Anatomical Distribution of First VTE Event and Risk of VTE Recurrence: Long Term Follow-up and Retrospective Analysis of 346 Patients. Experience From a Single Center

Blood ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 118 (21) ◽  
pp. 1224-1224
Author(s):  
Emmanouil Papadakis ◽  
Dionysia Theocharidou ◽  
Anastasia Mpanti ◽  
Anastasia Spyrou ◽  
Konstantinos Loukidis ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Statistical Analysis ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Conflicts Of Interest ◽  
Statistical Significance ◽  
Recurrence Risk ◽  
Published Data ◽  
Anatomical Distribution ◽  
Independent Risk Factors

Abstract Abstract 1224 Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a chronic disease with recurrence risk that persists over the years. Predicting the chance of recurrence on an individual basis is of paramount importance for the appropriate tailoring of anticoagulant therapy. Recurrence risk is affected by thrombophilia and is lower in patients with provoked VTE than in patients with unprovoked thrombosis. Up to date there are no studies focused on the recurrence risk according to the anatomical distribution of the 1st VTE event. In order to evaluate the risk factors of VTE recurrence, after a review of relevant literature we set specific laboratory and clinical variables, which could be associated with VTE recurrence. Moreover, we evaluated retrospectively 346 patients of the Haemostasis Unit, who had already had an episode of VTE concerning the risk of VTE recurrence. Data statistical analysis was done with SPSS package 15.0. At first a monovariable statistical model was used with significance levels set at p= 0.05. For the multivariable statistical analysis model we used all variables with p< 0.1 from the previous model and those mentioned at recent medical literature as significantly related with VTE recurrence. The 346 patients enrolled had already suffered a first episode of VTE and are being followed up regarding VTE recurrence. The study population, 169 (48.7%) male and 178 (51.3%) female, had a mean age at first VTE of 41.54 years. The exclusion criteria of our study were: high risk patients for VTE recurrence who received indefinite anticoagulation (n=72), patients who have suffered VTE and had a follow up period after discontinuation of anticoagulation shorter than 2 years (n=73) and patients who were lost at follow up (n=15). Among 194 patients who were enrolled 108 (55.7%) were women and 86 (44.3%) men, with a mean age at 1st VTE of 40.10 years. 114 patients had only one VTE episode, 59 suffered two, 16 patients had tree episodes and 5 patients had >= 4 episodes. Based on previously published data we tried to define whether the following variables are high risk factors for VTE recurrence in our population: gender, age of diagnosis, thrombophilic factors (FVLeiden, FII, HCY, VIII, AT, PrC, PrS, PAI1, Lp(a), XII), the presence of unprovoked VTE episode and VTE location (DVT, PE, CNS Thrombosis). Male gender p=0,038, FVLeiden homozygous p=0.036, the presence of unprovoked VTE p=0.029, and VTE location p= 0.05 reached statistical significance on a monovariable analysis. Based on the previous analysis and on previously published data we applied gender, age at the time of diagnosis, presence of unprovoked VTE episode and VTE location on a multiple regression analysis in order to define independent risk factors concerning VTE recurrence (Table 1).Table 1Independent Risk factors concerning VTE recurrenceRisk FactorORCI 95%FVLeiden9.7931.07–89.62Unprovoked VTE9.7571.404–5.414Pulmonary embolism11.5321.419–93.746Deep Venus Thrombosis (DVT)17.7932.232–141.841 Concerning VTE location, CNS thrombosis has the lowest risk for VTE recurrence and Pulmonary embolism and DVT are independent risk factors compared to the first one. Among VTE events CNS thrombosis and DVT/PE share similarities regarding the transient risk factors and the presence of predisposing thrombophilias. As far as the recurrence risk after a first VTE our study demonstrates ( in agreement with current literature) that CNS thrombosis carries recurrence risk statistically lesser than PE and the highest recurrence risk carry the patients after a first DVT event. Our study is the first observational study regarding recurrence risk after VTE coming from Greece. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

scholarly journals Risk factors for a first thrombotic event in antiphospholipid antibody carriers: a prospective multicentre follow-up study

