scholarly journals Evidence for Two Distinct Modes of Large-Scale Ocean Circulation Changes over the Last Century

2010 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 5-16 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mihai Dima ◽  
Gerrit Lohmann

Abstract Through its nonlinear dynamics and involvement in past abrupt climate shifts the thermohaline circulation (THC) represents a key element for the understanding of rapid climate changes. The expected THC weakening under global warming is characterized by large uncertainties, and it is therefore of significant importance to identify ocean circulation changes over the last century. By applying various statistical techniques on two global sea surface temperature datasets two THC-related modes are separated. The first one involves relatively slow adjustment of the whole conveyor belt circulation and has an interhemispherically symmetric pattern. The second mode is associated with the relatively fast adjustment of the North Atlantic overturning cell and has the seesaw structure. Based on the separation of these two patterns the authors show that the global conveyor has been weakening since the late 1930s and that the North Atlantic overturning cell suffered an abrupt shift around 1970. The distinction between the two modes provides also a new frame for interpreting past abrupt climate changes.

2006 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 101-113 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel Paredes ◽  
Ricardo M. Trigo ◽  
Ricardo Garcia-Herrera ◽  
Isabel Franco Trigo

Abstract March monthly accumulated precipitation in the central and western regions of the Iberian Peninsula presents a clear continuous decline of 50% during the 1960–97 period. A finer analysis using daily data reveals that this trend is exactly confined to the month of March. However, this is merely the most visible aspect of a larger phenomenon over the North Atlantic/European sector. The European precipitation trends in March for the period 1960–2000 show a clear distribution of increasing precipitation in the northern regions (the British Isles and parts of Scandinavia) together with decreasing trends throughout the western Mediterranean Basin. Relevant circulation changes over the North Atlantic and European sectors explain these precipitation trends. First, a regional Eulerian approach by means of a weather-type (WT) classification shows that the major rainfall contributors in March display significantly decreasing frequencies for the Iberian Peninsula, in contrast to the corresponding “wet” weather types for the U.K./Ireland sector, which display increasing frequencies. Within a larger context, a Lagrangian approach, based on the analysis of storm tracks over Europe and the North Atlantic region, reveals dramatic changes in the location of cyclones in the last four decades that coincide with the corresponding precipitation trends in Europe. The North Atlantic Oscillation is suggested to be the most important large-scale factor controlling both the circulation changes and the precipitation trends over the Euro–Atlantic area in March. Finally, the potential impact of reduced precipitation for rivers and water resources in the Iberian Peninsula is considered.


2006 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
pp. 605-631 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. Lohmann ◽  
M. Butzin ◽  
A. Micheels ◽  
T. Bickert ◽  
V. Mosbrugger

Abstract. A weak and shallow thermohaline circulation in the North Atlantic Ocean is related to an open Central American gateway and exchange with fresh Pacific waters. We estimate the effect of vegetation on the ocean general circulation using the atmospheric circulation model simulations for the Late Miocene climate. Caused by an increase in net evaporation in the Miocene North Atlantic, the North Atlantic water becomes more saline which enhances the overturning circulation and thus the northward heat transport. This effect reveals a potentially important feedback between the ocean circulation, the hydrological cycle and the land surface cover for Cenozoic climate evolution.


1997 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 230-249 ◽  
Author(s):  
David E. Anderson

The Younger Dryas refers to the final phase of cold, glacial conditions preceding the abrupt climatic warming at the beginning of the Holocene. The existence of the Younger Dryas in Europe has been known for most of this century, although recent research suggests that the Younger Dryas cooling may have been global. Estimates of the timing of the event have also improved in recent years, showing that both the onset and termination of the Younger Dryas were abrupt, occurring within decades. The Younger Dryas has been linked with a large-scale shift of the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation (THC) to a near glacial mode with a consequent reduction in northward heat transport. This shift in the THC may have been triggered by a discharge of Laurentide ice, combined with meltwater inputs from several locations around the North Atlantic. Further study of the events leading up to the Younger Dryas is necessary for improving theoretical understanding of abrupt climatic change, and for evaluating GCM models which seek to simulate the response of the THC to freshwater forcing. With predicted increases in freshwater input to the North Atlantic resulting from increases in atmospheric CO2, a future shift in the THC is a possibility. Predicting the magnitude and climatic consequences of such an event depends upon further study of the Younger Dryas and of other abrupt palaeoclimatic changes which involved the THC.


