scholarly journals Examining the Bus Ridership Demand: Application of Spatio-Temporal Panel Models

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Moshiur Rahman ◽  
Shamsunnahar Yasmin ◽  
Ahmadreza Faghih-Imani ◽  
Naveen Eluru

An important tool to evaluate the influence of these public transit investments on transit ridership is the application of statistical models. Drawing on stop-level boarding and alighting data for the Greater Orlando region, the current study estimates spatial panel models that accommodate for the impact of spatial and temporal observed and unobserved factors on transit ridership. Specifically, two spatial models, Spatial Error Model and Spatial Lag Model, are estimated for boarding and alighting separately by employing several exogenous variables including stop-level attributes, transportation and transit infrastructure variables, built environment and land use attributes, and sociodemographic and socioeconomic variables in the vicinity of the stop along with spatial and spatiotemporal lagged variables. The model estimation results are further augmented by a validation exercise. These models are expected to provide feedback to agencies on the benefits of public transit investments while also providing lessons to improve the investment process.

2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (335) ◽  
pp. 63-74
Author(s):  
Ewa Katarzyna Pośpiech ◽  
Adrianna Mastalerz-Kodzis

The article analyses the employment characteristics. The employment rate was studied in selected regions of Europe, and subsequently, for selected variables: total population employed, women employed and men employed, classic econometric models were constructed and the necessity of including the spatial factor in the process of modelling was verified. The demographic variables and GDP per capita were chosen as explaining variables of the model. It was analysed whether including a spatial approach in the models would improve their quality. Two basic spatial models were taken into consideration: the spatial error model and the spatial lag model, the former of which turned out to be the right tool for the analyses.


Author(s):  
Zisis Mallios

Hedonic pricing is an indirect valuation method that applies to heterogeneous goods investigating the relationship between the prices of tradable goods and their attributes. It can be used to measure the value of irrigation water through the estimation of the model that describes the relation between the market value of the land parcels and its characteristics. Because many of the land parcels included in a hedonic pricing model are spatial in nature, the conventional regression analysis fails to incorporate all the available information. Spatial regression models can achieve more efficient estimates because they are designed to deal with the spatial dependence of the data. In this paper, the authors present the results of an application of the hedonic pricing method on irrigation water valuation obtained using a software tool that is developed for the ArcGIS environment. This tool incorporates, in the GIS application, the estimation of two different spatial regression models, the spatial lag model and the spatial error model. It also has the option for different specifications of the spatial weights matrix, giving the researcher the opportunity to examine how it affects the overall performance of the model.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jyoti U. Devkota

Abstract Active fires illuminated on the earth surface are caught by the satellite. These fires are created by various sources such as vegetation fires, gas flares, biomass burning, volcanoes, and industrial sites such as steel mills. Near real time active fire data is collected using remote sensing techniques of satellites. Amount of active fires in an area is a proxy indicator of aerosols, green houses gases and trace gases. Here the behavior of active fires over a period of one year in Nepal, Bhutan and Srilanka are studied using spatial statistics. This study is based on data acquired through remote sensing of data acquisition platform, NASA’s MODIS. Spatial statistics is used here to study the incidence of active fires with respect to geographical location. The behavior of parameters of various autoregressive models like Spatial Durban Model, Spatial Lag Model, Spatial Error Model, Manski Model and Kelegian Prucha Model are minutely analyzed. The best model with highest pseudo R2 is selected. The spatial behavior of the fire radiative power for three countries is also predicted using spatial interpolation and kriging. So the burning potential of vegetations in unsampled areas is envisaged by thus predicting FRP. Such studies give a country wise perspective to the behavior of fire; this is with reference to south Asia. They are of great importance for countries of developing world which lack a strong backbone of good quality official records. Through the statistical analyses of data collected by such platforms, important information can be indirectly assessed.


