Comparative Analysis of the Heating Values of Biomass Based on GA-ANFIS and PSO-ANFIS Models

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Obafemi Olatunji ◽  
Stephen Akinlabi ◽  
Nkosinathi Madushele ◽  
Paul Adedeji ◽  
Samuel Fatoba
Keyword(s):  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Input Parameter ◽  
Volatile Matter ◽  
Proximate Analysis ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Absolute Deviation ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Wide Range

Abstract This article applied a hybridized, adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system ANFIS-genetic algorithm (GA-ANFIS) and ANFIS -Particle swarm optimization (PSO-ANFIS) to predict the HHV of biomass. The minimum input parameter for the prediction model is based on the proximate values of biomass which are fixed carbon (FC), ash content (A) and volatile matter (VM). The 214 data which cover a wide range of biomass classes were extracted from reliable literature for the training and testing of the models. The optimal results obtained based on each modelling algorithm were compared. The proposed algorithms were evaluated by statistical indices which are the Coefficient of Correlation (CC), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) estimated at 0.9189, 1.2369,7.4575 and 1.3560 respectively for PSO-ANFIS and 0.9088, 1.1200, 6.3960, 0.8895 respectively for GA-ANFIS. The GA showed exceptional ability to generalize in term of MAPE though at the expense of lesser CC which is obtained in the case of PSO. The reported indices showed that PSO-ANFIS and GA-ANFIS could be applied as an approach to the prediction of HHV based on proximate analysis instead of lengthy experiment procedures.

scholarly journals Kajian Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) Dalam Memprediksi Penerimaan Mahasiswa Baru Pada Universitas Buana Perjuangan Karawang

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 44-54
Author(s):  
Tatang Rohana Cucu
Keyword(s):  
Error Rate ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Hybrid Technique ◽  
Mean Absolute Deviation ◽  
Absolute Deviation ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
New Students ◽  
The Mean

Abstract - The process of admitting new students is an annual routine activity that occurs in a university. This activity is the starting point of the process of searching for prospective new students who meet the criteria expected by the college. One of the colleges that holds new student admissions every year is Buana Perjuangan University, Karawang. There have been several studies that have been conducted on predictions of new students by other researchers, but the results have not been very satisfying, especially problems with the level of accuracy and error. Research on ANFIS studies to predict new students as a solution to the problem of accuracy. This study uses two ANFIS models, namely Backpropagation and Hybrid techniques. The application of the Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) model in the predictions of new students at Buana Perjuangan University, Karawang was successful. Based on the results of training, the Backpropagation technique has an error rate of 0.0394 and the Hybrid technique has an error rate of 0.0662. Based on the predictive accuracy value that has been done, the Backpropagation technique has an accuracy of 4.8 for the value of Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) and 0.156364623 for the value of Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). Meanwhile, based on the Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) value, the Backpropagation technique has a value of 0.5 and 0.09516671 for the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) value. So it can be concluded that the Hybrid technique has a better level of accuracy than the Backpropation technique in predicting the number of new students at the University of Buana Perjuangan Karawang.   Keywords: ANFIS, Backpropagation, Hybrid, Prediction

scholarly journals A hybrid model based on mBA-ANFIS for COVID 19 confirmed cases prediction and forecast

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sohail Saif ◽  
Priya Das ◽  
Suparna Biswas
Keyword(s):  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Bees Algorithm ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Anfis Model ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Hybrid Forecasting

Abstract In India, the first confirmed case of novel corona virus (COVID-19) was discovered on 30 January, 2020. The number of confirmed cases is increasing day by day and it crossed 21,53,010 on 09 August, 2020. In this paper a hybrid forecasting model has been proposed to determine the number of confirmed cases for upcoming 10 days based on the earlier confirmed cases found in India. The proposed modelis based on adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and mutation based Bees Algorithm (mBA). ThemetaheuristicBees Algorithm (BA) has been modified applying 4 types of mutation and Mutation based Bees Algorithm (mBA) is applied to enhance the performance of ANFIS by optimizing its parameters. Proposed mBA-ANFIS model has been assessed using COVID-19 outbreak dataset for India and USAand the number of confirmed cases in next 10 days in Indiahas been forecasted. Proposed mBA-ANFIS model has been compared to standard ANFIS model as well as other hybrid models such as GA-ANFIS, DE-ANFIS, HS-ANFIS, TLBO-ANFIS, FF-ANFIS, PSO-ANFIS and BA-ANFIS. All these models have been implemented using Matlab 2015 with 10 iterations each. Experimental results showthat the proposed model has achieved better performance in terms of Root Mean squared error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), Mean absolute error (MAE) and Normalized Root Mean Square Error (NRMSE).It has obtained RMSE of 1280.24, MAE of 685.68, MAPE of 6.24 and NRMSE of 0.000673 for India Data.Similarly, for USA the values are 4468.72, 3082.07, 6.1, 0.000952 for RMSE, MAE, MAPE, NRMSE respectively.

