scholarly journals Prognostic nomogram for the severity of acute organophosphate insecticide self-poisoning: a retrospective observational cohort study

BMJ Open ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. e042765
Author(s):  
Ning Dong ◽  
Shaokun Wang ◽  
Xingliang Li ◽  
Wei Li ◽  
Nan Gao ◽  
...  

ObjectiveTo develop a convenient nomogram for the bedside evaluation of patients with acute organophosphorus poisoning (AOPP).DesignThis was a retrospective study.SettingTwo independent hospitals in northern China, the First Hospital of Jilin University and the Lequn Hospital of the First Hospital of Jilin University.ParticipantsA total of 1657 consecutive patients admitted for the deliberate oral intake of AOPP within 24 hours from exposure and aged >18 years were enrolled between 1 January 2013 and 31 December 2018. The exclusion criteria were: normal range of plasma cholinesterase, exposure to any other type of poisonous drug(s), severe chronic comorbidities including symptomatic heart failure (New York Heart Association III or IV) or any other kidney, liver and pulmonary diseases. Eight hundred and thirty-four patients were included.Primary outcome measureThe existence of severely poisoned cases, defined as patients with any of the following complications: cardiac arrest, respiratory failure requiring ventilator support, hypotension or in-hospital death.Results440 patients from one hospital were included in the study to develop a nomogram of severe AOPP, whereas 394 patients from the other hospital were used for the validation. Associated risk factors were identified by multivariate logistic regression. The nomogram was validated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). A nomogram was developed with age, white cells, albumin, cholinesterase, blood pH and lactic acid levels. The AUC was 0.875 (95% CI 0.837 to 0.913) and 0.855 (95% CI 0.81 to 0.9) in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. The calibration plot for the probability of severe AOPP showed an optimal agreement between the prediction by nomogram and actual observation in both derivation and validation cohorts.ConclusionA convenient severity evaluation nomogram for patients with AOPP was developed, which could be used by physicians in making clinical decisions and predicting patients’ prognosis.

EP Europace ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (7) ◽  
pp. 1096-1105
Author(s):  
Andrea Di Cori ◽  
Angelo Auricchio ◽  
François Regoli ◽  
Carina Blomström-Lundqvist ◽  
Christian Butter ◽  
...  

Aims A sub-analysis of the ESC-EHRA European Lead Extraction ConTRolled (ELECTRa) Registry to evaluate the clinical impact of antithrombotic (AT) on transvenous lead extraction (TLE) safety and efficacy. Methods and results ELECTRa outcomes were compared between patients without AT therapy (No AT Group) and with different pre-operative AT regimens, including antiplatelets (AP), anticoagulants (AC), or both (AP + AC). Out of 3510 pts, 2398 (68%) were under AT pre-operatively. AT patients were older with more comorbidities (P < 0.0001). AT subgroups, defined as AP, AC, or AP + AC, were 1096 (31.2%), 985 (28%), and 317 (9%), respectively. Regarding AP patients, 1413 (40%) were under AP, 1292 (91%) with a single AP, interrupted in 26% about 3.8 ± 3.7 days before TLE. In total, 1302 (37%) patients were under AC, 881 vitamin K antagonist (68%), 221 (17%) direct oral anticoagulants, 155 (12%) low weight molecular heparin, and 45 (3.5%) unfractionated heparin. AC was ‘interrupted without bridging’ in 696 (54%) and ‘interrupted with bridging’ in 504 (39%) about 3.3 ± 2.3 days before TLE, and ‘continued’ in 87 (7%). TLE success rate was high in all subgroups. Only overall in-hospital death (1.4%), but not the procedure-related one, was higher in the AT subgroups (P = 0.0500). Age >65 years and New York Heart Association Class III/IV, but not AT regimens, were independent predictors of death for any cause. Haematomas were more frequent in AT subgroups, especially in AC ‘continued’ (P = 0.025), whereas pulmonary embolism in the No-AT (P < 0.01). Conclusions AT minimization is safe in patients undergoing TLE. AT does not seem to predict death but identifies a subset of fragile patients with a worse in-hospital TLE outcome.


