scholarly journals Components of diabetes prevalence in Denmark 1996–2016 and future trends until 2030

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. e001064
Author(s):  
Bendix Carstensen ◽  
Pernille Falberg Rønn ◽  
Marit Eika Jørgensen

IntroductionIncidence rates of diabetes have been increasing and mortality rates have been decreasing. Our aim is the quantification of the effects of these on the prevalence and prediction of the future burden of diabetes.Research design and methodsFrom population-based registers of Denmark, we derived diabetes incidence and mortality rates and mortality rates for persons without diabetes for the period 1996–2016. Rates were modeled by smooth parametric terms using Poisson regression. Estimated rates were used to assess the relative contribution of incidence and mortality to changes in prevalence over the study period as well as for prediction of future rates and prevalence 2017–2040.ResultsThe major contributors to prevalence was increasing incidence (22%) and epidemiological imbalance between incidence and mortality (27%). The decrease in mortality rates over the period 1996–2016 contributes only 9% of the prevalent cases at 2016. We estimated that 467 000 persons in Denmark would be living with diabetes in 2030. The age distribution of patients in the period 2017–2030 is predicted to change toward older ages. The total number of persons needing diabetes care will increase by 67% over the next 13 years, an average annual increase of 4.0%.ConclusionsLowering mortality among patients with diabetes even further is not likely to influence the prevalence substantially. Since the size and the increase in incidence of diabetes are major drivers of the increasing prevalence, the prevention of new cases of diabetes is required.

2018 ◽  
Vol 147 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. Hagiya ◽  
T. Koyama ◽  
Y. Zamami ◽  
Y. Minato ◽  
Y. Tatebe ◽  
...  

AbstractJapan is still a medium-burden tuberculosis (TB) country. We aimed to examine trends in newly notified active TB incidence and TB-related mortality in the last two decades in Japan. This is a population-based study using Japanese Vital Statistics and Japan Tuberculosis Surveillance from 1997 to 2016. We determined active TB incidence and mortality rates (per 100 000 population) by sex, age and disease categories. Joinpoint regression was applied to calculate the annual percentage change (APC) in age-adjusted mortality rates and to identify the years showing significant trend changes. Crude and age-adjusted incidence rates reduced from 33.9 to 13.9 and 37.3 to 11.3 per 100 000 population, respectively. Also, crude and age-adjusted mortality rates reduced from 2.2 to 1.5 and 2.8 to 1.0 per 100 000 population, respectively. Average APC in the incidence and mortality rates showed significant decline both in men (−6.2% and −5.4%, respectively) and women (−5.7% and −4.6%, respectively). Age-specific analysis demonstrated decreases in incidence and mortality rates for every age category, except for the incidence trend in the younger population. Although trends in active TB incidence and mortality rates in Japan have favourably decreased, the rate of decline is far from achieving TB elimination by 2035.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. e001071 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bendix Carstensen ◽  
Pernille Falberg Rønn ◽  
Marit Eika Jørgensen

IntroductionThe objective of this study was to give an overview of prevalence, incidence and mortality of type 1 (T1D) and type 2 diabetes (T2D) in Denmark, and their temporal trends.Research design and methodsWe constructed a diabetes register from existing population-based healthcare registers, including a classification of patients as T1D or T2D, with coverage from 1996 to 2016. Using complete population records for Denmark, we derived prevalence, incidence, mortality and standardized mortality ratio (SMR).ResultsThe overall prevalence of diabetes at 2016 was 0.5% for T1D and 4.4% for T2D, with annual increases since 1996 of 0.5% for T1D and 5.5% for T2D. Incidence rates of T1D decreased by 3.5% per year, with increase for persons under 25 years of age and a decrease for older persons. T2D incidence increased 2.5% per year until 2011, decreased until 2014 and increased after that, similar in all ages. The annual decrease in mortality was 0.3% for T1D and 2.9% for T2D. The mortality rate ratio between T1D and T2D was 1.9 for men and 1.6 for women. SMR decreased annually 2% for T1D and 0.5% for T2D.ConclusionsIncidence and prevalence of diabetes is increasing, but mortality among patients with diabetes in Denmark is decreasing faster than the mortality among persons without diabetes. T1D carries a 70% higher mortality than T2D.


