Neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR) as a prognostic factor in biliary tract cancer (BTC).

2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 4130-4130
Author(s):  
Mairead Geraldine McNamara ◽  
Arnoud J. Templeton ◽  
Manjula Maganti ◽  
Thomas Walter ◽  
Anne M Horgan ◽  
...  

4130 Background: BTCs include intrahepatic (IHC), hilar, distal bile duct (DBD), and gallbladder carcinoma (GBC). Risk factors include conditions associated with chronic inflammation. NLR, an inflammatory marker, is prognostic in several cancers but has not been reviewed in large BTC series, hilar or GBC. Methods: Baseline demographics and NLR at diagnosis were evaluated in 864 patients (pts) with BTC from 01/87 - 12/12 treated at Princess Margaret Cancer Center. Their prognostic significance for overall survival (OS) was determined using a Cox proportional hazards model. Results: High NLR ≥3.0 was associated with poor survival using univariable analysis as was stage/site of primary (P<0.05), age >65yrs, lymphocytes ≤1.6 (P<0.01), neutrophils ≥5.0, platelets ≥280, hemoglobin (Hb) < 110 g/L (P<0.001). Median OS in pts with NLR<3.0 was 21.6 mo, 12.0 mo with NLR ≥3.0 (P<0.001). NLR retained its significance as a prognostic marker on multivariable analysis (Table), along with GBC (P<0.05), age>65yrs, DBD primary (P<0.01), stage and Hb <110g/L (P<0.001). NLR was prognostic for OS on multivariable analysis for hilar: overall (Table) and advanced grp (n=102) (HR 1.68, 95%CI 1.07-2.64, P<0.05) and in advanced DBD (n=102) (HR 1.63, 95%CI 1.03-2.57,P<0.05). On subgrp analysis, NLR was prognostic for OS in advanced BTC (ABTC) (n=538) (P<0.01) but not in surgical grp. NLR did not predict RECIST response to first line palliative chemotherapy in ABTC. Conclusions: Baseline NLR is prognostic in BTC, specifically ABTC and hilar subgrp, suggesting the importance of systemic inflammation influencing outcome in pts with ABTC, thus providing a simple inexpensive prognostic biomarker while also possibly identifying pts that may benefit from antiinflammatory mediation. NLR was not predictive for response in BTC. [Table: see text]

2014 ◽  
Vol 32 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 303-303 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mairead Geraldine McNamara ◽  
Priya Aneja ◽  
Lisa W Le ◽  
Anne M Horgan ◽  
Elizabeth McKeever ◽  
...  

303 Background: BTCs include intrahepatic (IHC), hilar, distal bile duct (DBD), and gallbladder carcinoma (GBC). Statins, aspirin and metformin may have antineoplastic properties. The impact of their use on overall survival and the recurrence free survival of patients who had curative resection of BTC has not been evaluated. Methods: Baseline demographics and use of statins, aspirin or metformin at diagnosis were evaluated in 913 patients with BTC from 01/87 - 07/13 treated at Princess Margaret Cancer Center, Toronto. Their prognostic significance for recurrence free and overall survival was determined using a Cox proportional hazards model. Results: The median age at diagnosis for the entire cohort was 65.7 years (range 23.7-93.7). 795 patients had a performance status < 2 and 461 (50.5%) were male. The primary site was GBC in 310 (34%) patients, DBD in 212 (23%), IHC in 200 (22%) and hilar in 191 (21%). Curative surgical resection was performed in 355 (39%) patients. Among the entire cohort of 913 patients, 151 (16.5%) reported statin use at diagnosis. Atorvastatin was the statin used in 55% of patients. 146 (16%) reported aspirin use and 81 (9%) reported metformin use at diagnosis. Age (p=0.05, p<0.01), and stage (p<0.001, p<0.001) were prognostic on multivariable analysis for recurrence free and overall survival respectively. GBC (p=0.01), DBD (p<0.01) primary and performance status ≥ 2 (p < 0.0001) were also prognostic for overall survival. Recurrence free and overall survival among statin users and nonusers was similar (Hazard Ratio (HR) 1.07, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.78-1.48, p=0.68) and (HR 0.84 (95% CI 0.67-1.05, p=0.12) respectively. Recurrence free and overall survival among aspirin users and nonusers was similar (HR 0.91, 95% CI 0.64-1.29, P=0.58) and (HR 0.98 (95% CI 0.80-1.22, P=0.88) respectively. Recurrence free and overall survival among metformin users and nonusers was also similar (HR 0.71, 95% CI 0.43-1.17, p=0.18) and (HR 0.81 (95% CI 0.60-1.08, p=0.14) respectively. Conclusions: In this large retrospective cohort of BTC patients, statin, aspirin or metformin use was not associated with improved recurrence free or overall survival.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lijie Jiang ◽  
Tengjiao Lin ◽  
Yu Zhang ◽  
Wenxiang Gao ◽  
Jie Deng ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Increasing evidence indicates that the pathology and the modified Kadish system have some influence on the prognosis of esthesioneuroblastoma (ENB). However, an accurate system to combine pathology with a modified Kadish system has not been established. Methods This study aimed to set up and evaluate a model to predict overall survival (OS) accurately in ENB, including clinical characteristics, treatment and pathological variables. We screened the information of patients with ENB between January 1, 1976, and December 30, 2016 from the National Cancer Institute Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program as a training cohort. The validation cohort consisted of patients with ENB at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center and The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University in the same period, and 87 patients were identified. The Pearson’s chi-squared test was used to assess significance of clinicopathological and demographic characteristics. We used the Cox proportional hazards model to examine univariate and multivariate analyses. The model coefficients were used to calculate the Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Prognostic factors with a p- value < 0.05 in multivariate analysis were included in the nomogram. The concordance index (c-index) and calibration curve were used to evaluate the predictive power of the nomogram. Results The c-index of training cohort and validation cohort are 0.737 (95% CI, 0.709 to 0.765) and 0.791 (95% CI, 0.767 to 0.815) respectively. The calibration curves revealed a good agreement between the nomogram prediction and actual observation regarding the probability of 3-year and 5-year survival. We used a nomogram to calculate the 3-year and 5-year growth probability and stratified patients into three risk groups. Conclusions The nomogram provided the risk group information and identified mortality risk and can serve as a reference for designing a reasonable follow-up plan.


