scholarly journals Use of artificial intelligence for estimating cost of integral bridges

2021 ◽  
Vol 73 (03) ◽  
pp. 265-273
Author(s):  
Stjepan Lakusic
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Cost Estimation ◽  
Construction Projects ◽  
Mean Absolute Error ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Estimation Model ◽  
Construction Costs ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Early Phases

Estimation of costs is important in every phase of realisation of construction projects. However, the influence of cost estimation is the highest in early phases as it is then that the decision about accepting the job or withdrawing from the project is made. The quantity of data available in initial phases of the project is smaller compared to subsequent phases, which affects accuracy of cost estimation in such early phases. A research making use of artificial intelligence to estimate construction costs of integral road bridges is presented in the paper. The estimation model is prepared by means of neural networks. The best neural network model has proven to be highly accurate in the estimation of costs based on the mean absolute error, which amounts to 13.40 %.

scholarly journals A Novel Neural Network Model for Blood Pressure Estimation Using Photoplethesmography without Electrocardiogram

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ludi Wang ◽  
Wei Zhou ◽  
Ying Xing ◽  
Xiaoguang Zhou
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Blood Pressure ◽  
Mean Absolute Error ◽  
Wearable Sensors ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Noninvasive Estimation ◽  
Treatment Of Hypertension ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann ◽  
Blood Pressure Estimation

The prevention, evaluation, and treatment of hypertension have attracted increasing attention in recent years. As photoplethysmography (PPG) technology has been widely applied to wearable sensors, the noninvasive estimation of blood pressure (BP) using the PPG method has received considerable interest. In this paper, a method for estimating systolic and diastolic BP based only on a PPG signal is developed. The multitaper method (MTM) is used for feature extraction, and an artificial neural network (ANN) is used for estimation. Compared with previous approaches, the proposed method obtains better accuracy; the mean absolute error is 4.02 ± 2.79 mmHg for systolic BP and 2.27 ± 1.82 mmHg for diastolic BP.

Construction cost management strategy based on BIM technology and neural network model

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Xiaojing Ding ◽  
Qiulan Lu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Network Model ◽  
Neural Network Model ◽  
Cost Estimation ◽  
Construction Projects ◽  
Management Control ◽  
Advanced Technology ◽  
Estimation Model ◽  
Price Management

The construction of construction projects is an important industry of national social and economic development, and price management control is an important part of construction projects, and has become an important factor for major construction companies in China to manage construction projects. At present, the internal construction price management is not the best, nor the most ideal. Few investments exceed the budget, mainly due to defects in effective construction price management, lack of advanced technology and lack of prospects for prepayment, which make it difficult to match the actual and expected results of construction project price management. The actual results are always unsatisfactory. In this paper, the engineering cost estimation model is studied, and the neural network comprehensive prediction model is established to improve the accuracy and application technology of the prediction model. By using the building of BIM technology and neural network model, and effectively using the price advantage of ICT, it is used in the construction industry, and the cost is strictly controlled, so as to bring huge profits to the enterprise and promote the development of the enterprise.

scholarly journals Detection and Severity Evaluation of Combined Rail Defects Using Deep Learning

Vibration ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 341-356
Author(s):  
Jessada Sresakoolchai ◽  
Sakdirat Kaewunruen
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Mean Absolute Error ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Rolling Stock ◽  
Raw Data ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Combined Defects

Various techniques have been developed to detect railway defects. One of the popular techniques is machine learning. This unprecedented study applies deep learning, which is a branch of machine learning techniques, to detect and evaluate the severity of rail combined defects. The combined defects in the study are settlement and dipped joint. Features used to detect and evaluate the severity of combined defects are axle box accelerations simulated using a verified rolling stock dynamic behavior simulation called D-Track. A total of 1650 simulations are run to generate numerical data. Deep learning techniques used in the study are deep neural network (DNN), convolutional neural network (CNN), and recurrent neural network (RNN). Simulated data are used in two ways: simplified data and raw data. Simplified data are used to develop the DNN model, while raw data are used to develop the CNN and RNN model. For simplified data, features are extracted from raw data, which are the weight of rolling stock, the speed of rolling stock, and three peak and bottom accelerations from two wheels of rolling stock. In total, there are 14 features used as simplified data for developing the DNN model. For raw data, time-domain accelerations are used directly to develop the CNN and RNN models without processing and data extraction. Hyperparameter tuning is performed to ensure that the performance of each model is optimized. Grid search is used for performing hyperparameter tuning. To detect the combined defects, the study proposes two approaches. The first approach uses one model to detect settlement and dipped joint, and the second approach uses two models to detect settlement and dipped joint separately. The results show that the CNN models of both approaches provide the same accuracy of 99%, so one model is good enough to detect settlement and dipped joint. To evaluate the severity of the combined defects, the study applies classification and regression concepts. Classification is used to evaluate the severity by categorizing defects into light, medium, and severe classes, and regression is used to estimate the size of defects. From the study, the CNN model is suitable for evaluating dipped joint severity with an accuracy of 84% and mean absolute error (MAE) of 1.25 mm, and the RNN model is suitable for evaluating settlement severity with an accuracy of 99% and mean absolute error (MAE) of 1.58 mm.

