Effects of statin, aspirin, or metformin use on recurrence free and overall survival in patients with biliary tract cancer (BTC).

2014 ◽  
Vol 32 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 303-303 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mairead Geraldine McNamara ◽  
Priya Aneja ◽  
Lisa W Le ◽  
Anne M Horgan ◽  
Elizabeth McKeever ◽  
...  

303 Background: BTCs include intrahepatic (IHC), hilar, distal bile duct (DBD), and gallbladder carcinoma (GBC). Statins, aspirin and metformin may have antineoplastic properties. The impact of their use on overall survival and the recurrence free survival of patients who had curative resection of BTC has not been evaluated. Methods: Baseline demographics and use of statins, aspirin or metformin at diagnosis were evaluated in 913 patients with BTC from 01/87 - 07/13 treated at Princess Margaret Cancer Center, Toronto. Their prognostic significance for recurrence free and overall survival was determined using a Cox proportional hazards model. Results: The median age at diagnosis for the entire cohort was 65.7 years (range 23.7-93.7). 795 patients had a performance status < 2 and 461 (50.5%) were male. The primary site was GBC in 310 (34%) patients, DBD in 212 (23%), IHC in 200 (22%) and hilar in 191 (21%). Curative surgical resection was performed in 355 (39%) patients. Among the entire cohort of 913 patients, 151 (16.5%) reported statin use at diagnosis. Atorvastatin was the statin used in 55% of patients. 146 (16%) reported aspirin use and 81 (9%) reported metformin use at diagnosis. Age (p=0.05, p<0.01), and stage (p<0.001, p<0.001) were prognostic on multivariable analysis for recurrence free and overall survival respectively. GBC (p=0.01), DBD (p<0.01) primary and performance status ≥ 2 (p < 0.0001) were also prognostic for overall survival. Recurrence free and overall survival among statin users and nonusers was similar (Hazard Ratio (HR) 1.07, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.78-1.48, p=0.68) and (HR 0.84 (95% CI 0.67-1.05, p=0.12) respectively. Recurrence free and overall survival among aspirin users and nonusers was similar (HR 0.91, 95% CI 0.64-1.29, P=0.58) and (HR 0.98 (95% CI 0.80-1.22, P=0.88) respectively. Recurrence free and overall survival among metformin users and nonusers was also similar (HR 0.71, 95% CI 0.43-1.17, p=0.18) and (HR 0.81 (95% CI 0.60-1.08, p=0.14) respectively. Conclusions: In this large retrospective cohort of BTC patients, statin, aspirin or metformin use was not associated with improved recurrence free or overall survival.

2014 ◽  
Vol 32 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 528-528
Author(s):  
David Mitchell Marcus ◽  
Dana Nickleach ◽  
Bassel F. El-Rayes ◽  
Jerome Carl Landry

528 Background: The standard treatment for locally advanced rectal cancer is neoadjuvant chemoradiation followed by surgery, but many physicians question the benefit of multimodality therapy in patients with stage T3N0M0 disease. We aimed to determine the impact of radiation therapy (RT) on overall survival (OS) in this group of patients. Methods: We used the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database to identify patients undergoing surgery for T3N0M0 adenocarcinoma of the rectum from 2004 to 2010. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to compare OS for patients receiving RT vs. no RT, along with for pre-op vs. post-op RT among patients that received RT. Multivariable analysis (MVA) using a Cox proportional hazards model was performed to assess the association of RT with OS after adjusting for patient age, gender, race, tumor grade, carcinoembryonic antigen, type of surgery, and circumferential margin status. The analysis was repeated separately on patients that underwent total colectomy (TC) vs. sphincter-sparing surgery. Results: The cohort included 8,679 patients, including 4,705 who received RT and 3,974 who did not. Median age was 66 years. Five year OS was 76.5% in patients who received RT, compared to 60.0% in patients who did not receive RT (p <0.001). Five year OS was 76.9% for patients receiving pre-op RT vs. 75.7% in patients receiving post-op RT (p = 0.247). In patients undergoing TC, five year OS was 74.7% for patients receiving RT, compared to 47.5% in patients not receiving RT (p <0.001). In patients undergoing sphincter-sparing surgery, five year OS was 77.7% in patients receiving RT, compared to 62.9% in patients not receiving RT (p <0.001). Use of RT was significantly associated with OS on MVA, both in the entire cohort (HR 0.70 [95% CI 0.60-0.81]; p<0.001) and in subsets of patients undergoing TC (HR 0.55 [95% CI 0.38-0.79]; p=0.001) and sphincter-sparing surgery (HR 0.70 [95% CI 0.59-0.84]; p<0.001). Conclusions: The use of RT is associated with superior OS in patients undergoing surgery for T3N0M0 adenocarcinoma of the rectum. This benefit is demonstrated in both the pre-op and post-op settings and applies to patients undergoing both TC and sphincter-sparing surgery.