2016 ◽  
Vol 10 (9-10) ◽  
pp. 321 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Christopher Doiron ◽  
Melanie Jaeger ◽  
Christopher M. Booth ◽  
Xuejiao Wei ◽  
D. Robert Siemens

Introduction: Thoracic epidural analgesia (TEA) is commonly used to manage postoperative pain and facilitate early mobilization after major intra-abdominal surgery. Evidence also suggests that regional anesthesia/analgesia may be associated with improved survival after cancer surgery. Here, we describe factors associated with TEA at the time of radical cystectomy (RC) for bladder cancer and its association with both short- and long-term outcomes in routine clinical practice.Methods: All patients undergoing RC in the province of Ontario between 2004 and 2008 were identified using the Ontario Cancer Registry (OCR). Modified Poisson regression was used to describe factors associated with epidural use, while a Cox proportional hazards model describes associations between survival and TEA use.Results: Over the five-year study period, 1628 patients were identified as receiving RC, 54% (n=887) of whom received TEA. Greater anesthesiologist volume (lowest volume providers relative risk [RR] 0.85, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.75‒0.96) and male sex (female sex RR 0.89, 95% CI 0.79‒0.99) were independently associated with greater use of TEA. TEA use was not associated with improved short-term outcomes. In multivariable analysis, TEA was not associated with cancer-specific survival (hazard ratio [HR] 1.02, 95% CI 0.87‒1.19; p=0.804) or overall survival (HR 0.91, 95% CI 0.80‒1.03; p=0.136).Conclusions: In routine clinical practice, 54% of RC patients received TEA and its use was associated with anesthesiologist provider volume. After controlling for patient, disease and provider variables, we were unable to demonstrate any effect on either short- or long-term outcomes at the time of RC.


2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (7_suppl) ◽  
pp. 518-518
Author(s):  
Nathan Colin Wong ◽  
Shawn Dason ◽  
Lucas W. Dean ◽  
Sumit Isharwal ◽  
Mark Donoghue ◽  
...  