2009 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 57-61 ◽  
Author(s):  
Massimiliano Panella

This study was undertaken to determine how care pathways (CPs) in the hospital treatment of heart failure (HF) affected in-hospital mortality, and outcomes at discharge. A two-arm, cluster randomized trial was conducted. Fourteen community hospitals were randomized either to arm 1 (CPs) or to arm 2 (no intervention, usual care). A sample size of 424 patients (212 in each group) was used in order to have 80% of power at the 5% significance level (two-sided). The primary outcome measure was in-hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes were also evaluated. In-hospital mortality was 5.6% in the experimental arm and 15.4% in the controls ( P = 0.001). In CP and usual care groups, the mean rates of unscheduled readmissions were 7.9% and 13.9%, respectively. Adjusting for age, smoking, New York Heart Association (NYHA) score, hypertension and source of referral, patients in the CP group, as compared with controls, had a significantly lower risk of in-hospital death (odds ratio [OR] = 0.18; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.07–0.46) and unscheduled readmissions (OR = 0.42; CI = 0.20–0.87). No differences were found between CP and control with respect to the appropriateness of the stay, costs and patient's satisfaction. This paper examines the evaluation of a complex intervention and adds evidence to previous knowledge, indicating that CP should be used to improve the quality of hospital treatment of HF.


2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (12) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yasser Sakr ◽  
Ulrich Jaschinski ◽  
Xavier Wittebole ◽  
Tamas Szakmany ◽  
Jeffrey Lipman ◽  
...  

Abstract Background There is a need to better define the epidemiology of sepsis in intensive care units (ICUs) around the globe. Methods The Intensive Care over Nations (ICON) audit prospectively collected data on all adult (&gt;16 years) patients admitted to the ICU between May 8 and May 18, 2012, except those admitted for less than 24 hours for routine postoperative surveillance. Data were collected daily for a maximum of 28 days in the ICU, and patients were followed up for outcome data until death, hospital discharge, or for 60 days. Participation was entirely voluntary. Results The audit included 10069 patients from Europe (54.1%), Asia (19.2%), America (17.1%), and other continents (9.6%). Sepsis, defined as infection with associated organ failure, was identified during the ICU stay in 2973 (29.5%) patients, including in 1808 (18.0%) already at ICU admission. Occurrence rates of sepsis varied from 13.6% to 39.3% in the different regions. Overall ICU and hospital mortality rates were 25.8% and 35.3%, respectively, in patients with sepsis, but it varied from 11.9% and 19.3% (Oceania) to 39.5% and 47.2% (Africa), respectively. After adjustment for possible confounders in a multilevel analysis, independent risk factors for in-hospital death included older age, higher simplified acute physiology II score, comorbid cancer, chronic heart failure (New York Heart Association Classification III/IV), cirrhosis, use of mechanical ventilation or renal replacement therapy, and infection with Acinetobacter spp. Conclusions Sepsis remains a major health problem in ICU patients worldwide and is associated with high mortality rates. However, there is wide variability in the sepsis rate and outcomes in ICU patients around the globe.


2019 ◽  
Vol 26 (3) ◽  
pp. 90-100
Author(s):  
Justė Lukoševičiūtė ◽  
Kastytis Šmigelskas

Abstract. Illness perception is a concept that reflects patients' emotional and cognitive representations of disease. This study assessed the illness perception change during 6 months in 195 patients (33% women and 67% men) with acute coronary syndrome, taking into account the biological, psychological, and social factors. At baseline, more threatening illness perception was observed in women, persons aged 65 years or more, with poorer functional capacity (New York Heart Association [NYHA] class III or IV) and comorbidities ( p < .05). Type D personality was the only independent factor related to more threatening illness perception (βs = 0.207, p = .006). At follow-up it was found that only self-reported cardiovascular impairment plays the role in illness perception change (βs = 0.544, p < .001): patients without impairment reported decreasing threats of illness, while the ones with it had a similar perception of threat like at baseline. Other biological, psychological, and social factors were partly associated with illness perception after an acute cardiac event but not with perception change after 6 months.