2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 4130-4130
Author(s):  
Mairead Geraldine McNamara ◽  
Arnoud J. Templeton ◽  
Manjula Maganti ◽  
Thomas Walter ◽  
Anne M Horgan ◽  
...  

4130 Background: BTCs include intrahepatic (IHC), hilar, distal bile duct (DBD), and gallbladder carcinoma (GBC). Risk factors include conditions associated with chronic inflammation. NLR, an inflammatory marker, is prognostic in several cancers but has not been reviewed in large BTC series, hilar or GBC. Methods: Baseline demographics and NLR at diagnosis were evaluated in 864 patients (pts) with BTC from 01/87 - 12/12 treated at Princess Margaret Cancer Center. Their prognostic significance for overall survival (OS) was determined using a Cox proportional hazards model. Results: High NLR ≥3.0 was associated with poor survival using univariable analysis as was stage/site of primary (P<0.05), age >65yrs, lymphocytes ≤1.6 (P<0.01), neutrophils ≥5.0, platelets ≥280, hemoglobin (Hb) < 110 g/L (P<0.001). Median OS in pts with NLR<3.0 was 21.6 mo, 12.0 mo with NLR ≥3.0 (P<0.001). NLR retained its significance as a prognostic marker on multivariable analysis (Table), along with GBC (P<0.05), age>65yrs, DBD primary (P<0.01), stage and Hb <110g/L (P<0.001). NLR was prognostic for OS on multivariable analysis for hilar: overall (Table) and advanced grp (n=102) (HR 1.68, 95%CI 1.07-2.64, P<0.05) and in advanced DBD (n=102) (HR 1.63, 95%CI 1.03-2.57,P<0.05). On subgrp analysis, NLR was prognostic for OS in advanced BTC (ABTC) (n=538) (P<0.01) but not in surgical grp. NLR did not predict RECIST response to first line palliative chemotherapy in ABTC. Conclusions: Baseline NLR is prognostic in BTC, specifically ABTC and hilar subgrp, suggesting the importance of systemic inflammation influencing outcome in pts with ABTC, thus providing a simple inexpensive prognostic biomarker while also possibly identifying pts that may benefit from antiinflammatory mediation. NLR was not predictive for response in BTC. [Table: see text]


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lijie Jiang ◽  
Tengjiao Lin ◽  
Yu Zhang ◽  
Wenxiang Gao ◽  
Jie Deng ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Increasing evidence indicates that the pathology and the modified Kadish system have some influence on the prognosis of esthesioneuroblastoma (ENB). However, an accurate system to combine pathology with a modified Kadish system has not been established. Methods This study aimed to set up and evaluate a model to predict overall survival (OS) accurately in ENB, including clinical characteristics, treatment and pathological variables. We screened the information of patients with ENB between January 1, 1976, and December 30, 2016 from the National Cancer Institute Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program as a training cohort. The validation cohort consisted of patients with ENB at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center and The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University in the same period, and 87 patients were identified. The Pearson’s chi-squared test was used to assess significance of clinicopathological and demographic characteristics. We used the Cox proportional hazards model to examine univariate and multivariate analyses. The model coefficients were used to calculate the Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Prognostic factors with a p- value < 0.05 in multivariate analysis were included in the nomogram. The concordance index (c-index) and calibration curve were used to evaluate the predictive power of the nomogram. Results The c-index of training cohort and validation cohort are 0.737 (95% CI, 0.709 to 0.765) and 0.791 (95% CI, 0.767 to 0.815) respectively. The calibration curves revealed a good agreement between the nomogram prediction and actual observation regarding the probability of 3-year and 5-year survival. We used a nomogram to calculate the 3-year and 5-year growth probability and stratified patients into three risk groups. Conclusions The nomogram provided the risk group information and identified mortality risk and can serve as a reference for designing a reasonable follow-up plan.