Performance Evaluation of Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) In Predicting New Students (Case Study : UBP Karawang)

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 31-36
Author(s):  
Tatang Rohana ◽  
Bayu Priyatna
Keyword(s):  
Error Rate ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Hybrid Technique ◽  
Mean Absolute Deviation ◽  
Absolute Deviation ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
New Students ◽  
The Mean

The process of admitting new students is an annual routine activity that occurs in a university. This activity is the starting point of the process of searching for prospective new students who meet the criteria expected by the college. One of the colleges that holds new student admissions every year is Buana Perjuangan University, Karawang. There have been several studies that have been conducted on predictions of new students by other researchers, but the results have not been very satisfying, especially problems with the level of accuracy and error. Research on ANFIS studies to predict new students as a solution to the problem of accuracy. This study uses two ANFIS models, namely Backpropagation and Hybrid techniques. The application of the Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) model in the predictions of new students at Buana Perjuangan University, Karawang was successful. Based on the results of training, the Backpropagation technique has an error rate of 0.0394 and the Hybrid technique has an error rate of 0.0662. Based on the predictive accuracy value that has been done, the Backpropagation technique has an accuracy of 4.8 for the value of Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) and 0.156364623 for the value of Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). Meanwhile, based on the Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) value, the Backpropagation technique has a value of 0.5 and 0.09516671 for the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) value. So it can be concluded that the Hybrid technique has a better level of accuracy than the Backpropation technique in predicting the number of new students at the University of Buana Perjuangan Karawang

scholarly journals Plant Seeds Growth Prediction on Greenhouse Using Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) Method

2020 ◽  
Vol 202 ◽  
pp. 14008
Author(s):  
Siska Ayu Widiana ◽  
Suryono Suryono ◽  
Budi Warsito
Keyword(s):  
Food Security ◽  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Absolute Deviation ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Plant Seeds ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Anfis Method

Food security is a problem that every country had, especially for poor and developing countries. To improve the food security one of the solutions that can be applied is to collaborate technology and agriculture such as greenhouse. The technology that is applied to greenhouse can produce plants with good quality. Good quality plant can be predicted with prediction on the plant seeds in order to develop the plants production just as we expected. Prediction on plant seeds is using the adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model which is a combination of fuzzy and neural network. ANFIS will process the data with high complexity and it will provide the prediction result with high accuracy. Plant seeds prediction is using 65 data which divided into two data, specifically 50 training data and 15 testing data. The prediction provides accurate result and will generate 14/15 x 100% = 93.3333% precision with Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) is 64.3391 from 15 prediction data about 4.2893, Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) is 5.3485 from 15 prediction data about 0.35657, Mean Square Deviation (MSD) is 9.159 from 15 prediction data about 0.6106.

scholarly journals ANALISA DAN PERBANDINGAN AKURASI MODEL PREDIKSI RENTET WAKTU ARUS LALU LINTAS JANGKA PENDEK

2015 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 148
Author(s):  
Bambang Lareno
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Mean Absolute Deviation ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Absolute Deviation ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy

<p>Abstrak <br />Terdapat banyak algoritma yang dapat dipakai untuk memprediksi arus lalu lintas, namun belum diketahui algoritma manakah yang memiliki kinerja lebih akurat untuk lalu lintas di Indonesia. Algoritma-algoritma tersebut perlu diuji untuk mengetahui algoritma manakah yang memiliki kinerja lebih akurat. Metode yang diusulkan adalah metode perbandingan tingkat akurasi dari algoritma berbasis neural network yang bisa digunakan untuk prediksi data rentet waktu. Algoritma yang akan diuji adalah back Propagation Neural Network (BP-NN), Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS), Wavelet Neural Network (WNN), dan Evolving Neural Network (ENN), yang digunakan untuk memprediksi arus lalulintas. Masing-masing algoritma akan implementasikan dengan menggunakan MatLab 2009b. Pengukuran kinerja dilakukan dengan menghitung rata-rata error yang terjadi melalui besaran Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) dan Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD). Semakin kecil nilai dari masing-masing parameter kinerja ini menyatakan semakin dekat nilai prediksi dengan nilai sebenarnya. Dalam penelitian ini diketahui bahwa Algoritma ENN memprediksi arus lalu lintas dengan lebih akurat.</p>

An experimental modelling and performance validation study: Top gas pressure tracking system in a blast furnace using soft computing methods

2021 ◽  
pp. 095440892110331
Author(s):  
Yasin Tunckaya
Keyword(s):  
Blast Furnace ◽  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Tracking System ◽  
Computing Methods ◽  
Gas Pressure ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy

The blast furnace is a master iron-producing plant of iron and steel factories and affected by several process parameters as well as top gas pressure , which is a key process control phenomenon to maintain stability and operational productivity in such plants. Blast furnace operation is not tolerant to any interruption, unbalanced operations, momentary disturbances or loss of control due to its nature of intensive chemical reactions and heat balance requirements. Consequently, it is crucial to monitor and control top gas system components of the furnace with instrumentation measurements to maintain stable, efficient operation and system safety ongoing. In this study, a novel top gas pressure tracking system is developed using the chronologically obtained live process data of Erdemir BF#2 in Turkey. Eight process parameters are considered as input parameters as per the plant maintenance team's recommendations and soft computing methods, artificial neural networks and adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system are employed and a statistical regression tool, autoregressive integrated moving average, is also applied for comparison. Performance and success ratio analysis is carried out using coefficient of determination ( R2), mean absolute percentage error and root mean squared error terms. The best performing model output for the adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system is found to be 0.95, 1.21 and 0.023, and slightly lower performance is obtained for the artificial neural network model with the output values of 0.94, 0.029 and 1.32 against R2, mean absolute percentage error and root mean squared error terms, respectively. The maximum prediction error is found to be 9.85% and 10.2%, and the average prediction error is found to be 1.19% and 1.29% for adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system and ANN models, respectively, for optimum simulations. The proposed neuro-fuzzy-driven top gas pressure prediction system is unique in the literature and should be integrated into existing control systems to improve operational awareness and sustainability or can be used as input guidance for a possible future top gas recovery system.

Penerapan Metode ANFIS untuk Prediksi Nilai Akhir dan Kelulusan Uji Kompetensi

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-28
Author(s):  
Rayendra
Keyword(s):  
Word Processing ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Information And Communication ◽  
Anfis Method ◽  
Final Score ◽  
Computer Literate ◽  
Competence Test

To improve the graduation of Computer Literate Certified Professional (CLCP) competence test conducted by Competence Test of Information and Communication Technology (TUK-TIK) needs to be done continuous improvement by increasing try out competency test. Past values of the competency test can be used as modeling to predict the final score and the passing of the competency test. With the modeling can be predicted the passing of competency test participants through try out-try out done so that can be known weakness of candidate competency test from three units of CLCP competence. The modeling used to predict the final score and the passing of this competency test is the Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) method. Used 20 past data of competency test participants with 6 criteria as input value from three CLCP competence units namely Word Processing, Spreadsheet, and Presentation. The resulting prediction is accurate enough with MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) value for each competency unit of 0.31492%, 0.284202%, and 0.267167%

Mapping arsenic vulnerability at different spatial scales using statistical and machine learning models 

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sonal Bindal
Keyword(s):  
Spatial Resolution ◽  
Spatial Data ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Spatial Scales ◽  
Fuzzy Model ◽  
Fuzzy Regression ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Predictive Algorithms

