Risk Stratification as a Predictive Factor for Cephalosporin Allergy: A Case-Controlled Study

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Ayse Suleyman ◽  
Sadık Toprak ◽  
Nermin Guler
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Stratification ◽  
Skin Testing ◽  
Univariate Analysis ◽  
Significant Risk ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Skin Tests ◽  
Controlled Study ◽  
Risk Patients ◽  
Immediate Reactions

<b><i>Background:</i></b> Compared to penicillin, cephalosporin allergies are less common in children, and their diagnostic approach is less standardized. A recent European Academy of Allergy and Clinical Immunology position paper provided a risk stratification system for patients with suspected β-lactam hypersensitivity reactions. <b><i>Objective:</i></b> This study aimed to evaluate risk stratification and predicting factors for confirmed cephalosporin hypersensitivity. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> The case-controlled study included patients with confirmed cephalosporin hypersensitivity (skin tests, <i>n</i> = 53; drug provocation, <i>n</i> = 19). For each patient, 2 age- and gender-matched control subjects were included in the study. Data were retrieved from patients’ records and analyzed retrospectively. Risk stratification was performed according to the severity of index reactions, which was initially divided as high and low risk and then further divided as immediate and nonimmediate. <b><i>Results:</i></b> According to risk stratification, the patient and control groups were divided as follows: high-risk immediate (66.7% vs. 13%, respectively), high-risk delayed (1.4% vs. 8.3%, respectively), low-risk immediate (16.7% vs. 16%, respectively), and low-risk delayed (15.3% vs. 62.9%, respectively). Immediate reactions (odds ratio [OR]: 12.1, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 9–24.8, <i>p</i> &#x3c; 0.001) and high-risk reactions (OR: 7.8, 95% CI: 4.1–14.6, <i>p</i> &#x3c; 0.001) were associated with confirmed cephalosporin hypersensitivity in univariate analysis. Multivariate regression analysis indicated that immediate reactions (OR: 7.5, 95% CI: 3.3–16.8, <i>p</i> &#x3c; 0.001) and high-risk reactions (OR: 5.2, 95% CI: 2.1–12.9, <i>p</i> &#x3c; 0.001) were significant risk factors for the prediction of cephalosporin hypersensitivity. <b><i>Conclusion:</i></b> This model can be applied in children with suspected cephalosporin allergy. Skin testing provides diagnostic information in high-risk patients with immediate reactions and reduces the need for drug provocation testing in these patients. It is highly likely to confirm the diagnosis of low-risk patients directly with provocation tests without skin tests. High-risk and immediate reactions were found to be predictive factors for confirmed cephalosporin allergy.

scholarly journals Pre-hospital risk assessment in suspected non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome: A prospective observational study

2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (1_suppl) ◽  
pp. 5-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dominique N van Dongen ◽  
Rudolf T Tolsma ◽  
Marion J Fokkert ◽  
Erik A Badings ◽  
Aize van der Sluis ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Myocardial Infarction ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Stratification ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Heart Score ◽  
Coronary Syndrome ◽  
Risk Patients ◽  
St Elevation

Background: Pre-hospital risk stratification of non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS) by the complete HEART score has not yet been assessed. We investigated whether pre-hospital risk stratification of patients with suspected NSTE-ACS using the HEART score is accurate in predicting major adverse cardiac events (MACE). Methods: This is a prospective observational study, including 700 patients with suspected NSTE-ACS. Risk stratification was performed by ambulance paramedics, using the HEART score; low risk was defined as HEART score ⩽ 3. Primary endpoint was occurrence of MACE within 45 days after inclusion. Secondary endpoint was myocardial infarction or death. Results: A total of 172 patients (24.6%) were stratified as low risk and 528 patients (75.4%) as intermediate to high risk. Mean age was 53.9 years in the low risk group and 66.7 years in the intermediate to high risk group ( p<0.001), 50% were male in the low risk group versus 60% in the intermediate to high risk group ( p=0.026). MACE occurred in five patients in the low risk group (2.9%) and in 111 (21.0%) patients at intermediate or high risk ( p<0.001). There were no deaths in the low risk group and the occurrence of acute myocardial infarction in this group was 1.2%. In the high risk group six patients died (1.1%) and 76 patients had myocardial infarction (14.4%). Conclusions: In suspected NSTE-ACS, pre-hospital risk stratification by ambulance paramedics, including troponin measurement, is accurate in differentiating between low and intermediate to high risk. Future studies should investigate whether transportation of low risk patients to a hospital can be avoided, and whether high risk patients benefit from immediate transfer to a hospital with early coronary angiography possibilities.