2013 ◽  
Vol 141 (8) ◽  
pp. 2850-2868 ◽  
Author(s):  
Harald Sodemann ◽  
Andreas Stohl

Abstract During December 2006 many cyclones traveled across the North Atlantic, causing temperature and precipitation in Norway to be well above average. Large excursions of high vertically integrated water vapor, often referred to as atmospheric rivers, reached from the subtropics to high latitudes, inducing precipitation over western Scandinavia. The sources and transport of atmospheric water vapor in the North Atlantic storm track during that month are examined by means of a mesoscale model fitted with water vapor tracers. Decomposition of the modeled total water vapor field into numerical water vapor tracers tagged by evaporation latitude shows that when an atmospheric river was present, a higher fraction of water vapor from remote, southerly source regions caused more intense precipitation. The tracer transport analysis revealed that the atmospheric rivers were composed of a sequence of meridional excursions of water vapor, in close correspondence with the upper-level flow configuration. In cyclone cores, fast turnover of water vapor by evaporation and condensation were identified, leading to a rapid assimilation of water from the underlying ocean surface. In the regions of long-range transport, water vapor tracers from the southern midlatitudes and subtropics dominated over local contributions. By advection of water vapor along their trailing cold fronts cyclones were reinforcing the atmospheric rivers. At the same time the warm conveyor belt circulation was feeding off the atmospheric rivers by large-scale ascent and precipitation. Pronounced atmospheric rivers could persist in the domain throughout more than one cyclone's life cycle. These findings emphasize the interrelation between midlatitude cyclones and atmospheric rivers but also their distinction from the warm conveyor belt airstream.


2009 ◽  
Vol 39 (1) ◽  
pp. 162-184 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kettyah C. Chhak ◽  
Andrew M. Moore ◽  
Ralph F. Milliff

Abstract At middle and high latitudes, the magnitude of stochastic wind stress forcing of the ocean by atmospheric variability on synoptic time scales (i.e., “weather” related variability) is comparable to that of the seasonal cycle. Stochastic forcing may therefore have a significant influence on the ocean circulation, climate, and ocean predictability. Here, the influence of stochastic forcing associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation on the subtropical gyre circulation of the North Atlantic is explored in an eddy-permitting quasigeostrophic framework. For the North Atlantic winds used in this study, the root-mean-square of the annual average Ekman pumping velocity of the seasonal cycle between 35° and 52°N is 1.3 × 10−7 m s−1, while the wintertime standard deviation of the stochastic component of the North Atlantic Oscillation over the same latitude band is 2.2 × 10−7 m s−1. Significant stochastically induced variability in the ocean circulation occurs near the western boundary region and along the western margins of the abyssal plains associated with vortex stretching, energy release from the mean flow, and the generation of topographic Rossby waves. Variability arises from a combination of two effects, depending on the measure of variance used: growth of unstable modes of the underlying circulation and modal interference resulting from their nonnormal nature, which dominates during the first 10 days or so of perturbation growth. Near the surface, most of the variability is associated with large-scale changes in the barotropic circulation, although more than 20% of the energy and enstrophy variability is associated with small-scale baroclinic waves. In the deep ocean, much of the stochastically induced variability is apparently due to topographic Rossby wave activity along the continental rise and ocean ridges. Previous studies have demonstrated that rectification of topographic Rossby wave–induced circulations in the western North Atlantic may contribute to the western boundary current recirculation zones. The authors suggest that a source of topographic Rossby wave energy, significant enough to rectify the mean ocean circulation, may arise from stochastic forcing by large-scale atmospheric forcing, such as the North Atlantic Oscillation and other atmospheric teleconnection patterns.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Helene Asbjørnsen ◽  
Helen Johnson ◽  
Marius Årthun

