scholarly journals Money Supply, Counterfeit Money, and Economic Growth Effect to E-Money Transaction

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 634-649
Author(s):  
Chintia Ariani Putri ◽  
P. Eko Prasetyo
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Quantitative Method ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Growth Effect ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Payment Systems ◽  
Electronic Money ◽  
The Public ◽  
Card Payment

Electronic money is an innovation in payment systems. Although transactions continue to increase, the ratio of electronic money transactions to transactions using the Card Payment Instrument is always less than 1%. The purpose of this study is to determine the effect of monetary instruments namely the money supply (M1), counterfeit money, and economic growth on electronic money transactions in Indonesia. This research uses a quantitative method using time series data during the period January 2016 - December 2018. Data analysis uses multiple linear regression with a double log model based on OLS. The results of this study indicate that the money supply (M1) has a positive and significant effect on electronic money transactions, counterfeit money has no significant effect on electronic money transactions, economic growth has a positive and significant effect on electronic money transactions. The implication of this research is that electronic money should be given additional security such as PIN so that when the owner loses it will not lose the balance contained therein, Bank Indonesia should encourage and encourage the public to switch to using electronic money so that it can reduce the money supply and avoid the risk of counterfeit money.  Uang elektronik merupakan inovasi dalam sistem pembayaran. Meskipun transaksi terus meningkat, rasio transaksi uang elektronik dengan transaksi menggunakan Instrumen Pembayaran Kartu selalu kurang dari 1%. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui pengaruh instrumen moneter yaitu jumlah uang beredar (M1), uang palsu, dan pertumbuhan ekonomi pada transaksi uang elektronik di Indonesia. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode kuantitatif menggunakan data deret waktu selama periode Januari 2016 - Desember 2018. Analisis data menggunakan regresi linier berganda dengan model log ganda berdasarkan OLS. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa jumlah uang beredar (M1) berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap transaksi uang elektronik, uang palsu tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap transaksi uang elektronik, pertumbuhan ekonomi berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap transaksi uang elektronik. Implikasi dari penelitian ini adalah bahwa uang elektronik harus diberikan keamanan tambahan seperti PIN sehingga ketika pemilik kehilangan itu tidak akan kehilangan saldo yang terkandung di dalamnya, Bank Indonesia harus mendorong dan mendorong masyarakat untuk beralih menggunakan uang elektronik sehingga dapat mengurangi jumlah uang beredar dan menghindari risiko uang palsu.

scholarly journals DOES STOCK MARKET DEVELOPMENT PLAY ANY ROLE IN THE EFFECT OF FDI ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERIA? AN EMPIRICAL INVESTIGATION

2016 ◽  
pp. 51-61
Author(s):  
Oziengbe Scott Aigheyisi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Growth Effect ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Government Consumption ◽  
Stock Market Development

The objective of the paper is to investigate whether stock market development plays any role in the effect of foreign direct investment (FDI) on economic growth in Nigeria. Using annual time series data that span the period from 1981 to 2014, and employing the fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS) estimation technique, the empirical evidence indicates that FDI, domestic investment and stock market development positively and significantly affect economic growth, but the effect of the interaction between stock market development and FDI on economic growth is negative and significant, indicating that the Nigerian bourse is not yet fully developed to engender positive growth effect of FDI. The study further finds that government consumption expenditure and trade openness adversely affect the growth of the country’s real GDP per capita. Recommendations of the paper include efforts by the government to design and implement programmes and policies aimed at enhancing the attractiveness of the country to foreign and local investors, efforts by capital market regulators to enhance stock market efficiency, reduction of government consumption expenditures and import control.

scholarly journals The Long-Run and Short-Run Impacts of Investment, Export, Money Supply, and Inflation on Economic Growth In Indonesia

2019 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Erni Panca Kurniasih
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Error Correction Model ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Term Investment

ABSTRACTThe development of investment and exports in Indonesia shows an increase, as well as money supply, while the inflation rate shows a decline, but this is not always followed by increasing economic growth. This study aims to explain the relationship between investment, export, money supply and inflation with the economic growth in Indonesia. The data used was time series data from the first quarter in 2001 to the fourth quarter in 2014 and was analyzed using multiple regression models with Error Correction Model (ECM) and classical assumptions. The study findings show that in short-term investment, export, money supply and inflation are not significant to economic growth. In long-run, investment has negative and significant effect on the economic growth, while export, money supply and inflation have positive and significant effect on the economic growth in Indonesia. Bank Indonesia must applied a tight money policy consistently to achieve the long-term inflation target ABSTRAKPerkembangan investasi dan ekspor di Indonesia menunjukkan peningkatan, demikian pula jumlah uang beredar, sementara tingkat inflasi menunjukkan penurunan, namun hal tersebut tidak selalu diikuti dengan meningkatnya pertumbuhan ekonomi. Studi ini bertujuan untuk menjelaskan hubungan antara investasi, ekspor neto, jumlah uang beredar dan inflasi terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia. Data yang digunakan adalah data time series dari kuartal pertama tahun 2001 hingga kuartal keempat tahun 2014 dan dianalisa dengan menggunakan model regresi berganda dengan Error Correction Model (ECM). Hasil studi menunjukkan  bahwa investasi, ekspor, jumlah uang beredar dan inflasi tidak signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia dalam jangka pendek. Investasi berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia dalam jangka panjang, sedangkan ekspor , jumlah uang beredar dan inflasi berpengaruh positif dan  signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia. Bank Indonesia harus menerapkan kebijakan moneter yang ketat secara konsisten pada pencapaian sasaran inflasi jangka menenngah 

