Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation - Comorbidity Index (HCT-CI) as a Surrgoate Marker for Predition of Transplant Outcome for Pateints (pts) with Multiple Myeloma (MM) Undergoing Autologous Stem Cell Transplantation (ASCT): High HCT-CI Score Predicts for Poor Outcome.

Blood ◽  
2007 ◽  
Vol 110 (11) ◽  
pp. 5104-5104
Author(s):  
Mohamed I. Farhat ◽  
Ronald Myint ◽  
Stephanie A. Gregory ◽  
Parameswaran Venugopal ◽  
Mohamad Kassar ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: For all “transplant eligible” pts with MM, established practice guidelines recommend ASCT as part of the front line treatment. However, the definition of “transplant eligible” remains undefined. The HCT-CI is a new tool that encapsulates pre-transplant comorbidities used in predicting transplant outcomes in pts undergoing allogeneic SCT. This scoring system has been shown to be a good predictor for non-relapse mortality (NRM) & survival in pts undergoing alloSCT. In this study, we hypothesize that HCT-CI could predict the transplant outcome on pts with MM undergoing ASCT and could potentially be utilized as a tool for selecting pts with MM for transplant. Methods: A retrospective analysis of 75 pts with multiple myeloma whom underwent ASCT in our institution between 02/99 and 12/03 with a median follow up of 30 months. Pts were assigned scores based on the HCT-CI. Definitions of comorbidities were as previously reported by Sorror et. al. (Blood2005; 106:2912). Results: Median age was 56 years (38 – 73); M:F 1:1. 51 pts received a single & 24 had tandem ASCT. The majority of pt. had IgG myeloma (IgG kappa: 45; IgG Lambda 17). Comorbidities (points, number of pts): mild hepatic (1,16), renal (2,6), cardiac (1,8), arrhythmia (1,1), heart valve disease (3,4), cerebrovascular (1,8), DM (1,11), PUD (2,2), inflammatory bowel disease (1,0), Tumor (3,6), pulmonary (2,5), psychiatric (1,8), rheumatologic (2,3), infection (1,6), and obesity (1,10). HCT-CI score of 0 seen in 32%, 1 in 28%, 2–8 in 40% of the pts, with a median score of 1.65. 20 patients died with only one due to NRM. Pts were categorized into 2 groups: low-risk (scores of 0–1) – 46 pts and high-risk (scores 2–8) – 29. Using a cox regression model, the low risk group had a survival advantage (HR = 2.55, P = 0.04). Using Kaplan Meier survival estimate comparing the low risk and high risk group (figure1), the 5 yrs overall survival were 77% & 22% respectively (P = 0.04). While the median survival for the high risk group was 3.52 years, it has not been reached for the low risk group. Conclusion: Here, we have demonstrated a survival benefit for pts with low (0–1) compared with high (≥ 2) HCT-CI score. In addition, the outcome of pts with high HCT-CI score was also similar to non-transplant pts as published in the literature. This raises the question of “benefit” of ASCT for pts with high HCT-CI score. Thus, HCT-CI may serve as a useful tool to select pts whom would benefit most from ASCT. Figure 1 Figure 1

2007 ◽  
Vol 25 (18_suppl) ◽  
pp. 7102-7102
Author(s):  
M. Kassar ◽  
S. A. Gregory ◽  
K. Shell ◽  
P. Venugopal ◽  
J. Shammo ◽  
...  