<p>The inflow across the Iceland-Scotland Ridge determines the amount of heat supplied to the Nordic Seas from the subpolar North Atlantic (SPNA). Variability in inflow properties and volume transport at the ridge influence marine ecosystems and sea ice extent further north. The predictability of such downstream impacts depends on how variability at the ridge relate to large-scale ocean circulation changes in the North Atlantic. Here, we identify the upstream pathways of the Nordic Seas inflow, and assess the mechanisms responsible for interannual inflow variability. Using an eddy-resolving ocean model hindcast and a Lagrangian analysis tool, numerical particles are released at the ridge during 1986-2015 and tracked backward in time. Overall, 64% of the mean inflow volume transport has a subtropical origin and 26% has a subpolar or Arctic origin. The local instantaneous response to the NAO is important for the overall transport of both subtropical and Arctic-origin waters at the ridge. In the years before reaching the ridge, the subtropical particles are influenced by atmospheric circulation anomalies in the gyre boundary region and over the SPNA, forcing shifts in the North Atlantic Current (NAC) and the subpolar front. An equatorward shifted NAC and westward shifted subpolar front correspond to a warmer, more saline inflow. Wind stress curl anomalies over the SPNA also affect the amount of Arctic-origin water re-routed from the Labrador Current toward the Nordic Seas. A high transport of Arctic-origin water is associated with a colder, fresher inflow across the Iceland-Scotland Ridge. The results thus demonstrate the importance of gyre dynamics and wind forcing in affecting the Nordic Seas inflow properties and volume transport.</p>


2014 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 979-1022
Author(s):  
M. Ballarotta ◽  
S. Falahat ◽  
L. Brodeau ◽  
K. Döös

Abstract. The change of the thermohaline circulation (THC) between the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, ≈ 21 kyr ago) and the present day climate are explored using an Ocean General Circulation Model and stream functions projected in various coordinates. Compared to the present day period, the LGM circulation is reorganised in the Atlantic Ocean, in the Southern Ocean and particularly in the abyssal ocean, mainly due to the different haline stratification. Due to stronger wind stress, the LGM tropical circulation is more vigorous than under modern conditions. Consequently, the maximum tropical transport of heat is slightly larger during the LGM. In the North Atlantic basin, the large sea-ice extent during the LGM constrains the Gulf Stream to propagate in a more zonal direction, reducing the transport of heat towards high latitudes and reorganising the freshwater transport. The LGM circulation is represented as a large intrusion of saline Antarctic Bottom Water into the Northern Hemisphere basins. As a result, the North Atlantic Deep Water is shallower in the LGM simulation. The stream functions in latitude-salinity coordinates and thermohaline coordinates point out the different haline regimes between the glacial and interglacial period, as well as a LGM Conveyor Belt circulation largely driven by enhanced salinity contrast between the Atlantic and the Pacific basin. The thermohaline structure in the LGM simulation is the result of an abyssal circulation that lifts and deviates the Conveyor Belt cell from the area of maximum volumetric distribution, resulting in a ventilated upper layer above a deep stagnant layer, and an Atlantic circulation more isolated from the Pacific. An estimation of the turnover times reveal a deep circulation almost sluggish during the LGM, and a Conveyor Belt cell more vigorous due to the combination of stronger wind stress and shortened circulation route.


2019 ◽  
Vol 47 (2) ◽  
pp. 33-63 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu.A. Ivanov ◽  
V.I. Byshev ◽  
Yu.A. Romanov ◽  
A.N. Sidorova