Blood ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 124 (21) ◽  
pp. 1329-1329
Author(s):  
Paolo Corradini ◽  
Alessandro Corso ◽  
Lorenzo Giovanni Mantovani ◽  
Monica Galli ◽  
Anna Maria Cafro ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction. The incidence of multiple myeloma (MM) is increasing in particular due to the aging of the population.In the last 15 years, stem cell transplantation and novel agents have increased the remission rates and improved survival. The aim of the present work is to assess the epidemiologic burden of treated patients from population-based data. Methods. The Regional Health Service (RHS) of Lombardy covers around 10 million people. Administrative datasets available within the Lombardy RHS included: demographic data, hospital discharges, pharmaceutical prescriptions, and outpatient claims. Since 2000 these archives were organized into a data warehouse named DENALI. A distinguishing feature of DENALI is the probabilistic reconstruction of links to match the data of different datasets belonging to the same person. The initial study population was selected from DENALI and involved all those individuals who during the period 2003-2009 had at least one hospital discharge for MM and at least one MM specific drug prescription among melphalan, bortezomib, cyclophosphamide, thalidomide, doxorubicin, and lenalidomide. The first hospital discharge or drug prescription date whichever occurred first was identified as the index date. From the initial population we excluded individuals with a diagnosis of cancer prior to the index date to avoid overlapping oncological diagnoses, and also those who did not receive chemotherapy (CHT) to focus on patients with symptomatic MM. The study population was followed up until 31-Dec-2010 or death. We evaluated clinical and demographic characteristics, incidence and mortality of the selected MM patients.Age was estimated at the index event and reported in years with corresponding minimum and maximum range. Comorbidity conditions were synthetized by Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) on diagnoses of hospital discharges occurred before the index date. Crude incidence was estimated with respect of Lombardy inhabitants and expressed x100,000 of them, as the corresponding 95% Confidence Intervals (95%C.I.). Age-adjusted incidence was estimated using the 2001 standard population proposed by the World Health Organization (WHO). Relative survival ratios (RSRs) were computed as measure of survival. Results. A total of 3,043 eligible subjects was identified (52% male). Median age(min-max) at the index date was 67.4 (26.9-92.3) years in male and 69.8 (17.5-96.8) in female patients. CCI showed high comorbidity component (CCI>=2) in 10% and 6% of male and female individuals, respectively. Crude incidence and mortality rates were reported in Figure 1 and Figure 2. Crude and age standardized incidence was respectively 4.9 and 3.7 for males and 4.4 and 2.7 for females. Crude and age standardized mortality rates were respectively 2.2 and 1.6 for males and 2.0 and 1.1 for females. Within the study population, 1- and 5-year RSRs (95% C.I.) were 85%(83-86%) and 49%(46-51%), respectively, with no significant differences between genders. Thirty-seven percent of the study population had at least one prescription of the novel agents for MM (bortezomib, lenalidomide, and thalidomide). Thirty percent of the study population had a Stem Cell Transplantation (SCT): they had a median age(min-max) of 60.2(21.7-75.4), low comorbidity score(CCI=0) in 90% of them and 1- and 5-year RSRs equal to 98%(97-99%) and 70%(66-74%), respectively. Seventy percent of the study population received CHT but not SCT: their median age(min-max) was 72.6(17.5-96.8), 74% of them had CCI=0 and 1- and 5-year RSRs equal to 78%(76-80%) and 39%(35-41%), respectively. Treated but not transplanted patients have been estimated to experience a significant (p<1%) higher mortality compared to those transplanted, even taking into account age and sex. Conclusions. This population-based cohort study along with the availability of administrative databases enabled us to detail a reliable picture of symptomatic MM in a real life context. Figure 1. Crude incidence rates by age class and gender, expressed x 100,000 Lombardy inhabitants. Figure 1. Crude incidence rates by age class and gender, expressed x 100,000 Lombardy inhabitants. Figure 2. Crude mortality rates by age class and gender, expressed x 100,000 Lombardy inhabitants. Figure 2. Crude mortality rates by age class and gender, expressed x 100,000 Lombardy inhabitants. Disclosures Mantovani: Janssen: Research Funding. Rossi:Janssen: Consultancy.


2014 ◽  
Vol 56 (5) ◽  
pp. 431 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nubia Muñoz ◽  
Luis Eduardo Bravo

Objective. To describe the incidence, mortality, time trends and prognostic factors for cervical cancer in Cali, Colombia, and to review the molecular epidemiological evidence showing that HPV is the major and necessary cause of cervical cancer and the implications of this discovery for primary and secondary prevention. Materials and methods. Incidence rates of cervical cancer during a 45-year period (1962-2007) were estimated based on the population-based cancer registry of Cali and the mortality statistics from the Municipal Health Secretariat of Cali. Prognostic factors were estimated based on relative survival. Review of the molecular epidemiological evidence linking HPV to cervical cancer was focused on the studies carried out in Cali and in other countries. Results. Incidence rates of squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) declined from 120.4 per 100 000 in 1962-1966 to 25.7 in 2003-2007 while those of adenocarcinoma increased from 4.2 to 5.8. Mortality rates for cervical cancer declined from 18.5 in 1984-1988 to 7.0 per 100 000 in 2009-2011. Survival was lower in women over 65 years of age and in clinical stages 3-4. Review of the molecular epidemiological evidence showed that certain types of HPV are the central and neces- sary cause of cervical cancer. Conclusions. A decline in the incidence and mortality of SCC and an increase in the incidence of adenocarcinoma during a 45-year period was documented in Cali, Colombia.


