scholarly journals A Risk of Venous Thromboembolism Algorithm as a Predictor of Venous Thromboembolism in Patients with Colorectal Cancer

2021 ◽  
Vol 27 ◽  
pp. 107602962110649
Author(s):  
Ying Chen ◽  
Yanchun Wang ◽  
Suhong Xie ◽  
Hui Zheng ◽  
Ying Tong ◽  
...  

Cancer patients experience an increased risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). In this study, we investigated a risk of venous thromboembolism algorithm (RVTA) in patients with colorectal cancer and evaluated its ability to predict the prognosis of colorectal cancer. We retrospectively analyzed clinical data from 345 patients with colorectal cancer from January 2015 to December 2018 at the Shanghai Cancer Center to develop the RVTA. Additionally, the 345 patients were followed until December 2020 for prognostic analysis. The RVTA included the following variables: (a) platelet count, (b) blood transfusion history, (c) metastasis, (d) multiple chemotherapy regimens, and (e) the D-dimer level. Good predictive efficiency was observed for the RVTA (AUC was 0.825; 95% CI was 0.721 to 0.930). The median progression-free survival (PFS) of patients who had a score less than 4 (0-3), defined as the low-risk group, was significantly longer than that of the high-risk group, which included patients who had a score greater than 4 (4-8) (26 vs ten months, P < .001). The RVTA was a valuable predictor for VTE risk and had prognostic value in colorectal cancer.

2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (14) ◽  
pp. 995-1010
Author(s):  
Sara Gagno ◽  
Michele Bartoletti ◽  
Chiara Romualdi ◽  
Elena Poletto ◽  
Simona Scalone ◽  
...  

Aim: To define the impact of polymorphisms in genes involved in platinum-taxane and estrogen activity in the outcome of platinum-based treated ovarian cancer patients (OCP). Patients & Methods: Two hundred and thirty OCP were analyzed for 124 germ-line polymorphisms to generate a prognostic score for overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS) and platinum-free interval (PFI). Results: ABCG2 rs3219191D>I, UGT1A rs10929302G>A and UGT1A rs2741045T>C polymorphisms were significantly associated with all three parameters (OS, PFS and PFI) and were used to generate a score. Patients in high-risk group had a poorer OS (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.8; 95% CI: 1.3–2.7; p = 0.0019), PFS (HR: 2.0; 95% CI: 1.4–2.9; p < 0.0001) and PFI (HR: 1.9; 95% CI: 1.4–2.8; p = 0.0002) compared with those in low-risk group. Conclusion: The prognostic-score including polymorphisms involved in drug and estrogen pathways stratifies OCP according to OS, PFS and PFI.


TH Open ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 04 (01) ◽  
pp. e59-e65 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alex C. Spyropoulos ◽  
Concetta Lipardi ◽  
Jianfeng Xu ◽  
Colleen Peluso ◽  
Theodore E. Spiro ◽  
...  

AbstractAn individualized approach to identify acutely ill medical patients at increased risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) and a low risk of bleeding to optimize the benefit and risk of extended thromboprophylaxis (ET) is needed. The International Medical Prevention Registry on Venous Thromboembolism (IMPROVE) VTE risk score has undergone extensive external validation in medically ill patients for in-hospital use and a modified model was used in the MARINER trial of ET also incorporating an elevated D-dimer. The MAGELLAN study demonstrated efficacy with rivaroxaban but had excess bleeding. This retrospective analysis investigated whether the modified IMPROVE VTE model with an elevated D-dimer could identify a high VTE risk subgroup of patients for ET from a subpopulation of the MAGELLAN study, which was previously identified as having a lower risk of bleeding. We incorporated the modified IMPROVE VTE score using a cutoff score of 4 or more or 2 and 3 with an elevated D-dimer (>2 times the upper limit of normal) to the MAGELLAN subpopulation. In total, 56% of the patients met the high-risk criteria. In the placebo group, the total VTE event rate at Day 35 was 7.94% in the high-risk group and 2.83% for patients in the lower-risk group. A reduction in VTE was observed with rivaroxaban in the high-risk group (relative risk [RR]: 0.68, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.51–0.91, p = 0.008) and in the lower-risk group (RR: 0.69, 95% CI: 0.40 -1.20, p = 0.187). The modified IMPROVE VTE score with an elevated D-dimer identified a nearly threefold higher VTE risk subpopulation of patients where a significant benefit exists for ET using rivaroxaban.