7102 Background: Sorror et al. has identified HCT-CI as a valid scoring of pretransplant comorbidities that predicted nonrelapse mortality and survival after allogeniec HCT. We recently reported on the validity of HCT-CI in predicting morbidity outcomes after AHCT for lymphoma (BBMT in press). High HCT-CI score predicted for prolonged hospitalization and high incidence of hospital re-admission after AHCT. The objective of this study is to evaluate the impact of HCT-CI on mortality risk after AHCT. Methods: We included pts above age of 40 with advanced HL or NHL, who underwent AHCT in our institution between 01/98 & 05/06. Median follow up was 29.4 mo. Pts were assigned scores based on the HCT-CI. Defenition of comorbidities were recently reported (Kassar et al, BBMT in press). Results: 80 pts were included (NHL: 74, HL: 6). 61 pts were male. Median age was 56 years (42–76). Comorbidities (points, prevalence%): mild hepatic (1,14), cardiac (1,15), cerebrovascular (1,4), arrhythmia (1,9), moderate pulmonary (2,11), severe pulmonary (3,8), rheumatologic (2,5), DM (1,23), inflammatory bowel disease (1,3), psychiatric (1,11), infection (1,6), obesity (1,11), and renal (2,1). Median HCT-CI was 1 (0: 37 %, 1: 26%, 2–7: 37%). 22 pts died: 15 from relapse and 7 from non relapse mortality (NRM) causes. Cumulative day-100 NRM and 1-year NRM rates are: 1.3% and 4%, respectively. Pts were categorized into 2 groups: low-risk (scores of 0–1) and high-risk (scores 2–7). Using Cox Regression model and adjusting for age and histology, low-risk group had a significantly better OS (1 wk-58.6 mo, median 34.1 mo) compared to high-risk group (5 days-23.6 mo, median 6 mo) (HR: 3.73, p = .01, 95% CI 1.32, 10.54). 1-year OS rate was 75% vs. 25%, respectively (p=.04). Conclusion: HCT-CI is a valid scoring of pre-transplant comorbidities that predicted mortality after AHCT for pts with lymphoma. The physiologic burden of comorbidities is likely to impact the tolerance to AHCT or to other therapies administered upon relapse after transplant. HCT-CI can serve as important tool for both the transplant administrator when planning for resources allocation and clinical trials, and for pts during pre-transplant evaluation and counseling. No significant financial relationships to disclose.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Dakui Luo ◽  
Zezhi Shan ◽  
Qi Liu ◽  
Sanjun Cai ◽  
Qingguo Li ◽  
...  

A metabolic disorder is considered one of the hallmarks of cancer. Multiple differentially expressed metabolic genes have been identified in colon cancer (CC), and their biological functions and prognostic values have been well explored. The purpose of the present study was to establish a metabolic signature to optimize the prognostic prediction in CC. The related data were downloaded from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), Genotype-Tissue Expression (GTEx) database, and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) combined with GSE39582 set, GSE17538 set, GSE33113 set, and GSE37892 set. The differentially expressed metabolic genes were selected for univariate Cox regression and lasso Cox regression analysis using TCGA and GTEx datasets. Finally, a seventeen-gene metabolic signature was developed to divide patients into a high-risk group and a low-risk group. Patients in the high-risk group presented poorer prognosis compared to the low-risk group in both TCGA and GEO datasets. Moreover, gene set enrichment analyses demonstrated multiple significantly enriched metabolism-related pathways. To sum up, our study described a novel seventeen-gene metabolic signature for prognostic prediction of colon cancer.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yinglian Pan ◽  
Li Ping Jia ◽  
Yuzhu Liu ◽  
Yiyu Han ◽  
Qian Li ◽  
...  

Abstract Background In this study we aimed to identify a prognostic signature in BRCA1/2 mutations to predict disease progression and the efficiency of chemotherapy ovarian cancer (OV), the second most common cause of death from gynecologic cancer in women worldwide. Methods Univariate Cox proportional-hazards and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to identifying prognostic factors from data obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. The area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic curve was assessed, and the sensitivity and specificity of the prediction model were determined. Results A signature consisting of two long noncoding RNAs(lncRNAs), Z98885.2 and AC011601.1, was selected as the basis for classifying patients into high and low-risk groups (median survival: 7.2 years vs. 2.3 years). The three-year overall survival (OS) rates for the high- and low-risk group were approximately 38 and 100%, respectively. Chemotherapy treatment survival rates indicated that the high-risk group had significantly lower OS rates with adjuvant chemotherapy than the low-risk group. The one-, three-, and five-year OS were 100, 40, and 15% respectively in the high-risk group. The survival rate of the high-risk group declined rapidly after 2 years of OV chemotherapy treatment. Multivariate Cox regression associated with other traditional clinical factors showed that the 2-lncRNA model could be used as an independent OV prognostic factor. Analyses of data from the Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) and Gene Ontology (GO) indicated that these signatures are pivotal to cancer development. Conclusion In conclusion, Z98885.2 and AC011601.1 comprise a novel prognostic signature for OV patients with BRCA1/2 mutations, and can be used to predict prognosis and the efficiency of chemotherapy.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Li Liu ◽  
She Tian ◽  
Zhu Li ◽  
Yongjun Gong ◽  
Hao Zhang