2020 ◽  
Vol 23 (7) ◽  
pp. 434-444
Author(s):  
Sahar Eftekharzadeh ◽  
Narges Ebrahimi ◽  
Mehrnoosh Samaei ◽  
Farnam Mohebi ◽  
Bahram Mohajer ◽  
...  

Background: The present study aims to assess the incidence and mortality rates of gynecological cancers and their changes from 1990 to 2016 at national and subnational levels in Iran. Methods: Annual estimates of incidence and mortality for gynecological cancers from 1990 to 2016 at national and subnational levels were generated as part of a larger project entitled National and Subnational Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors (NASBOD). After the precise processing of data extracted from the Iran Cancer Registry, annual age-standardized incidence and mortality rates were calculated for each cancer, province, year and age group during the period of the study. Results: In 2016, gynecological cancers constituted 8.0% of new cancer cases among women of all ages compared to 3.7% of new cases of cancer among women in 1990. The incidence rate of gynecological cancers has increased from 2.5 (0.9-5.6) per 100000 women in 1990 to 12.3 (9.3–15.7) per 100000 women in 2016, and the most common gynecological cancer has changed from cervical cancer in 1990 to corpus uteri cancer in 2016. Age-standardized incidence rates of ovarian, corpus uteri and vulvovaginal cancers increased from 1.3 (0.5–2.4), 1.7 (0.6–3.0), and 0.3 (0.0–0.7) in 1990 to 4.4 (3.6–5.2), 9.9 (6.8–13.4), and 0.6 (0.2–1.0) in 2016, respectively, showing a 3.3, 5.8 and 1.7-fold increase during this period. Age-standardized incidence rate of cervical cancer was 2.4 (1.7–3.3) cases per 100000 women in 2016 and did not differ significantly from the beginning of the study. An overall reduction was seen in national mortality to incidence ratios (MIR) from 2000 to 2015. Conclusion: The incidence rates of all gynecological cancers in different provinces have shown a converging trend that could indicate that attempts toward health equality have been effective. The declining trend of MIR could be interpreted as advancements in detection of cancer in its early stages and also improvements in treatments, in turn reflecting improvements in access to and quality of care.


2021 ◽  
Vol 27 (10) ◽  
pp. 2560-2569
Author(s):  
Keiju S.K. Kontula ◽  
Kirsi Skogberg ◽  
Jukka Ollgren ◽  
Asko Järvinen ◽  
Outi Lyytikäinen

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. e001355
Author(s):  
Silvia Cascini ◽  
Nera Agabiti ◽  
Marina Davoli ◽  
Luigi Uccioli ◽  
Marco Meloni ◽  
...  

IntroductionThe aim of the study was to identify the sociodemographic and clinical factors associated with death after the first lower-extremity amputation (LEA), minor and major separately, using data from regional health administrative databases.Research design and methodsWe carried out a population-based cohort study including patients with diabetes residing in the Lazio region and undergoing a primary amputation in the period 2012–2015. Each individual was followed up for at least 2 years. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to evaluate long-term survival; Cox proportional regression models were applied to identify factors associated with all-cause mortality.ResultsThe cohort included 1053 patients, 72% were male, 63% aged ≥65 years, and 519 (49%) died by the end of follow-up. Mortality rates at 1 and 4 years were, respectively, 33% and 65% for major LEA and 18% and 45% for minor LEA. Significant risk factors for mortality were age ≥65, diabetes-related cardiovascular complications, and chronic renal disease for patients with minor LEA, and age ≥75 years, chronic renal disease and antidepressant drug consumption for subjects with major LEA.ConclusionsThe present study confirms the high mortality rates described in patients with diabetes after non-traumatic LEA. It shows differences between minor and major LEA in terms of mortality rates and related risk factors. The study highlights the role of depression as specific risk factor for death in patients with diabetes after major LEA and suggests including its definition and management in strategies to reduce the high mortality rate observed in this group of patients.


2019 ◽  
Vol 26 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Le ◽  
F. M. Ghazawi ◽  
A. Alakel ◽  
E. Netchiporouk ◽  
E. Rahme ◽  
...  