Forests ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (9) ◽  
pp. 1209
Author(s):  
Shichuan Yu ◽  
Fei Wang ◽  
Mei Qu ◽  
Binhou Yu ◽  
Zhong Zhao

Changwu County is a typical soil and water loss area on the Loess Plateau. Soil erosion is an important ecological process, and the impact of land use/cover change on soil erosion has received much attention. The present study used remote sensing images of the study area in 1987, 1997, 2007, and 2017 to analyze the land use/cover change (LULCC), and the RUSLE model was applied to estimate the soil erosion in different times. We exploited the Sankey diagram to visualize the spatiotemporal changes in land use/cover and soil erosion. We planned to obtain the most suitable model by comparing the application of different spatial regression models (Geographically weighted regression model, Spatial lag model, Spatial error model) and Ordinary least squares in LULCC and soil erosion changes. The results revealed that land use/cover has significantly changed in the last 30 years. From 1987 to 1997, cropland expansion came mainly from planted land and orchards, which transformed 68.99 km2 and 64.93 km2, respectively. In 1997–2007, the planted land increase was mainly through the conversion of cropland. In 2007–2017, the increase in orchard area came mainly from cropland. The forest land increase was mainly from the planted land. Soil erosion in Changwu County was dominated by slight erosion and light erosion, although the area of slight erosion and light erosion continued to decrease. The annual average soil erosion increased, which was estimated at 977.84 ton km−2 year−1, 1305.17 ton km−2 year−1, 1310.60 ton km−2 year−1, and 1891.46 ton km−2 year−1 in 1987, 1997, 2007, and 2017, respectively. These amounts of transformation mainly occurred when slight erosion was converted to light erosion, light erosion was converted to moderate erosion, and moderate erosion was converted to light and severe erosion. The Spatial lag model and Spatial error model have higher accuracy than the Geographically weighted regression model and Ordinary least squares when fitting the effect of LULCC and soil erosion change, where the accuracy exceeded 0.62 in different periods.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Md. Hamidu Rahman ◽  
Niaz Mahmud Zafri ◽  
Fajle Rabbi Ashik ◽  
Md Waliullah

The outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic is an unprecedented shock throughout the world which leads to generate a massive social, human, and economic crisis. However, there is a lack of research on geographic modeling of COVID-19 as well as identification of contributory factors affecting the COVID-19 in the context of developing countries. To fulfill the gap, this study aimed to identify the potential factors affecting the COVID-19 incidence rates at the district-level in Bangladesh using spatial regression model (SRM). Therefore, data related to 32 demographic, economic, weather, built environment, health, and facilities related factors were collected and analyzed to explain the spatial variability of this disease incidence. Three global (Ordinary least squares (OLS), spatial lag model (SLM) and spatial error model (SEM)) and one local (geographically weighted regression (GWR)) SRMs were developed in this study. The results of the models showed that four factors significantly affected the COVID-19 incidence rates in Bangladesh. Those four factors are urban population percentage, monthly consumption, number of health workers, and distance from the capital. Among the four developed models, the GWR model performed the best in explaining the variation of COVID-19 incidence rates across Bangladesh with a R square value of 78.6%. Findings from this research offer a better insight into the COVID-19 situation and would help to develop policies aimed to prevent the future epidemic crisis.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (11) ◽  
pp. 1305-1312 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hong Zhao ◽  
Xiaoxi Cao ◽  
Tao Ma

Abstract Based on statistical data on 30 provincial administrative regions in China from 2000 to 2016, this paper conducts an empirical study of the impact of industrial agglomeration on haze pollution using the spatial Dubin model (SDM), spatial lag model (SLM), and spatial error model (SEM). The findings are as follows: (1) Industrial agglomeration can effectively reduce the degree of haze pollution. (2) Haze pollution has an inverted U-shaped relationship with economic development and population agglomeration. (3) The secondary industry has a positive correlation with haze pollution, while the tertiary industry can reduce haze pollution but not in an obvious manner. (4) The level of innovation and urbanization can help to reduce haze pollution, and the level of economic opening up and carbon dioxide emissions can exacerbate haze pollution. (5) Due to the insufficient commercialization of scientific and technological achievements, investment in science and technology is not obviously effective in preventing and controlling haze pollution. The relationship between environmental regulation and haze pollution is still unclear due to regional differences and the varied effectiveness of law enforcement. The study suggests that the government should guide industrial agglomeration in a reasonable manner, improve joint prevention and control across regions, and strengthen environmental regulation to prevent and control haze pollution.