2011 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 87 ◽  
Author(s):  
Necip Ermis ◽  
Hakan Atalay ◽  
Hakan Altay ◽  
Muhammet Bilgi ◽  
Suleyman Binici ◽  
...  

Objective: Prosthetic heart valve thrombosis (PVT) is a rare but severe cardiac condition. There are only a few data regarding comparison of the fibrinolytic and surgical approaches for the treatment of PVT. In this study, we compared the results of fibrinolytic therapy versus surgery in patients who presented to our institution with a diagnosis of obstructive-type PVT.Methods: From January 2001 to August 2008 in our institution, 33 patients who met clinical and echocardiographic criteria for obstructive-type PVT were included in the study. Fifteen of these patients underwent fibrinolytic treatment with streptokinase, which consisted of an initial bolus of 250,000 U followed by 100,000 U/h. Eighteen patients were treated with surgery.Results: The 2 groups had similar baseline characteristics, including New York Heart Association functional status, types and positions of prosthetic valves, international normalized ratio values, and presentation symptoms. Full hemodynamic success was achieved in 12 patients who underwent fibrinolytic therapy and in 15 patients in the surgery group. The mean (SD) streptokinase infusion time was 17.8 11.1 hours. Two major hemorrhages and 2 cases of systemic embolism were observed in the fibrinolytic group. The 2 groups did not differ with respect to mortality rate (P = .79). The duration of hospitalization was longer in the fibrinolytic group than in the surgery group (10.7 6.6 days versus 6.9 6.7 days, P = .045).Conclusions: Although fibrinolytic therapy is generally recommended for the treatment of PVT for specific patient groups, our results suggest that it may be as efficacious and safe as surgery, depending on patient selection.


Cancers ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 917
Author(s):  
Jun A ◽  
Baotong Zhang ◽  
Zhiqian Zhang ◽  
Hailiang Hu ◽  
Jin-Tang Dong