Sequential Treatment with Rituximab and CHOP Chemotherapy in B-Cell PTLD - Moving Forward to a First Standard of Care: Results From a Prospective International Multicenter Trial.

Blood ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 114 (22) ◽  
pp. 100-100 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ralf Trappe ◽  
Sylvain Choquet ◽  
Stephan H.K. Oertel ◽  
Veronique Leblond ◽  
Daan Dierickx ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Complete Remission ◽  
Risk Stratification ◽  
Disease Progression ◽  
Early Treatment ◽  
Interim Analysis ◽  
Research Funding ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Sequential Treatment ◽  
Risk Patients

Abstract Abstract 100 Purpose: This trial aimed to investigate the efficacy and safety of sequential treatment with rituximab and CHOP-21 in patients with PTLD unresponsive to reduction of immunosuppression. Methods: An ongoing prospective, multicenter, international phase II trial was initiated in January 2003. Initially patients were treated with a fixed sequence of rituximab at days 1, 8, 15 and 22 (4R) followed by four cycles of CHOP-21 combined with G-CSF support starting 4 weeks after the last dose of rituximab (sequential treatment, ST). Based on the results of an earlier interim analysis showing that the response to rituximab predicts OS the trial was amended in 2007 introducing risk stratification according to the response to 4R (risk stratified sequential treatment, RSST). In RSST patients achieving a complete remission after 4R (low risk) continue with four 3-weekly courses of rituximab monotherapy while patients in PR, SD or PD (high risk) are followed by four cycles of R-CHOP-21 + G-CSF. Results: This is a scheduled interim analysis after inclusion of a total of 104 patients. The median follow up is 34.0 months for ST (64 pts.) and 9.1 months for RSST (40 pts.). 61 ST and 35 RSST patients were diagnosed with monomorphic PTLD, 3/5 with polymorphic PTLD. 27/23 patients were kidney, 3/0 kidney+pancreas, 15/8 liver, 13/6 heart, 6/3 lung or heart+lung transplant recipients. Median age at diagnosis of PTLD was 53/60 years (mean age: 48/56 years). 59%/58% of patients had an advanced stage of disease (Ann Arbor III/IV) and 49%/47% of tumors were EBV positive. 75%/75% of patients had late PTLD (i.e. later than 1 year after transplantation). LDH was elevated in 71%/64% of patients, respectively. The overall response rate (ORR) to 4 initial courses of rituximab monotherapy (4R, N=104) was 54% with a CR-rate of 32% and the subsequent completion of treatment with CHOP or R-CHOP allowed a clear increase of the response (p<0.0001, Fig. 1). With ST the final ORR was 89% (CR rate: 69%). 86%, 75% and 75% of patients were without disease progression at one, two and three years, respectively (Fig. 2a). Disease free survival was 87%, 78% and 70% at one, two and three years. There were 6 early treatment associated deaths (9%) resulting from infections (1 from CMV-colitis, 1 from PcP-pneumonia, 1 from fulminant hepatitis, 3 from sepsis) and 2/64 patients died from refractory PTLD. Two further patients died due to hemorrhage during treatment. With RSST the ORR was 90% and 73% achieved a complete remission. 90% of patients were without disease progression at one year (Fig. 2a). There was one early treatment related death due to infection (2.5%). This patient died from sepsis secondary to intestinal perforation in response to R-CHOP treatment. 2/40 patients died from refractory PTLD. With 1 event in 16 patients in both, the ST and the RSST-arms, subsequent consolidation with rituximab monotherapy (RSST) seems not to be inferior to consolidation with 4 cycles of CHOP (ST) in patients with a CR after 4R. Up to now there is no difference in toxicity between CHOP and R-CHOP in ST/RSST. Patients failing to achieve a complete remission with 4R (72 patients) seem to benefit from the subsequent escalation from CHOP to R-CHOP (Fig. 2b). Conclusions: This is the largest prospective study in PTLD. Sequential treatment with rituximab and CHOP-21 + G-CSF is well tolerated and highly effective with a treatment related mortality of less than 10% and an efficacy of up to 90%. In comparison to historic series of rituximab monotherapy, significantly more patients achieve a CR with sequential treatment and time to progression (TTP) is very much prolonged. In comparison to historic series of CHOP, sequential treatment is much better tolerated. This may result from a lower tumor burden and a better patient fitness at the time chemotherapy is applied. Introduction of risk stratification according to the response to 4 courses of rituximab monotherapy might further improve these results restricting chemotherapy related toxicity to high risk patients while these data suggest that low risk patients can effectively be treated with extended rituximab monotherapy. Thus, risk stratified sequential treatment (RSST) might further improve OS in this difficult to treat disease. Disclosures: Trappe: Hoffmann La Roche Ltd.: Consultancy, Honoraria, Research Funding; AMGEN GmbH: Research Funding. Choquet:Hoffmann La Roche Ltd.: Consultancy, Honoraria. Oertel:Hoffmann La Roche Ltd.: Employment, Equity Ownership. Leblond:Hoffmann La Roche Ltd.: Consultancy, Honoraria, Research Funding. Ekman:Hoffmann La Roche Ltd.: Honoraria. Dührsen:Hoffmann La Roche Ltd.: Honoraria, Research Funding. Salles:Hoffmann La Roche Ltd.: Consultancy, Honoraria, Research Funding. Morschhauser:Hoffmann La Roche Ltd.: Honoraria. Riess:Hoffmann La Roche Ltd.: Consultancy, Honoraria, Research Funding; AMGEN GmBH: Consultancy, Honoraria, Research Funding.

