scholarly journals Long-term BMI change trajectories in Chinese adults and its association with the hazard of type 2 diabetes: evidence from a 20-year China Health and Nutrition Survey

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. e000879
Author(s):  
Baibing Mi ◽  
Chenlu Wu ◽  
Xiangyu Gao ◽  
Wentao Wu ◽  
Jiaoyang Du ◽  
...  

IntroductionTo investigate the relationship between long-term change trajectory in body mass index (BMI) and the hazard of type 2 diabetes among Chinese adults.Research design and methodsData were obtained from the China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS). Type 2 diabetes was reported by participants themselves in each survey wave. The duration of follow-up was defined as the period from the first visit to the first time self-reported type 2 diabetes, death, or other loss to follow-up from CHNS. The patterns of change trajectories in BMI were derived by latent class trajectory analysis method. The Fine and Gray regression model was used to estimate HRs with corresponding 95% CIs for type 2 diabetes.ResultsFour patterns of the trajectories of change in BMI were identified among Chinese adults, 42.7% of participants had stable BMI change, 40.8% for moderate BMI gain, 8.9% for substantial BMI gain and 7.7% for weight loss. During the follow-up with mean 11.2 years (158 637 person-years contributed by 14 185 participants), 498 people with type 2 diabetes (3.7%) occurred. Risk of type 2 diabetes was increased by 47% among people who gained BMI more substantially and rapidly (HR: 1.47, 95% CI 1.08 to 2.02, p=0.016) and increased by 20% among those in people with the moderate BMI gain (HR: 1.20, 95% CI 0.98 to 1.48, p=0.078), compared with those with stable BMI change.ConclusionsLong-term substantial gain of BMI was significantly associated with an increased risk of type 2 diabetes in the Chinese adults.

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruru Liu ◽  
Baibing Mi ◽  
Yaling Zhao ◽  
Shaonong Dang ◽  
Hong Yan

AbstractEvidence was limited on trajectory of body mass index (BMI) through adulthood and its association with hypertension. We aimed to evaluate their association by sex in large-scale study. Data were obtained from the China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS) from 1991 to 2015. Latent class trajectory analysis (LCTA) was used to capture BMI change trajectories. Hazard risks (HRs) were estimated from Cox proportion hazard regression. Among 14,262 participants (mean age, 38.8; 47.8% men), 5138 hypertension occurred (2687 men and 2451 women) occurred during a mean follow-up 9.6 years. Four body mass trajectory groups were identified as BMI loss, stable, moderate and substantial gain. Appropriately half of participants (48.0%) followed 1 of the 2 BMI gain trajectories, where BMI increased at least 3 kg/m2 overtime. Compared with participants with stable BMI, those gaining BMI substantially had higher risk of hypertension by 65% (HR 1.65, 95% CI 1.45–1.86) in male and 83% (HR 1.83, 95% CI 1.58–2.12) in female. The HRs in BMI loss patterns were 0.74 (0.62–0.89) in men and 0.87 (0.75–1.00) in women. Our findings imply that majority of Chinese adults transited up to a higher BMI level during follow-up. Avoiding excessive weight gain and maintaining stable weight might be important for hypertension prevention.


BMJ Open ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. e046183
Author(s):  
Xiyun Ren ◽  
Jian Gao ◽  
Tianshu Han ◽  
Changhao Sun

ObjectiveThis study aimed to investigate the association between the trajectories of energy consumption at dinner versus breakfast and the risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D).DesignCohort study.SettingThe study was conducted in China.ParticipantsA total of 10 727 adults, including 5239 men and 5488 women, with a mean age of 42.7±11.2 years and a mean follow-up time of 9.1 years, met the study criteria and completed a questionnaire about energy intake and diabetes status from the China Health and Nutrition Survey in 1997–2011.Primary outcome measuresParticipants were divided into subgroups based on the trajectories of the ratio of energy consumption at dinner versus breakfast. Cox multivariate regression models were used to explore the associations between different trajectories and the risk of T2D after adjustment for confounders and their risk factors. Mediation analysis was performed to explore the intermediary effect of triacylglycerol (TG), total cholesterol (TC), uric acid (UA) and apolipoprotein B (ApoB) between the trajectories and the risk of T2D.ResultsFor energy consumption at dinner versus breakfast, compared with a low-stable trajectory, the adjusted HR of T2D in low-increasing from early-stage trajectory was 1.29 (95% CI 1.04 to 1.60). TG, TC, UA and ApoB were significantly higher in low-increasing from early-stage trajectory than other trajectories and play partial regulation roles between trajectories and T2D.ConclusionsThis study emphasised the harmful effect of a gradual increase in the ratio of energy consumption at dinner versus breakfast from early stage on the development of T2D and partially mediated by TG, TC, UA and ApoB, highlighting that it is necessary to intake more energy at breakfast compared with dinner to prevent T2D in adults.


