scholarly journals Comparison of risk assessment strategies for not-high-risk pulmonary embolism

2016 ◽  
Vol 47 (4) ◽  
pp. 1170-1178 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lukas Hobohm ◽  
Kristian Hellenkamp ◽  
Gerd Hasenfuß ◽  
Thomas Münzel ◽  
Stavros Konstantinides ◽  
...  

We compared the prognostic performance of the 2014 European Society of Cardiology (ESC) risk stratification algorithm with the previous 2008 ESC algorithm, the Bova score and the modified FAST score (based on a positive heart-type fatty acid-binding protein (H-FABP) test, syncope and tachycardia, modified using high-sensitivity troponin T instead of H-FABP) in 388 normotensive pulmonary embolism patients included in a single-centre cohort study.Overall, 25 patients (6.4%) had an adverse 30-day outcome. Regardless of the score or algorithm used, the rate of an adverse outcome was highest in the intermediate-high-risk classes, while all patients classified as low-risk had a favourable outcome (no pulmonary embolism-related deaths, 0–1.4% adverse outcome). The area under the curve for predicting an adverse outcome was higher for the 2014 ESC algorithm (0.76, 95% CI 0.68–0.84) compared with the 2008 ESC algorithm (0.65, 95% CI 0.56–0.73) and highest for the modified FAST score (0.82, 95% CI 0.75–0.89). Patients classified as intermediate-high-risk by the 2014 ESC algorithm had a 8.9-fold increased risk for an adverse outcome (3.2–24.2, p<0.001 compared with intermediate-low- and low-risk patients), while the highest OR was observed for a modified FAST score ≥3 points (OR 15.9, 95% CI 5.3–47.6, p<0.001).The 2014 ESC algorithm improves risk stratification of not-high-risk pulmonary embolism compared with the 2008 ESC algorithm. All scores and algorithms accurately identified low-risk patients, while the modified FAST score appears more suitable to identify intermediate-high-risk patients.

2015 ◽  
Vol 46 (6) ◽  
pp. 1701-1710 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kristian Hellenkamp ◽  
Johanna Schwung ◽  
Heidi Rossmann ◽  
Anja Kaeberich ◽  
Rolf Wachter ◽  
...  

The prognostic value of copeptin, the C-terminal fragment of the precursor protein of vasopressin which is released upon stress, and hypotension in pulmonary embolism is unknown, especially if combined with biomarkers reflecting different pathophysiological axes such as myocardial injury (high-sensitivity troponin T (hsTnT)) and stretch (N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP)).We prospectively studied 268 normotensive pulmonary embolism patients included in a single-centre cohort study.Patients with an adverse 30-day outcome (5.6%) had higher copeptin levels than patients with a favourable course (median (interquartile range) 51.8 (21.6–90.8) versus 13.2 (5.9–39.3) pmol·L−1; p=0.020). Patients with copeptin levels above the calculated optimal cut-off value of 24 pmol·L−1 had a 5.4-fold increased risk for an adverse outcome (95% CI 1.68–17.58; p=0.005). We developed a strategy for risk stratification based on biomarkers. None of 141 patients (52.6%) with hsTnT <14 pg·mL−1 or NT-proBNP <600 pg·mL−1 had an adverse outcome (low risk). Copeptin ≥24 pmol·L−1 stratified patients with elevated hsTnT and NT-proBNP as intermediate–low and intermediate–high risk (5.6% and 20.0% adverse outcome, respectively). Compared to the algorithm proposed by the 2014 European Society of Cardiology guideline, more patients were classified as low risk (52.8% versus 17.5%, p<0.001) and more patients in the intermediate–high risk group had an adverse outcome (20.0% versus 11.6%).Copeptin might be helpful for risk stratification of normotensive patients with pulmonary embolism, especially if integrated into a biomarker-based algorithm.


