scholarly journals Development of doctrinal model for state financial security management and forecasting its level

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (13 (113)) ◽  
pp. 26-33
Author(s):  
Anastasiia Poltorak ◽  
Natalia Potryvaieva ◽  
Vitalii Kuzoma ◽  
Yuriy Volosyuk ◽  
Nadia Bobrovska
Keyword(s):  
Regression Model ◽  
Stochastic Systems ◽  
Polynomial Algorithm ◽  
Technology Development ◽  
Security Management ◽  
The State ◽  
Financial Security ◽  
Space Technology ◽  
The Mean ◽  
New Challenges

A doctrinal model of state financial security management in the context of globalization changes has been developed. The model is formed at five levels (doctrinal, conceptual, strategic, programmatic, planned), contains a logical continuum of mission, priorities in the financial sector and the level of technological innovation, influencing factors and a system of actions aimed at achieving goals. This model accumulates a set of solutions aimed at adapting to transformational processes in the economy associated with new needs of states, globalization processes in the world financial space, technology development, new challenges and threats. As a result of the study, forecasting is carried out and the effectiveness of the results of modifying approaches to managing the financial security of the state using a polynomial algorithm for extrapolating the parameters of stochastic systems is proved. A polynomial correlation-regression model is presented, the input data of which were specific indicators of the effectiveness of innovative development of the state, perception of corruption and debt dependence. In fact, this is a set of those indicators at which the strategic directions of strengthening the financial security of the state are directed in the context of globalization changes. The generalized values of the state of financial security of the state, determined on the basis of the developed polynomial correlation-regression model, are obtained, as well as the absolute and relative amounts of error indicate the accuracy of the forecasts obtained. So, the mean level of error is 0.005 %, which means that the totality of these indicators can characterize the state of financial security of the state. Accordingly, this model is useful in the process of predicting the results of modifying approaches to the formation of the financial security of the state

scholarly journals MODERN PARADIGM OF FINANCIAL SECURITY MANAGEMENT OF THE COUNTRY: THE CONCEPT OF ITS IMPLEMENTATION

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olga Gaponiuk ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Policy ◽  
National Economy ◽  
Development Process ◽  
Security Management ◽  
The State ◽  
Important Task ◽  
Financial Security

The article noted that financial security is a multifaceted, multifaceted, systemic phenomenon. As a system, it consists of a large number of elements, has a hierarchy of levels of the organization, able to generate new levels in the development process, while the new level back affects the previous levels, rebuilds them, resulting in a new integrity. It is determined that giving the development of the national economy taking into account its sustainable financial component is the most important task of the state economic policy, the implementation of which under the modern paradigm of financial security management is a complex and multifaceted phenomenon and recover from external negative influences. Determine the level of resilience of financial security to external negative influences.

IMPACT OF GOVERNMENT DEBT ON FINANCIAL SECURITY OF UKRAINE

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olena Pikaliuk ◽  
◽  
Dmitry Kovalenko ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
The State ◽  
Financial Security ◽  
State Budget ◽  
The Public ◽  
Debt Security ◽  
The Stability ◽  
The Impact

One of the main criteria for economic development is the size of the public debt and its dynamics. The article considers the impact of public debt on the financial security of Ukraine. The views of scientists on the essence of public debt and financial security of the state are substantiated. An analysis of the dynamics and structure of public debt of Ukraine for 2014-2019. It is proved that one of the main criteria for economic development is the size of public debt and its dynamics. State budget deficit, attracting and using loans to cover it have led to the formation and significant growth of public debt in Ukraine. The volume of public debt indicates an increase in the debt security of the state, which is a component of financial security. Therefore, the issue of the impact of public debt on the financial security of Ukraine is becoming increasingly relevant. The constant growth and large amounts of debt make it necessary to study it, which will have a positive impact on economic processes that will ensure the stability of the financial system and enhance its security.

The Threats of Ukraine Financial Security: Identification and Systemization

2019 ◽  
pp. 73-80
Author(s):  
Oleksandra Maslii ◽  
Andrii Maksymenko ◽  
Svitlana Onyshchenko
Keyword(s):  
Financial Stability ◽  
System Development ◽  
Financial System ◽  
Economic Security ◽  
The State ◽  
Financial Security ◽  
Monitoring And Control ◽  
Development Indicators ◽  
Security Indicators ◽  
And Control

Place of monitoring and control of risks of financial stability of the state in the system of ensuring financial security of the state was substantiated. Methods of identifying threats to Ukraine's financial security through the current and strategic analysis of financial system development indicators were considered. Tendencies of economic development of Ukraine in the context of revealing sources of threats to financial stability of the state were analyzed. Dynamic analysis of the actual values of the financial security indicators of Ukraine as a whole and its separate components had been carried out. Threats to Ukraine's financial security were identified based on comparative and trend analysis. Reasons for the critical state of debt, banking and monetary security in the financial structure and the preconditions for the emergence of systemic threats had been investigated. Systematization of risks and threats to Ukraine's financial security by its components had been carried out. Influence of systemic threats in the financial sphere on the economic security of the state was generalized. International experience of monitoring financial stability of the state was analyzed. Additional risks to the national financial system are associated with the globalization and digitization of the state financial system that are not taken into account by valid methodological recommendations for calculating the level of economic security of Ukraine were highlighted.

First passage time for the state of exact chemical equilibrium

1980 ◽  
Vol 45 (3) ◽  
pp. 777-782 ◽  
Author(s):  
Milan Šolc
Keyword(s):  
Chemical Equilibrium ◽  
First Passage Time ◽  
Passage Time ◽  
The State ◽  
Recurrence Time ◽  
First Passage ◽  
First Order ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Passage Times ◽  
Number Of Particles

The establishment of chemical equilibrium in a system with a reversible first order reaction is characterized in terms of the distribution of first passage times for the state of exact chemical equilibrium. The mean first passage time of this state is a linear function of the logarithm of the total number of particles in the system. The equilibrium fluctuations of composition in the system are characterized by the distribution of the recurrence times for the state of exact chemical equilibrium. The mean recurrence time is inversely proportional to the square root of the total number of particles in the system.