“In the last quarter of the ХХ-th century, our country has implemented several major programs of experimental research of the World ocean. Among them, a special place was occupied by the huge in its scale and scientific significance the project SECTIONS aimed at studying the climatic interaction of the ocean and atmosphere. Currently, systematic research in this field has gained new momentum through regular Hydrophysical monitoring of the energy-active region in the North Atlantic in the annual expeditions by Shirshov Institute of Oceanology of RAS (Gladyshev et al., 2017). The results of some special Russian ocean expeditions of the past years, one of which is described for the first time in this article, can serve as a certain historical background for modern studies of the ocean climate evolution”. In 1990 Russian oceanographers carried out a comprehensive hydrophysical study of the Newfoundland energy-active zone in the Northern Atlantic ocean, as part of the national project “Sections” included in the international program WOCE. Three research vessels (R/V) of the Shirshov Institute of Oceanology (SIO): “Vityaz“(cruise 19), “Professor Stockman“( cruise 26) and “Academician Kurchatov“ (cruise 50) together with additional 4 vessels of other institutions were engaged in the field study. Scientific management for general programme of the expedition, dubbed “ATLANTEX-90”, was carried out by Professor Yu. A. Ivanov. The main objective of the program was to study the space-time short-period variability of water dynamics in the large – scale ocean circulation system of Gulfstream–North Atlantic Current. To this aim, in May–June 1990 R/V “Academician Kurchatov” performed several sections crossing the main hydrological fronts of the Newfoundland energy-active zone (45–53°N., 36–45°W). Observations were conducted using the cable probe with sensors of temperature, conductivity and pressure (CTD) and expendable bathythermograph (XBT). All this equipment was special made and passed metrological certification in the design Bureau of Oceanological Engineering (BOE) of SIO. The equipment metrology fitted in whole with international standards at that time. The sea surface temperature (SST) was recorded along the RV route as well. The current velocity was measured during about one month at 14 moorings deployed on a section along meridian 36°W, from 47 to 53°N. The measurements were conducted using electronically operated current meters of POTOK type of the BOE of SIO production. The meters were installed on the each mooring at the horizons of 100, 200, 1000, 2000, 3500 m. In addition to the data of own measurements, facsimile maps of SST from the nearest hydrometeorological observatories were received by radio communication channel during the whole period of observations. Analysis of the obtained data showed that during the field study period the North Atlantic Current (NAC) divided into two branches (Central and Southern) roughly in the neighborhood of 47.5–48°N, where isobath 4500 m turned to the East at right angle to isobath 4000 m. After point of the bifurcation, the Central branch initially maintained a Northerly direction, then turned North-West along the isobath of 4000 m, and farther, turning East, crossed the meridian of 36°W between 51° and 52°N. Prior that stage, the Central branch sometimes approached the meridian 36°W at about 50°N, then deviated to the North–Northwest and finally turned North-East about 51,5°N. The Southern branch of NAC after a split of the main NAC flow followed approximately to isobath 4500 m, and crossed the meridian of 36°W at about 48°North latitude. East of 36°W it could be at times of East-North-East direction, but usually this branch unfolded to the South-South-West, forming the high ridge of the ocean surface dynamic height on the Eastern flank of the NAC. Three return flows were observed in the section of 36°W. One of the flows is marked between the Central and Southern branches of the NAC, while the other two were recorded on the Northern and Southern edges of the section. This structure of the velocity field in fact remained unchanged through all June 1990. The basic zonal flow was observed in the entire water column within the depths from 100 m to 3500 m. The highest current speeds were typical for the upper part of this layer. At depths of 1000–2000 m the velocities were noticeably weakened, increasing again in some places near the bottom. The distribution of meridional components of flow speed according to the measurements on the buoys allowed us to detect the presence of large-scale divergence, which was located along the section on 36°W. Direction of the meridional component of the current to the North and South of 49°N turned out to be the opposite, forming that divergence in the field of the velocity. Under the analysis of the observations it was taken into account that an important role in the formation of the structure of ocean circulation in the area of research could play a seamount (>2600 m), registered by the sounders of R/V “Academician Kurchatov” near 49°N, 36°W. The results of measurements and calculations showed that the average over the entire observation period water transport of the Central branch of NAC through the 36°W section accounted for 62.4 Sv. This value is comparable to the transfer of NAC, assessed four years later by Lazer (1994) 50±23 Sv for approximately the same area where we conducted our work in 1990. Approximately the same average transfer (46,5 Sv) was found in two return flows (presumably North and South recirculations of the NAC Southern branch). In whole, the average water transport in the Eastern direction through the section on 36°W was as high as 111 Sv., and it was 60.9 Sv after subtracting reverse fluxes.


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