2018 ◽  
Vol 51 (4) ◽  
pp. 1702037 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kristian Hellenkamp ◽  
Piotr Pruszczyk ◽  
David Jiménez ◽  
Anna Wyzgał ◽  
Deisy Barrios ◽  
...  

To externally validate the prognostic impact of copeptin, either alone or integrated in risk stratification models, in pulmonary embolism (PE), we performed a post hoc analysis of 843 normotensive PE patients prospectively included in three European cohorts.Within the first 30 days, 21 patients (2.5%, 95% CI 1.5–3.8) had an adverse outcome and 12 (1.4%, 95% CI 0.7–2.5) died due to PE. Patients with copeptin ≥24 pmol·L−1 had a 6.3-fold increased risk for an adverse outcome (95% CI 2.6–15.5, p<0.001) and a 7.6-fold increased risk for PE-related death (95% CI 2.3–25.6, p=0.001). Risk classification according to the 2014 European Society of Cardiology (ESC) guideline algorithm identified 248 intermediate-high-risk patients (29.4%) with 5.6% (95% CI 3.1–9.3) at risk of adverse outcomes. A stepwise biomarker-based risk assessment strategy (based on high-sensitivity troponin T, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide and copeptin) identified 123 intermediate-high-risk patients (14.6%) with 8.9% (95% CI 4.5–15.4) at risk of adverse outcomes. The identification of patients at higher risk was even better when copeptin was measured on top of the 2014 ESC algorithm in intermediate-high-risk patients (adverse outcome OR 11.1, 95% CI 4.6–27.1, p<0.001; and PE-related death OR 13.5, 95% CI 4.2–43.6, p<0.001; highest risk group versus all other risk groups). This identified 85 patients (10.1%) with 12.9% (95% CI 6.6–22.0) at risk of adverse outcomes and 8.2% (95% CI 3.4–16.2) at risk of PE-related deaths.Copeptin improves risk stratification of normotensive PE patients, especially when identifying patients with an increased risk of an adverse outcome.


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Rodrigo Nuñez ◽  
Jesus A Sanchez ◽  
Salvador Berber ◽  
Felipe Loaiza ◽  
Jose G Nuñez ◽  
...  

Abstract Background A thrombus in transit (TIT) is a life-threatening condition associated with pulmonary embolism (PE). While TIT was once considered a rare diagnosis, its emergence has risen in recent years mainly through advancement in medical technology. Rare cases of a thrombus in transit crossing a patent foramen ovale in the context of pulmonary embolism have been reported. The appropriate treatment of patients in this setting remains unclear. Case summary We describe a 64-year-old man who presented with syncope to the emergency room secondary to acute pulmonary embolism. Initial transthoracic echocardiogram revealed a large intracardiac thrombus in transit across a patent foramen ovale, verified by transoesophageal echocardiogram. He underwent anticoagulation and urgent surgical thrombectomy with a favourable outcome. Discussion Risk stratification of patient with acute PE is mandatory for determining the appropriate therapeutic management. Initial risk stratification is based on clinical symptoms and signs of haemodynamic instability which indicate a high risk or early death associated massive PE. Thrombolytic therapy is indicated in high-risk patients (Grade 1B), while anticoagulation alone is recommended for intermediate-high- to low-risk patients. Assessment for intracardiac thrombi in PE modifies the treatment strategy in case of a thrombus in transit.


Blood ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 138 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 3230-3230
Author(s):  
Cecilia Becattini ◽  
Giancarlo Agnelli ◽  
Aldo P Maggioni ◽  
Francesco Dentali ◽  
Andrea Fabbri ◽  
...  