2010 ◽  
Vol 28 (15) ◽  
pp. 2556-2564 ◽  
Author(s):  
Valérie Boige ◽  
Jean Mendiboure ◽  
Jean-Pierre Pignon ◽  
Marie-Anne Loriot ◽  
Marine Castaing ◽  
...  

Purpose The aim was to investigate whether germline polymorphisms within candidate genes known or suspected to be involved in fluorouracil (FU), oxaliplatin, and irinotecan pathways were associated with toxicity and clinical outcome in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). Patients and Methods Blood samples from 349 patients included in the Fédération Francophone de Cancérologie Digestive 2000-05 randomized trial, which compared FU plus leucovorin (LV5FU2) followed by FU, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin (FOLFOX) followed by FU, leucovorin, and irinotecan (FOLFIRI; sequential arm) with FOLFOX followed by FOLFIRI (combination arm) in terms of progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival, were collected. Twenty polymorphisms within the DPD, TS, MTHFR, ERCC1, ERCC2, GSTP1, GSTM1, GSTT1, and UGT1A1 genes were genotyped. Results The ERCC2-K751QC allele was independently associated with an increased risk of FOLFOX-induced grade 3 or 4 hematologic toxicity (P = .01). In the sequential arm, TS-5′UTR3RG and GSTT1 alleles were independently associated with response to LV5FU2 (P = .009) and FOLFOX (P = .01), respectively. The effect of oxaliplatin on tumor response increased with the number of MTHFR-1298C alleles (test for trend, P = .008). The PFS benefit from first-line FOLFOX was restricted to patients with 2R/2R (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.39; 95% CI, 0.23 to 0.68) or 2R/3R (HR = 0.59; 95% CI, 0.42 to 0.82) TS-5′UTR genotypes, respectively. Conversely, patients with the TS-5′UTR 3R/3R genotype did not seem to benefit from the adjunction of oxaliplatin (HR = 0.96; 95% CI, 0.66 to 1.40; trend between the three HRs, P = .006). Conclusion A pharmacogenetic approach may be a useful strategy for personalizing and optimizing chemotherapy in mCRC patients and deserves confirmation in additional prospective studies.


Blood ◽  
2006 ◽  
Vol 108 (11) ◽  
pp. 715-715
Author(s):  
Rupert M. Bauersachs ◽  
Joachim Dudenhausen ◽  
Andree Faridi ◽  
Thorsten Fischer ◽  
Samson Fung ◽  
...  

