scholarly journals Impact of the Incremental Analysis Updates on a Real-Time System of the North Atlantic Ocean

2008 ◽  
Vol 25 (11) ◽  
pp. 2055-2073 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Benkiran ◽  
E. Greiner
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Weather Forecasting ◽  
Incremental Analysis ◽  
Real Time System ◽  
Pass Filter ◽  
Low Pass Filter ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Incremental analysis updates (IAUs) are a procedure by which analysis increments can be incorporated into a model hindcast and forecast in a smooth manner. It is similar to nudging but has a better response, particularly in regions of missing data. The IAU procedure was popular in the late 1990s in weather forecasting centers, because it acts as a low-pass filter. The impact of the IAU is examined in the context of a real-time, eddy-permitting ocean forecasting system in the North Atlantic from Mercator Océan. Forecast scores and ocean physics are compared for the following three companion runs: a forced mode, a sequential analysis, and IAU. These comparisons confirm that the IAU is beneficial because it removes spinup effects such as spurious waves and tropical convective cells. Forecast scores are also slightly improved. In addition, contrary to the weather forecasting case where the model and data are fairly unbiased, the IAU has the advantage of correcting the systematic biases in the ocean data assimilation system.

scholarly journals Simulated European stalagmite record and its relation to a quasi-decadal climate mode

2012 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 3513-3533 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. Lohmann ◽  
A. Wackerbarth ◽  
P. Langebroek ◽  
M. Werner ◽  
J. Fohlmeister ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Surface Temperature ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Decadal Variability ◽  
Decadal Time Scale ◽  
Pass Filter ◽  
Low Pass Filter ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
Decadal Mode

Abstract. A synthetic stalagmite record for the Bunker cave is constructed using a combined climate-stalagmite modeling approach. The power spectrum of the simulated speleothem calcite δ18O record has a pronounced peak at quasi-decadal time scale. Interestingly, mixing processes in the soil and karst above the cave represent a natural low-pass filter of the speleothem climate archive. We identify a quasi-decadal mode characterized by a "tripole pattern" of sea surface temperature affecting stalagmite δ18O values. This pattern, which is well-known in literature as the quasi-decadal mode in the North Atlantic, propagates eastwards and affects western European temperature surrounding the cave. Stalagmite δ18O values at Bunker Cave lag the regional surface temperature (r = 0.4) and soil moisture (r = −0.4) signal by 2–3 yr. Our modelling study suggests that stalagmite records from Bunker Cave are representative for large-scale teleconnections and can be used to obtain information about the North Atlantic and its decadal variability.

scholarly journals Simulated European stalagmite record and its relation to a quasi-decadal climate mode

2013 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 89-98 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. Lohmann ◽  
A. Wackerbarth ◽  
P. M. Langebroek ◽  
M. Werner ◽  
J. Fohlmeister ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Decadal Variability ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Mixing Processes ◽  
Decadal Time Scale ◽  
Pass Filter ◽  
Low Pass Filter ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic

Abstract. A synthetic stalagmite δ18O record for the Bunker Cave (51° N, 7° E) is constructed using a combined climate–stalagmite modelling approach where we combine an atmospheric circulation model equipped with water isotopes and a model simulating stalagmite calcite δ18O values. Mixing processes in the soil and karst above the cave represent a natural low-pass filter of the speleothem climate archive. Stalagmite δ18O values at Bunker Cave lag the regional surface climate by 3–4 yr. The power spectrum of the simulated speleothem calcite δ18O record has a pronounced peak at quasi-decadal time scale, which is associated with a large-scale climate variability pattern in the North Atlantic. Our modelling study suggests that stalagmite records from Bunker Cave are representative for large-scale teleconnections and can be used to obtain information about the North Atlantic and its decadal variability.