2011 ◽  
Vol 70 (6) ◽  
pp. 1083-1086 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amelia Ruffatti ◽  
Teresa Del Ross ◽  
Manuela Ciprian ◽  
Maria T Bertero ◽  
Sciascia Salvatore ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Univariate Analysis ◽  
Thrombotic Event ◽  
Multivariate Logistic Regression Analysis ◽  
Antiphospholipid Antibody ◽  
History Of ◽  
Ischaemic Attack ◽  
Independent Risk Factors

ObjectivesTo assess risk factors for a first thrombotic event in confirmed antiphospholipid (aPL) antibody carriers and to evaluate the efficacy of prophylactic treatments.MethodsInclusion criteria were age 18–65 years, no history of thrombosis and two consecutive positive aPL results. Demographic, laboratory and clinical parameters were collected at enrolment, once a year during the follow-up and at the time of the thrombotic event, whenever that occurred.Results258 subjects were prospectively observed between October 2004 and October 2008. The mean±SD follow-up was 35.0±11.9 months (range 1–48). A first thrombotic event (9 venous, 4 arterial and 1 transient ischaemic attack) occurred in 14 subjects (5.4%, annual incidence rate 1.86%). Hypertension and lupus anticoagulant (LA) were significantly predictive of thrombosis (both at p<0.05) and thromboprophylaxis was significantly protective during high-risk periods (p<0.05) according to univariate analysis. Hypertension and LA were identified by multivariate logistic regression analysis as independent risk factors for thrombosis (HR 3.8, 95% CI 1.3 to 11.1, p<0.05, and HR 3.9, 95% CI 1.1 to 14, p<0.05, respectively).ConclusionsHypertension and LA are independent risk factors for thrombosis in aPL carriers. Thromboprophylaxis in these subjects should probably be limited to high-risk situations.

scholarly journals Identification of Intermediate- to High-Risk Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma Patients Who May Be Safely Managed without the Performance of Delayed Stimulated Thyroglobulin Measurements following Total Thyroidectomy and Radioactive Iodine Therapy

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Kyung-Hee Kim ◽  
Min-Hee Kim ◽  
Ye-Jee Lim ◽  
Ihn Suk Lee ◽  
Ja-Seong Bae ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Total Thyroidectomy ◽  
Radioactive Iodine ◽  
Significant Risk ◽  
Disease Status ◽  
Radioactive Iodine Therapy ◽  
Papillary Thyroid ◽  
Independent Risk Factors

Background. The measurement of stimulated thyroglobulin (sTg) after total thyroidectomy and remnant radioactive iodine (RAI) ablation is the gold standard for monitoring disease status in patients with papillary thyroid carcinomas (PTCs). The aim of this study was to determine whether sTg measurement during follow-up can be avoided in intermediate- and high-risk PTC patients.Methods. A total of 346 patients with PTCs with an intermediate or high risk of recurrence were analysed. All of the patients underwent total thyroidectomy as well as remnant RAI ablation and sTg measurements. Preoperative and postoperative parameters were included in the analysis.Results. Among the preoperative parameters, age below 45 years and preoperative Tg above 19.4 ng/mL were significant risk factors for predicting detectable sTg during follow-up. Among the postoperative parameters, thyroid capsular invasion, lymph node metastasis, and ablative Tg above 2.9 ng/mL were independently correlated with a detectable sTg range. The combination of ablative Tg less than 2.9 ng/mL with pre- and postoperative independent risk factors for detectable sTg increased the negative predictive value for detectable sTg up to 98.5%.Conclusions. Based on pre- and postoperative parameters, a substantial proportion of patients with PTCs in the intermediate- and high-risk classes could avoid aggressive follow-up measures.