Abstract Women with a history of VTE, thrombophilia or both are at increased risk for VTE during pregnancy, but the optimal management strategy, and the need for thromboprophylaxis is not well defined in clinical guidelines because of limited trial data. The EThIG (Efficacy of Thromboprophylaxis as an Intervention during Gravidity) is a multicenter trial that prospectively enrolled 810 pregnant women at risk of VTE. Women were assigned to one of 3 management strategies: Low risk group I (including women with prior secondary VTE, or asymptomatic thrombophilia) with “watchful waiting” management, and dalteparin prophylaxis postpartum (50–100 IU/kg), or earlier if additional risk factors occurred; high risk group II (e.g. idiopathic VTE or symptomatic thrombophilia) receiving 50–100 IU/kg dalteparin; and very high-risk group III (e.g. acute VTE, prior long-term OAC, symptomatic AT-deficiency or antiphospholipid syndrome), receiving 100–200 IU/kg dalteparin. Primary efficacy outcome measure was symptomatic VTE, main safety outcome measures were haemorrhages, osteoporosis, thromboctopenia and pregnancy outcome. Results (mean ± SD / 95% CI): 810 women (age 30.8±5.4 years, weight 73.6±16.1kg) were enrolled, 28 % in group I, 58 % in II and 14% in III, including 66 women with acute VTE. 60.1% had prior VTE, 75.4% had thrombophilia (42.1 % FV-Leiden, 2.1 % homozygous, 9.5 % FII G20210A, 4.1% PC-, 1 % AT-deficiency; 17.4 % APS). 35.8 % had previous miscarriage, still birth or physical malformation. Comorbid conditions included lupus erythematosus, liver transplantation, ventricular septum defect, paraplegia, hepatitis C, nephrotic syndrome, asthma, chronic haemolytic anaemia, thalassaemia, osteoporosis and thrombocytopaenia. Median treatment initiation was at 17.0 weeks, at 24.0 weeks in group I, 14.5 weeks in group II and 16.0 weeks for group III. Mean daily dose was 66.2 ± 22.5 IU per kg (group I), 76.8 ± 24.1 IU per kg (group II) and 120.0 ± 49.1 IU per kg (group III). Objectively confirmed, symptomatic VTE occurred in 5 of 810 women (0.6%;0.2–1.5%). The rate of serious bleeding was 3.0% (1.9–4.4%), 0.9% (0.3–1.8%) occurred in the antepartum period, 2.1% (1.3–3.4%) peri-partum;1.1% (0.5–2.2%) was possibly heparin-related. There was no evidence of heparin-induced thrombocytopenia, and one case of osteoporosis (fracture of the saccygous bone during delivery). There were 94.4% successful pregnancies, 40 foetuses (4.9%; 3.6–6.7%) were lost due to miscarriage, 7 due to elective termination. Risk-stratified heparin prophylaxis was associated with a low incidence of symptomatic venous thromboembolism and few clinically important adverse events. Antepartum heparin prophylaxis is warranted in pregnant women with prior idiopathic thrombosis or symptomatic thrombophilia.


2019 ◽  
Vol 17 (6) ◽  
pp. 703-710 ◽  
Author(s):  
Li-Ting Liu ◽  
Qiu-Yan Chen ◽  
Lin-Quan Tang ◽  
Shan-Shan Guo ◽  
Ling Guo ◽  
...  

Background: The goal of this study was to explore the value of adding neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) or adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) to concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) with different risks of treatment failure. Patients and Methods: A total of 2,263 eligible patients with stage III–IVb NPC treated with CCRT ± NACT or ACT were included in this retrospective study. Distant metastasis–free survival (DMFS), overall survival, and progression-free survival were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and differences were compared using the log-rank test. Results: Patients in the low-risk group (stage N0–1 disease and Epstein-Barr virus [EBV] DNA <4,000 copies/mL) who received NACT followed by CCRT achieved significantly better 5-year DMFS than those treated with CCRT alone (96.2% vs 91.3%; P= .008). Multivariate analyses also demonstrated that additional NACT was the only independent prognostic factor for DMFS (hazard ratio, 0.42; 95% CI, 0.22–0.80; P=.009). In both the intermediate-risk group (stage N0–1 disease and EBV DNA ≥4,000 copies/mL and stage N2–3 disease and EBV DNA <4,000 copies/mL) and the high-risk group (stage N2–3 disease and EBV DNA ≥4,000 copies/mL), comparison of NACT or ACT + CCRT versus CCRT alone indicated no significantly better survival for all end points. Conclusions: The addition of NACT to CCRT could reduce distant failure in patients with low risk of treatment failure.


Blood ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 116 (21) ◽  
pp. 3128-3128 ◽  
Author(s):  
María José Terol ◽  
Ana Isabel Teruel ◽  
Paula Amat ◽  
Danella Elaluf ◽  
Mar Tormo ◽  
...  