2022 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yingdong Han ◽  
Kaidi Han ◽  
Xinxin Han ◽  
Yue Yin ◽  
Hong Di ◽  
...  

Background: Previous studies have clarified the relationship between serum uric acid (SUA) and hypertension; most of previous studies suggest that elevated uric acid levels are associated with an increased risk of hypertension, while in China, there are relatively few studies to explore above association. The objective of this longitudinal study is to investigate the correlation of SUA and hypertension in Chinese adults with a nationwide large-scale sample.Methods: Data from the China Health and Nutrition Survey 2009, 2011, and 2016 were used; a total of 8,469 participants (3,973 men and 4,496 women) were involved. This study was conducted separately by gender. Clinical characteristics of the participants among different uric acid groups are compared. The binary logistic regression analysis was conducted to examine the association between SUA and hypertension. Restricted cubic spline analysis with three knots of the SUA concentration were used to characterize the dose-response relationship. Additionally, we compared the incidence of hypertension in the different baseline uric acid groups during follow-up in 2011 and 2015.Results: After the covariates were fully adjusted, we found that elevated uric acid levels were correlated with increased risk of hypertension in both males (p < 0.01) and females (p < 0.01). With 2-year or 6-year of follow-up, we found participants with higher baseline uric acid levels had a higher incidence of hypertension (p < 0.01). In stratified analysis by obesity, above relationship remained significant in nonobesity population (males: p < 0.05, females: p < 0.01) and became nonsignificant in obesity people. In stratified analysis by age, above positively correlation remained significant in middle-aged men (p < 0.05) and elderly women (p < 0.01). Restricted cubic spline revealed the dose-response relationship between SUA and hypertension; we also found that above relationship was much stronger in females.Conclusion: This study suggests that elevated SUA levels might be positively associated with an increased risk of hypertension in general Chinese adults.


PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (5) ◽  
pp. e0251377
Author(s):  
Zhenkai Ma ◽  
Mo Hao

Background Increasing coffee intake was inversely associated with risk of type 2 diabetes in Western countries. However, in China where coffee consumption and diabetes population has been growing fast in recent years, studies on the impact of coffee intakes on the onset of type 2 diabetes are lacking. This study attempts to determine the associations between coffee consumption and type 2 diabetes in Chinese adults. Methods This longitudinal study analyzed 10447 adults who had participated in at least two rounds of the China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS), which is a survey database of multistage, random cluster process during 1993–2011. Coffee consumption and type 2 diabetes incidence were measured in the survey. Body mass index (BMI), age, sex, place of residence, waves, education level, smoking, drinking alcohol and tea drinking frequency were adjusted as covariate. We used longitudinal fixed effects regression models to assess changes within person. Results After adjusting confounding factors, lower risk of diabetes is observed among Chinese adults who drink coffee occasionally (Adjusted Odds Ratio (AOR)  = 0.13, 95% CI = 0.05, 0.34) and drink almost every day (AOR = 0.61, 95% CI = 0.45, 0.83), compared with those who do not or hardly drink. In the subgroup analysis, among women aged 45–59 who drink coffee one to three times a week (AOR = 0.21, 95% CI = 0.08, 0.52) and men over 60 who drink coffee almost every day (AOR = 0.19, 95% CI = 0.07, 0.53), protective effects were found. For young men aged 19–29, drinking coffee almost every day showed a risk effect (AOR = 20.21, 95% CI = 5.96–68.57). Conclusions Coffee drinking habit is an independent protective factor for adult on type 2 diabetes in China. And it varies among people with different ages and genders. The rapid growth of coffee consumption in China in recent years may help reduce the risk of type 2 diabetes, but at the same time, the risk of type 2 diabetes in adolescents needs attention.