Explanation Plus Prediction—The Logical Focus of Project Management Research

2021 ◽  
pp. 875697282199994
Author(s):  
Joseph F. Hair ◽  
Marko Sarstedt
Keyword(s):  
Project Management ◽  
Statistical Models ◽  
Predictive Power ◽  
Mean Absolute Error ◽  
Explanatory Power ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Management Research ◽  
The Mean

Most project management research focuses almost exclusively on explanatory analyses. Evaluation of the explanatory power of statistical models is generally based on F-type statistics and the R 2 metric, followed by an assessment of the model parameters (e.g., beta coefficients) in terms of their significance, size, and direction. However, these measures are not indicative of a model’s predictive power, which is central for deriving managerial recommendations. We recommend that project management researchers routinely use additional metrics, such as the mean absolute error or the root mean square error, to accurately quantify their statistical models’ predictive power.

Visualizing the Variance of a Random Variable

2011 ◽  
Vol 18 (01) ◽  
pp. 71-85
Author(s):  
Fabrizio Cacciafesta
Keyword(s):  
Stochastic Dominance ◽  
Mean Absolute Error ◽  
Random Variable ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Second Order ◽  
Taylor Formula ◽  
Order Stochastic Dominance ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Second Order Stochastic Dominance ◽  
Options Theory

We provide a simple way to visualize the variance and the mean absolute error of a random variable with finite mean. Some application to options theory and to second order stochastic dominance is given: we show, among other, that the "call-put parity" may be seen as a Taylor formula.

scholarly journals Direct Calculation of Thermodynamic Wet-Bulb Temperature as a Function of Pressure and Elevation

2013 ◽  
Vol 30 (8) ◽  
pp. 1757-1765 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sayed-Hossein Sadeghi ◽  
Troy R. Peters ◽  
Douglas R. Cobos ◽  
Henry W. Loescher ◽  
Colin S. Campbell
Keyword(s):  
Air Temperature ◽  
Mean Absolute Error ◽  
Direct Calculation ◽  
Ambient Air ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Air Temperatures ◽  
Order Polynomial ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Very High

Abstract A simple analytical method was developed for directly calculating the thermodynamic wet-bulb temperature from air temperature and the vapor pressure (or relative humidity) at elevations up to 4500 m above MSL was developed. This methodology was based on the fact that the wet-bulb temperature can be closely approximated by a second-order polynomial in both the positive and negative ranges in ambient air temperature. The method in this study builds upon this understanding and provides results for the negative range of air temperatures (−17° to 0°C), so that the maximum observed error in this area is equal to or smaller than −0.17°C. For temperatures ≥0°C, wet-bulb temperature accuracy was ±0.65°C, and larger errors corresponded to very high temperatures (Ta ≥ 39°C) and/or very high or low relative humidities (5% < RH < 10% or RH > 98%). The mean absolute error and the root-mean-square error were 0.15° and 0.2°C, respectively.

scholarly journals Novel Spatiotemporal Feature Extraction Parallel Deep Neural Network for Forecasting Confirmed Cases of Coronavirus Disease 2019

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chiou-Jye Huang ◽  
Yamin Shen ◽  
Ping-Huan Kuo ◽  
Yung-Hsiang Chen
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Deep Neural Network ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Mean Absolute Percentage Error ◽  
The Other ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Model Assessment ◽  
Absolute Percentage Error ◽  
Spatiotemporal Feature ◽  
The Mean

AbstractThe coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic continues as of March 26 and spread to Europe on approximately February 24. A report from April 29 revealed 1.26 million confirmed cases and 125 928 deaths in Europe. This study proposed a novel deep neural network framework, COVID-19Net, which parallelly combines a convolutional neural network (CNN) and bidirectional gated recurrent units (GRUs). Three European countries with severe outbreaks were studied—Germany, Italy, and Spain—to extract spatiotemporal feature and predict the number of confirmed cases. The prediction results acquired from COVID-19Net were compared to those obtained using a CNN, GRU, and CNN-GRU. The mean absolute error, mean absolute percentage error, and root mean square error, which are commonly used model assessment indices, were used to compare the accuracy of the models. The results verified that COVID-19Net was notably more accurate than the other models. The mean absolute percentage error generated by COVID-19Net was 1.447 for Germany, 1.801 for Italy, and 2.828 for Spain, which were considerably lower than those of the other models. This indicated that the proposed framework can accurately predict the accumulated number of confirmed cases in the three countries and serve as a crucial reference for devising public health strategies.