Preaching and Sermons

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert H. Ellison
Keyword(s):  
Eighteenth Century ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Religious Revival ◽  
Early Nineteenth Century ◽  
Denominational Identity ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
The One ◽  
The Impact

Prompted by the convulsions of the late eighteenth century and inspired by the expansion of evangelicalism across the North Atlantic world, Protestant Dissenters from the 1790s eagerly subscribed to a millennial vision of a world transformed through missionary activism and religious revival. Voluntary societies proliferated in the early nineteenth century to spread the gospel and transform society at home and overseas. In doing so, they engaged many thousands of converts who felt the call to share their experience of personal conversion with others. Though social respectability and business methods became a notable feature of Victorian Nonconformity, the religious populism of the earlier period did not disappear and religious revival remained a key component of Dissenting experience. The impact of this revitalization was mixed. On the one hand, growth was not sustained in the long term and, to some extent, involvement in interdenominational activity undermined denominational identity; on the other hand, Nonconformists gained a social and political prominence they had not enjoyed since the middle of the seventeenth century and their efforts laid the basis for the twentieth-century explosion of evangelicalism in Africa, Asia, and South America.

REGIONAL SECURITY DYNAMICS IN NORTHERN EUROPE (ON THE EXAMPLE OF NORWAY) IN THE LIGHT OF RECENT CHANGES

2020 ◽  
Vol 73 (1) ◽  
pp. 103-111
Author(s):  
D. Kalibekuly ◽  
◽  
Y.S. Chukubayev ◽  
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Member Country ◽  
Security Policy ◽  
Security System ◽  
Regional Security ◽  
Northern Europe ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
The Impact

The paper examines the dynamics of regional security in Norway as a part of Northern Europe. Being a political and geographical part of the Euro-Atlantic security system. Northern Europe, in its turn, is experiencing the impact of the confrontation between Russia and NATO. Norway's security policy analyzed from the perspective of a regional leader, as a NATO member country participating in the operations of the North Atlantic Alliance and as NATO's northern wing.

The impact of Greenland on cyclone evolution in the North Atlantic

2007 ◽  
Vol 125 (560) ◽  
pp. 2819-2834 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. E. Kristjánsson ◽  
H. Mcinnes
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
The Impact

scholarly journals External forcing mechanisms controlling the North Atlantic coastal upwelling regime during the mid-Holocene

Geology ◽  
2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Armand Hernández ◽  
Mário Cachão ◽  
Pedro Sousa ◽  
Ricardo M. Trigo ◽  
Jürg Luterbacher ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Coastal Upwelling ◽  
Marine Ecosystem ◽  
External Forcing ◽  
The North ◽  
New Findings ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
Eastern North Atlantic ◽  
Forcing Mechanisms ◽  
The Impact

Nearshore upwelling along the eastern North Atlantic margin regulates regional marine ecosystem productivity and thus impacts blue economies. While most global circulation models show an increase in the intensity and duration of seasonal upwelling at high latitudes under future human-induced warmer conditions, projections for the North Atlantic are still ambiguous. Due to the low temporal resolution of coastal upwelling records, little is known about the impact of natural forcing mechanisms on upwelling variability. Here, we present a microfossil-based proxy record and modeling simulations for the warmest period of the Holocene (ca. 9–5 ka) to estimate the contribution of the natural variability in North Atlantic upwelling via atmospheric and oceanic dynamics. We found that more frequent high-pressure conditions in the eastern North Atlantic associated with solar activity and orbital parameters triggered upwelling variations at multidecadal and millennial time scales, respectively. Our new findings offer insights into the role of external forcing mechanisms in upwelling changes before the Anthropocene, which must be considered when producing future projections of midlatitude upwelling activity.

scholarly journals Depth-averaged instantaneous currents in a tidally dominated shelf sea from glider observations

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lucas Merckelbach
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
North Sea ◽  
Current Data ◽  
Pass Filter ◽  
Low Pass Filter ◽  
Real Time Mode ◽  
The North ◽  
Shelf Sea ◽  
The North Sea ◽  
Better Than