scholarly journals Delayed risk stratification, to include the response to initial treatment (surgery and radioiodine ablation), has better outcome predictivity in differentiated thyroid cancer patients

2011 ◽  
Vol 165 (3) ◽  
pp. 441-446 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maria Grazia Castagna ◽  
Fabio Maino ◽  
Claudia Cipri ◽  
Valentina Belardini ◽  
Alexandra Theodoropoulou ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Thyroid Cancer ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Stratification ◽  
Initial Treatment ◽  
Differentiated Thyroid Cancer ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Risk Category ◽  
Radioiodine Ablation ◽  
Risk Patients

IntroductionAfter initial treatment, differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) patients are stratified as low and high risk based on clinical/pathological features. Recently, a risk stratification based on additional clinical data accumulated during follow-up has been proposed.ObjectiveTo evaluate the predictive value of delayed risk stratification (DRS) obtained at the time of the first diagnostic control (8–12 months after initial treatment).MethodsWe reviewed 512 patients with DTC whose risk assessment was initially defined according to the American (ATA) and European Thyroid Association (ETA) guidelines. At the time of the first control, 8–12 months after initial treatment, patients were re-stratified according to their clinical status: DRS.ResultsUsing DRS, about 50% of ATA/ETA intermediate/high-risk patients moved to DRS low-risk category, while about 10% of ATA/ETA low-risk patients moved to DRS high-risk category. The ability of the DRS to predict the final outcome was superior to that of ATA and ETA. Positive and negative predictive values for both ATA (39.2 and 90.6% respectively) and ETA (38.4 and 91.3% respectively) were significantly lower than that observed with the DRS (72.8 and 96.3% respectively,P<0.05). The observed variance in predicting final outcome was 25.4% for ATA, 19.1% for ETA, and 62.1% for DRS.ConclusionsDelaying the risk stratification of DTC patients at a time when the response to surgery and radioiodine ablation is evident allows to better define individual risk and to better modulate the subsequent follow-up.

scholarly journals Comparison of risk assessment strategies for not-high-risk pulmonary embolism