A concise prognostic score system for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma: a retrospective study with long-term follow-up

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ying Yang ◽  
Zhuogang Liu ◽  
Guojun Zhang ◽  
Hongtao Wang
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Prognostic Score ◽  
B Cell Lymphoma ◽  
Score System ◽  
Long Term Follow Up ◽  
Risk Patients ◽  
Independent Risk Factors

Aim: To identify risk factors and establish a concise prognostic scoring system in patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). Methods: A total of 131 DLBCL patients were enrolled with long-term follow-up who were treated in Shengjing Hospital of the China Medical University. The relationship between clinical parameters and outcomes was analyzed. Results: Multivariate analysis showed that patient age, BMI, CA125 and rituximab application were independent risk factors. Thereafter, a concise scoring system was established, and the new system could identify high-risk patients (p < 0.0001). The patients were divided into three groups: low-risk, medium-risk and high-risk groups. There were significant differences among different groups on overall survival and progression-free survival by log-rank test (p < 0.05). Conclusion: Old age, low BMI, high CA125 and no rituximab application were independent risk factors for DLBCL. The new established prognostic score system, which includes all the risk factors, could identify high-risk patients.

scholarly journals Increased D-Dimer Levels and Residual Venous Thrombosis Are Associated with Late Recurrence of Deep Venous Thrombosis

Blood ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 126 (23) ◽  
pp. 3554-3554
Author(s):  
Bruna Moraes Mazetto ◽  
Fernanda Andrade Orsi ◽  
Mariane Flores-Nascimento ◽  
Sandra Silveira ◽  
Luis Fernando Bittar ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Relative Risk ◽  
Venous Thrombosis ◽  
Conflicts Of Interest ◽  
Recurrence Risk ◽  
Late Recurrence ◽  
Long Time ◽  
Risk Patients ◽  
D Dimer

Abstract Background: Many patients present new thrombotic events even long-time after the first thrombotic episode and risk factors for recurrence in these cases are not fully elucidated. Aim: To evaluate the risk of late recurrence of thrombosis after a first DVT episode. Methods: This is a prospective observational study. We evaluated the association of D-dimer (DD) levels and persistent residual venous thrombosis (RVT), by Doppler ultrasound, with the occurrence of new thrombotic events long-time after the acute DVT episode. Results: Fifty-six patients were enrolled for the study. For all patients, DVT episode occurred more than 12 months apart from the enrollment day. Median follow-up was 28 months. During the follow-up time, 10 patients presented thrombosis recurrence. Patients who suffered DVT recurrence had higher DD levels than those who did not had recurrence (median= 0.99 vs 0.40, respectively). The best cut-off value to discriminate those at risk for recurrence was DD > 0.63mg/L (area= 0.7380 95%CI= 0.5800 to 0.8961, P=0.01). Recurrence occurred in 27.7% of patients with previous DD>0.63mg/L and in 5.9% of patients with previous DD< 0.63mg/L (relative risk = 6.46; 95%CI 1.36- 30.52, P=0.007). New thrombosis events occurred only in patients with previously documented RVT, mainly in patients with hypoechoic RVT. During follow-up, new thrombotic events were diagnosed in 75% of patients with hypoechoic RVT. The relative risk for recurrence according to the presence of RVT was 9.129 (95% CI= 2.60-32.02, P<0.001). The presence of RVT also modified the effect of DD on the recurrence risk. Patients with DD > 0,63mg/L but without RVT had similar risk of recurrence than those with DD< 0.63mg/L, whereas the risk for recurrence increased in 14-15 times in patients with RVT. Conclusion: These results suggests that the persistence of residual thrombosis combined with high levels of DD, long-time after the acute DVT, are risk factors associated with late thrombosis recurrence. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

Venous Thromboembolism (VTE) in Patients with Hematologic and Non-Hematologic Malignancies: Incidence and Risk Factors for Recurrent VTE

Blood ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 118 (21) ◽  
pp. 2303-2303
Author(s):  
Saroj Vadhan-Raj ◽  
Xiao Zhou ◽  
Jatin J Shah ◽  
Robert S Benjamin ◽  
Gregory Gladish
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Recurrent Events ◽  
Conflicts Of Interest ◽  
Hematologic Malignancies ◽  
Cancer Center ◽  
Index Event ◽  
Independent Risk Factors ◽  
Recurrent Vte ◽  
One Year