Abstract Background. New management strategies, risk stratification procedures and treatments have become available over the last years for patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE), leading to changes in clinical practice and potentially influencing patient's course and outcome. Methods: The COntemporary management of Pulmonary Embolism (COPE) is an academical prospective, non-interventional, multicentre study in patients with confirmed acute symptomatic PE. In-hospital and 30-day mortality were the co-primary study outcomes. At first evaluation, patients were categorized at low-risk (simplified PESI [sPESI]=0), intermediate-risk (further classified based presence/absence of increased levels and right ventricle dysfunction [RVD] at echocardiography) and high-risk (shock or cardiac arrest). Results. Among 5213 study patients, PE was confirmed by computed tomography in 96.3% and at least one test for risk stratification was obtained in more than 80% (81% echocardiography, 83% troponin, 56% brain natriuretic peptide/NT-pro BNP). Among 4885 patients entering the Emergency Department for acute PE, 1.2% were managed as outpatients and 5.8% by short-observation. In-hospital, 289 patients underwent reperfusion (5.5%); at discharge, 6.7% received a vitamin K antagonist and 75.6% a direct oral anticoagulant. Median duration of hospitalization was 7 days (IQR 5-12 days). Overall in-hospital mortality was 3.4% (49% due to PE, 16% cancer and 4.5% major bleeding) and 30-day mortality 4.8% (36% PE, 28% cancer and 4% major bleeding). In-hospital major bleeding was 2.6%. Death at 30 days occurred in 22.6% of 177 high-risk patients, in 6% of the 3281 intermediate-risk and in 0.5% of 1702 low-risk patients. Time to death at 30 days in patients at low, intermediate and high risk for death is reported in the Figure. Conclusions: COPE is the largest ever cohort of patients with acute PE. In this contemporary scenario, the majority of patients received CT for diagnosis, at least one test for risk stratification and direct oral anticoagulants as long-term treatment. Short term death remains not negligible in patients with high and intermediate-risk PE. Figure 1 Figure 1. Disclosures Becattini: Bristol Myers Squibb: Honoraria; Daiichi Sankyo: Honoraria; Bayer HealthCare: Honoraria. Agnelli: Bristol Myers Squibb: Honoraria; Pfizer: Honoraria; Daiichi Sankyo: Honoraria; Bayer HealthCare: Honoraria. Dentali: Daiichi Sankyo: Honoraria; Bayer: Honoraria; Sanofi: Honoraria; Pfizer: Honoraria; Bristol-Myers Squibb: Honoraria; Novartis: Honoraria; Boehringer: Honoraria; Alfa Sigma: Honoraria.


2021 ◽  
pp. 4-8
Author(s):  
Ananay Vishvakarma ◽  
Subhasish Roychowdhury ◽  
Anil Kumar Saha

Background: Perforation is one of the common complication of peptic ulcer disease which is associated with signicant morbidity and mortality. It is a disease which needs emergent surgical intervention. Accurate and early identication of high-risk patients with Perforated Peptic Ulcer is important for risk stratication. Here, we calculate the three prognostic factor scores, (i) The Boey Score, (ii) The Peptic ulcer perforation (PULP) score, and (iii) The quick sequential organ failure assessment (q-SOFA) score, preoperatively to predict postoperative outcome. Aims & Objective: The aim of the study is to identify patients with an increased risk of adverse outcome, so that we can target the level of perioperative monitoring and treatment in high-risk patients. Also, to determine and compare the ability of three prognostic factor scores to predict morbidity and mortality in patients of Perforated Peptic Ulcer. Methods: Aprospective comparative observational study was conducted comprising of 92 patients with conrmed perforated peptic ulcer (PPU) attending the emergency ward of Department of General Surgery between February 2019 to July 2020. After conrmation of diagnosis, risk stratication according to the three prognostic factor scores (Boey score, PULP score, and q-SOFA score) was done. Acomparison was made between each score through calculation of positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV). We used receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve in my study to estimate the predictive ability of each scoring system. Results: The study include 92 patients. Female 41.3% and Male 58.7%. The mean age was 45.38 years. The most common site of PPU was the rst part of duodenum - D1 (64.1%). The most common operative procedure done was the Grahm's patch repair. The morbidity rate was 28.3%. Overall mortality rate was 10.9%. The AUROC for morbidity prediction was 0.791 for Boey score, 0.918 for PULP score, and 0.61 for q-SOFAscore. The AUROC for mortality prediction was 0.829 for Boey score, 0.865 for PULPscore, and 0.602 for q-SOFAscore. Conclusion:Boey score and PULP score helps in accurate and early identication of PPU patients with an increased risk of adverse outcome. q-SOFA score cannot signicantly predict morbidity and mortality in PPU patients. Overall, PULP score performs best but Boey score is crude and simple to calculate and is used to assess the patient rapidly