Molecular signatures predictive of recurrence-free survival (RFS) and castration resistance are critical for treatment decision-making in prostate cancer (PCa), but the robustness of current signatures is limited. Here, we applied the Robust Rank Aggregation (RRA) method to PCa transcriptome profiles and identified 287 genes differentially expressed between localized castration-resistant PCa (CRPC) and hormone-sensitive PCa (HSPC). Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and stepwise Cox regression analyses of the 287 genes developed a 6-gene signature predictive of RFS in PCa. This signature included NPEPL1, VWF, LMO7, ALDH2, NUAK1, and TPT1, and was named CRPC-derived prognosis signature (CRPCPS). Interestingly, three of these 6 genes constituted another signature capable of distinguishing CRPC from HSPC. The CRPCPS predicted RFS in 5/9 cohorts in the multivariate analysis and remained valid in patients stratified by tumor stage, Gleason score, and lymph node status. The signature also predicted overall survival and metastasis-free survival. The signature’s robustness was demonstrated by the C-index (0.55–0.74) and the calibration plot in all nine cohorts and the 3-, 5-, and 8-year area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.67–0.77) in three cohorts. The nomogram analyses demonstrated CRPCPS’ clinical applicability. The CRPCPS thus appears useful for RFS prediction in PCa.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
M Brandao ◽  
J Goncalves Almeida ◽  
J Monteiro ◽  
F Montenegro Sa ◽  
P Fonseca ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Upgrade to resynchronization therapy (CRT) from conventional pacemaker (P) or defibrillator (D) is common practice in Europe. However, guidelines (GL) are discordant: Pacing GL give a class I recommendation, while Heart Failure (HF) GL provide a class IIb indication. Previous studies suggested worse outcomes in upgraded patients (pts). Aim To compare response rate and clinical outcomes in a cohort of pts receiving de novo or upgrade to CRT. Methods Single-center retrospective study of consecutive pts submitted to CRT implantation (2007–2017). Major adverse cardiac events (MACE) included HF hospitalization (HHF) or all-cause mortality. Clinical response was defined as New York Heart Association class improvement without MACE in the first year of follow-up (FU). Left ventricle end-systolic volume reduction of &gt;15% denoted echocardiographic (echo) response. Survival analysis with Kaplan-Meier method and Log-rank test was performed. Propensity-score matching (PSM) analysis was made to adjust for possible confounder variables. Results 230 CRT recipients (70.9% male, mean age 67±11 years, 71.5% non-ischemic cardiomyopathy, 39.6% CRT-P) were included, of whom 46 (20%) underwent an upgrade. Upgraded pts were older (69.8 vs 65.9 years, p=0.015), with higher rates of permanent atrial fibrillation (37.0% vs 12.7%, p=0.001), moderate to severe valve disease (45.7% vs 22.3%, p=0.002), chronic kidney disease (37.0% vs 17.2%, p=0.005) and treatment with mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists (79.1% vs 52.0%, p=0.002). They were more likely to receive CRT-P (65.2% vs 33.2%, p&lt;0.001) and CRT-D were more often implanted for secondary prevention (60.0% vs 17.9%, p=0.001). No differences emerged in procedural complications, clinical (74.4% vs 71.4%, p=0.712) or echo (66.7% vs 69.7%, p=0.822) response rates. During a median FU of 3±4 years, all-cause mortality was similar among groups (Log Rank test, p=0.522, unadjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.25, confidence interval [CI] 95% 0.62–2.49, p=0.534). There was a statistical tendency for higher MACE rate in the upgrade group (Log Rank test, p=0.064, HR 1.66, CI 95% 0.95–2,91, p=0.076). No differences were found in lead dislodgement (10.9% vs 7.1%, p=0.368) or endocarditis (2.2% vs 4.3%, p=0.692) rates. PSM analysis identified 88 matched pairs (46 upgrade/42 de novo pts). In this cohort, all-cause mortality (Log Rank test, p=0.77, HR 0.89, CI 95% 0.39–2.03, p=0.78) and MACE (Log Rank test, p=0.36, HR 1.38, CI 95% 0.68–2.81, p=0.37) were comparable between groups [graph no. 1]. Conclusion Upgrade to CRT was similar to de novo implantation in terms of complications and clinical and echo response, in this cohort. The risk for MACE and mortality was also comparable. Graph 1 Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
ZhengZhong Wu ◽  
JunQing Lin ◽  
WeiZhu Yang ◽  
Na Jiang ◽  
Ning Huang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The purpose of this study was to assess the safety and efficacy of percutaneous transcatheter embolization (TCE) for the treatment of pulmonary arteriovenous malformations (PAVMs). Methods Forty-three consecutive patients (n = 17 males; n = 26 females) with 72 untreated PAVMs underwent coil and/or plug embolization between January 2010 and February 2018. The mean patient age was 42 ± 14 years (range 19–71 years). The median size of the feeding artery was 7.9 ± 2.9 mm (range 3.5–14.0 mm). The arterial blood gas level and cardiac function of all patients were analysed. The technical success rate, recanalization rate, and complications were evaluated. Computed tomography angiography (CTA) examinations were scheduled for 12 months after treatment and every 2–4 years thereafter. Results Twenty-five PAVMs were treated with coils alone, twenty-one were treated with plugs alone, and twenty-six were treated with both coils and plugs. The technical success rate was 100%. There were no complications during operation. However, one patient (2.3%) had pulmonary thrombosis and embolism post-operation. The patients’ pre-operative and post-operative PaO2 and SaO2 levels were significantly different (p < 0.01). A comparison of the New York Heart Association (NYHA) grade before and after embolization in all patients showed a significant decrease in the post-operative grade (p < 0.01). The 72 PAVMs were divided into three groups (coils only group [n = 25], plugs only group [n = 21], and coils/plugs combined group [n = 26]). After 12 months of follow-up, there were seven reperfusion PAVMs in the coil group, seven reperfusion PAVMs in the plug group, and 1 reperfusion PAVM in the combined group. There were significant differences between the two groups and the combined group. Conclusion Percutaneous TCE is safe and effective for the treatment of PAVMs. A combination of coils and vascular plugs may be useful for preventing recanalization after the embolization of PAVMs.


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