Abstract Abstract 2303 The incidence of VTE and risk for recurrence is known to be higher in patients (pt) with malignancy than in other patients. However, the exact incidence and risk factors predictive of recurrent VTE in patients with hematologic malignancies (Hem) and solid tumors (ST) are not well defined. A retrospective study was conducted to evaluate the incidence of VTE and the recurrent events during one year period at MD Anderson Cancer Center. The medical records of all patients with VTE confirmed by the radiologic studies in 2006 were reviewed. The data were collected for the incidence and type of VTE, the recurrent events during a one year follow-up from the time of primary event, and the risk factors for recurrent events, including, the pt demographics, diagnosis, prior history of VTE, transfusions, use of erythropoiesis-stimulating agents, and the laboratory parameters at the time of the index VTE event. Cox proportional hazard models were established to determine the independent predictive factors for recurrent VTE. There were 24,806 unique patients (each patient counted once) in active treatment at the Cancer Center between January 2006 and December 2006. Of the 980 pts diagnosed with VTE (480 DVT, 477 PE, and 23 DVT/PE) during this period, there were 770 ST, 208 Hem, and 2 benign conditions. The incidence of VTE was higher in Hem pts than in ST pts [208/3603 (6%) vs. 770/20212 (4%), p<0.0001]. Among Hem pts, the incidence was significantly higher in myeloma as compared to lymphoma and leukemia (9%, 6%, and 4%, respectively, p<0.0001). The proportion of VTE pts with PE was significantly higher among ST pts compared with Hem pts (55% vs 37%, p<0.0001). The incidence of recurrent VTE, as defined by any new event or progression of the index event, was 14% (140/978 pts) during one year follow-up period, and it was not different for Hem (16%) vs. ST (14%). Among Hem pts, the recurrence was higher for myeloma (19%) than lymphoma (16%) and leukemia (13%). Majority of the recurrent events (100/140, 71%) were seen during the initial 3 month period from the index event. The independent risk factors for recurrent VTE during 3 months, 6 months and 1 year were summarized in the following table:3 months6 months1 yearRisk factorsHazard ratio (95% CI)PHazard ratio (95% CI)PHazard ratio (95%CI)PPE vs. non-PE1.86 (1.20–2.88)0.0051.67 (1.12–2.42)0.0061.74 (1.20–2.51)0.003Age (<60 vs. ≥60 years)2.05 (1.34–3.15)0.0011.55 (1.08–2.23)0.0171.62 (1.14–2.32)0.008Men vs. women1.70 (1.10–2.63)0.0181.44 (0.994–2.07)0.054PE, pulmonary embolism; CI, confidence interval. Conclusions: The incidence of VTE is higher in Hem pts, especially in myeloma. Younger age (<60 years) and PE are independent risk factors predictive of recurrence during 3 month, 6 month and 1 year period. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

scholarly journals Nasal symptoms increase the risk of snoring and snoring increases the risk of nasal symptoms. A longitudinal population study

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maria Värendh ◽  
Christer Janson ◽  
Caroline Bengtsson ◽  
Johan Hellgren ◽  
Mathias Holm ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Respiratory Health ◽  
Smoking Status ◽  
Northern Europe ◽  
Nasal Breathing ◽  
Nasal Symptoms ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Study Population ◽  
Independent Risk Factors

Abstract Purpose Humans have a preference for nasal breathing during sleep. This 10-year prospective study aimed to determine if nasal symptoms can predict snoring and also if snoring can predict development of nasal symptoms. The hypothesis proposed is that nasal symptoms affect the risk of snoring 10 years later, whereas snoring does not increase the risk of developing nasal symptoms. Methods In the cohort study, Respiratory Health in Northern Europe (RHINE), a random population from Denmark, Estonia, Iceland, Norway, and Sweden, born between 1945 and 1973, was investigated by postal questionnaires in 1999–2001 (RHINE II, baseline) and in 2010–2012 (RHINE III, follow-up). The study population consisted of the participants who had answered questions on nasal symptoms such as nasal obstruction, discharge, and sneezing, and also snoring both at baseline and at follow-up (n = 10,112). Results Nasal symptoms were frequent, reported by 48% of the entire population at baseline, with snoring reported by 24%. Nasal symptoms at baseline increased the risk of snoring at follow-up (adj. OR 1.38; 95% CI 1.22–1.58) after adjusting for age, sex, BMI change between baseline and follow-up, and smoking status. Snoring at baseline was associated with an increased risk of developing nasal symptoms at follow-up (adj. OR 1.22; 95% CI 1.02–1.47). Conclusion Nasal symptoms are independent risk factors for development of snoring 10 years later, and surprisingly, snoring is a risk factor for the development of nasal symptoms.