scholarly journals Day-Ahead Forecast of Electric Vehicle Charging Demand with Deep Neural Networks

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 178
Author(s):  
Gilles Van Van Kriekinge ◽  
Cedric De De Cauwer ◽  
Nikolaos Sapountzoglou ◽  
Thierry Coosemans ◽  
Maarten Messagie
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Electric Vehicles ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Electric Grid ◽  
Electric Vehicle Charging ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Ev Charging ◽  
Charging Demand

The increasing penetration rate of electric vehicles, associated with a growing charging demand, could induce a negative impact on the electric grid, such as higher peak power demand. To support the electric grid, and to anticipate those peaks, a growing interest exists for forecasting the day-ahead charging demand of electric vehicles. This paper proposes the enhancement of a state-of-the-art deep neural network to forecast the day-ahead charging demand of electric vehicles with a time resolution of 15 min. In particular, new features have been added on the neural network in order to improve the forecasting. The forecaster is applied on an important use case of a local charging site of a hospital. The results show that the mean-absolute error (MAE) and root-mean-square error (RMSE) are respectively reduced by 28.8% and 19.22% thanks to the use of calendar and weather features. The main achievement of this research is the possibility to forecast a high stochastic aggregated EV charging demand on a day-ahead horizon with a MAE lower than 1 kW.

Validating the usefulness of sectorwise regression of visual field in the central 10°

2021 ◽  
pp. bjophthalmol-2020-317391
Author(s):  
Takashi Omoto ◽  
Hiroshi Murata ◽  
Yuri Fujino ◽  
Masato Matsuura ◽  
Takehiro Yamashita ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Visual Field ◽  
Mean Absolute Error ◽  
Open Angle Glaucoma ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Open Angle ◽  
Clustering Method ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Test Points

AimTo evaluate the usefulness of the application of the clustering method to the trend analysis (sectorwise regression) in comparison with the pointwise linear regression (PLR).MethodsThis study included 153 eyes of 101 patients with open-angle glaucoma. With PLR, the total deviation (TD) values of the 10th visual field (VF) were predicted using the shorter VF sequences (from first 3 to 9) by extrapolating TD values against time in a pointwise manner. Then, 68 test points were stratified into 29 sectors. In each sector, the mean of TD values was calculated and allocated to all test points belonging to the sector. Subsequently, the TD values of the 10th VF were predicted by extrapolating the allocated TD value against time in a pointwise manner. Similar analyses were conducted to predict the 11th–16th VFs using the first 10 VFs.ResultsWhen predicting the 10th VF using the shorter sequences, the mean absolute error (MAE) values were significantly smaller in the sectorwise regression than in PLR. When predicting from the 11th and 16th VFs using the first 10 VFs, the MAE values were significantly larger in the sectorwise regression than in PLR when predicting the 11th VF; however, no significant difference was observed with other VF predictions.ConclusionAccurate prediction was achieved using the sectorwise regression, in particular when a small number of VFs were used in the prediction. The accuracy of the sectorwise regression was not hampered in longer follow-up compared with PLR.

Accuracy Assessment of TanDEM-X 90 and CartoDEM Using ICESat-2 Datasets for Plain Regions of Ratlam City and Surroundings

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 59
Author(s):  
Unnati Yadav ◽  
Ashutosh Bhardwaj
Keyword(s):  
Mean Absolute Error ◽  
Accuracy Assessment ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Terrain Analysis ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
High Quality ◽  
Ice Cloud ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Cut And Fill ◽  
Statistical Results

The spaceborne LiDAR dataset from the Ice, Cloud, and Land Elevation Satellite (ICESat-2) provides highly accurate measurements of heights for the Earth’s surface, which helps in terrain analysis, visualization, and decision making for many applications. TanDEM-X 90 (90 m) and CartoDEM V3R1 (30 m) elevation are among the high-quality openly accessible DEM datasets for the plain regions in India. These two DEMs are validated against the ICESat-2 elevation datasets for the relatively plain areas of Ratlam City and its surroundings. The mean error (ME), mean absolute error (MAE), and root mean square error (RMSE) of TanDEM-X 90 DEM are 1.35 m, 1.48 m, and 2.19 m, respectively. The computed ME, MAE, and RMSE for CartoDEM V3R1 are 3.05 m, 3.18 m, and 3.82 m, respectively. The statistical results reveal that TanDEM-X 90 performs better in plain areas than CartoDEMV3R1. The study further indicates that these DEMs and spaceborne LiDAR datasets can be useful for planning various works requiring height as an important parameter, such as the layout of pipelines or cut and fill calculations for various construction activities. The TanDEM-X 90 can assist planners in quick assessments of the terrain for infrastructural developments, which otherwise need time-consuming traditional surveys using theodolite or a total station.

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