2016 ◽  
Vol 47 (4) ◽  
pp. 1170-1178 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lukas Hobohm ◽  
Kristian Hellenkamp ◽  
Gerd Hasenfuß ◽  
Thomas Münzel ◽  
Stavros Konstantinides ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Pulmonary Embolism ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Stratification ◽  
Adverse Outcome ◽  
Troponin T ◽  
Favourable Outcome ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Fatty Acid Binding ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Risk Patients

We compared the prognostic performance of the 2014 European Society of Cardiology (ESC) risk stratification algorithm with the previous 2008 ESC algorithm, the Bova score and the modified FAST score (based on a positive heart-type fatty acid-binding protein (H-FABP) test, syncope and tachycardia, modified using high-sensitivity troponin T instead of H-FABP) in 388 normotensive pulmonary embolism patients included in a single-centre cohort study.Overall, 25 patients (6.4%) had an adverse 30-day outcome. Regardless of the score or algorithm used, the rate of an adverse outcome was highest in the intermediate-high-risk classes, while all patients classified as low-risk had a favourable outcome (no pulmonary embolism-related deaths, 0–1.4% adverse outcome). The area under the curve for predicting an adverse outcome was higher for the 2014 ESC algorithm (0.76, 95% CI 0.68–0.84) compared with the 2008 ESC algorithm (0.65, 95% CI 0.56–0.73) and highest for the modified FAST score (0.82, 95% CI 0.75–0.89). Patients classified as intermediate-high-risk by the 2014 ESC algorithm had a 8.9-fold increased risk for an adverse outcome (3.2–24.2, p<0.001 compared with intermediate-low- and low-risk patients), while the highest OR was observed for a modified FAST score ≥3 points (OR 15.9, 95% CI 5.3–47.6, p<0.001).The 2014 ESC algorithm improves risk stratification of not-high-risk pulmonary embolism compared with the 2008 ESC algorithm. All scores and algorithms accurately identified low-risk patients, while the modified FAST score appears more suitable to identify intermediate-high-risk patients.

scholarly journals Catheter Management and Risk Stratification of Patients With in Inpatient Treatment Due to Acute Epididymitis

2020 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mike Wenzel ◽  
Marina Deuker ◽  
Maria N. Welte ◽  
Benedikt Hoeh ◽  
Felix Preisser ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Stratification ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Inpatient Treatment ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
High Risk Patients ◽  
Catheter Group ◽  
Risk Patients ◽  
Acute Epididymitis

Objective: This study aims to evaluate catheter management in acute epididymitis (AE) patients requiring inpatient treatment and risk factors predicting severity of disease.Material and Methods: Patients with diagnosed AE and inpatient treatment between 2004 and 2019 at the University Hospital Frankfurt were analyzed. A risk score, rating severity of AE, including residual urine &gt; 100 ml, fever &gt; 38.0°C, C-reactive protein (CRP) &gt; 5 mg/dl, and white blood count (WBC) &gt; 10/nl was introduced.Results: Of 334 patients, 107 (32%) received a catheter (transurethral (TC): n = 53, 16%, suprapubic (SPC): n = 54, 16%). Catheter patients were older, exhibited more comorbidities, and had higher CRP and WBC compared with the non-catheter group (NC). Median length of stay (LOS) was longer in the catheter group (7 vs. 6 days, p &lt; 0.001), whereas necessity of abscess surgery and recurrent epididymitis did not differ. No differences in those parameters were recorded between TC and SPC. According to our established risk score, 147 (44%) patients exhibited 0–1 (low-risk) and 187 (56%) 2–4 risk factors (high-risk). In the high-risk group, patients received a catheter significantly more often than with low-risk (TC: 22 vs. 9%; SPC: 19 vs. 12%, both p ≤ 0.01). Catheter or high-risk patients exhibited positive urine cultures more frequently than NC or low-risk patients. LOS was comparable between high-risk patients with catheter and low-risk NC patients.Conclusion: Patients with AE who received a catheter at admission were older, multimorbid, and exhibited more severe symptoms of disease compared with the NC patients. A protective effect of catheters might be attributable to patients with adverse risk constellations or high burden of comorbidities. The introduced risk score indicates a possibility for risk stratification.