Blood ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 120 (21) ◽  
pp. 4576-4576
Author(s):  
Ryan D. Nipp ◽  
J. Brice Weinberg ◽  
Alicia D. Volkheimer ◽  
Evan D. Davis ◽  
Youwei Chen ◽  
...  

Abstract Abstract 4576 Background: Chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) has a highly variable clinical course. Some patients require treatment early while others can be monitored without therapy. CD38 expression has been shown in multiple cohorts to have prognostic significance. An elevated percentage of CD38 positive CLL lymphocytes at the time of diagnosis is correlated with a more rapid need for therapy and a shorter overall survival. The extent to which CD38 varies during the course of CLL, including after therapy, has only been evaluated in a limited fashion. Methods: From a cohort of over 500 CLL patients at the Duke University and Durham VA Medical Centers, we selected 136 patients in whom we had measured CD38 expression by flow cytometry on two or more occasions. We determined the first, maximum, minimum, and range (maximum – minimum) CD38 values. We compared these values to other molecular prognostic markers using Wilcoxon tests and assessed the prognostic significance of these values using Cox proportional hazard models and Kaplan-Meier analyses. Results: Of the 136 patients, 70% were male and 88% Caucasian, with a median age of 60. The majority had low clinical stage at diagnosis—either Rai stage 0 (68%) or 1 (19%). Molecular prognostic markers were also generally favorable. Eighty-two (67%) patients had mutated IGHV status, 69 (51%) were ZAP70 negative, and 76 (63%) had either 13q deletion or normal cytogenetics, determined by fluorescent in situ hybridization. CD38 expression was measured a median of 5.5 times (2 – 19). The median time between the first and last CD38 measurements was 1206 days (81 – 4109). The median values were 6% (0.6 – 99) for maximum CD38, 1.5% (0 to 84.5) for minimum CD38, and 4.9% (0.2 to 95.3) for CD38 range. Maximum, minimum, and CD38 range were significantly lower in patients with mutated compared to unmutated IGHV status (p < 0.005 for all parameters, Wilcoxon rank sum test). Elevated maximum and CD38 range were significantly associated with a more rapid time to therapy (TTT) and shorter overall survival (OS) in a univariate Cox proportional hazards model (p < 0.03 for all, Wald test). In a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model including first CD38 and maximum CD38 values, only maximum CD38 remained statistically significant. We found that patients with high CD38 variation (CD38 range greater than the median) had significantly shorter TTT and OS than patients with low CD38 variation (p = 0.002 for both, log rank test). Using receiver operator characteristic analyses, we determined that the best cut-off for dichotomizing the first CD38 according to TTT and OS in the entire Duke/Durham VA CLL cohort was 11%. Using this cut-off, 15 patients (11%) converted from CD38 negative to CD38 positive. Using the standard 30% cut-off, 14 patients (10%) converted from CD38 negative to CD38 positive. Patients with a first CD38 measurement less than 11% and subsequent measurements above 11% had a favorable OS, similar to patients with low CD38 for all measurements (p = 0.002, log rank test). However, patients with a first CD38 measurement less than 30% who had subsequent measurements above 30% had an inferior OS, similar to patients with high CD38 for all measurements (p = 0.006, log rank test). Lastly, among 24 patients with CD38 measurements before and after first therapy, the percentage of CD38 positive cells increased in 19 patients (79%), with a median value of 3.2% before to 6.9% after therapy (p = 0.005, Wilcoxon signed rank test). Conclusions: CD38 values vary as patients transition across the disease trajectory. This variation appears to have prognostic significance, with high variation associated with faster time to first therapy and shorter overall survival. Additionally, in our cohort, a patient's maximum CD38 value had more prognostic significance than a single initial measurement. Thus, longitudinally measuring CD38 throughout the clinical course of CLL could aid in the management of CLL patients, refining the initial prognostic assessment, and improving patient counseling and decision making. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shilong Wu ◽  
Mengyang Liu ◽  
Weixue Cui ◽  
Guilin Peng ◽  
Jianxing He