518 Background: Late relapse (>2 years) GCT is associated with an increased rate of SSM. We report our experience with SSM in the setting of late relapse and determine predictors of overall survival (OS). Methods: From 1985 to 2018, 46 patients with GCT and SSM at late relapse were identified. Clinical and pathologic parameters were reviewed. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate OS from time of relapse and a Cox proportional hazards model to assess predictors of OS. Results: Of 46 men (44 testicular primary, 2 mediastinal primary), median time to late relapse with SSM was 10.4 years (range, 2.3 - 38.1). Most (n=27, 59%) were symptomatic at presentation but 11 were detected by elevated tumor markers (AFP 8, HCG 2, both 1) and 8 by surveillance imaging. SSMs were adenocarcinoma (25), sarcoma (14), poorly differentiated neoplasm (3), Wilms (2), PNET (1) and glioma (1). Median time to relapse was longer for adenocarcinoma vs other histotypes of SSM (14.6 vs 4.1 years, p < 0.001). The initial site of relapse was the retroperitoneum (RP, 26), pelvis (7), lung (6), retrocrural space (3), mediastinum (2), neck (1) and duodenum (1). Only 10 of 26 men with late relapse in the RP had undergone prior RPLND (all at outside institutions; variable templates) with histology in 7/10 showing teratoma. The other 16 men had received chemotherapy only (8), orchiectomy only for stage I (3), RPLND aborted due to cardiac arrest (1), and unknown (4). All 46 late relapses were managed with surgical resection; 26 also received chemotherapy (16 SSM-directed, 10 GCT-directed). Overall, 12 patients died and the median OS was 14.2 years. On univariable analysis, symptomatic presentation (HR = 3.1), SSM at multiple sites (HR = 3.9), extra-RP disease (HR: 3.9), and incomplete/no resection of SSM (HR = 3.6) predicted mortality. On multivariable analysis, only extra-RP disease was independently associated with inferior OS (5-year OS, 82 vs 52%, p = 0.017). Conclusions: SSM is an important potential complication of late relapse GCT and seems to be associated with the lack of resection of retroperitoneal metastases. Early identification and complete surgical resection prior to SSM arising in extra-RP sites is critical to optimizing outcomes.


Cancers ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (17) ◽  
pp. 4286
Author(s):  
Pui-Lam Yip ◽  
Shing-Fung Lee ◽  
Cheuk-Wai Horace Choi ◽  
Po-Chung Sunny Chan ◽  
Ka-Wai Alice Cheung ◽  
...  

A nomogram was recently published by Sun et al. to predict overall survival (OS) and the additional benefit of concurrent chemoradiation (CCRT) vs. radiotherapy (RT) alone, in stage II NPC treated with conventional RT. We aimed to assess the predictors of OS and to externally validate the nomogram in the IMRT era. We analyzed stage II NPC patients treated with definitive RT alone or CCRT between 2001 and 2011 under the territory-wide Hong Kong NPC Study Group 1301 study. Clinical parameters were studied using the Cox proportional hazards model to estimate OS. The nomogram by Sun et al. was applied with 1000 times bootstrap resampling to calculate the concordance index, and we compared the nomogram predicted and observed 5-year OS. There were 482 patients included. The 5-year OS was 89.0%. In the multivariable analysis, an age > 45 years was the only significant predictor of OS (HR, 1.98; 95%CI, 1.15–3.44). Other clinical parameters were insignificant, including the use of CCRT (HR, 0.99; 95%CI, 0.62–1.58). The nomogram yielded a concordance index of 0.55 (95% CI, 0.49–0.62) which lacked clinically meaningful discriminative power. The nomogram proposed by Sun et al. should be interpreted with caution when applied to stage II NPC patients in the IMRT era. The benefit of CCRT remained controversial.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lijie Jiang ◽  
Tengjiao Lin ◽  
Yu Zhang ◽  
Wenxiang Gao ◽  
Jie Deng ◽  
...  

Abstract BackgroundIncreasing evidence indicates that the pathology and the modified Kadish system have some influence on the prognosis of esthesioneuroblastoma (ENB). However, an accurate system to combine pathology with a modified Kadish system has not been established.MethodsThis study aimed to set up and evaluate a model to predict overall survival (OS) accurately in ENB, including clinical characteristics, treatment and pathological variables. We screened the information of patients with ENB between January 1, 1976, and December 30, 2012 from the National Cancer Institute Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program as a training cohort. The validation cohort consisted of patients with ENB at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center and The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University in the same period, and 87 patients were identified. The Pearson’s chi-squared test was used to assess significance of clinicopathological and demographic characteristics. We used the Cox proportional hazards model to examine univariate and multivariate analyses. The model coefficients were used to calculate the Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Prognostic factors with a p-value < 0.05 in multivariate analysis were included in the nomogram. The concordance index (c-index) and calibration curve were used to evaluate the predictive power of the nomogram.ResultsThe c-index of training cohort and validation cohort are 0.737 (95% CI, 0.709 to 0.765) and 0.791 (95% CI, 0.767 to 0.815) respectively. The calibration curves revealed a good agreement between the nomogram prediction and actual observation regarding the probability of 3-year and 5-year survival. We used a nomogram to calculate the 3-year and 5-year growth probability and stratified patients into three risk groups.ConclusionsThe nomogram provided the risk group information and identified mortality risk and can serve as a reference for designing a reasonable follow-up plan.# Co-first authors: Lijie Jiang and Tengjiao Lin contributed equally to this article.