scholarly journals Impacts of remdesivir on dynamics and efficacy stratified by the severity of COVID- 19: a simulated two-arm controlled study

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ting-Yu Lin ◽  
Wei-Jung Chang ◽  
Chen-Yang Hsu ◽  
Chao-Chih Lai ◽  
Amy Ming-Fang Yen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Secondary Analysis ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Controlled Study ◽  
Significant Efficacy ◽  
Medium Risk ◽  
Risk Patients ◽  
Discharge From Hospital ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Insight Into

Background: The impact of remdesivir on length of stay of hospitalization, high-risk state, and death stratified by the severity of COVID-19 at enrollment is controversial. Methods: We applied a simulated two-arm controlled study design to the data on compassionate use of remdesivir as a secondary analysis. Dynamics of risk states and death from COVID-19 patients defined by the six-point disease severity recommended by the WHO R&D and the time to discharge from hospital were used to evaluate the efficacy of remdesivir treatment compared with standard care. Results: Stratified by the risk state at enrollment, low-risk patients exhibited the highest efficacy of remdesivir in reducing subsequent progression to high-risk state by 67% (relative risk (RR)=0.33,95% CI: 0.30-0.35) and further to death by 55% (RR=0.45, 95%CI: 0.39-0.50). For the medium-risk patients, less but still statistically significant efficacy results were noted in reducing progression to high-risk state by 52% (RR=0.48, 95% CI: 0.45-0.51) and further to death by 40% (RR=0.60, 95% CI:0.54-0.66). High-risk state patients treated with remdesivir led to a 25% statistically significant reduction in death (RR=0.75, 95% CI: 0.69-0.82). Regarding the outcome of discharge, remdesivir treatment was most effective for medium-risk patients at enrollment (RR: 1.41, 95% CI: 1.35-1.47) followed by high- (RR=1.34, 95% CI: 1.27-1.42) and low-risk patients (RR=1.28, 95% CI: 1.25-1.31). Conclusion: Our results with a simulated two-arm controlled study have provided a new insight into the precision treatment of remdesivir for COVID-19 patients based on risk-stratified efficacy.

Genetic Risk Stratification to Minimize Inhibitor Risk with the Use of Recombinant Factor VIII Concentrates: A Sippet Analysis

Blood ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 128 (22) ◽  
pp. 325-325
Author(s):  
Frits Rosendaal ◽  
Roberta Palla ◽  
Isabella Garagiola ◽  
Piermannuccio Mannucci ◽  
Flora Peyvandi
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Stratification ◽  
Factor Viii ◽  
Cumulative Incidence ◽  
Research Funding ◽  
Risk Difference ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Inhibitor Development ◽  
High Risk Patients ◽  
Risk Patients