Abstract Abstract 3128 Background: follicular lymphoma is an incurable, long-lasting disease with an heterogeneous outcome. Several prognostic systems have been proposed, and recently a new one, the FLIPI2 score based on five parameters has been published. However, in order to confirm its prognostic utility, further studies at other centers are highly recommendable. Aim: to validate the new FLIPI2 score in independent series of follicular lymphoma patients diagnosed at our institution between February 1990 and July 2010. Patients and methods. We considered 180 patients consecutively diagnosed with follicular diagnosis in the period described and from whom all variables required were available. The variables included were: beta2microglobulin higher than the upper normal value, longest diameter of the largest involved node longer than 6 cm, bone marrow infiltration, hemoglobin level lower than 120 g/L and age older than 60 years (one point if present). Three risk groups were identified: low risk (0 points), intermediate risk (1 -2) and high risk (3 or more) Progression-free survival was measured from date of treatment until date of progression or death from any cause. Continuous variables were summarized as median and range, categorical variables reported as counts, and PFS and OS carried out using the Kaplan-Meier method and curves compared by the log-rank test. Results: median age was 55 years (range, 24 to 77), male sex 92 (51%), Ann Arbor Stage I-II: 32(18%), III-IV: 143 (82%), age > 60 y 70 (39%), Hb < 120 g/L 38 (21%), β2microglobulin > UNV: 45 (25%), LDH > UNV: 34 (19%), bone marrow infiltration 82 (48%), longer diameter of the largest involved node > 6 cm 64 (36%). 47 patients (26%) received rituximab-containing regimens and 124 received conventional chemotherapy regimens (pre-rituximab era). Median follow-up of the series was 66.9 months (range,1.3-221). Using the FLIPI score (n=162) 58 patients (36%) were in the low risk group, 54 (33%) were in the intermediate group and 50 (31%) in the high risk group. Using the FLIPI2 (n=180) 36 patients (20%) were in the low risk group, 103 (57%) in the intermediate group and 41 (23%) in the high risk group. According to FLIPI 5y- PFS rate was 79% for the low risk group, 63% for the intermediate group and 32% for the high risk group, p < 0.001. According to FLIPI2 score, 5y-PFS rate was 82% for the low risk, 54% for the intermediate and 43% for the high risk groups, p=0.017. Concerning OS, applying the FLIPI, 5y-OS rate for the low, intermediate and high risk groups were 94%m 84% and 64%, respectively, p=0.003. Using the FLIPI2, 5y-OS for the low, intermediate and high risk groups were 96%, 80% and 67% respectively, p=0.006. Conclusions: in our experience the FLIPI2 score is a reproducible prognostic index in patients with follicular lymphoma although the FLIPI score seems to discriminate better between groups than the FLIPI2 score. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


PeerJ ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 4 ◽  
pp. e1804 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mingguang Shi ◽  
Jianmin He

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the heterogeneous disease with a high mortality rate, and still lacks an effective treatment. Our goal is to develop a robust prognosis model for predicting the prognosis in CRC patients. In this study, 871 stage II and III CRC samples were collected from six gene expression profilings. ColoFinder was developed using 9-genes signature based Random Survival Forest (RSF) prognosis model. The 9-genes signature recurrence score was derived with 5-fold cross validation to test the association with relapse-free survival and the value of AUC was gained with 0.87 inGSE39582(95% CI [0.83 − − 0.91]). The low-risk group had significantly better relapse-free survival (HR, 14.8; 95% CI [8.17–26.8];P< 0.001) than the high-risk group. We also found the 9-genes signature recurrence score contributed more information about recurrence than standard clinical and pathological variables in univariate and multivariate Cox analyses when applied toGSE17536(p= 0.03 andp= 0.01 respectively). Furthermore, ColoFinder improved the predictive ability and better stratified the risk subgroups when applied to CRC gene expression datasetsGSE14333,GSE17537,GSE12945andGSE24551. In summary, ColoFinder significantly improves the risk assessment in stage II and III CRC patients. The 9-genes prognostic classifier informs patient prognosis and treatment response.