Identifying patients with CKD risk at the time of nephrectomy: When to initiate nephrology consult

2021 ◽  
pp. 239936932110319
Author(s):  
Yihe Yang ◽  
Zachary Kozel ◽  
Purva Sharma ◽  
Oksana Yaskiv ◽  
Jose Torres ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Multivariate Analysis ◽  
Radical Nephrectomy ◽  
Mixed Model ◽  
Linear Mixed Model ◽  
Interstitial Fibrosis ◽  
Kidney Neoplasm ◽  
Tubular Atrophy ◽  
Independent Risk Factors

Introduction: The prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) is high among kidney neoplasm patients because of the overlapping risk factors. Our purpose is to identify kidney cancer survivors with higher CKD risk. Methods: We studied a retrospective cohort of 361 kidney tumor patients with partial or radical nephrectomy. Linear mixed model was performed. Results: Of patients with follow-up >3 months, 84% were identified retrospectively to fulfill criteria for CKD diagnosis, although CKD was documented in only 15%. Urinalysis was performed in 205 (57%) patients at the time of nephrectomy. Multivariate analysis showed interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy (IFTA) >25% ( p = 0.005), severe arteriolar sclerosis ( p = 0.013), female gender ( p = 0.024), older age ( p = 0.012), BMI ⩾ 25 kg/m2 ( p < 0.001), documented CKD ( p < 0.001), baseline eGFR ⩽ 60 ml/min/1.73 m2 ( p < 0.001), and radical nephrectomy ( p < 0.001) were independent risk factors of lower eGFR at baseline and during follow-up. Average eGFR decreased within 3 months post nephrectomy. However, patients with different risk levels showed different eGFR time trend pattern at longer follow-ups. Multivariate analysis of time × risk factor interaction showed BMI, radical nephrectomy and baseline eGFR had time-dependent impact. BMI ⩾ 25 kg/m2 and radical nephrectomy were associated with steeper eGFR decrease slope. In baseline eGFR > 90 ml/min/1.73 m2 group, eGFR rebounded to pre-nephrectomy levels during extended follow-up. In partial nephrectomy patients with baseline eGFR ⩾ 90 ml/min/1.73 m2 ( n = 61), proteinuria ( p < 0.001) and BMI ( p < 0.001) were independent risk factors of decreased eGFR during follow up. Conclusions: As have been suggested by others and confirmed by our study, proteinuria and CKD are greatly under-recognized. Although self-evident as a minimum workup for nephrectomy patients to include SCr, eGFR, urinalysis, and proteinuria, the need for uniform applications of this practice should be reinforced. Non-neoplastic histology evaluation is valuable and should include an estimate of global sclerosis% (GS) and IFTA%. Patients with any proteinuria and/or eGFR ⩽ 60 at the time of nephrectomy or in follow-up with urologists, and/or >25% GS or IFTA, should be referred for early nephrology consultation.

Analyses of Visuospatial and Visuoperceptual Errors as Predictors of Dementia in Parkinson’s Disease Patients with Subjective Cognitive Decline and Mild Cognitive Impairment

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Iván Galtier ◽  
Antonieta Nieto ◽  
María Mata ◽  
Jesús N. Lorenzo ◽  
José Barroso
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Parkinson’S Disease ◽  
Parkinson's Disease ◽  
Cognitive Impairment ◽  
Mild Cognitive Impairment ◽  
Cognitive Decline ◽  
Poor Performance ◽  
Subjective Cognitive Decline ◽  
Independent Risk Factors