Abstract Background : Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common clinical malignant tumors, resulting in high mortality and poor prognosis. Studies have found that LncRNA plays an important role in the onset, metastasis and recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma. The immune system plays a vital role in the development, progression, metastasis and recurrence of cancer. Therefore, immune-related lncRNA can be used as a novel biomarker to predict the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma. Methods : The transcriptome data and clinical data of HCC patients were obtained by using The Cancer Genome Atlas-Liver Hepatocellular Carcinoma (TCGA‑LIHC), and immune-related genes were extracted from the Molecular Signatures Database (IMMUNE RESPONSE M19817 and IMMUNE SYSTEM PROCESS M13664). By constructing the co-expression network and Cox regression analysis, 13 immune-lncRNAs was identified to predict the prognosis of HCC patients. Patients were divided into high risk group and low risk group by using the risk score formula, and the difference in overall survival (OS) between the two groups was reflected by Kaplan-Meier survival curve. The time - dependent receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analysis and principal component analysis (PCA) were used to evaluate 13 immune -lncRNAs signature. Results : Through TCGA - LIHC extracted from 343 cases of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma RNA - Seq data and clinical data, 331 immune-related genes were extracted from the Molecular Signatures Database , co-expression networks and Cox regression analysis were constructed, 13 immune-lncRNAs signature was identified as biomarkers to predict the prognosis of patients. At the same time using the risk score median divided the patients into high risk and low risk groups, and through the Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis found that high-risk group of patients' overall survival (OS) less low risk group of patients. The AUC value of the ROC curve is 0.828, and principal component analysis (PCA) results showed that patients could be clearly divided into two parts by immune-lncRNAs, which provided evidence for the use of 13 immune-lncRNAs signature as prognostic markers. Conclusion : Our study identified 13 immune-lncRNAs signature that can effectively predict the prognosis of HCC patients, which may be a new prognostic indicator for predicting clinical outcomes.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jing Liu ◽  
Ting Ye ◽  
Xue fang Zhang ◽  
Yong jian Dong ◽  
Wen feng Zhang ◽  
...  

Abstract Most of the malignant melanomas are already in the middle and advanced stages when they are diagnosed, which is often accompanied by the metastasis and spread of other organs.Besides, the prognosis of patients is bleak. The characteristics of the local immune microenvironment in metastatic melanoma have important implications for both tumor progression and tumor treatment. In this study, data on patients with metastatic melanoma from the TCGA and GEO datasets were selected for immune, stromal, and estimate scores, and overlapping differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were screened. A nine-IRGs prognostic model (ALOX5AP, ARHGAP15, CCL8, FCER1G, GBP4, HCK, MMP9, RARRES2 and TRIM22) was established by univariate COX regression, LASSO and multivariate COX regression. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to test the predictive accuracy of the model. Immune infiltration was analyzed by using CIBERSORT, Xcell and ssGSEA in high-risk and low-risk groups. The immune infiltration of the high-risk group was significantly lower than that of the low-risk group. Immune checkpoint analysis revealed that the expression of PDCD1, CTLA4, TIGIT, CD274, HAVR2 and LAG3 were significantly different in groups with different levels of risk scores. WGCNA analysis found that the yellow-green module contained seven genes (ALOX5AP, FCER1G, GBP4, HCK, MMP9, RARRES2 and TRIM22) from the nine-IRG prognostic model, of which the yellow-green module had the highest correlation with risk scores. The results of GO and KEGG suggested that the genes in the yellow-green module were mainly enriched in immune-related biological processes. Finally, we analyzed the prognostic ability and expression characteristics of ALOX5AP, ARHGAP15, CCL8, FCER1G, GBP4, HCK, MMP9, RARRES2 and TRIM22 in metastatic melanoma. Overall, a prognostic model for metastatic melanoma based on the characteristics of the tumor immune microenvironment was established, which was helpful for further studies.It could function well in helping people to understand the characteristics of the immune microenvironment in metastatic melanoma and to find possible therapeutic targets.


Author(s):  
Xinshuang Yu ◽  
Peng Dong ◽  
Yu Yan ◽  
Fengjun Liu ◽  
Hui Wang ◽  
...  