Background Follicular lymphoma (FL) is the most common indolent lymphoma and the 2nd most common non- Hodgkin lymphoma, accounting for 10%–20% of all lymphomas in the Western world. Epidemiologic and geographic trends of FL in Canada have not been investigated. Our study’s objective was to analyze incidence and mortality rates and the geographic distribution of FL patients in Canada for 1992–2010.Methods Demographic and geographic patient data for FL cases were obtained using the Canadian Cancer Registry, the Registre quebecois du cancer, and the Canadian Vital Statistics database. Incidence and mortality rates and 95% confidence intervals were calculated per year and per geographic area. Rates were plotted using linear regression models to assess trends over time. Overall data were mapped using Microsoft Excel mapping software (Redmond, WA, U.S.A.) to identify case clusters across Canada.Results Approximately 22,625 patients were diagnosed with FL during 1992–2010. The age-standardized incidence rate of this malignancy in Canada was 38.3 cases per million individuals per year. Geographic analysis demonstrated that a number of Maritime provinces and Manitoba had the highest incidence rates, and that the provinces of Nova Scotia and Quebec had the highest mortality rates in the nation. Regional data demonstrated clustering of FL within cities or regions with high herbicide use, primary mining, and a strong manufacturing presence.Conclusions Our study provides a comprehensive overview of the FL burden and its geographic distribution in Canada. Regional clustering of this disease in concentrated industrial zones strongly suggests that multiple environmental factors might play a crucial role in the development of this lymphoma.


2019 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 394-412 ◽  
Author(s):  
Feras M. Ghazawi ◽  
Michelle Le ◽  
François Lagacé ◽  
Janelle Cyr ◽  
Nebras Alghazawi ◽  
...  

Background: We recently reported a steady increase in the incidence and mortality of cutaneous malignant melanoma (CMM) in Canada during 1992-2010. Objectives: The objective of this article is to examine the distribution of Canadian CMM patients at the level of provinces, cities, and forward sortation area (FSA) postal codes. Methods: Using 3 Canadian population-based registries, we conducted an in-depth examination of the incidence and mortality trends for 72 565 Canadian CMM patients over the period 1992-2010. Results: We found that among 20- to 39-year-olds, the incidence of CMM in women (7.17 per 100 000 individuals) was significantly higher than in men (4.60 per 100 000 individuals per year). Women age 80 years and older had an incidence of CMM (58.46 cases per 100 000 women per year) more than 4 times greater than the national average (12.29 cases per 100 000 population per year) and a corresponding high mortality rate (20.18 deaths per 100 000 women per year), when compared with the Canadian melanoma mortality of 2.4 deaths per 100 000 per year. In other age groups men had higher incidence and corresponding melanoma mortality rates. We also studied CMM incidence by province, city, and FSA postal codes and identified several high-incidence communities that were located near the coast/waterfronts. In addition, plotting latitude measures for cities and FSAs vs CMM incidence rate confirmed the inverse relationship between geographical latitude and incidence of melanoma in Canada (slope = –0.22 ± 0.05). Conclusions: This research may help develop sex-, age- and geographic region-specific recommendations to decrease the future burden of CMM in Canada.


2019 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
José M. de Miguel-Yanes ◽  
Rodrigo Jiménez-García ◽  
Valentín Hernández-Barrera ◽  
Javier de Miguel-Díez ◽  
Manuel Méndez-Bailón ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The main aims of this study were to describe trends and outcomes during admission for infective endocarditis (IE) in people ≥ 40 years old with or without type 2 diabetes distributed in five time-periods (2001–2003; 2004–2006; 2007–2009; 2010–2012 and 2013–2015), using Spanish national hospital discharge data. Methods We estimated admission rates by diabetes status. We analyzed comorbidity, therapeutic procedures, and outcomes. We built Poisson regression models to compare the adjusted time-trends in admission rates. Type 2 diabetes cases were matched with controls using propensity score matching (PSM). We tested in-hospital mortality (IHM) in logistic regression analyses. Results We identified 16,626 hospitalizations in patients aged ≥ 40 years for IE in Spain, 2001–2015. The incidence of IE increased significantly from 6.0/100,000 per year to 13.1/100,000 per year (p < 0.001) in the population with type 2 diabetes, and from 3.9/100,000 per year to 5.5/100,000 per year (p < 0.001) in the population without diabetes, over the study period. The adjusted incidence of IE was 2.2-times higher among patients with diabetes than among those without diabetes (IRR = 2.2; 95% CI 2.1–2.3). People with type 2 diabetes less often underwent heart valve surgery than people without diabetes (13.9% vs. 17.3%; p < 0.001). Although IHM decreased significantly in both groups over time, it represented 20.8% of IE cases among diabetes patients and 19.9% among PSM matched controls (p = 0.337). Type 2 diabetes was not associated with a higher IHM in people admitted to the hospital for IE (OR = 1.1; 95% CI 0.9–1.2). Conclusion Incidence rates of IE in Spain, among those with and without T2DM, have increased during the period 2001–2015 with significantly higher incidence rates in the T2DM population. In our population based study and after PSM we found that T2DM was not a predictor of IHM in IE.


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