scholarly journals Impact of Inflation Targeting Policy Framework of Countries between the Period of 2009-2019

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ananda Rathnayake
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Karl Marx ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Policy Framework ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

Today, many countries in the world tend to choose Inflation Targeting Monetary Policy Framework, in which context it has become a matter of debate whether inflation or economic growth is driven by monetary expansions. The common acceptance is that inflation is created by the continuous rise in the money supply which is strongly proved through the economic theories forwarded by Karl Marx, Irvin Fisher and Friedman. The main aim of the study is to examine the relationship between money supply and economic growth under a broad phenomenon by utilizing the countries with inflation targeting policies in action. The time-series data have been collected from different countries that exercise inflation targeting from 2009 to 2019 and the sample included 39 countries from all over the globe, both from developed and developing categories. The utilized Autoregressive Distribution Lag (ARDL) model forwarded the results suggesting that there is a significant negative relationship between the economic growth and money supply in the long run while no relationship has been observed in the short run.

scholarly journals Infrastructural Investments and Economic Growth: Evidence from Pakistan

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Ayub ◽  
Rabia Rasheed ◽  
Rashid Ahmad ◽  
Furrukh Bashir
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Water Projects ◽  
Public And Private ◽  
The Public ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Adf Test

Purpose: The goal of this study is to make an attempt to find out the relationships between infrastructural investments and economic growth. Design/Methodology/Approach: The study employs time series data over the years from 1972 to 2020. To observe the long-run and short-run impact of infrastructural investments on economic growth, an ARDL modeling approach to co- integration is used that is most suitable technique over some other techniques of integration after inspecting the stationary level of data via ADF test. Findings: The findings of the study indicate that Investments on Railways, Roads, Gas Projects, Telecommunication, Water Projects and Power Projects appear as efficient factors for enhancing economic growth of Pakistan in the long run. Implications/Originality/Value: It is suggested that government should increase the public and private investment for development of Railways, Roads, Telecommunication and Water projects in Pakistan.

scholarly journals ANALISIS PENGARUH VARIABEL MAKROEKONOMI DAN COUNTRY RISK TERHADAP INVESTASI PORTOFOLIO ASING DI INDONESIA

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 135
Author(s):  
Halifah Hadi ◽  
Hasdi Aimon ◽  
Dewi Zaini Putri
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Country Risk ◽  
Growth Effect ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
The Stability

The reseach aims to explain the effect of country risk and variabels macroeconomics to the foreign portofolio invesment in Indonesia in short term and long term. The analysis takes time series time series data from 2006 quarter 1 through 2016 quarter 4by using Error Correction Model (ECM). The source of data are Badan Pusat Statistik, Bank Indonesia, FX Sauder and World Bank. The result are in the short term the exchange rate and economic growth effect the shock that will influence the foreign portofolio invesment. In the long trem the inflation, interst rate, money supply and country risk influence on foreign portofolio invesment significanly. The suggestion in this research is, the goverment sould keep the stability balance of payment in Indonesia .Any change, the condition of  balance of payments effect appreciation and depreciation to Rupiah. To increase the economic growth in Indonesia, goverment could increasing the fiscal income and PMDN realization that will  increase the enterprises productivity.

scholarly journals Money supply and economic growth of Nepal: ARDL approach

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 76-94
Author(s):  
Keshar Bahadur Kunwar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Empirical Relationship ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Series Data ◽  
P Value ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Relationship

There are a number of theories illustrating the relationship between money supply and gross domestic product. Money supply can be defined as the total stock of money circulating in the economy. The circulating money involves the currency, printed notes, money in the deposit accounts, and in the form of other liquid assets. Valuation of money supply helps analysts and policy makers to frame the policy or to alter the existing policy of increasing or reducing the supply of money. The valuation is important as it ultimately affects the business cycle and thereby affecting the economy. This study sought to provide answers to the question, what are the effects of money supply on the gross domestic product in Nepal? The study undertook a causal research design using time series data from the period 1974/75 to 2017/18 to critically investigate the relationship between money supply and economic growth by establishing an empirical relationship that exists between them. The study employed the Augmented Diky fuller test and ARDL- VECM model. The results indicate the existence of a significant long-run relationship between money supply and economic growth as measured by GDP. LNBM is significant to LNGDP and LNGDP is also significant to LNBM so there is bi-directional causality. There is unidirectional relationship existing between LNINF to LNGDP and LNINF to LNBM. ECTcoefficient vale are negative and the p-value of above three approaches are also less than 5 percent which is desirable for the ARDL model.