Pancreatic cancer is a highly aggressive disease with poor prognosis. N6-methyladenosine (m6A) is critical for post-transcriptional modification of messenger RNA (mRNA) and long non-coding RNA (lncRNA). However, the m6A-associated lncRNAs (m6A-lncRNA) and their values in predicting clinical outcomes and immune microenvironmental status in pancreatic cancer patients remain largely unexplored. This study aimed to evaluate the importance of m6A-lncRNA and established a m6A-lncRNA signature for predicting immunotherapeutic response and prognosis of pancreatic cancer. The m6A-lncRNA co-expression networks were constructed using data from the TCGA and GTEx database. Based on the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) analysis, we constructed an 8 m6A-lncRNA signature risk model, and selection operator (LASSO) analysis, and stratified patients into the high- and low-risk groups with significant difference in overall survival (OS) (HR = 2.68, 95% CI = 1.74–4.14, P < 0.0001). Patients in the high-risk group showed significantly reduced OS compared to patients in the low-risk group (P < 0.001). The clinical characteristics and m6A-lncRNA risk scores were used to construct a nomogram which accurately predicted the OS in pancreatic cancer. TIMER 2.0 were used to investigate tumor immune infiltrating cells and its relationship with pancreatic cancer. CIBERSORT analysis revealed increased higher infiltration proportions of M0 and M2 macrophages, and lower infiltration of naive B cell, CD8+ T cell and Treg cells in the high-risk group. Compared to the low-risk group, functional annotation using ssGSEA showed that T cell infiltration and the differential immune-related check-point genes are expressed at low level in the high-risk group (P < 0.05). In summary, our study constructed a novel m6A-associated lncRNAs signature to predict immunotherapeutic responses and provided a novel nomogram for the prognosis prediction of pancreatic cancer.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qian Zhang ◽  
Liping Lv ◽  
Ping Ma ◽  
Yangyang Zhang ◽  
Jiang Deng ◽  
...  

BackgroundPancreatic adenocarcinoma (PAAD) spreads quickly and has a poor prognosis. Autophagy research on PAAD could reveal new biomarkers and targets for diagnosis and treatment.MethodsAutophagy-related genes were translated into autophagy-related gene pairs, and univariate Cox regression was performed to obtain overall survival (OS)-related IRGPs (P<0.001). LASSO Cox regression analyses were performed to construct an autophagy-related gene pair (ARGP) model for predicting OS. The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA)-PAAD cohort was set as the training group for model construction. The model predictive value was validated in multiple external datasets. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate model performance. Tumor microenvironments and immune infiltration were compared between low- and high-risk groups with ESTIMATE and CIBERSORT. Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) between the groups were further analyzed by Gene Ontology biological process (GO-BP) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) analyses and used to identify potential small-molecule compounds in L1000FWD.ResultsRisk scores were calculated as follows: ATG4B|CHMP4C×(-0.31) + CHMP2B|MAP1LC3B×(0.30) + CHMP6|RIPK2 ×(-0.33) + LRSAM1|TRIM5×(-0.26) + MAP1LC3A|PAFAH1B2×(-0.15) + MAP1LC3A|TRIM21×(-0.08) + MET|MFN2×(0.38) + MET|MTDH×(0.47) + RASIP1|TRIM5×(-0.23) + RB1CC1|TPCN1×(0.22). OS was significantly shorter in the high-risk group than the low-risk group in each PAAD cohort. The ESTIMATE analysis showed no difference in stromal scores but a significant difference in immune scores (p=0.0045) and ESTIMATE scores (p=0.014) between the groups. CIBERSORT analysis showed higher naive B cell, Treg cell, CD8 T cell, and plasma cell levels in the low-risk group and higher M1 and M2 macrophage levels in the high-risk group. In addition, the results showed that naive B cells (r=-0.32, p<0.001), Treg cells (r=-0.31, p<0.001), CD8 T cells (r=-0.24, p=0.0092), and plasma cells (r=-0.2, p<0.026) were statistically correlated with the ARGP risk score. The top 3 enriched GO-BPs were signal release, regulation of transsynaptic signaling, and modulation of chemical synaptic transmission, and the top 3 enriched KEGG pathways were the insulin secretion, dopaminergic synapse, and NF-kappa B signaling pathways. Several potential small-molecule compounds targeting ARGs were also identified.ConclusionOur results demonstrate that the ARGP-based model may be a promising prognostic indicator for identifying drug targets in patients with PAAD.


Author(s):  
Peng Gu ◽  
Lei Zhang ◽  
Ruitao Wang ◽  
Wentao Ding ◽  
Wei Wang ◽  
...  