Abstract. Ocean gliders have become ubiquitous observation platforms in the ocean in recent years. They are also increasingly used in coastal environments. The coastal observatory system COSYNA has pioneered the use of gliders in the North Sea, a shallow tidally energetic shelf sea. For operational reasons, the gliders operated in the North Sea are programmed to resurface every 3–5 hours. The glider's deadreckoning algorithm yields depth averaged currents, averaged in time over each subsurface interval. Under operational conditions these averaged currents are a poor approximation of the instantaneous tidal current. In this work an algorithm is developed that estimates the instantaneous current (tidal and residual) from glider observations only. The algorithm uses a second-order Butterworth low-pass filter to estimate the residual current component, and a Kalman filter based on the linear shallow water equations for the tidal component. A comparison of data from a glider experiment with current data from an ADCP deployed nearby shows that the standard deviations for the east and north current components are better than 7 cm s−1 in near-real time mode, and improve to better than 5 cm s−1 in delayed mode, where the filters can be run forward and backward. In the near-real time mode the algorithm provides estimates of the currents that the glider is expected to encounter during its next few dives. Combined with a behavioural and dynamic model of the glider, this yields predicted trajectories, the information of which is incorporated in warning messages issued to ships by the (German) authorities. In delayed mode the algorithm produces useful estimates of the depth averaged currents, which can be used in (process-based) analyses in case no other source of measured current information is available.

scholarly journals Climatic impacts of fresh water hosing under Last Glacial Maximum conditions: a multi-model study

2013 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 935-953 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Kageyama ◽  
U. Merkel ◽  
B. Otto-Bliesner ◽  
M. Prange ◽  
A. Abe-Ouchi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Fresh Water ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Last Glacial ◽  
The North ◽  
Tropical North Atlantic ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Fresh water hosing simulations, in which a fresh water flux is imposed in the North Atlantic to force fluctuations of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, have been routinely performed, first to study the climatic signature of different states of this circulation, then, under present or future conditions, to investigate the potential impact of a partial melting of the Greenland ice sheet. The most compelling examples of climatic changes potentially related to AMOC abrupt variations, however, are found in high resolution palaeo-records from around the globe for the last glacial period. To study those more specifically, more and more fresh water hosing experiments have been performed under glacial conditions in the recent years. Here we compare an ensemble constituted by 11 such simulations run with 6 different climate models. All simulations follow a slightly different design, but are sufficiently close in their design to be compared. They all study the impact of a fresh water hosing imposed in the extra-tropical North Atlantic. Common features in the model responses to hosing are the cooling over the North Atlantic, extending along the sub-tropical gyre in the tropical North Atlantic, the southward shift of the Atlantic ITCZ and the weakening of the African and Indian monsoons. On the other hand, the expression of the bipolar see-saw, i.e., warming in the Southern Hemisphere, differs from model to model, with some restricting it to the South Atlantic and specific regions of the southern ocean while others simulate a widespread southern ocean warming. The relationships between the features common to most models, i.e., climate changes over the north and tropical Atlantic, African and Asian monsoon regions, are further quantified. These suggest a tight correlation between the temperature and precipitation changes over the extra-tropical North Atlantic, but different pathways for the teleconnections between the AMOC/North Atlantic region and the African and Indian monsoon regions.

scholarly journals Impact of Agulhas Leakage on the Atlantic Overturning Circulation in the CCSM4

2014 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
pp. 101-110 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wilbert Weijer ◽  
Erik van Sebille
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
South Atlantic ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Overturning Circulation ◽  
Climate System Model ◽  
The North ◽  
Salinity Variability ◽  
Meridional Overturning ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
The Impact

Abstract The impact of Agulhas leakage variability on the strength of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) in the Community Climate System Model, version 4 (CCSM4) is investigated. In this model an advective connection exists that transports salinity anomalies from the Agulhas region into the North Atlantic on decadal (30–40 yr) time scales. However, there is no identifiable impact of Agulhas leakage on the strength of the AMOC, suggesting that the salinity variations are too weak to significantly modify the stratification in the North Atlantic. It is argued that this study is inconclusive with respect to an impact of Agulhas leakage on the AMOC. Salinity biases leave the South Atlantic and Indian Oceans too homogeneous, in particular erasing the observed salinity front in the Agulhas retroflection region. Consequently, salinity variability in the southeastern South Atlantic is found to be much weaker than observed.

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