ABSTRACT Objective: Subjective cognitive decline (SCD) and mild cognitive impairment (MCI) in Parkinson’s disease (PD) are considered as the risk factors for dementia (PDD). Posterior cortically based functions, such as visuospatial and visuoperceptual (VS-VP) processing, have been described as predictors of PDD. However, no investigations have focused on the qualitative analysis of the Judgment of Line Orientation Test (JLOT) and the Facial Recognition Test (FRT) in PD-SCD and PD-MCI. The aim of this work was to study the VS-VP errors in JLOT and FRT. Moreover, these variables are considered as predictors of PDD. Method: Forty-two PD patients and 19 controls were evaluated with a neuropsychological protocol. Patients were classified as PD-SCD and PD-MCI. Analyses of errors were conducted following the procedure described by Ska, Poissant, and Joanette (1990). Follow-up assessment was conducted to a mean of 7.5 years after the baseline. Results: PD-MCI patients showed a poor performance in JLOT and FRT total score and made a greater proportion of severe intraquadrant (QO2) and interquadrant errors (IQO). PD-SCD showed a poor performance in FRT and made mild errors in JLOT. PD-MCI and QO2/IQO errors were independent risk factors for PDD during the follow-up. Moreover, the combination of both PD-MCI diagnosis and QO2/IQO errors was associated with a greater risk. Conclusions: PD-MCI patients presented a greater alteration in VS-VP processing observable by the presence of severe misjudgments. PD-SCD patients also showed mild difficulties in VS-SP functions. Finally, QO2/IQO errors in PD-MCI are a useful predictor of PDD, more than PD-MCI diagnosis alone.

scholarly journals Predictive Factors for Pancreatic Cancer and Its Early Detection Using Special Pancreatic Ultrasonography in High-Risk Individuals

Cancers ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 502
Author(s):  
Junko Fukuda ◽  
Kenji Ikezawa ◽  
Miho Nakao ◽  
Suetsumi Okagaki ◽  
Reiko Ashida ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Pancreatic Cancer ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Predictive Factors ◽  
Survival Duration ◽  
Pancreatic Cysts ◽  
Neoplastic Progression ◽  
Dismal Prognosis ◽  
Independent Risk Factors ◽  
Cyst Growth

Because pancreatic cancer has a dismal prognosis, a strategy for early diagnosis is required. This study aimed to identify predictive factors of neoplastic progression in patients at high risk for pancreatic cancer and examined the efficiency of surveillance using transabdominal special ultrasonography focusing on the pancreas (special pancreatic US). Patients with slight main pancreatic duct (MPD) dilatation (≥2.5 mm) and/or pancreatic cysts (≥5 mm) were enrolled in a prospective surveillance study with special pancreatic US in a Japanese cancer referral center. A total of 498 patients undergoing surveillance for ≥3 years were included. During the median follow-up of 5.9 years, neoplastic progression developed in 11 patients (2.2%), including 9 patients who underwent pancreatectomy. Eight patients (72.7%) were diagnosed with stage 0/I disease, with an overall survival duration of 8.8 years. Findings of both MPD dilatation and pancreatic cysts at initial surveillance, MPD growth (≥0.2 mm/year) and cyst growth (≥2 mm/year) during surveillance were identified as independent risk factors for neoplastic progression. In summary, surveillance with special pancreatic US for high-risk individuals contributed to earlier detection of neoplastic progression, leading to a favorable prognosis. During surveillance, attention should be paid to MPD growth as well as to cyst growth.

