scholarly journals The Effectiveness of Feature Selection Method in Solar Power Prediction

2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Md Rahat Hossain ◽  
Amanullah Maung Than Oo ◽  
A. B. M. Shawkat Ali

This paper empirically shows that the effect of applying selected feature subsets on machine learning techniques significantly improves the accuracy for solar power prediction. Experiments are performed using five well-known wrapper feature selection methods to obtain the solar power prediction accuracy of machine learning techniques with selected feature subsets. For all the experiments, the machine learning techniques, namely, least median square (LMS), multilayer perceptron (MLP), and support vector machine (SVM), are used. Afterwards, these results are compared with the solar power prediction accuracy of those same machine leaning techniques (i.e., LMS, MLP, and SVM) but without applying feature selection methods (WAFS). Experiments are carried out using reliable and real life historical meteorological data. The comparison between the results clearly shows that LMS, MLP, and SVM provide better prediction accuracy (i.e., reduced MAE and MASE) with selected feature subsets than without selected feature subsets. Experimental results of this paper facilitate to make a concrete verdict that providing more attention and effort towards the feature subset selection aspect (e.g., selected feature subsets on prediction accuracy which is investigated in this paper) can significantly contribute to improve the accuracy of solar power prediction.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Simarjeet Kaur ◽  
Meenakshi Bansal ◽  
Ashok Kumar Bathla

Due to the rise in the use of messaging and mailing services, spam detection tasks are of much greater importance than before. In such a set of communications, efficient classification is a comparatively onerous job. For an addressee or any email that the user does not want to have in his inbox, spam can be defined as redundant or trash email. After pre-processing and feature extraction, various machine learning algorithms were applied to a Spam base dataset from the UCI Machine Learning repository in order to classify incoming emails into two categories: spam and non-spam. The outcomes of various algorithms have been compared. This paper used random forest, naive bayes, support vector machine (SVM), logistic regression, and the k nearest (KNN) machine learning algorithm to successfully classify email spam messages. The main goal of this study is to improve the prediction accuracy of spam email filters.


Author(s):  
Mushtaq Talb Tally ◽  
Haleh Amintoosi

With the development of web applications nowadays, intrusions represent a crucial aspect in terms of violating the security policies. Intrusions can be defined as a specific change in the normal behavior of the network operations that intended to violate the security policies of a particular network and affect its performance. Recently, several researchers have examined the capabilities of machine learning techniques in terms of detecting intrusions. One of the important issues behind using the machine learning techniques lies on employing proper set of features. Since the literature has shown diversity of feature types, there is a vital demand to apply a feature selection approach in order to identify the most appropriate features for intrusion detection. This study aims to propose a hybrid method of Genetic Algorithm and Support Vector Machine. GA has been as a feature selection in order to select the best features, while SVM has been used as a classification method to categorize the behavior into normal and intrusion based on the selected features from GA. A benchmark dataset of intrusions (NSS-KDD) has been in the experiment. In addition, the proposed method has been compared with the traditional SVM. Results showed that GA has significantly improved the SVM classification by achieving 0.927 of f-measure.


PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (7) ◽  
pp. e0254976
Author(s):  
Keyvan Karami ◽  
Mahboubeh Akbari ◽  
Mohammad-Taher Moradi ◽  
Bijan Soleymani ◽  
Hossein Fallahi

This paper identifies prognosis factors for survival in patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) using machine learning techniques. We have integrated machine learning with feature selection methods and have compared their performances to identify the most suitable factors in assessing the survival of AML patients. Here, six data mining algorithms including Decision Tree, Random Forrest, Logistic Regression, Naive Bayes, W-Bayes Net, and Gradient Boosted Tree (GBT) are employed for the detection model and implemented using the common data mining tool RapidMiner and open-source R package. To improve the predictive ability of our model, a set of features were selected by employing multiple feature selection methods. The accuracy of classification was obtained using 10-fold cross-validation for the various combinations of the feature selection methods and machine learning algorithms. The performance of the models was assessed by various measurement indexes including accuracy, kappa, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and area under the ROC curve (AUC). Our results showed that GBT with an accuracy of 85.17%, AUC of 0.930, and the feature selection via the Relief algorithm has the best performance in predicting the survival rate of AML patients.


Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 2371
Author(s):  
Wenting Zhang ◽  
Shigeyuki Hamori

Our study combines machine learning techniques and dynamic moving window and expanding window methods to predict crises in the US natural gas market. Specifically, as machine learning models, we employ extreme gradient boosting (XGboost), support vector machines (SVMs), a logistic regression (LogR), random forests (RFs), and neural networks (NNs). The data set used to develop the model covers the period 1994 to 2019 and contains 121 explanatory variables, including those related to crude oil, stock markets, US bond and gold futures, the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) index, and agriculture futures. To the best of our knowledge, this study is the first to combine machine learning techniques with dynamic approaches to predict US natural gas crises. To improve the model’s prediction accuracy, we applied a suite of parameter-tuning methods (e.g., grid-search) to select the best-performing hyperparameters for each model. Our empirical results demonstrated very good prediction accuracy for US natural gas crises when combining the XGboost model with the dynamic moving window method. We believe our findings will be useful to investors wanting to diversify their portfolios, as well as to policymakers wanting to take preemptive action to reduce losses.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 84-99
Author(s):  
Li-Pang Chen

In this paper, we investigate analysis and prediction of the time-dependent data. We focus our attention on four different stocks are selected from Yahoo Finance historical database. To build up models and predict the future stock price, we consider three different machine learning techniques including Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) and Support Vector Regression (SVR). By treating close price, open price, daily low, daily high, adjusted close price, and volume of trades as predictors in machine learning methods, it can be shown that the prediction accuracy is improved.


Author(s):  
Anantvir Singh Romana

Accurate diagnostic detection of the disease in a patient is critical and may alter the subsequent treatment and increase the chances of survival rate. Machine learning techniques have been instrumental in disease detection and are currently being used in various classification problems due to their accurate prediction performance. Various techniques may provide different desired accuracies and it is therefore imperative to use the most suitable method which provides the best desired results. This research seeks to provide comparative analysis of Support Vector Machine, Naïve bayes, J48 Decision Tree and neural network classifiers breast cancer and diabetes datsets.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tomoaki Mameno ◽  
Masahiro Wada ◽  
Kazunori Nozaki ◽  
Toshihito Takahashi ◽  
Yoshitaka Tsujioka ◽  
...  

AbstractThe purpose of this retrospective cohort study was to create a model for predicting the onset of peri-implantitis by using machine learning methods and to clarify interactions between risk indicators. This study evaluated 254 implants, 127 with and 127 without peri-implantitis, from among 1408 implants with at least 4 years in function. Demographic data and parameters known to be risk factors for the development of peri-implantitis were analyzed with three models: logistic regression, support vector machines, and random forests (RF). As the results, RF had the highest performance in predicting the onset of peri-implantitis (AUC: 0.71, accuracy: 0.70, precision: 0.72, recall: 0.66, and f1-score: 0.69). The factor that had the most influence on prediction was implant functional time, followed by oral hygiene. In addition, PCR of more than 50% to 60%, smoking more than 3 cigarettes/day, KMW less than 2 mm, and the presence of less than two occlusal supports tended to be associated with an increased risk of peri-implantitis. Moreover, these risk indicators were not independent and had complex effects on each other. The results of this study suggest that peri-implantitis onset was predicted in 70% of cases, by RF which allows consideration of nonlinear relational data with complex interactions.


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