scholarly journals The gap of water supply—Demand and its driving factors: From water footprint view in Huaihe River Basin

PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. e0247604
Author(s):  
Min An ◽  
Lijuan Fan ◽  
Jin Huang ◽  
Wenjing Yang ◽  
Hailin Wu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Resources ◽  
Water Supply ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Optimal Allocation ◽  
Water Footprint ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Jiangsu Province ◽  
Driving Factors ◽  
Huaihe River Basin ◽  
Huaihe River

Climate change, population growth, the development of industrialization and urbanization are increasing the demand for water resources, but the water pollution is reducing the limited water supply. In recent years, the gap between water supply and demand which shows water scarcity situation is becoming more serious. Clear knowing this gap and its main driving factors could help us to put forward water protection measures correctly. We take the data of Huaihe River Basin from 2001 to 2016 as an example and use ecological water footprint to describe the demand, with the water carrying capacity representing the supply. We analyze the water supply-demand situation of Huaihe River Basin and its five provinces from footprint view in time and space. Then we apply the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index model to analyze the driving factors of the ecological water footprint. The results show that: (1) the supply and demand balance of Huaihe River Basin was only achieved in year 2003 and 2005. There is also a large difference between Jiangsu province and other provinces in Huaihe River basin, most years in Jiangsu province per capital ecological footprint of water is more than 1 hm2/person except the years of 2003, 2015, and 2016. But other provinces are all less than 1 hm2/person. (2) Through the decomposition of water demand drivers, we concluded that economic development is the most important factor, with an annual contribution of more than 60%. Our study provides countermeasures and suggestions for the management and optimal allocation of water resources in Huaihe River Basin, and also provides reference for the formulation of water-saving policies in the world.

scholarly journals The optimal allocation of water resources oriented to prioritizing ecological needs using multiple schemes in the Shaying River Basin (Henan Section), China

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hang Li ◽  
Xiao-Ning Qu ◽  
Jie Tao ◽  
Chang-Hong Hu ◽  
Qi-Ting Zuo
Keyword(s):  
Water Resources ◽  
Water Supply ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Water Conservation ◽  
Water Demand ◽  
Optimal Allocation ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Allocation Model ◽  
Water Supply And Demand ◽  
Ecological Objectives

Abstract China is actively exploring water resources management considering ecological priorities. The Shaying River Basin (Henan Section) serves as an important grain production base in China. However, conflicts for water between humans and the environment are becoming increasingly prominent. The present study analyzed the optimal allocation of water while considering ecological priorities in the Shaying River Basin (Henan Section). The ecological water demand was calculated by the Tennant and the representative station methods; then, based on the predicted water supply and demand in 2030, an optimal allocation model was established, giving priority to meeting ecological objectives while including social and comprehensive economic benefit objectives. After solving the model, the optimal results of three established schemes were obtained. This revealed that scheme 1 and scheme 2 failed to satisfy the water demand of the study area in 2030 by only the current conditions and strengthening water conservation, respectively. Scheme 3 was the best scheme, which could balance the water supply and demand by adding new water supply based on strengthening water conservation and maximizing the benefits. Therefore, the actual water allocation in 2030 is forecast to be 7.514 billion (7.514 × 109) m3. This study could help basin water management departments deal with water use and supply.

scholarly journals Study on the streamflow compensation characteristics of reservoirs in Luanhe River Basin based on Copula function

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fang Wan ◽  
Lingfeng Xiao ◽  
Qihui Chai ◽  
Li Li
Keyword(s):  
Water Resources ◽  
Water Supply ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Copula Function ◽  
Efficient Utilization ◽  
Mutual Compensation ◽  
Luanhe River Basin ◽  
Yuqiao Reservoir

Abstract With the rapid development of economy and society, the contradiction between supply and demand of water resources is increasing. Efficient utilization and allocation of limited water resources are one of the main means to solve the above contradictions. In this paper, the multidimensional joint distribution of natural streamflow series in reservoirs is constructed by introducing the mixed Copula function, and the probability of wet and dry encounters between natural streamflow is analyzed. Luan River is located in the northeastern part of Hebei Province, China, taking the group of Panjiakou Reservoir, Douhe Reservoir and Yuqiao Reservoir in the downstream of Luan River Basin as an example, the probabilities of synchronous and asynchronous abundance and depletion of inflow from the reservoirs are calculated. The results show that the probability of natural streamflow series between reservoirs is 61.14% for wetness and dryness asynchronous, which has certain mutual compensation ability. Therefore, it is necessary to minimize the risk of water supply security in Tianjin, Tangshan and other cities, and strengthen the optimal joint water supply scheduling of reservoirs. The research results are reasonable and reliable, which can provide reference for water supply operation of other basins.