scholarly journals EFFECT OF MONETARY POLICY ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERIA: AN EMPIRICAL INVESTIGATION

10.26458/1815 ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 123-140 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lawrence Olisaemeka UFOEZE ◽  
J. C ODIMGBE ◽  
V. N. EZEABALISI ◽  
Udoka Bernard ALAJEKWU
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Effect Of Monetary Policy ◽  
Positive Effect

The study investigated effect of monetary policy on economic growth in Nigeria. The natural log of the GDP was used as the dependent variables against the explanatory monetary policy variables: monetary policy rate, money supply, exchange rate, lending rate and investment. The time series data is the market controlled period covering 1986 to 2016. The study adopted an Ordinary Least Squared technique and also conducted the unit root and co-integration tests. The study showed that long run relationship exists among the variables. Also, the core finding of this study showed that monetary policy rate, interest rate, and investment have insignificant positive effect on economic growth in Nigeria. Money supply however has significant positive effect on growth in Nigeria. Exchange rate has significant negative effect on GDP in Nigeria. Money supply and investment granger cause economic growth, while economic growth causes interest rate in Nigeria. On the overall, monetary policy explain 98% of the changes in economic growth in Nigeria. Thus, the study concluded that monetary policy can be effectively used to control Nigerian economy and thus a veritable tool for price stability and improve output.

ANALISIS KAUSALITAS FAKTOR-FAKTOR PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yondri Fadhli ◽  
Syamsul Amar B ◽  
Alpon Satrianto
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Financial Institution ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
The Government ◽  
Causality Model ◽  
Auto Regression

The purpose of this study is to find out: How far is the Causality Relationship between the Amount of Money Supply, Investment, Savings and Economic Growth in Indonesia. This type of research is descriptive and associative. The type of data is secondary data. This study uses Time series data from 2005 Q1-2018 Q4 using the Vector Auto Regression (VAR) and Vector Estimation Causality Model (VECM) approaches. The results of this study show that: (1) there is a causal relationship between the money supply and economic growth. (2) There is no causal relationship between Investment and Economic Growth in Indonesia. (3) There is no causal relationship between Economic Growth Savings in Indonesia, but there is a one-way relationship namely Economic Growth affecting Savings. Based on the results of this study, the authors advise the Government to keep the national economy more stable and in a healthy financial institution. This will be able to facilitate the circulation of money in the community so that economic activity grows well.

scholarly journals THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND GOVERNMENT SPENDING: A CASE STUDY OF OIC COUNTRIES

2015 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 149 ◽  
Author(s):  
Heri Sudarsono
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Wagner’S Law ◽  
The Public ◽  
Wagner's Law ◽  
The Relationship

This paper presents the results for testing for causal relationship between economic growth and goverment spending for OIC countries covering the time series data 1970~2006. There are usually two propositions regarding the relation between economic growth and government spending: Wagner’s Law states that as GDP grows, the public sector tends to grow; and the Keynesian framework postulates that public expenditure causes GDP to grow. The primary strength and originality of this paper is that we used aggregate data as well as disaggregate data for Granger causality test. By testing for causality between economic growth and government spending, we find that government spending does cause economic growth in Iran, Nigeria and Tunisia, which are compatible with Keynesian’s theory. However, the economic growth does cause the increase in goverment spending in Algeria, Burkina Faso, Benin, Indonesia, Libya Malaysia, Marocco, and Saudi, which are well-suited with Wagner’s law.

scholarly journals PENGARUH JUMLAH UANG BEREDAR DAN JUMLAH PENDUDUK TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 88
Author(s):  
Risky Meri Yosephina ◽  
Murtala Murtala
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Stability Test ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Test Results ◽  
Model Stability ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Auto Regressive

This study aimed to determine the effect of the money supply and population on economic growth in indonesia in the short and long term. This study used time series data from 1994 to 2017. The data analysis method used is the Auto Regressive Distributed Lagged (ARDL) approach. The results showed that all variables are stationary at the co-integrated in the long run. The model stability test results showed that the model used was stable. The results show that all variables were stationary at the co-integrated level in the long run. The model stability test results showed that the model used is stable. Partially, in the analysis of short-term money supply had a negative and significant effect on the economic growth in Indonesia, and the population had a positive and significant effect on the value of economic growth in Indonesia. In the long-term analysis, the money supply had a negative and significant effect on the economic growth in Indonesia, and the population had a positive and significant effect on the economic growth in Indonesia. The coefficient determination R2 was 91.56 percent.

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