Abstract Background Thymoma is an uncommon intrathoracic malignant tumor and has a long natural history. It is uncertain whether the survival of thymoma patient is affected by prior cancer history. Finding out the impact of a prior cancer history on thymoma survival has important implications for both decision making and research. Method The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database was queried for thymoma patients diagnosed between 1975 and 2015. Kaplan-Meier methods and Cox proportional hazards model were used to analyze overall survival across a variety of stages, age, and treatment methods with a prior cancer history or not. Results A total of 3604 patients with thymoma were identified including 507 (14.1%) with a prior cancer history. The 10-year survival rate of patients with a prior cancer history (53.8%) was worse than those without a prior cancer history (40.32%, 95%CI 35.24-45.33, P < 0.0001). However, adjusted analyses showed that the impact of a prior cancer history was heterogenous across age and treatment methods. In subset analyses, prior cancer history was associated with worse survival among patients who were treated with chemoradiotherapy (HR: 2.80, 95% CI: 1.51-5.20, P = 0.001) and age ≤ 65 years (HR: 1.33, 95%CI: 1.02-1.73, P = 0.036). Conclusions Prior cancer history provides an inferior overall survival for patients with thymoma. But it does not worsen the survival in some subgroups and these thymoma patients should not be excluded from clinical trials.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lijie Jiang ◽  
Tengjiao Lin ◽  
Yu Zhang ◽  
Wenxiang Gao ◽  
Jie Deng ◽  
...  

Abstract BackgroundIncreasing evidence indicates that the pathology and the modified Kadish system have some influence on the prognosis of esthesioneuroblastoma (ENB). However, an accurate system to combine pathology with a modified Kadish system has not been established.MethodsThis study aimed to set up and evaluate a model to predict overall survival (OS) accurately in ENB, including clinical characteristics, treatment and pathological variables. We screened the information of patients with ENB between January 1, 1976, and December 30, 2012 from the National Cancer Institute Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program as a training cohort. The validation cohort consisted of patients with ENB at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center and The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University in the same period, and 87 patients were identified. The Pearson’s chi-squared test was used to assess significance of clinicopathological and demographic characteristics. We used the Cox proportional hazards model to examine univariate and multivariate analyses. The model coefficients were used to calculate the Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Prognostic factors with a p-value < 0.05 in multivariate analysis were included in the nomogram. The concordance index (c-index) and calibration curve were used to evaluate the predictive power of the nomogram.ResultsThe c-index of training cohort and validation cohort are 0.737 (95% CI, 0.709 to 0.765) and 0.791 (95% CI, 0.767 to 0.815) respectively. The calibration curves revealed a good agreement between the nomogram prediction and actual observation regarding the probability of 3-year and 5-year survival. We used a nomogram to calculate the 3-year and 5-year growth probability and stratified patients into three risk groups.ConclusionsThe nomogram provided the risk group information and identified mortality risk and can serve as a reference for designing a reasonable follow-up plan.# Co-first authors: Lijie Jiang and Tengjiao Lin contributed equally to this article.


Cancers ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 1130
Author(s):  
Shu-Yein Ho ◽  
Chia-Yang Hsu ◽  
Po-Hong Liu ◽  
Chih-Chieh Ko ◽  
Yi-Hsiang Huang ◽  
...  

Renal insufficiency (RI) is commonly seen in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The prognostic role of albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade in this special setting is unclear. We aimed to investigate the role of ALBI grade associated with the impact of RI on HCC. A prospective cohort of 3690 HCC patients between 2002 and 2016 were retrospectively analyzed. The Kaplan–Meier method and multivariate Cox proportional hazards model were used to determine survival and independent prognostic predictors. Of all patients, RI was an independent predictor associated with decreased survival. In multivariate Cox analysis for patients with RI, α-fetoprotein level ≥20 ng/mL, tumor size >3 cm, vascular invasion, distant metastasis, presence of ascites, performance status 1–2, performance status 3–4, and ALBI grade 2 and grade 3 were independent predictors of decreased survival (all p < 0.05). In subgroup analysis of patients with RI undergoing curative and non-curative treatments, the ALBI grade remained a significant prognostic predictor associated with decreased survival (p < 0.001). In summary, HCC patients with RI have decreased survival compared to those without RI. The ALBI grade can discriminate the survival in patients with RI independent of treatment strategy and is a feasible prognostic tool in this special patient population.


2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (6_suppl) ◽  
pp. 253-253
Author(s):  
David Michael Gill ◽  
Neeraj Agarwal ◽  
Andrew W. Hahn ◽  
Eric Johnson ◽  
Austin Poole ◽  
...  