Abstract Background The development of neutralizing antibodies against factor VIII is a common and serious complication of replacement therapy, occurring mainly in the early stages of treatment. Meta-analyses of observational studies have suggested a higher risk of inhibitor development with concentrates produced by recombinant technologies (rFVIII) than with those derived from human plasma (pdFVIII) containing von Willebrand factor, which was recently confirmed in a randomized trial. In this trial cumulative incidences of inhibitor development were 44.5% for rFVIII and 26.8% for pdFVIII, for a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.87 (95% confidence interval (CI95) 1.17-2.96). Given the particularly high risk with rFVIII , it has been suggested to restrict the use of rFVIII to low risk patients, and treat high-risk patients with pdFVIII. We investigated such a strategy in a post-hoc analysis of the SIPPET study, in which we used the FVIII genotype (F8 gene mutation) to classify patients by prior risk. Methods SIPPET is an open label international randomized trial on which 251 previously untreated (n=142) or minimally treated (less than five exposure to blood components other than concentrate or cryoprecipitate, n=109) in 42 centers to be treated exclusively with a concentrate from the class of rFVIII or pdFVIII. Patients were tested for inhibitors before entry and at regular intervals during 50 exposure days, 3 years or the development of an inhibitor of at least 0.4 Bethesda units (BU). The trial ran from 2010 to 2014 and was terminated when the prespecified number of patients was included. Patients who had not reached 50ED by that time were censored. Patients were classified at high risk when they carried a null mutation (inversion, large deletion, frameshift, nonsense mutation) in the F8 gene and as low risk when they carried another causative variant (missense, splice site, polymorphisms, no mutation). We estimated cumulative incidences, hazard ratios and numbers needed to harm (NNH) for rFVIII vs pdFVIII for high- and low risk patients. Results Among 251 patients, 76 developed an inhibitor (all > 0.7 BU) of which 50 were high- titer (> 5 BU). Among 197 patients classified as high risk, 65 developed an inhibitor (cumulative incidence 38.2%, CI95 30.8-45.6), whereas among the 38 patients classified as low risk 7 developed an inhibitor (cumulative incidence 23.9%, CI95 8.2-39.6). High and low risk patients were equally distributed over the two arms of the trial, i.e., 96 out of 126 treated with rFVIII were high risk, and 101 out of 125 treated with pdFVIII. Among high risk patients, cumulative incidence was 30.7% when treated with pdFVIII , and 46.5% when treated with rFVIII (risk difference 15.8%). Among low risk patients, no inhibitors developed with pdFVIII, whereas the cumulative incidence was 43.2% with rFVIII (risk difference 43.2%). This implies that the Number Needed to Harm was 5.6 overall, 6.3 for high-risk patients, and 2.3 in low risk patients. Conclusion Risk stratification by the type of F8 mutation does not identify previously untreated patients with hemophilia A who have a low inhibitor risk when exposed to rFVIII. Other means need to be found to reduce the occurrence of inhibitors with rFVIII. Disclosures Palla: Pfizer: Other: travel support . Mannucci:NovoNordisk: Speakers Bureau; Kedrion: Speakers Bureau; Grifols: Speakers Bureau; Bayer: Speakers Bureau. Peyvandi:Bayer: Speakers Bureau; SOBI: Speakers Bureau; Kedrion Biopharma: Consultancy, Other: research funding paid to Luigi Villa Foundation, Research Funding; Alexion: Other: research funding paid to Luigi Villa Foundation, Research Funding; Octapharma: Consultancy; Ablynx: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Other: research funding paid to Luigi Villa Foundation, Research Funding; Biotest: Other: research funding paid to Luigi Villa Foundation, Research Funding, Speakers Bureau; CSL Behring: Speakers Bureau; LFB: Consultancy; Grifols: Speakers Bureau; Novo Nordisk: Other: research funding paid to Luigi Villa Foundation, Research Funding, Speakers Bureau.

Risk Stratification for the Development of Venous Thromboembolism in Hospitalized Patients with Cancer

Blood ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 128 (22) ◽  
pp. 4728-4728 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arabesque Parker ◽  
Erica A. Peterson ◽  
Agnes Y. Y. Lee ◽  
Carine de Wit ◽  
Marc Carrier ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Venous Thromboembolism ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Stratification ◽  
Board Of Directors ◽  
Cancer Patients ◽  
Major Bleeding ◽  
Research Funding ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Advisory Committees ◽  
Risk Patients