Blood ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 120 (21) ◽  
pp. 3778-3778 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mario Tiribelli ◽  
Massimiliano Bonifacio ◽  
Elisabetta Calistri ◽  
Gianni Binotto ◽  
Elena Maino ◽  
...  

Abstract Abstract 3778 Introduction. The EUTOS score has recently been developed by the European Leukemia-Net (ELN) to predict the achievement of an 18-month complete cytogenetic response (CCyR) and progression-free survival in imatinib-treated early chronic phase (ECP) chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) patients. The score uses the percentage of basophils and spleen size to divide patients in 2 groups of low- and high-risk. Since its publication in 2011, however, there have been conflicting reports about the efficacy of EUTOS score. Moreover, scanty data are available on the power of this scoring system to foresee optimal response to imatinib, as defined by ELN recommendations. Aims and Methods. To test the power of EUTOS score in predicting achievement of optimal response to imatinib, as defined by ELN, time to imatinib failure (TTF) and progression-free survival (PFS), we evaluated 265 ECP CML patients treated with front-line standard dose imatinib (400 mg daily) at 5 major hematology centres in the north-eastern area of Italy. Partial cytogenetic response (PCyR) and CCyR were defined as 1–35% and 0% Ph+ metaphases, respectively; major molecular response (MMR) was defined as BCR-ABL <0.1%IS. TTF was measured from the start of imatinib to the date of any of the following events: progression to accelerated or blastic phase, death for any cause at any time, imatinib dose increase (≥ 600 mg/day) for primary or secondary hematologic or cytogenetic resistance. PFS was measured from the start of imatinib to the date of progression to accelerated or blastic phase or death for any cause at any time. Survival probabilities were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method and compared by log rank test; differences among variables were evaluated by the Fisher's exact test or by Student's t-distribution. Results. A total of 265 consecutive patients with ECP CML were included in this study. The median age was 55 years (range 19–84), with 149 males and 116 females. The median follow-up was 61 months (range 6–136). The median time from diagnosis to imatinib therapy was 0.7 months (range 0 – 7.6). The distribution according to the EUTOS score was: 248 patients (93.6%) in the low risk group and 17 patients (6.4%) in the high risk group. The “optimal response” endpoints to imatinib (i.e. PCyR at 6th months, CCyR at 12th months and MMR at 18th months) were higher in low-risk patients, but did not achieve statistical significance. Specifically, the values were as following: PCyR 86% vs 67% (p=0.055), CCyR 80% vs 63% (p=0.117) and MMR 61% vs 36% (p=0.126). Cumulative incidence of CCyR was comparable in the two groups (88%% in low-risk and 80% in high risk), but time to CCyR was shorter in low-risk patients (6 months) compared to the one in high-risk patients (9 months) (p=0.048) [figure 1]. More importantly, EUTOS score was able to predict long term response to therapy. Indeed, 59% of patients in the high-risk group experienced imatinib failure, compared to 30% in the low-risk group (p=0.027). Moreover also TTF was significant shorter in the high-risk group [figure 2]. Fifty-three patients in the low-risk group (21%) were switched to 2nd-generation TKIs (29 dasatinib, 22 nilotinib, 1 bosutinib, 1 ponatinib), compared to six (35%) in the high-risk group (4 dasatinib, 2 nilotinib). Also PFS rate was significantly worse in patients with high EUTOS score, with 11/248 events (4%) in the low-risk group and 4/17 (23%) in the high-risk cases (p=0.01) [figure 3]. Conclusions. In our study group, the EUTOS score was predictive for long-term outcome of imatinib therapy, both in terms of treatment failure and of progression-free survival. Taking into consideration the ELN definitions of optimal response, there was a trend toward better cytogenetic and molecular response in low-risk patients; the lack of statistical significance could be due to the relatively small number of high-risk cases. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e14107-e14107
Author(s):  
Dilek Erdem ◽  
Idris Yucel ◽  
Bahiddin Yilmaz ◽  
Guzin Demirag ◽  
Yasemin Kemal ◽  
...  