Unresolved Issues of Partition Politics

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Udayon Misra
Keyword(s):  
The State ◽  
New Wave ◽  
Displaced Persons ◽  
National Register ◽  
The Status ◽  
New Challenges

The concluding chapter takes up what it sees to be some of the major unresolved issues of Partition politics. While it tries to trace the roots of the violence centred around land in several areas of Assam, especially in the Bodo-inhabited region, it shows how issues such as the controversy over the cut-off year for immigrants to acquire citizenship are carry-overs from Partition days. Other major issues that are discussed include the status of Hindu refugees/displaced persons in the state, the National Register of Citizens, and the larger question of language and Assamese identity. It shows how with the new wave of immigrants being assimilated into the Assamese nationality, its transformation is underway and how this transformation itself throws up new challenges and equations.

scholarly journals Genetic gain in the breeding program of common beans at IAC from 1989 to 2007

2010 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 329-336 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alisson Fernando Chiorato ◽  
Sérgio Augusto Morais Carbonell ◽  
Roland Vencovsky ◽  
Nelson da Silva Fonseca Júnior ◽  
José Baldin Pinheiro
Keyword(s):  
Grain Yield ◽  
Common Bean ◽  
Genetic Gain ◽  
Grain Quality ◽  
The State ◽  
Breeding Program ◽  
Common Beans ◽  
The Common ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Second Period

The goal of the present work was to evaluate the genetic gain obtained in grain yield for the common bean genotypes from 1989 until 2007, at the Instituto Agronômico de Campinas, in the state of São Paulo. Genetic gain has been separated into two research periods; the first, from 1989 to 1996, and the second, from 1997 to 2007. In the first period, a genetic gain of 1.07 % per year was obtained, whereas for the second period, the gain was zero. However, the mean yield of the evaluated lines was approximately 1000 kg ha-1 superior to the figures obtained in the first period. The main cause for the absence of genetic gain in the second period is that the focus of the breeding program was changed to grain quality. The individualized analysis of the genotypes with carioca grains in the second period indicated the lack of genetic gain during the investigated period.

scholarly journals The Mean Stability Criteria in terms of Two Measures for Stochastic Differential Equations with Coefficient’s Uncertainty

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Rui Zhang ◽  
Yinjing Guo ◽  
Xiangrong Wang ◽  
Xueqing Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Optimal Control ◽  
Differential Equations ◽  
Stochastic Differential Equations ◽  
Stochastic Stability ◽  
Stochastic Systems ◽  
Stability Criteria ◽  
Two Measures ◽  
The Mean ◽  
The Stability

This paper extends the stochastic stability criteria of two measures to the mean stability and proves the stability criteria for a kind of stochastic Itô’s systems. Moreover, by applying optimal control approaches, the mean stability criteria in terms of two measures are also obtained for the stochastic systems with coefficient’s uncertainty.

PARAMETER ESTIMATION ON HURDLE POISSON REGRESSION MODEL WITH CENSORED DATA

2012 ◽  
Vol 57 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
SEYED EHSAN SAFFAR ◽  
ROBIAH ADNAN ◽  
WILLIAM GREENE
Keyword(s):  
Regression Model ◽  
Count Data ◽  
Poisson Regression ◽  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Poisson Model ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Poisson Regression Model ◽  
Response Variable ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Over Dispersion

A Poisson model typically is assumed for count data. In many cases, there are many zeros in the dependent variable and because of these many zeros, the mean and the variance values of the dependent variable are not the same as before. In fact, the variance value of the dependent variable will be much more than the mean value of the dependent variable and this is called over–dispersion. Therefore, Poisson model is not suitable anymore for this kind of data because of too many zeros. Thus, it is suggested to use a hurdle Poisson regression model to overcome over–dispersion problem. Furthermore, the response variable in such cases is censored for some values. In this paper, a censored hurdle Poisson regression model is introduced on count data with many zeros. In this model, we consider a response variable and one or more than one explanatory variables. The estimation of regression parameters using the maximum likelihood method is discussed and the goodness–of–fit for the regression model is examined. We study the effects of right censoring on estimated parameters and their standard errors via an example.

Adaptive Estimation Using Multiagent Network Identifiers With Undirected and Directed Graph Topologies

2013 ◽  
Vol 136 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Teymur Sadikhov ◽  
Michael A. Demetriou ◽  
Wassim M. Haddad ◽  
Tansel Yucelen
Keyword(s):  
Directed Graph ◽  
Adaptive Estimation ◽  
Parameter Estimate ◽  
The State ◽  
Adaptive Observer ◽  
Parameter Estimates ◽  
Communication Architecture ◽  
Adaptive Identifier ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Additive Term

In this paper, we present an adaptive estimation framework predicated on multiagent network identifiers with undirected and directed graph topologies. Specifically, the system state and plant parameters are identified online using N agents implementing adaptive observers with an interagent communication architecture. The adaptive observer architecture includes an additive term which involves a penalty on the mismatch between the state and parameter estimates. The proposed architecture is shown to guarantee state and parameter estimate consensus. Furthermore, the proposed adaptive identifier architecture provides a measure of agreement of the state and parameter estimates that is independent of the network topology and guarantees that the deviation from the mean estimate for both the state and parameter estimates converge to zero. Finally, an illustrative numerical example is provided to demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed approach.

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