Background: Female breast cancer is currently the most frequently diagnosed cancer in the world. This study aimed to develop and validate a novel hypoxia-related long noncoding RNA (HRL) prognostic model for predicting the overall survival (OS) of patients with breast cancer.Methods: The gene expression profiles were downloaded from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. A total of 200 hypoxia-related mRNAs were obtained from the Molecular Signatures Database. The co-expression analysis between differentially expressed hypoxia-related mRNAs and lncRNAs based on Spearman’s rank correlation was performed to screen out 166 HRLs. Based on univariate Cox regression and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression analysis in the training set, we filtered out 12 optimal prognostic hypoxia-related lncRNAs (PHRLs) to develop a prognostic model. Kaplan–Meier survival analysis, receiver operating characteristic curves, area under the curve, and univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to test the predictive ability of the risk model in the training, testing, and total sets.Results: A 12-HRL prognostic model was developed to predict the survival outcome of patients with breast cancer. Patients in the high-risk group had significantly shorter median OS, DFS (disease-free survival), and predicted lower chemosensitivity (paclitaxel, docetaxel) compared with those in the low-risk group. Also, the risk score based on the expression of the 12 HRLs acted as an independent prognostic factor. The immune cell infiltration analysis revealed that the immune scores of patients in the high-risk group were lower than those of the patients in the low-risk group. RT-qPCR assays were conducted to verify the expression of the 12 PHRLs in breast cancer tissues and cell lines.Conclusion: Our study uncovered dozens of potential prognostic biomarkers and therapeutic targets related to the hypoxia signaling pathway in breast cancer.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaoxia Tong ◽  
Xiaofei Qu ◽  
Mengyun Wang

BackgroundCutaneous melanoma (CM) is one of the most aggressive cancers with highly metastatic ability. To make things worse, there are limited effective therapies to treat advanced CM. Our study aimed to investigate new biomarkers for CM prognosis and establish a novel risk score system in CM.MethodsGene expression data of CM from Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) datasets were downloaded and analyzed to identify differentially expressed genes (DEGs). The overlapped DEGs were then verified for prognosis analysis by univariate and multivariate COX regression in The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) datasets. Based on the gene signature of multiple survival associated DEGs, a risk score model was established, and its prognostic and predictive role was estimated through Kaplan-Meier (K-M) analysis and log-rank test. Furthermore, the correlations between prognosis related genes expression and immune infiltrates were analyzed via Tumor Immune Estimation Resource (TIMER) site.ResultsA total of 103 DEGs were obtained based on GEO cohorts, and four genes were verified in TCGA datasets. Subsequently, four genes (ADAMDEC1, GNLY, HSPA13, and TRIM29) model was developed by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. The K-M plots showed that the high-risk group was associated with shortened survival than that in the low-risk group (P < 0.0001). Multivariate analysis suggested that the model was an independent prognostic factor (high-risk vs. low-risk, HR= 2.06, P < 0.001). Meanwhile, the high-risk group was prone to have larger breslow depth (P< 0.001) and ulceration (P< 0.001).ConclusionsThe four-gene risk score model functions well in predicting the prognosis and treatment response in CM and will be useful for guiding therapeutic strategies for CM patients. Additional clinical trials are needed to verify our findings.


2019 ◽  
Vol 39 (12) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mei Chen ◽  
Zhen-yu Nie ◽  
Xiao-hong Wen ◽  
Yuan-hui Gao ◽  
Hui Cao ◽  
...  

Abstract N6-methyladenosine (m6A) is the most common form of messenger RNA (mRNA) modification. An increasing number of studies have proven that m6A RNA methylation regulators are overexpressed in many cancers and participate in the development of cancer through the dynamic regulation of m6A RNA methylation regulators. However, the prognostic role of m6A RNA methylation regulators in bladder cancer (BC) is poorly understood. In the present study, we downloaded the mRNA expression data from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database and the corresponding clinical and prognostic information. The relationship between m6A RNA methylation regulators and clinicopathological variables of BC patients was assessed by the Kolmogorov–Smirnov test. The expression of the m6A RNA methylation regulators was differentially associated with different clinicopathological variables of BC patients. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression model was then applied to identify three m6A RNA methylation regulators. The risk signature was constructed as follows: 0.164FTO − (0.081YTHDC1+0.032WTAP). Based on the risk signature, the risk score of each patient was calculated, and the patients were divided into a high-risk group and a low-risk group. The overall survival (OS) rate of the high-risk group was significantly lower than that of the low-risk group. The risk signature was not only an independent prognostic marker for BC patients but also a predictor of clinicopathological variables. In conclusion, m6A RNA methylation regulators can participate in the malignant progression of BC, and a risk signature with three selected m6A RNA methylation regulators may be a promising prognostic biomarker to guide personalized treatment for BC patients.


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