2020 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Yue Wang ◽  
Ming Li ◽  
Zumin Shi

Abstract The association between egg consumption and diabetes is inconclusive. We aimed to examine the association between long-term egg consumption and its trajectory with diabetes in Chinese adults. A total of 8545 adults aged ≥18 years old who attended the China Health and Nutrition Survey from 1991 to 2009 were included in this analysis. Egg consumption at each survey was assessed by a 3-d 24-h recall and weighed food record methods. The consumption trajectories of eggs were modelled with the latent class group approach. Diabetes was diagnosed based on fasting blood glucose in 2009. Logistic regression was used to examine the association. The mean age of the study population was 50·9 (sd 15·1) years. About 11·1 % had diabetes in 2009. Egg consumption nearly doubled in 2009 from 16 g/d in 1991. Compared with the first quartile of egg consumption (0–9·0 g/d), the adjusted OR of diabetes for the second (9·1–20·6 g/d), third (20·7–37·5 g/d) and fourth (≥37·6 g/d) quartiles were 1·29 (95 % CI 1·03, 1·62), 1·37 (95 % CI 1·09, 1·72) and 1·25 (95 % CI 1·04, 1·64), respectively (Pfor trend = 0·029). Three trajectory groups of egg consumption were identified. Compared with group 1 (30·7 %, low baseline intake and slight increase), both group 2 (62·2 %, medium baseline intake and increase) and group 3 (7·1 %, high baseline intake and decrease) were associated with an increased OR for diabetes. The results suggested that higher egg consumption was positively associated with the risk of diabetes in Chinese adults.


2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (32) ◽  
pp. 3647-3653 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jennifer W. Wu ◽  
Laurent Azoulay ◽  
Agnieszka Majdan ◽  
Jean-François Boivin ◽  
Michael Pollak ◽  
...  

Purpose The association between long-acting insulin analogs and increased breast cancer risk is uncertain, particularly with the short follow-up in previous studies. We assessed this risk long term in women with type 2 diabetes. Methods A population-based cohort of women 40 years or older, all of whom were treated with long-acting (glargine, detemir) or neutral protamine Hagedorn (NPH) insulin between 2002 and 2012, was formed using the United Kingdom’s Clinical Practice Research Datalink. Women were followed until February 2015 or breast cancer diagnosis. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs of incident breast cancer, comparing long-acting insulin analogs with NPH overall, as well as by duration and cumulative dose. Results The cohort included 22,395 women who received insulin treatment, with 321 incident breast cancer events occurring during up to 12 years of follow-up (incidence rate 3.3 per 1,000 person-years). Compared with NPH insulin, insulin glargine was associated with an increased risk of breast cancer (HR, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.11 to 1.85), mainly increasing 5 years after glargine initiation (HR, 2.23; 95% CI, 1.32 to 3.77) and after > 30 prescriptions (HR, 2.29; 95% CI, 1.26 to 4.16). The risk was particularly elevated among prior insulin users (HR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.10 to 2.12) but not for new users, which included fewer patients and for which one cannot rule out an HR of 1.81. The risk associated with insulin detemir was not significantly elevated (HR, 1.17; 95% CI, 0.77 to 1.77). Conclusion Long-term use of insulin glargine is associated with an increased risk of breast cancer in women with type 2 diabetes. The risk associated with insulin detemir remains uncertain because there are fewer users of this insulin.


Circulation ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 127 (suppl_12) ◽  
Author(s):  
Noel T Mueller ◽  
Andrew O Odegaard ◽  
Woon-Puay Koh ◽  
Myron D Gross ◽  
Jian-Min Yuan ◽  
...  