2014 ◽  
Vol 32 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 528-528
Author(s):  
David Mitchell Marcus ◽  
Dana Nickleach ◽  
Bassel F. El-Rayes ◽  
Jerome Carl Landry

528 Background: The standard treatment for locally advanced rectal cancer is neoadjuvant chemoradiation followed by surgery, but many physicians question the benefit of multimodality therapy in patients with stage T3N0M0 disease. We aimed to determine the impact of radiation therapy (RT) on overall survival (OS) in this group of patients. Methods: We used the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database to identify patients undergoing surgery for T3N0M0 adenocarcinoma of the rectum from 2004 to 2010. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to compare OS for patients receiving RT vs. no RT, along with for pre-op vs. post-op RT among patients that received RT. Multivariable analysis (MVA) using a Cox proportional hazards model was performed to assess the association of RT with OS after adjusting for patient age, gender, race, tumor grade, carcinoembryonic antigen, type of surgery, and circumferential margin status. The analysis was repeated separately on patients that underwent total colectomy (TC) vs. sphincter-sparing surgery. Results: The cohort included 8,679 patients, including 4,705 who received RT and 3,974 who did not. Median age was 66 years. Five year OS was 76.5% in patients who received RT, compared to 60.0% in patients who did not receive RT (p <0.001). Five year OS was 76.9% for patients receiving pre-op RT vs. 75.7% in patients receiving post-op RT (p = 0.247). In patients undergoing TC, five year OS was 74.7% for patients receiving RT, compared to 47.5% in patients not receiving RT (p <0.001). In patients undergoing sphincter-sparing surgery, five year OS was 77.7% in patients receiving RT, compared to 62.9% in patients not receiving RT (p <0.001). Use of RT was significantly associated with OS on MVA, both in the entire cohort (HR 0.70 [95% CI 0.60-0.81]; p<0.001) and in subsets of patients undergoing TC (HR 0.55 [95% CI 0.38-0.79]; p=0.001) and sphincter-sparing surgery (HR 0.70 [95% CI 0.59-0.84]; p<0.001). Conclusions: The use of RT is associated with superior OS in patients undergoing surgery for T3N0M0 adenocarcinoma of the rectum. This benefit is demonstrated in both the pre-op and post-op settings and applies to patients undergoing both TC and sphincter-sparing surgery.


2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 3139-3139
Author(s):  
Hiroyuki Arai ◽  
Yi Xiao ◽  
Jingyuan Wang ◽  
Francesca Battaglin ◽  
Natsuko Kawanishi ◽  
...  

3139 Background: Protection of replication forks is critical for the survival of cancer cells. Chemotherapeutic drugs such as oxaliplatin and irinotecan can impede the progression of replication forks by inducing DNA lesions, which cause fork collapse and generate double-strand breaks. We hypothesized that functional genetic variants in genes involved in the maintenance of replication forks may predict the efficacy of cytotoxic drugs in mCRC patients. Methods: We analyzed genomic and clinical data from MAVERICC, a phase II trial which compared mFOLFOX6 and FOLFIRI in combination with bevacizumab in untreated mCRC patients. Genomic DNA extracted from blood samples was genotyped using an OncoArray (Illumina, Inc., San Diego, CA, USA). Candidate six missense single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) ( SLFN11 rs9898983, SLFN11 rs12453150, RPA1 rs5030749, MCM3 rs2230240, TIMELESS rs2291739, and TIMELESS rs774047) were tested for association with progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS), using Cox proportional hazards model. To confirm the predictive value, the treatment-by-SNP interaction was tested. Results: A total of 324 patients were available for the SNP analyses (mFOLFOX6 plus bevacizumab arm [OHP arm]: n = 161; FOLFIRI plus bevacizumab arm [IRI arm]: n = 163). In the OHP arm, univariable analysis showed a significantly better PFS in patients with G/G genotype of TIMELESS rs2291739 compared to those with any A allele, and in patients with T/T genotype of TIMELESS rs774047 compared to those with any C allele. However, neither of these SNP’s associations were confirmed by multivariable analysis: TIMELESS rs2291739 (any A allele vs G/G, hazard ratio [HR] = 0.60, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.31–1.17, p = 0.12) and TIMELESS rs774047 (any C allele vs T/T, HR = 0.74, 95% CI = 0.41–1.36, p = 0.33). In the IRI arm, univariable analysis showed a significantly worse OS in patients with G/G genotype of TIMELESS rs2291739 compared to those with any A allele, and in patients with T/T genotype of TIMELESS rs774047 compared to those with any C allele. Multivariable analysis confirmed the significant associations in these SNPs: TIMELESS rs2291739 (any A allele vs G/G, HR = 3.06, 95% CI = 1.49–6.25, p < 0.01) and TIMELESS rs774047 (any C allele vs T/T, HR = 2.95, 95% CI = 1.43–6.08, p < 0.01). Treatment-by-SNP interaction test confirmed the significant predictive value of both SNPs, both on PFS and OS. Conclusions: Germline polymorphisms in the TIMELESS gene involved in the protection of replication forks may predict efficacy of oxaliplatin and irinotecan in mCRC patients. Our novel findings warrant further validation studies.


