scholarly journals Impact of the Demographic Processes on the Inflation Rate in the Russian Regions

2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 123-143
Author(s):  
Ekaterina Shevchenko ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Age Groups ◽  
Volume Index ◽  
Inflation Expectations ◽  
Russian Regions ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
Working Age Population ◽  
Regions Of Russia

The influence of demographic processes on the inflation rate in Russian regions is reviewing. The hypothesis of heterogeneous influence of the population of different age groups on the inflation rate are testing. Such influence can be explained by the different behavior of age groups concerning consumption, inflation expectations, as well as other factors that determine the behavior of different age groups, the specifics of the country’s regions, and interregional interaction. The database includes the statistical indicators of 81 regions of Russia for the period from 2010 to 2018. As the dependent variable the author has taken the inflation rate. As the independent variables in this paper are using the growth rate of the working age population share, the population younger than working age share, and the population older than working age share. Control variables are the openness of the economy, the growth rate of the physical volume index of investment, and the regional fiscal balances. The global and local Moran, Geary, Getis and Ord indices were used to identify the spatial dependence of the inflation rate. The obtained results allowed us to conclude that we can observe a positive global autocorrelation of the inflation rate in Russian regions and there is a need to use spatial models. Estimation of the Durbin spatial model allowed us to confirm the hypothesis. The growth rate of the working-age population share is inflationary, the growth rate of the population older than working age is inflationary too, but less, and the growth rate of the population younger than working age – deflationary. The obtained conclusions can be used to forecast inflation in the regions of Russia

scholarly journals Regional differentiation of higher education in Russian regions in 2020

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (35) ◽  
pp. 428-445
Author(s):  
Iuliia Pinkovetskaia ◽  
Magomedsaid Yakhyaev ◽  
Elena Sverdlikova ◽  
Daniela S. Veas Iniesta
Keyword(s):  
Higher Education ◽  
Regional Differentiation ◽  
Russian Regions ◽  
Significant Development ◽  
Working Age ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Working Age Population ◽  
Statistical Surveys ◽  
Higher Education Organizations ◽  
Regions Of Russia

The aim of this study was to evaluate the specific values of the indices that describe the spread of higher education institutions in all regions of Russia and the number of their students in the total working-age population living in these regions. The initial empirical data were the results of official statistical surveys conducted on information on the development of higher education, as well as the number of working -age population in eighty-two regions of the Russian Federation for 2020. In the course of the research, four mathematical models were developed. The study showed that on average, there are almost 14.8 higher education organizations per million working-age residents in the regions. It is proved that every twenty-fourth person of working age in 2020 studied under higher education programs. The conducted analysis showed the presence of a significant differentiation of the values of the considered indicators by region. The regions with the maximum and minimum values of the considered indicators were identified. It is shown that higher education has received significant development in Russia.

scholarly journals Demographic factor of intensification of innovation activity of Russian regions

2020 ◽  
Vol 210 ◽  
pp. 19001
Author(s):  
Ekaterina Kovanova ◽  
Nogan Badmaeva ◽  
Sayan Alekseev
Keyword(s):  
Comparative Method ◽  
Innovation Activity ◽  
Russian Regions ◽  
Main Research ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Demographic Indicators ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
Working Age Population ◽  
Rapid Activation

The article presents an analysis of the influence of demographic factors on the development of innovations in the regions of Russia. The relevance of the study is associated with the fact that the Russian economy is distinguished by the presence of a large number of various problems that impede the rapid activation of innovative mechanisms. Not every region has opportunities for an innovative breakthrough. The purpose of the article is to compare the Russian regions (Kalmykia, Buryatia) in terms of the characteristics of the main demographic processes and their influence on the innovative development of regions. The article analyzes the following demographic indicators: population size, birth and death rates, age structure, working-age population, etc. The main research methods are the comparative method, analysis of statistical information. Analysis of the data presented showed that complex demographic processes are taking place in the republics. High migration outflow of the population, high mortality rate, a decrease in the share of the working-age population, migration of the rural population — all this affects the demographic potential of the region and, accordingly, the indicators of innovation development.

scholarly journals Economic Growth Rate May Be High in Spite of a Decreasing Working-age Population in Finland