253 Background: CTC enumeration but not CTC morphology has been reported to predict outcomes to treatment in men with mCRPC. Recently Chen JF et. al (Cancer, 2015) showed an association with nuclear size and incidence of visceral disease in metastatic prostate cancer. In this study, we investigate the impact of CTC nucleus size on outcomes in men treated with AA for mCRPC. Methods: In a cohort of men with mCRPC treated with first-line AA, who had CTCs identified by CellSearch (CS) analysis prior to initiating treatment, we retrospectively quantified the nuclear size of CTCs by ImageJ/Fiji 1.46 software and correlated with progression free survival (PFS) on AA. We analyzed with univariate in addition to pre-specified multivariable analysis adjusted for Gleason score and baseline log PSA to assess independent predictive value of CTC nuclear size on PFS. Median PFS was calculated by Kaplan-Meier analysis and p-values were determined from Cox proportional hazards model. Results: 22 men treated with AA for mCRPC were included. Median nucleus size was 23.8 µm. Patients were divided in to 2 cohorts: small nuclear cohort (CTC nucleus size < 23.8 µm) vs large nuclear cohort (CTC nucleus size ≥23.8 µm). There was a non-significant trend towards worsened PFS (5.8 versus 6.8 months) in the larger nuclear size arm (Table). Conclusions: In this cohort of men with CRPC treated with AA, there is a non-significant trend towards decreased PFS associated with larger CTC nucleus size. Data are hypothesis generating and require further interrogation in a larger cohort. [Table: see text]


2017 ◽  
Vol 42 (2) ◽  
pp. 660-672 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mao-Wei Cheng ◽  
Ze-Tian Shen ◽  
Gu-Yu Hu ◽  
Li-Guo Luo

Background: Previously, microRNA (miR)-7 has been reported to function as a tumor suppressor in human cancers, but the correlations of miR-7 expression with prognosis and cisplatin (CDDP) resistance in lung adenocarcinoma (LA) are unclear. Here, our aim is to determine the prognostic significance of miR-7 and its roles in the regulation of CDDP resistance in LA. Methods: Quantitative real-time PCR (qRT-PCR) assay was performed to determine miR-7 expression in 108 paired of LA tissues and analyze its correlations with clinicopathological factors of patients. The patient survival data were collected retrospectively by Kaplan-Meier analyses, and multivariate analysis was performed using the Cox proportional hazards model to determine the prognostic significance of miR-7 expression. The effects of miR-7 expression on the chemosensitivity of LA cells to CDDP and its possible mechanisms were evaluated by MTT, flow cytometry, Western blot and luciferase assays. Results: It was observed that the relative expression level of miR-7 in LA tissues was significantly lower than that in the adjacent normal tissues and low miR-7 expression level was closely associated with poorer tumor differentiation, advanced pathological T-factor, higher incidence of lymph node metastasis and advanced p-TNM stage. Also, patients with low miR-7 expression showed a shorter overall survival than those with high miR-7 expression, and multivariate analysis indicated that status of miR-7 expression was an independent molecular biomarker for predicting the overall survival (OS) of LA patients. In addition, upregulation of miR-7 increases the sensitivity of LA cells to CDDP via induction of apoptosis by targeting Bcl-2. Conclusions: Our finding for the first time demonstrates that low miR-7 expression may be an independent poor prognostic factor and targeting miR-7 may be a potential strategy for the reversal of CDDP resistance in LA.


2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-5 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pairaya Rujirojindakul ◽  
Arnuparp Lekhakula

This study was aimed to assess the clinical significances of the serum VEGF and bFGF in Thai patients withde novoNHL. Serum VEGF and bFGF concentrations were measured from 79 adult patients with newly diagnosed stage 2–4 non-Hodgkin lymphomas by quantitative sandwich enzyme immunoassay. At the time of diagnosis, the serum VEGF concentrations from 79 patients ranged from 72.0 to 2919.4 pg/mL, with a mean of 668.0 pg/dL. The serum bFGF concentrations ranged from undetectable to 2919.4 pg/mL, with a mean of 12.15 pg/dL. Multivariate analysis identified higher than the mean of serum VEGF, B symptoms, bulky diseases, anemia, and treatment with CHOP or R-CHOP as independent variables influencing the complete remission rate. From a Cox proportional hazards model, variables independently associated with overall survival were bone marrow involvement, more extranodal involvement, poor performance status, anemia, and higher than the mean of serum bFGF.


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