Prognostic Factors for Developing Thrombosis in Polycytemia Vera: A Retrospective Analysis of 331 Patients with Long-Term Follow-up Highlights the Importance of White Blood Cells Levels

Blood ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 136 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 48-49
Author(s):  
Samantha Ferrari ◽  
Chiara Pagani ◽  
Mariella D'Adda ◽  
Nicola Bianchetti ◽  
Annamaria Pelizzari ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Multivariate Analysis ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Board Of Directors ◽  
Advisory Board ◽  
Advisory Committees ◽  
Risk Status ◽  
History Of ◽  
Wbc Count

Polycythemia Vera (PV) is a chronic myeloproliferative neoplasm characterized by erythrocytosis, constitutively active mutations in JAK2 and an increased susceptibility to thrombotic events (TEs). There is still controversy about the role of increased hematocrit and of other variables including elevated white blood cell count as risk factors for the occurrence of TEs. A better definition of the relative prognostic importance of hematologic parameters would help us to better tailor the therapeutic approach to PV patients (pts), which is currently mainly based on the use of acetilsalycilic acid (ASA), venesection and hydroxyurea . The aim of our study was to analyze if any clinical or laboratory variables were significantly associated to the occurrence of TEs both at PV diagnosis and during the course of the disease in a large series of PV pts uniformly followed at a single Center over a period of 29.5 years from January 1986 to June 2019. Clinical and laboratory data were obtained from the time of diagnosis until death, progression to acute leukemia or last follow-up. Hematocrit (Hct), hemoglobin (Hb), white blood cell (WBC) and platelet (PLT) levels were recorded for each patient at least every 6 months. Among a total of 331 pts, the median age was 65 years (range 30-92 years), and 56% were male. "High risk" features (age ≥ 60 years and/or history of prior thrombosis) were present in 221 pts (66.7%). The incidence of cardiovascular risk factors was: hypertension 64%, diabetes 15%, hyperlipidemia 28%, history of active or remote smoking 41%. Patients on ASA were 279 (84%), 19 (6%) were on oral anticoagulation, while 27 (8%) were on ASA+oral anticoagulant. At PV diagnosis 54 pts (16%) presented with thrombosis, arterial in 32 (59%) and venous in 22 (41%). A previous TE was recorded in 57 pts (17%): in 43 (75%) arterial, in 12 (22%) venous and in 2 (3%) mixed (arterial+venous). Previous thrombosis was the only variable significantly associated with the presence of a TE at PV diagnosis (P=0.02). After PV diagnosis, with a median follow-up of 81 months (range 1-374 months), 63 pts (19%) experienced a TE and 11 of them a further episode, for a total of 74 TEs. The incidence rate (pts/year) of TEs was 2.7%. Forty-two events were arterial (57%), 31 were venous (42%) and 1 (1%) was mixed. It was the first TE for 37 pts. Cerebrovascular accidents and deep-venous thrombosis were the most frequent arterial and venous TEs both at PV diagnosis and throughout the disease course, with a relative incidence of 50% and 32% respectively. The table compares the characteristics of patients who did or did not develop a TE after PV diagnosis. At univariate analysis, PV high risk status, a previous TE and hyperlipidemia at PV diagnosis were significantly associated with a subsequent TE. Among hematologic variables an elevated WBC count at the time of thrombosis, but not Hct or PLT levels, was highly significantly associated with the development of a TE. At multivariate analysis, WBC count ≥10.4 x 10^9/L and hyperlipidemia maintained their independent prognostic value, while high risk status and a previous TE lost their prognostic significance. Both at univariate and multivariate analysis, hyperlipidemia at diagnosis (P=0.009 and P=0.002) and high WBC count at thrombosis (P=0.001 and P=&lt;0.0001) predicted for arterial thromboses, while only a history of prior thrombosis (P=0.03) predicted for venous ones. In conclusion, our analysis confirms that elevated WBC count at the moment of the event more than increased hematocrit is associated to the development of thrombosis in PV pts. We also found that hyperlipidemia was an independent risk factor for arterial thrombosis, calling for an accurate management of increased lipid levels. Whether a reduction of the WBC count during the course of PV may reduce the frequency of TE remains to be demonstrated by prospective studies. Table Disclosures D'Adda: Novartis: Other: Advisory board; Incyte: Other: Advisory board; Pfizer: Other: Advisory board. Rossi:Daiichi Sankyo: Consultancy, Honoraria; Sanofi: Honoraria; Takeda: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Astellas: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Novartis: Other: Advisory board; Alexion: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Pfizer: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Amgen: Honoraria; Celgene: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Janssen: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Jazz: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Abbvie: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees.

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