In Western populations normal weight adults at the time of incident type 2 diabetes (T2D) diagnosis have been reported to have higher mortality risk than overweight/obese adults. However, little investigation of this topic has occurred in Asian populations who tend to have relatively low body mass index (BMI = kg/m2) yet high rates of T2D. We investigated the association between BMI, reported prior to diagnosis of T2D, and mortality risk among a cohort of Chinese adults with T2D.We used data from the Singapore Chinese Health Study, including Chinese men and women aged 45-74 years of age, free of cancer, heart disease, stroke, and T2D at baseline (1993-1998), and followed for mortality through 2011. A total of 4,288 participants, contributing 57,220 person-years of follow-up, reported physician diagnosed incident T2D at two follow up interviews and reported height and weight at the previous interview, an average of 4.4 years prior to T2D diagnosis. Participants were classified according to WHO Asian-specific definitions as underweight (BMI <18.5), normal weight (18.5-23.49), overweight (23.5-27.49), and obese (≥ 27.5).During an average follow-up of 13.3 years, 470 of the 4,288 participants died: 159 from cardiovascular (CVD) causes and 311 from other causes. After adjustment for demographics, smoking status and alcohol consumption, there were no statistically significant differences in mortality rates across the BMI categories. However, the BMI-mortality association varied markedly by age. Among those who were ≤65 years of age, obesity, compared to normal weight, carried an increased risk of total mortality by 41% (4% to 92%) and of CVD mortality by 56% (-9% to 166%). However, among those >65 years of age we observed no association between BMI and mortality risk. Among Singaporean Chinese adults with type 2 diabetes, being obese prior to diagnosis was associated with increased risk of death in those who were ≤65 years of age, whereas among those >65 years there was no clear association between BMI and risk of mortality.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stine A. Holmboe ◽  
Ravi Jasuja ◽  
Brian Lawney ◽  
Lærke Priskorn ◽  
Niels Joergensen ◽  
...  

Objective. Calculating the free testosterone level has gained increasing interest and different indirect algorithms have been suggested. The objective was to compare free androgen index (FAI), free testosterone estimated using the linear binding model (Vermeulen: cFTV) and the binding framework accounting for allosterically coupled SHBG monomers (Zakharov: cFTZ) in relation to cardiometabolic conditions. Design. A prospective cohort study including 5,350 men, aged 30-70 years, participating in population-based surveys (MONICA I–III and Inter99) from 1982-2001 and followed until December 2012 with baseline and follow-up information on cardiometabolic parameters and vital status. Results. Using age-standardized hormone levels, FAI was higher among men with baseline cardiometabolic conditions, whereas cFTV and cFTZ levels were lower compared to men without these conditions as also seen for total testosterone. Men in highest quartiles of cFTV or cFTZ had lower risk of developing type 2 diabetes (cFTV: HR=0.74 (0.49-1.10), cFTZ: HR=0.59 (0.39-0.91)) than men in lowest quartile. In contrast, men with highest levels of FAI had a 74% (1.17-2.59) increased risk of developing type 2 diabetes compared to men in lowest quartile. Conclusion. The association of estimated free testosterone and the studied outcomes differ depending on algorithm used. cFTV and cFTZ showed similar associations to baseline and long-term cardiometabolic parameters. In contrast, an empiric ratio, FAI, showed opposite associations to several of the examined parameters and may reflect limited clinical utility.


2020 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
pp. 215013272097774
Author(s):  
Stephanie T. Fulleborn ◽  
Paul F. Crawford ◽  
Jeremy T. Jackson ◽  
Christy J.W. Ledford

Introduction Recent evidence reveals that diabetes and prediabetes (preDM) can be reversed to normal glucose regulation (NGR) through significant weight loss, but how physicians clinically identify the principles of partial and complete remission of diabetes is largely unknown. Methods As part of the cross-sectional omnibus survey conducted in March 2019 at a professional annual meeting in the United States, physician participants answered case scenario questions about the diagnosis and documentation of patients with preDM and type 2 diabetes (T2DM). Results Of the registered conference attendees, 387 (72.7%) responded. When presented with the initial case of preDM, 201 physicians (70.8%) selected R73.03 Prediabetes. In a follow-up encounter with improved lab results, 118 physicians (58.7%) indicated that they would not chart any diabetes-related code and 62 (30.8%) would chart preDM again. When presented with the case of T2DM, 256 physicians (90.1%) indicated E11.0–E11.9 Type 2 Diabetes. In the follow-up encounter, only 38 (14.8%) coded a diagnosis reflecting remission from T2DM to prediabetes and 211 (82.4%) charted T2DM. Conclusion Physicians may be reluctant to document diabetes regression as there is little evidence for long-term outcomes and “downgrading” the diagnosis in the medical record may cause screenings to be missed. Documenting this regression in the medical record should communicate the accurate point on the continuum of glucose intolerance with both the patient and the care team.


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