weather events. Within a context of weak governance; climate change further challenges governance institutional structures and mechanisms. The study concludes that specific aspects of the prevailing climate change governance regime require major reforms (particularly the role of the state, corporations and civil society) while other climate governance mechanisms need to be completely overhauled (for example through establishment of a new World Environment Organization).

Climate change impacts on water resources in a rural community in Limpopo province, South Africa: a community-based adaptation to water insecurity

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 587-598
Author(s):  
Sejabaledi Agnes Rankoana
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
South Africa ◽  
Water Resources ◽  
Water Supply ◽  
Rural Community ◽  
Limpopo Province ◽  
Community Based ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Adaptation Practices ◽  
Community Based Adaptation

Purpose The study explored the impacts of climate change on water resources, and the community-based adaptation practices adopted to ensure water security in a rural community in Limpopo Province, South Africa. Design/methodology/approach The study was conducted in Limpopo Province, South Africa. The participatory approach was used to allow community members to share their challenges of water scarcity, and the measures they have developed to cope with inconsistent water supply. Findings The study results show that the community obtains water for household consumption from the reticulation system supplied by Mutale River and the community borehole. These resources are negatively impacted by drought, change in the frequency and distribution of rainfall, and increased temperature patterns. The water levels in the river and borehole have declined, resulting in unsustainable water supply. The community-based adaptation practices facilitated by the water committee include observance of restrictions and regulations on the water resources use. Others involve securing water from neighbouring resources. Originality/value This type of community-based action in response to climate change could be used as part of rural water management strategies under climate change.

scholarly journals COVID-19 and future pandemics: a global systems approach and relevance to SDGs

2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tharanga Thoradeniya ◽  
Saroj Jayasinghe
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Global Governance ◽  
Systems Approach ◽  
Rna Virus ◽  
Modern Human ◽  
Systems Science ◽  
World Population ◽  
Ecological Processes ◽  
Physical Environments ◽  
Corporate Interests

Abstract Background The COVID-19 pandemic is adversely impacting modern human civilization. A global view using a systems science approach is necessary to recognize the close interactions between health of animals, humans and the environment. Discussion A model is developed initially by describing five sequential or parallel steps on how a RNA virus emerged from animals and became a pandemic: 1. Origins in the animal kingdom; 2. Transmission to domesticated animals; 3. Inter-species transmission to humans; 4. Local epidemics; 5. Global spread towards a pandemic. The next stage identifies global level determinants from the physical environments, the biosphere and social environment that influence these steps to derive a generic conceptual model. It identifies that future pandemics are likely to emerge from ecological processes (climate change, loss of biodiversity), anthropogenic social processes (i.e. corporate interests, culture and globalization) and world population growth. Intervention would therefore require modifications or dampening these generators and prevent future periodic pandemics that would reverse human development. Addressing issues such as poorly planned urbanization, climate change and deforestation coincide with SDGs such as sustainable cities and communities (Goal 11), climate action (Goal 13) and preserving forests and other ecosystems (Goal 15). This will be an added justification to address them as global priorities. Some determinants in the model are poorly addressed by SDGs such as the case of population pressures, cultural factors, corporate interests and globalization. The overarching process of globalization will require modifications to the structures, processes and mechanisms of global governance. The defects in global governance are arguably due to historical reasons and the neo-liberal capitalist order. This became evident especially in the aftermath of the COVID-19 when the vaccination roll-out led to violations of universal values of equity and right to life by some of the powerful and affluent nations. Summary A systems approach leads us to a model that shows the need to tackle several factors, some of which are not adequately addressed by SDGs and require restructuring of global governance and political economy.

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