2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (76) ◽  
pp. 155
Author(s):  
Ana Milena Plata Fajardo ◽  
Julio Cañón ◽  
Raffaele Lafortezza

This study addresses the marginal economic value of environmental amenities, structural characteristics, neighborhood facilities, and accessibility on property in Aquitania - Colombia. Based on 400 assessed values of rural land property and on 21 characteristic variables of land amenities and facilities, the study compares three models: Ordinary Least Squares (ols), Spatial Lag Model (slm), and Spatial Error Model (sem). Results show that both slm and sem outperformed ols in identifying the significance of real estate attributes. Results shows that farmers value environmental amenities more than other attributes, being implicit the greater value of cattle over agriculture (onion) in land use. These models may help to support decisions in rural real estate economics.


Author(s):  
Ting Ma ◽  
Chao Liu ◽  
Sevgi Erdoğan

Bicycle-sharing programs have emerged around the world. Theoretically, the effect of bicycle sharing on more conventional transit modes can take a substitute or complementary form. On one hand, bicycle sharing could substitute for conventional transit as a convenient and sustainable travel option. On the other hand, bicycle sharing may complement such transit by seamlessly connecting transit stations with origins and destinations and thus increase accessibility. However, the questions of how and to what extent bicycle-sharing programs affect public transit ridership remain to be answered, despite the attempts of a few empirical and quantitative studies. This study examined the impact of the Capital Bikeshare (CaBi) program on Metrorail's ridership in Washington, D.C. When CaBi trips were mapped, it was observed that Metrorail stations had been important origins and destinations for CaBi trips. Six of seven CaBi stations producing more than 500 trips were located close to Metrorail stations. This study conducted a regression analysis and found that public transit rider-ship was positively associated with CaBi ridership at the station level. A 10% increase in annual CaBi ridership contributed to a 2.8% increase in average daily Metrorail ridership. On the basis of these results, policy implications and recommendations are discussed.


2011 ◽  
Vol 27 (6) ◽  
pp. 1369-1375 ◽  
Author(s):  
Federico Martellosio

We show that any invariant test for spatial autocorrelation in a spatial error or spatial lag model with equal weights matrix has power equal to size. This result holds under the assumption of an elliptical distribution. Under Gaussianity, we also show that any test whose power is larger than its size for at least one point in the parameter space must be biased.


Author(s):  
Qi Zhou ◽  
Hao Lin ◽  
Junya Bao

The study of street network patterns is beneficial in understanding the layout or physical form of a city. Many studies have analyzed street network patterns, but the similarity and/or difference of street network patterns across a country or region are rarely quantitatively understood. To fill this gap, this research proposes a quantitative analysis of street network patterns nationwide. Specifically, the street network patterns across a country or region were first mapped, and then the relationship between such patterns and various landscape factors (calculated based on global open data) was quantitatively investigated by employing three regression models (ordinary least squares, spatial lag model, and spatial error model). Not only the whole region of China but also its subregions were used as study areas, which involved a total of 362 prefecture-level cities and 2081 built-up areas for analysis. Results showed that (1) similar street network patterns are spatially aggregated; (2) a number of factors, including both land-cover and terrain factors, are found to be significantly correlated with street network patterns; and (3) the spatial lag model is preferred in most of the application scenarios. Not only the analytical method and data can be applied to other countries and regions but also these findings are useful for understanding street network patterns and their associated urban forms in a country or region.


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