&lt;p&gt;In the recent years, prediction modelling techniques have been widely used for modelling groundwater arsenic contamination. Determining the accuracy, performance and suitability of these different algorithms such as univariate regression (UR), fuzzy model, adaptive fuzzy regression (AFR), logistic regression (LR), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), and hybrid random forest (HRF) models still remains a challenging task. The spatial data which are available at different scales with different cell sizes. In the current study we have tried to optimize the spatial resolution for best performance of the model selecting the best spatial resolution by testing various predictive algorithms. The model&amp;#8217;s performance was evaluated based of the values of determination coefficient (R&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt;), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and root mean square error (RMSE). The outcomes of the study indicate that using 100m &amp;#215; 100m spatial resolution gives best performance in most of the models. The results also state HRF model performs the best than the commonly used ANFIS and LR models.&lt;/p&gt;

scholarly journals Adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system for temperature and humidity profile retrieval from microwave radiometer observations

2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 369-384 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Ramesh ◽  
A. P. Kesarkar ◽  
J. Bhate ◽  
M. Venkat Ratnam ◽  
A. Jayaraman
Keyword(s):  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Microwave Radiometer ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Computational Techniques ◽  
Temperature Profiles ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Temperature And Humidity ◽  
Rainy Days

Abstract. The retrieval of accurate profiles of temperature and water vapour is important for the study of atmospheric convection. Recent development in computational techniques motivated us to use adaptive techniques in the retrieval algorithms. In this work, we have used an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) to retrieve profiles of temperature and humidity up to 10 km over the tropical station Gadanki (13.5° N, 79.2° E), India. ANFIS is trained by using observations of temperature and humidity measurements by co-located Meisei GPS radiosonde (henceforth referred to as radiosonde) and microwave brightness temperatures observed by radiometrics multichannel microwave radiometer MP3000 (MWR). ANFIS is trained by considering these observations during rainy and non-rainy days (ANFIS(RD + NRD)) and during non-rainy days only (ANFIS(NRD)). The comparison of ANFIS(RD + NRD) and ANFIS(NRD) profiles with independent radiosonde observations and profiles retrieved using multivariate linear regression (MVLR: RD + NRD and NRD) and artificial neural network (ANN) indicated that the errors in the ANFIS(RD + NRD) are less compared to other retrieval methods. The Pearson product movement correlation coefficient (r) between retrieved and observed profiles is more than 92% for temperature profiles for all techniques and more than 99% for the ANFIS(RD + NRD) technique Therefore this new techniques is relatively better for the retrieval of temperature profiles. The comparison of bias, mean absolute error (MAE), RMSE and symmetric mean absolute percentage error (SMAPE) of retrieved temperature and relative humidity (RH) profiles using ANN and ANFIS also indicated that profiles retrieved using ANFIS(RD + NRD) are significantly better compared to the ANN technique. The analysis of profiles concludes that retrieved profiles using ANFIS techniques have improved the temperature retrievals substantially; however, the retrieval of RH by all techniques considered in this paper (ANN, MVLR and ANFIS) has limited success.

scholarly journals On the Prediction of Biogas Production from Vegetables, Fruits, and Food Wastes by ANFIS- and LSSVM-Based Models

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Yong Yang ◽  
Shuaishuai Zheng ◽  
Zhilu Ai ◽  
Mohammad Mahdi Molla Jafari
Keyword(s):  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Biogas Production ◽  
Input Parameter ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Robust Algorithms ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Proposed Model

This study is aimed at modeling biodigestion systems as a function of the most influencing parameters to generate two robust algorithms on the basis of the machine learning algorithms, including adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and least square support vector machine (LSSVM). The models are assessed utilizing multiple statistical analyses for the actual values and model outcomes. Results from the suggested models indicate their great capability of predicting biogas production from vegetable food, fruits, and wastes for a variety of ranges of input parameters. The values that are calculated for the mean relative error (MRE %) and mean squared error (MSE) were 29.318 and 0.0039 for ANFIS, and 2.951 and 0.0001 for LSSVM which shows that the latter model has a better ability to predict the target data. Finally, in order to have additional certainty, two analyses of outlier identification and sensitivity were performed on the input parameter data that proved the proposed model in this paper has higher reliability in assessing output values compared with the previous model.

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