2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (1_suppl) ◽  
pp. 5-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dominique N van Dongen ◽  
Rudolf T Tolsma ◽  
Marion J Fokkert ◽  
Erik A Badings ◽  
Aize van der Sluis ◽  
...  

Background: Pre-hospital risk stratification of non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS) by the complete HEART score has not yet been assessed. We investigated whether pre-hospital risk stratification of patients with suspected NSTE-ACS using the HEART score is accurate in predicting major adverse cardiac events (MACE). Methods: This is a prospective observational study, including 700 patients with suspected NSTE-ACS. Risk stratification was performed by ambulance paramedics, using the HEART score; low risk was defined as HEART score ⩽ 3. Primary endpoint was occurrence of MACE within 45 days after inclusion. Secondary endpoint was myocardial infarction or death. Results: A total of 172 patients (24.6%) were stratified as low risk and 528 patients (75.4%) as intermediate to high risk. Mean age was 53.9 years in the low risk group and 66.7 years in the intermediate to high risk group ( p<0.001), 50% were male in the low risk group versus 60% in the intermediate to high risk group ( p=0.026). MACE occurred in five patients in the low risk group (2.9%) and in 111 (21.0%) patients at intermediate or high risk ( p<0.001). There were no deaths in the low risk group and the occurrence of acute myocardial infarction in this group was 1.2%. In the high risk group six patients died (1.1%) and 76 patients had myocardial infarction (14.4%). Conclusions: In suspected NSTE-ACS, pre-hospital risk stratification by ambulance paramedics, including troponin measurement, is accurate in differentiating between low and intermediate to high risk. Future studies should investigate whether transportation of low risk patients to a hospital can be avoided, and whether high risk patients benefit from immediate transfer to a hospital with early coronary angiography possibilities.


2016 ◽  
Vol 48 (3) ◽  
pp. 780-786 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cecilia Becattini ◽  
Giancarlo Agnelli ◽  
Mareike Lankeit ◽  
Luca Masotti ◽  
Piotr Pruszczyk ◽  
...  

The European Society of Cardiology (ESC) has proposed an updated risk stratification model for death in patients with acute pulmonary embolism based on clinical scores (Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI) or simplified PESI (sPESI)), right ventricle dysfunction (RVD) and elevated serum troponin (2014 ESC model).We assessed the ability of the 2014 ESC model to predict 30-day death after acute pulmonary embolism. Consecutive patients with symptomatic, confirmed pulmonary embolism included in prospective cohorts were merged in a collaborative database. Patients’ risk was classified as high (shock or hypotension), intermediate-high (RVD and elevated troponin), intermediate-low (RVD or increased troponin or none) and low (sPESI 0). Study outcomes were death and pulmonary embolism-related death at 30 days.Among 906 patients (mean±sd age 68±16, 489 females), death and pulmonary embolism-related death occurred in 7.2% and 4.1%, respectively. Death rate was 22% in “high-risk” (95% CI 14.0–29.8), 7.7% in “intermediate-high-risk” (95% CI 4.5–10.9) and 6.0% in “intermediate-low-risk” patients (95% CI 3.4–8.6). One of the 196 “low-risk” patients died (0.5%, 95% CI 0–1.0; negative predictive value 99.5%).By using the 2014 ESC model, RVD or troponin tests would be avoided in about 20% of patients (sPESI 0), preserving a high negative predictive value. Risk stratification in patients at intermediate risk requires further improvement.