2004 ◽  
pp. 105-117
Author(s):  
Pekka Parkkinen
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Age Groups ◽  
Real Income ◽  
Rate Of Change ◽  
Labor Input ◽  
Economic Growth Rate ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Working Age Population

This article examines the possibilities for the growth of real income in Finland in a situation where the population is aging at a record rate. In contrast to other European countries, no larger age groups were born in Finland after the 1940s. Therefore, the labor force will decrease in long run, even though an abundant amount of labor reserves still exist in Finland after the exceptionally deep economic depression experienced in the previous decade. Finlands real income has been calculated as the product of the labor input and productivity per hour worked. The rate of change in productivity has been estimated on the basis of the historical development of labor productivity. On the basis of an analysis of labor input and productivity per hour worked, the real income of Finland per capita could rise to one-and-a-half times what it is now in one decade and a half, even if the working-age population decreased markedly and even if the number of hours worked per employed person declined at the traditional rate. Increasing immigration is not the only solution to the challenges of an aging and diminishing working-age population. By employing domestic labor reserves and improving productivity, reasonable economic growth rate can be achieved and at the same time the problems caused by uncontrolled immigration can be avoided.

ASSESSMENT OF THE INVOLVEMENT OF ENTERPRISES OF THE SIBERIAN FEDERAL DISTRICT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF DIGITAL ECOSYSTEMS OF THE REGIONS

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alla Vadimovna Beltikova ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Age Groups ◽  
Federal District ◽  
Siberian Federal District ◽  
Digital Ecosystems ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Working Age Population

The article is devoted to the analysis of the involvement of enterprises of the Siberian Federal District in the development of digital ecosystems of the regions. The study is based on the collected database consisting of 404 respondents of various age groups of the working-age population living in the Siberian Federal District. The survey was conducted for 2 months from March 2021 to May 2021. This study helped to determine the capabilities of ordinary employees in improving the digital ecosystems of enterprises, as well as to identify the expectations and fears of respondents from the development of digital ecosystems in the regions.

scholarly journals Ageing Of The Workforce: Effects On The Labour Market With Participation And Retirement

2015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ram SriRamaratnam ◽  
Julian Williams ◽  
Xintao Zhao
Keyword(s):  
Labour Market ◽  
Older Workers ◽  
Baby Boom ◽  
Age Groups ◽  
Work Force ◽  
Population Projections ◽  
Occupational Groups ◽  
Job Openings ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Working Age Population

Ageing of the work force in New Zealand is an important determinant of labour market dynamics. In addition to the median age and the proportion of workers in retirement age, the nature of occupations and health and financial security are also important determinants of participation and retirement.The baby boom generation has approached their retirement years and the age structure of the working age population has also significantly altered. Consequently, the retirement of older workers is expected to make-up an important source of new job openings over the coming decades.Estimating and forecasting likely future retirement rates by occupational groups is of considerable interest, and provides further insights into labour market dynamics.In this study, recent historical retirement rates for broad (3-digit) ANZSCO occupational groups were derived using an internationally accepted methodology known as the cohort component method, adapted to allow for some participation by older age groups. Occupational employment data by age extracted from the recently released 2013 Census was analysed along with the corresponding data from the 2006 Census to estimate the average retirement rates over the 2006-13 period. These rates are then used to project future retirement rates over the 2013-20 period for the same broad occupational groups. Projections were based on the Working Age Population projections for age groups and their associated participation rates.

Implications for Growth

2019 ◽  
pp. 88-89
Author(s):  
Andrew Smithers
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Capital Stock ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
The Us ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Policy Measures ◽  
Hurdle Rate ◽  
Working Age Population ◽  
The Uk ◽  
Trend Growth

Without policy measures to offset the negative impact of the bonus culture, investment, productivity, and growth are likely to remain depressed. Given the slow growth of the working age population, the UK’s trend growth rate will thus be 1 per cent and that of the US 0.87 per cent, unless productivity improves. An alternative method of estimating US trend growth from the value data for tangible capital stock provides a slightly better rate of 1.1 per cent per annum. The prospects for the UK and US are so poor that policy measures to stimulate growth are vital. All growth is the result of changes in either TFP or NTV, so one or other must improve to avoid stagnation. There is no way to improve the former, but changes in NTV can be brought about through a lower hurdle rate, which requires the damage from the bonus culture to end.