Abstract Introduction: No method of venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk stratification exists for hospitalized cancer patients. The Khorana score is a validated tool in outpatients with cancer. The objective of this study was to assess the Khorana score for predicting development of VTE in cancer patients during admission to hospital. Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis of data collected from healthcare records of consecutive, medically-ill cancer patients hospitalized between January and June 2010 in 3 academic medical centers in Canada. Objectively diagnosed symptomatic VTE during hospitalization, anticoagulant thromboprophylaxis (TP), and Khorana score variables were collected for every patient. Patients receiving therapeutic anticoagulation at admission, and those with incomplete data were excluded. The risk of VTE based on Khorana score category was evaluated using logistic regression. Continuous data were compared using a Student's t-test and expressed using the means and standard deviations. Categorical data were compared using the Pearson Chi-square test and were expressed as percentages. Statistical significance was defined as alpha less than 0.05. Results: 1398 patients were included. Mean age was 61.6 years, 51.2% were male, and mean BMI was 25.9 kg/m2. The most frequent tumor types were non-small cell lung carcinoma (12.7%) followed by lymphoma (10.9%). The median length of stay was 6 days (range 0-114 days). The most frequent reasons for hospitalization were chemotherapy (22.3%) followed by pain and palliation (21.4%). 34.5% received anticoagulant TP (n = 483/1398). The incidence of VTE was 2.9% (41/1398) overall, 5.4% (9/166) in high, 3.2% (26/817) in moderate, and 1.4% (6/415) in low Khorana score risk groups. High risk patients were significantly more likely than low risk patients to have VTE (p=0.016; OR 3.9, 95% CI 1.4-11.2). There was no difference in VTE incidence between patients who received anticoagulant TP and those who did not (3.5% vs 2.6%, p = 0.345). Patients with high risk Khorana score were more likely to receive anticoagulant TP than those with low risk Khorana score (46.4% vs. 23.9%, p <0.001, OR 2.8, 95% CI 1.9-4.0). Total incidence of major bleeding was 1.8% (25/1398). There was no difference in major bleeding between patients who received anticoagulant TP and those who did not (1.7% vs. 1.9%, p = 0.787). Conclusion: The Khorana score is predictive of VTE development in cancer patients who are hospitalized for medical illness and may be a useful tool for tailoring inpatient anticoagulant prophylaxis. Disclosures Lee: LEO: Consultancy, Honoraria; Bayer: Consultancy, Honoraria; Bristol Myers-Squibb: Consultancy, Honoraria, Research Funding; Pfizer: Consultancy, Honoraria. Carrier:BMS: Research Funding; Leo Pharma: Research Funding. Wu:Pfizer: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Speakers Bureau; Leo Pharma: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Speakers Bureau.

Updated risk stratification model for smoldering multiple myeloma (SMM) incorporating the revised IMWG diagnostic criteria.

2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 8000-8000 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jesus San Miguel ◽  
Maria-Victoria Mateos ◽  
Veronica Gonzalez ◽  
Meletios A. Dimopoulos ◽  
Efstathios Kastritis ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Stratification ◽  
Diagnostic Criteria ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Cox Model ◽  
Univariate Analysis ◽  
Significant Risk ◽  
Therapeutic Trial ◽  
Risk Stratification Model

8000 Background: The diagnostic criteria for MM were revised in 2014, recategorizing ultra-high risk (i.e., 80% at two years) as active myeloma requiring therapy. The removal of patients at the highest risk of progression from the smoldering group requires reassessment of current risk stratification models. Methods: We designed a multicenter, retrospective study of SMM patients to develop a risk stratification model. Patients diagnosed with SMM on/after January 1, 2004 were included if they had no disease progression within 6 months, had baseline data from diagnosis (+/- 3 months), had a follow up of ≥1 year, and did not participate in a therapeutic trial of SMM. Various clinical and laboratory factors were explored to identify factors that predicted progression at 2 years. Univariate Cox regressions were run for each factor. For factors with p-values ≤ 0.25, optimal cut points were identified using Youden’s index. Binary factors were used in stepwise regression to fit multivariable Cox model and significant risk factors were determined (F-test). Results: Overall, 2004 patients were included (ages 26-93, 51% female). Factors independently associated with progression (optimal cutoffs) included: Serum M protein (2 g/dL), involved to uninvolved serum-free light chain ratio (20), and marrow plasma cell % (20%). Patients were stratified using the risk factors: Low- (0 factors), Intermediate- (1), and High-Risk (≥2). Previously used high risk markers such as Bence Jones proteinuria (≥500 mg/24 hours) and severe immunoparesis (50% decrease in uninvolved immunoglobulin levels) were both significant in univariate analysis, but were eliminated on step wise selection. Compared to the low risk group, intermediate- and high-risk groups had significantly higher rate of progression (Table). Within the high-risk group, having all 3 risk factors (n=61) versus 2 did not add to the model, with insufficient separation between 2 and 3 factors. Conclusions: We have developed a risk stratification model for SMM that incorporates revised cutoffs for previously used parameters (20/2/20) that can be universally applied. Additonal analysis are being conducted to develop models that utilize common cytogenetic abnormalities, as well as those without FLC given lack of availability of all tests across the world. [Table: see text]

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