Blood ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 114 (22) ◽  
pp. 100-100 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ralf Trappe ◽  
Sylvain Choquet ◽  
Stephan H.K. Oertel ◽  
Veronique Leblond ◽  
Daan Dierickx ◽  
...  

Abstract Abstract 100 Purpose: This trial aimed to investigate the efficacy and safety of sequential treatment with rituximab and CHOP-21 in patients with PTLD unresponsive to reduction of immunosuppression. Methods: An ongoing prospective, multicenter, international phase II trial was initiated in January 2003. Initially patients were treated with a fixed sequence of rituximab at days 1, 8, 15 and 22 (4R) followed by four cycles of CHOP-21 combined with G-CSF support starting 4 weeks after the last dose of rituximab (sequential treatment, ST). Based on the results of an earlier interim analysis showing that the response to rituximab predicts OS the trial was amended in 2007 introducing risk stratification according to the response to 4R (risk stratified sequential treatment, RSST). In RSST patients achieving a complete remission after 4R (low risk) continue with four 3-weekly courses of rituximab monotherapy while patients in PR, SD or PD (high risk) are followed by four cycles of R-CHOP-21 + G-CSF. Results: This is a scheduled interim analysis after inclusion of a total of 104 patients. The median follow up is 34.0 months for ST (64 pts.) and 9.1 months for RSST (40 pts.). 61 ST and 35 RSST patients were diagnosed with monomorphic PTLD, 3/5 with polymorphic PTLD. 27/23 patients were kidney, 3/0 kidney+pancreas, 15/8 liver, 13/6 heart, 6/3 lung or heart+lung transplant recipients. Median age at diagnosis of PTLD was 53/60 years (mean age: 48/56 years). 59%/58% of patients had an advanced stage of disease (Ann Arbor III/IV) and 49%/47% of tumors were EBV positive. 75%/75% of patients had late PTLD (i.e. later than 1 year after transplantation). LDH was elevated in 71%/64% of patients, respectively. The overall response rate (ORR) to 4 initial courses of rituximab monotherapy (4R, N=104) was 54% with a CR-rate of 32% and the subsequent completion of treatment with CHOP or R-CHOP allowed a clear increase of the response (p<0.0001, Fig. 1). With ST the final ORR was 89% (CR rate: 69%). 86%, 75% and 75% of patients were without disease progression at one, two and three years, respectively (Fig. 2a). Disease free survival was 87%, 78% and 70% at one, two and three years. There were 6 early treatment associated deaths (9%) resulting from infections (1 from CMV-colitis, 1 from PcP-pneumonia, 1 from fulminant hepatitis, 3 from sepsis) and 2/64 patients died from refractory PTLD. Two further patients died due to hemorrhage during treatment. With RSST the ORR was 90% and 73% achieved a complete remission. 90% of patients were without disease progression at one year (Fig. 2a). There was one early treatment related death due to infection (2.5%). This patient died from sepsis secondary to intestinal perforation in response to R-CHOP treatment. 2/40 patients died from refractory PTLD. With 1 event in 16 patients in both, the ST and the RSST-arms, subsequent consolidation with rituximab monotherapy (RSST) seems not to be inferior to consolidation with 4 cycles of CHOP (ST) in patients with a CR after 4R. Up to now there is no difference in toxicity between CHOP and R-CHOP in ST/RSST. Patients failing to achieve a complete remission with 4R (72 patients) seem to benefit from the subsequent escalation from CHOP to R-CHOP (Fig. 2b). Conclusions: This is the largest prospective study in PTLD. Sequential treatment with rituximab and CHOP-21 + G-CSF is well tolerated and highly effective with a treatment related mortality of less than 10% and an efficacy of up to 90%. In comparison to historic series of rituximab monotherapy, significantly more patients achieve a CR with sequential treatment and time to progression (TTP) is very much prolonged. In comparison to historic series of CHOP, sequential treatment is much better tolerated. This may result from a lower tumor burden and a better patient fitness at the time chemotherapy is applied. Introduction of risk stratification according to the response to 4 courses of rituximab monotherapy might further improve these results restricting chemotherapy related toxicity to high risk patients while these data suggest that low risk patients can effectively be treated with extended rituximab monotherapy. Thus, risk stratified sequential treatment (RSST) might further improve OS in this difficult to treat disease. Disclosures: Trappe: Hoffmann La Roche Ltd.: Consultancy, Honoraria, Research Funding; AMGEN GmbH: Research Funding. Choquet:Hoffmann La Roche Ltd.: Consultancy, Honoraria. Oertel:Hoffmann La Roche Ltd.: Employment, Equity Ownership. Leblond:Hoffmann La Roche Ltd.: Consultancy, Honoraria, Research Funding. Ekman:Hoffmann La Roche Ltd.: Honoraria. Dührsen:Hoffmann La Roche Ltd.: Honoraria, Research Funding. Salles:Hoffmann La Roche Ltd.: Consultancy, Honoraria, Research Funding. Morschhauser:Hoffmann La Roche Ltd.: Honoraria. Riess:Hoffmann La Roche Ltd.: Consultancy, Honoraria, Research Funding; AMGEN GmBH: Consultancy, Honoraria, Research Funding.