e14107 Background: Baseline lymphopenia has been proved to be a marker for poor prognosis, chemotherapy-induced toxicity and increased risk of febrile neutropenia, trombocytopenia and anemia in advanced solid neoplasms. This study aims to evaluate the effect of pretreatment lymphopenia on prognosis and hematological toxicity in colorectal cancer patients who received first line systemic chemotherapy. Methods: Lymphocyte count was evaluated in 386 pretreated colorectal cancer patients who do not have a seconder malignancy, HIV infection, bone involvement and primary G-CSF prophylaxis. Overall survival, progression free survival and disease free survival were calculated from date of diagnosis to date of relapse, progression and death. Kaplan-Meier, chi-square and Student-t test were used. Results: Mean follow-up was 30 months (range 1-180 months). Mean age was 57.4±12.5 years. Of all patients, 160 (41 %) were women. Rectum ( 26.2 %) and transvers colon (4.7 %) were the most and the least common anatomic locations, respectively. Mean lymphocyte count before treatment was 1964/µl (170-7000/µl). There were no relationship between lymphopenia and age, sex, performans status, presence of initial metastasis, adjuvant or palliative chemotherapy and hematological toxicity (p>0.05). Grade 3-4 hematological toxicity was found in 40 patients and was significantly higher in patients receiving bi- or tri-chemotherapy regimen (p:0.017). Among 208 patients with relapse or progression, 40 patients had lymphopenia (19.2 %). 1, 3 and 5-year OS were significantly lower in lymphopenic patients (p:0.033). DFS was longer in non-lymphopenic patients but this data didn’t have statistical significance (p>0.05). Conclusions: This study support that lymphocyte number prior to chemotherapy may be a simple but useful prognostic and predictive marker in untreated colorectal cancer patients. Patients with lower pretreatment lymphopenia have lower OS when compared to others (p<0.05). This study has the highest colorectal cancer population in the literature.


2014 ◽  
Vol 32 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 331-331
Author(s):  
Satoru Muto ◽  
Takeshi Ieda ◽  
Syou-ichiro Sugiura ◽  
Akiko Nakajima ◽  
Akira Horiuchi ◽  
...  

331 Background: To predict recurrence and progression of non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC), EORTC risk tables are widely used worldwide. EORTC risk tables were, however, developed on the basis of individual data from 2,596 NMIBC patients included in seven special European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer trials. Therefore, it is not clear the efficacy of these risk tables in clinical practice, especially in Japan. I will report the recurrence and progression rate on the basis of EORTC risk tables in Japanese NMIBC patients. Methods: A retrospective analysis of 619 patients with NMIBC treated between January 1998 and 2012 was performed. Patients were divided into three groups on the basis of EORTC risk tables. We compared recurrence- and progression-free survival rates between groups. Recurrence- and progression-free survival was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Results: We evaluated the clinical outcome of 1,032 TUR-Bt. The recurrence rate is 32.3% in low risk group (n=31), 44.5% in intermediate risk group (n=757), and 49.4% in high risk group (n=85). The median recurrence free survival time is 87 months in low risk group, 35 months in intermediate risk group, and 25 months in high risk group. Although there are significant differences in recurrence free survival time between low risk group and intermediate risk group (p=0.0351), there are no significant differences between intermediate risk group and high risk group (p=0.1871). On the other hand, the progression rate is 1.6% in low risk group (n=128), 5.8% in intermediate risk group (n=451), and 18.0% in high risk group (n=294). The median progression free survival time is 176 months in low risk group, 131 months in intermediate risk group, and 109 months in high risk group. There are significant differences in progression free survival time between low risk group and intermediate risk group (p=0.0138), and between intermediate risk group and high risk group (p=<0.0001). Conclusions: There is an urgent need to establish the standard of recurrence risk classification in Japan.


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