Test of the TRIM inventory projection methods on Wisconsin jack pine
Reported is a test of the methodology underlying the trim projection system being used in the Resources Planning Act timber assessment. Nine combinations of density standards and relative density change equations were used to estimate annual volume growth of jack pine (Pinusbanksiana Lamb.). Annual volume growth data from remeasured USDA Forest Service inventory plots in two northern Wisconsin survey units and from industrial continuous forest inventory plots were used to evaluate the combinations. The yield table of Gevorkiantz and Duerr for well-stocked jack pine stands combined with a Riccati relative density change equation gave unbiased estimates of annual volume growth on both an absolute and percent error basis. We conclude that the concepts underlying the TRIM methodology are sound. However, for jack pine in northern Wisconsin only well-stocked or normal yield tables as the density standard and locally calibrated relative density change equations provide unbiased estimates of growth. A jack pine empirical yield table combined with the form of the relative density change equation used in the southern timber supply study underestimated growth by 45.4% (1.39 m3/(ha•year)). An empirical yield table enhanced with the STEMS projection system as a density standard used without a relative density change equation underestimated growth by 65.6% (1.67 m3/(ha•year)). Thus, inappropriate combinations of density standards and relative density change equations may lead to large errors in growth estimates.