Current state of mortality of the working-age population in Russia and Europe

2020 ◽  
Vol 60 (11) ◽  
pp. 756-759
Author(s):  
Tatyana Yu. Gorchakova ◽  
Anastasiya N. Churanova
Keyword(s):  
European Union ◽  
Age Groups ◽  
Mortality Rates ◽  
Age Group ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Current State ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Working Age Population ◽  
State Programs ◽  
The Eu

Introduction. Issues of preserving the health and saving of the Russian population are important in the development of state programs. One of the main sources of population growth, as well as the preservation of the labor potential of our country, is the reduction of the death rate of the working - age population. The aim of the study was to analyze the mortality of the population in the age groups 15-59 years and 15-64 years for men and 15-54 years and 15-59 years for women in Russia in comparison with the countries of the European Union (EU-28). Materials and methods. Mortality was studied based on data from Rosstat and the WHO Mortality Database and the Human Mortality Database. Age-standardized mortality rates were calculated for Russia in 2018 and the EU-28 countries in 2017 (European standard, revised 2013). Results. Comparative analysis of the standardized mortality rates of the population 15 to 59 years and 15-64 years for men and 15-54 years of age and 15-59 years of age showed a significant gap between Russia and the EU-28. Differences in mortality among men in comparison with the EU-28 in the age group of 15-59 years was 3.1 times, and in the age group 15-64 years - by 2.8 times. In women aged 15-54 years, the excess was 2.5 times, and in those aged 15-59 years - 2.2 times. Conclusions. Thus, the analysis of modern data on the mortality of the male (aged 15-59 and 15-64 years) and female (aged 15-54 and 15-59 years) populations indicated that negative trends persist in Russia's lagging behind the European Union countries.

Zróżnicowanie kapitału ludzkiego w województwach Polski w świetle badań własnych

2020 ◽  
Vol 64 (4) ◽  
pp. 150-167
Author(s):  
Agata Surówka ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Human Capital ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Regional Structure ◽  
Dynamic Approach ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
Working Age Population ◽  
Over Time

In the economy of the 21st century one of the most important resources and factors determining the strengths and competitiveness of regions is human capital. This role in regional development has been noticed in the policy of the European Union. The article presents the results of research into the diversity of human capital in Poland. The category was determined using fifteen indicators, and their selection was dictated by the availability of data across voivodships and their comparability over time. The aim was to verify the diversity of the human capital of voivodships in Poland within the regional structure of the country. The research included an attempt to measure and take into account changes in their diversity in dynamic terms (2007–2018). The research tool was factor analysis. The results allowed the assessment and observation of differences in the classification of voivodship groups. The schooling coefficients of individual types of schools have an impact on the grouping and diversity of similar voivodships in terms of human capital. Demographic processes are particularly unfavorable in the Świętokrzyskie voivodeship. The dynamic approach allows us to claim that groups of objects are characterized by a different specificity. The most favorable quality of human capital was assessed in the Mazowieckie voivodeship. It was observed that the voivodships in Poland also differentiate the indicators characterizing the working and post-working age population. The goal is characterized by variability in time. Given the dynamic dimensions of the category, achieving them in a different way seems very important.

scholarly journals Socioeconomic determinants of demographic development of the Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Okrug

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-19
Author(s):  
Ekaterina R. Barkova
Keyword(s):  
Migration Rate ◽  
Marriage Market ◽  
Preschool Education ◽  
Housing Program ◽  
Demographic Development ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
Working Age Population ◽  
And Migration ◽  
Nenets Autonomous

The study explores the peculiarities of demographic processes in the Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Okrug and the socioeconomic factors determining them. The author tests hypotheses about the relationship of socioeconomic characteristics of the population with fertility and migration basing on data from 13 municipalities of the region for 2011–2017. The analysis reveals a statistically significant relationship between age-specific fertility rate for women aged 15–49 and such indicators as marriage and divorce rates, wages, the proportion of employed in the working-age population, the enrolment of children in preschool education, and the proportion of families who received housing or improved housing conditions among those registered in the housing program. Inbound migration rate is statistically related to wages, as well as to proportion of employed in the total working-age population, while outbound migration rate is linked to proportion of those employed in mining, as well as to indicators characterizing situation in the marriage market.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document