Establishing and Application of Ecology-Oriented Water Resources Optimal Allocation Model in Chanba River Basin

2012 ◽  
Vol 518-523 ◽  
pp. 4165-4170
Author(s):  
Xiao Yu Song ◽  
Huai You Li ◽  
Wen Juan Shi
Keyword(s):  
Water Resources ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Optimal Allocation ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Sustainable Use ◽  
Optimization Theory ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Allocation Model ◽  
Optimal Allocation Model ◽  
Water Resources Optimal Allocation

In this paper, based on the fact of water resources shortage, environmental degradation in Chanba River basin, using multi-objective optimization theory, we established the ecology-oriented water resources optimal allocation model and achieved the coupling between water quantity and quality. According to supply and demand of water resources in two levels of years (2020, 2030) and the guaranteed rate 75%, developed model parameters (coefficients), called the optimization function to solve it. The model is applied to Chanba River basin, indicating that the model is reasonable, efficient algorithms The optimal allocation model and the results reflect the concept of sustainable development for ecological, economic efficiency and help to improve water supply reliability, the sustainable use of water resources planning and management provides a basis for decision making.

scholarly journals Impacts of climate change on water resources in the Huaihe River Basin

2018 ◽  
Vol 246 ◽  
pp. 01090
Author(s):  
Wang kai ◽  
Qian mingkai ◽  
Xu shijing ◽  
Liang shuxian ◽  
Chen hongyu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Water Resources ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Arid Zone ◽  
Observation Data ◽  
Huaihe River Basin ◽  
Huaihe River ◽  
The Huaihe River ◽  
Impacts Of Climate Change

The Huaihe river basin, located in the transitional area of the humid zone to the semi arid zone, is a subtropical monsoon zone. By analysis of historical observation data, the annual average surface temperature increased by 0.5℃ over the past 50 years. However, the precipitation showed a fluctuation trend. Based on the hydrological and meteorological data of Huaihe River Basin, this paper studies impacts of climate change on water resources in Huaihe basin by using the Xinanjiang monthly hydrological model in conjunction with prediction products of NCAR climate model. The results show that the precipitation in the basin had a fluctuating upward trend under RCP8.5 and RCP4.5 scenarios, and the increase or decrease trend of precipitation in RCP2.6 scenario is not significant. The model predicted that the temperature of the river basin in the 3 scenarios shows significant rising trend from year 2001 to 2100. However, the annual runoff of the Huaihe River Basin shows an increasing trend but not significant from year 2001 to 2100.

scholarly journals Adaptive optimal allocation of water resources response to future water availability and water demand in the Han River basin, China

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jing Tian ◽  
Shenglian Guo ◽  
Lele Deng ◽  
Jiabo Yin ◽  
Zhengke Pan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Global Warming ◽  
Water Resources ◽  
Water Supply ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Water Availability ◽  
Water Demand ◽  
Optimal Allocation ◽  
Anthropogenic Changes ◽  
Han River ◽  
Han River Basin

AbstractGlobal warming and anthropogenic changes can result in the heterogeneity of water availability in the spatiotemporal scale, which will further affect the allocation of water resources. A lot of researches have been devoted to examining the responses of water availability to global warming while neglected future anthropogenic changes. What’s more, only a few studies have investigated the response of optimal allocation of water resources to the projected climate and anthropogenic changes. In this study, a cascade model chain is developed to evaluate the impacts of projected climate change and human activities on optimal allocation of water resources. Firstly, a large set of global climate models (GCMs) associated with the Daily Bias Correction (DBC) method are employed to project future climate scenarios, while the Cellular Automaton–Markov (CA–Markov) model is used to project future Land Use/Cover Change (LUCC) scenarios. Then the runoff simulation is based on the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) hydrological model with necessary inputs under the future conditions. Finally, the optimal water resources allocation model is established based on the evaluation of water supply and water demand. The Han River basin in China was selected as a case study. The results show that: (1) the annual runoff indicates an increasing trend in the future in contrast with the base period, while the ascending rate of the basin under RCP 4.5 is 4.47%; (2) a nonlinear relationship has been identified between the optimal allocation of water resources and water availability, while a linear association exists between the former and water demand; (3) increased water supply are needed in the water donor area, the middle and lower reaches should be supplemented with 4.495 billion m3 water in 2030. This study provides an example of a management template for guiding the allocation of water resources, and improves understandings of the assessments of water availability and demand at a regional or national scale.

scholarly journals Simulation Study on the Different Policies of Jiangsu Province for a Dynamic Balance of Water Resources under the Water–Energy–Food Nexus

Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 1666
Author(s):  
Yan Chen ◽  
Weizhong Chen
Keyword(s):  
Water Resources ◽  
Water Supply ◽  
Dynamic Balance ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Jiangsu Province ◽  
Energy Utilization ◽  
Coordinated Development ◽  
Simulation Research ◽  
The Sustainable Development ◽  
Use Of Resources

In order to promote the efficient use of resources and the sustainable development of the economy in Jiangsu Province, it is particularly important to ease the contradiction between water supply and demand on the basis of realizing the coordinated development of the water–energy–food (WEF) nexus. With the aim of a dynamic balance of water resources, this paper used system dynamics (SD) to build a WEF nexus SD model that focused on studying the specific supply-and-demand mechanism of water resources in each subsystem. Then, Jiangsu Province was taken as an example to perform simulation research on the regional water dynamic balance to explore effective policies for increasing water supply and decreasing water demand. The results showed that the imbalance of water resources will remain severe in the next few years. To relieve the imbalance, it will be helpful to promote the energy utilization of straw, improve the irrigation efficiency, adjust the crop planting structure, and require residents to strictly follow the water quota. An important advancement in this study is the simulation of the water resources supply-and-demand mechanism in each subsystem from the perspective of the WEF nexus.

scholarly journals Study on mechanism and application of water resources system adaptability under changing environment

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pan Zhengwei ◽  
Zhou Yuliang ◽  
Wang Jing ◽  
Qiu Yingying
Keyword(s):  
Water Resources ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Huaihe River Basin ◽  
Risk Matrix ◽  
Huaihe River ◽  
Changing Environment ◽  
Evaluation Standard ◽  
Two Dimension ◽  
Water Resources System ◽  
The Huaihe River

Abstract Water resources system is in a vulnerable situation because of the influence of climate change and changing environment. The adaptation mechanism was discussed through the analysis of the process of passive response, adaptation and even active adjustment of water resources system under changing environment. The adaptability of water resources system can be described as natural resilience (NR) of natural system and artificial adaptation (AA) social (artificial) system. The natural resilience indexes were identified and analyzed from the aspects of water quantity, water quality and water ecology. And the artificial adaptation indexes were identified and analyzed from the aspects of resource, eco-environment, socio-economic and technical factors. On this basis, the index system was constructed in accord with process mechanism of water resources system adaptability. Besides, to address the two-dimension factors of water resources system adaptability, a method of system analysis based on connection numbers-fuzzy risk matrix was proposed based on the theory of risk matrix . The synthesis interval [Apess, Aopt] of water resources system adaptability is obtained, by defining the pessimistic criterion when two-dimension factors meet the evaluation standard at the same time, and the optimistic criterion when either of the two-dimension factors meets evaluation standard. Finally, the case study in the Huaihe River basin in China was carried out. The results show that the adaptability level of water resources system in the Huaihe River basin expressed fluctuating uprising tendency in 2006–2015. The adaptability level is the lowest [1.856, 2.625] in 2009, the highest [2.500, 3.536] in 2015.

scholarly journals Responses of Hydrological Processes under Different Shared Socioeconomic Pathway Scenarios in the Huaihe River Basin, China

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (8) ◽  
pp. 1053
Author(s):  
Yuan Yao ◽  
Wei Qu ◽  
Jingxuan Lu ◽  
Hui Cheng ◽  
Zhiguo Pang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Global Climate Models ◽  
Hydrological Response ◽  
Huaihe River Basin ◽  
Huaihe River ◽  
Infiltration Capacity ◽  
Change Analysis ◽  
Average Annual Runoff

The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) provides more scenarios and reliable climate change results for improving the accuracy of future hydrological parameter change analysis. This study uses five CMIP6 global climate models (GCMs) to drive the variable infiltration capacity (VIC) model, and then simulates the hydrological response of the upper and middle Huaihe River Basin (UMHRB) under future shared socioeconomic pathway scenarios (SSPs). The results show that the five-GCM ensemble improves the simulation accuracy compared to a single model. The climate over the UMHRB likely becomes warmer. The general trend of future precipitation is projected to increase, and the increased rates are higher in spring and winter than in summer and autumn. Changes in annual evapotranspiration are basically consistent with precipitation, but seasonal evapotranspiration shows different changes (0–18%). The average annual runoff will increase in a wavelike manner, and the change patterns of runoff follow that of seasonal precipitation. Changes in soil moisture are not obvious, and the annual soil moisture increases slightly. In the intrayear process, soil moisture decreases slightly in autumn. The research results will enhance a more realistic understanding of the future hydrological response of the UMHRB and assist decision-makers in developing watershed flood risk-management measures and water and soil conservation plans.

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