2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e16558-e16558
Author(s):  
Yumeng Zhang ◽  
Jacob J. Adashek ◽  
Premsai Kumar ◽  
William Paul Skelton ◽  
Jiannong Li ◽  
...  

e16558 Background: Cyclooxygenase (COX) inhibition is postulated to restore the immune environment and synergizes with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI). The concurrent use of COX inhibitors (COXi) and ICI was associated with longer disease control in metastatic melanoma and non-small cell lung cancer. However, its role in mRCC remains unclear. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed 194 patients with mRCC treated with ICI (PD-(L)1 inhibitors +/- CTLA-4 inhibitors or TKIs) at Moffitt Cancer Center between 6/2014-7/2019. Concurrent use of COXi (aspirin [ASA] or NSAIDs) was defined as at least 3 weeks of COXi use during the first ICI course. Clinical characteristics of both arms were compared using Chi-squared or Kruskal-Wallis Rank Sum test. Time to progression (TTP) and Overall survival (OS) were compared using Kaplan Meier’s estimates. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was performed to evaluate the association between clinical factors, TTP, and OS. Results: Of 194 patients, 126 patients (64.9%) took COXi. Median age was 59.7 years and 80.4% were male. COXi arm had fewer patients with < 1 year from diagnosis to systemic treatment (45.9% vs 69.5%, p = 0.006) and more advanced age (median: 66 years vs 60 years, p = 0.01). IDMC risk group, number of prior therapies, neutrophil to lymphocytes ratio were similar between both arms. Median TTP was 8 months (m) for COXi arm and 12m for ICI only (HR 1.38; 95% CI [0.98, 1.94]). Median OS was 27m for COXi arm and 33m for ICI only (HR 1.05, 95% CI [0.69, 1.59]). Early mortality rate (within 3m of ICI treatments) were similar between both arms. Conclusions: In contrast to melanoma and lung cancer, concurrent use of COXi and ICI did not improve TTP and OS in patients with mRCC. The dual blockade showed a trend for shorter TTP. Further validation studies with larger cohorts are needed to confirm this finding.[Table: see text]


1999 ◽  
Vol 17 (9) ◽  
pp. 2721-2721 ◽  
Author(s):  
George Sato ◽  
Yasuo Saijo ◽  
Bine Uchiyama ◽  
Nobuko Kumano ◽  
Shun-ichi Sugawara ◽  
...  

PURPOSE: In this study we investigated the prognostic significance of proliferation-associated nucleolar protein p120 in primary resected lung adenocarcinoma because it reflects tumor growth fractions in vitro. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Expression levels of p120 in tumors were assessed by immunohistochemistry in 74 patients who underwent radical resection. With clinical follow-up data, the prognostic significance of p120 calculated by labeling indices was evaluated using the Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: p120 protein was clearly detected in nucleoli of adenocarcinoma cells. Its expression levels widely varied in each sample from 8.5% to 67.2%, with a mean ± SD of 35.2% ± 15.1%. No significant correlation was found between expression levels of p120 and clinicopathologic factors. However, the expression levels of p120 were negatively correlated with the tumor doubling time calculated with retrospective chest roentgenograms. Using a cutoff value of 35% in the labeling index of p120, patients with high expression of p120 experienced early recurrence and shorter survival compared with those who had low expression of p120. Multivariate analysis showed that p120 served as an independent, as well as the strongest, prognostic factor for resected lung adenocarcinoma. CONCLUSION: This report provides the first evidence that expression levels of p120 in tumor tissues can be used as an independent and powerful prognostic marker for resected lung adenocarcinoma.


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