2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (7) ◽  

Introduction: Patients undergoing hemodialysis are at increased risk of stroke. However, less known about the impact of some of the stroke risk factors, and the value of stroke risk scores in determining the risk in those patients. Our main goal. To assess the risk factors for stroke in hemodialysis patients and the use of the new CHA2DS2-VASc score for stroke assessment. Methods: Single center, retrospective cohort study of 336 patients undergoing hemodialysis from June 24, 2018, to September 6, 2018, was recruited. Baseline demographics, clinical, and laboratory data were collected. We calculated the CHA2 DS2 -VASc score for stroke assessment in all patients and categorized them into high, moderate and low risk patients according to CHA2 DS2 - VASc score and subcategorized them to two groups atrial fibrillation (AFib) and Non- Atrial fibrillation (Non AFib) patients. Results: 336 patients were included in our study; the majority of patients were at high risk with a CHA2 DS2 -VASc Score mean of 2.9± 1.5, although history of stroke was observed only in 15 patients (4.46%). According to CHA2 DS2 - VASc score, 280 patients were at high risk, 172 (51.19%) were high-risk patients on treatment (anticoagulant or antiplatelet) and 108(32.14%) patients were high risk patients not on treatment 48 were at moderate risk (14.28%) and 8 were at low risk (2.38 %). Patients were divided into subgroups as non-AFib and AFib. In non-AFib patients 320 (95.23%), high-risk patients 103 (32.18%) were not treated; high-risk patients with treatment are 162 (50.62%), moderate patients were 47 (14.68%), 8(2.5%) was in low risk. AFib patients were 16 with a mean CHA2 DS2 -VASc score of 4.4±1.1. Patients with AFib were all at high risk except 1 was at moderate risk (6.25%). There were 11 (68.75%) patients on treatment and 5 (31.25%) patients not on treatment. The risk factors for stroke that were statistically significant in increasing score risk for all patients were: age > 65 (95% CI, -2.04– -1.29; p = 0.000), being female (95% CI, -1.36– -0.68; p = 0.000) hypertension (95% CI, -2.59– -1.37; p = 0.000), diabetes (95% CI, -2.10– -1.50; p = 0.000), CVD (95% CI, -2.07– -1.24; p=0.000), history of stroke or TIA (95% CI, -3.70– -2.03; p = 0.000), CHF or LVEF (95% CI, -2.28– - 0.91; p = 0.000). Conclusions: The risk of stroke in hemodialysis patients is significant according to the use of CHA2 DS2 -VASc score in Non-AFib hemodialysis patients shows supportive evidence of increased risk of stroke in those patients, which suggest the importance of close monitoring of patients with stroke risk factors by the nephrologist and the stroke team which will lead to the initiation of early prophylaxis in those patients.


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