IMPACT OF GOVERNMENT DEBT ON FINANCIAL SECURITY OF UKRAINE

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olena Pikaliuk ◽  
◽  
Dmitry Kovalenko ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
The State ◽  
Financial Security ◽  
State Budget ◽  
The Public ◽  
Debt Security ◽  
The Stability ◽  
The Impact

One of the main criteria for economic development is the size of the public debt and its dynamics. The article considers the impact of public debt on the financial security of Ukraine. The views of scientists on the essence of public debt and financial security of the state are substantiated. An analysis of the dynamics and structure of public debt of Ukraine for 2014-2019. It is proved that one of the main criteria for economic development is the size of public debt and its dynamics. State budget deficit, attracting and using loans to cover it have led to the formation and significant growth of public debt in Ukraine. The volume of public debt indicates an increase in the debt security of the state, which is a component of financial security. Therefore, the issue of the impact of public debt on the financial security of Ukraine is becoming increasingly relevant. The constant growth and large amounts of debt make it necessary to study it, which will have a positive impact on economic processes that will ensure the stability of the financial system and enhance its security.

EFFECTS OF A PUBLIC DEBT AND DEFICIT BUDGET

2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 140-144
Author(s):  
Daniel Szybowski
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Foreign Capital ◽  
The State ◽  
Financial Policy ◽  
Foreign Investments ◽  
State Budget ◽  
The Public ◽  
High Level

The aim of the article is to present a problem concerning the effects of the public debt and the budget deficit. The public debt is a result of the lack of adequate income earned by the financial sector, what means that it must incur liabilities to be able to carry out its tasks or improper management of the state budget funds - what results in the budget deficit. The size of the state's debt and the public debt has a very large impact on the socio-economic situa-tion of the country as well as on its financial policy. Due to the high indebtedness of the state, the whole economy is disturbed, the state authorities are not able to allocate an adequate amount of the funds to stimulate invest-ments. Such actions slow down the dynamics of economic development, what means that the state authorities most often look for savings. Unfortunately, this usually happens at the expense of the ordinary(?) citizens. Countries that have a high level of the debts tend to lose their credibility internationally. This may result in the fall in the foreign investments and the outflow of the foreign capital.

scholarly journals BUDGET PLANNING IN THE CONDITIONS OF INSTITUTIONAL TRANSFORMATIONS

2021 ◽  
Vol 135 (1) ◽  
pp. 90-100
Author(s):  
VDOVICHEN Anatolii ◽  
CHORNOVOL Alla ◽  
TABENSKA Yuliia
Keyword(s):  
Public Debt ◽  
The State ◽  
Planning System ◽  
State Budget ◽  
Budget Planning ◽  
State And Local ◽  
Methodological Principles ◽  
The Stability ◽  
The Impact

Background. Quality level of the budget planning is an important factor in ensuring balance of state and local budgets in the conditions of institutional transformations. Adop­tion of effective management decisions by public authorities and local governments involves the development of the budget planning system taking into account information technology, assessment of changes in socio-economic processes. The aim of the article is to reveal the areas of improvement of the budget planning system and its tools. Materials and methods. Thesystematic method has been used in determining nature and role of the budget planning in ensuring the stability and balance of state and local bud­gets. The comparative method is used in the process of generalizing the features of the budget planning tools. The method of scientific abstraction is used in the disclosure of theoretical and methodological principles of improving the budget planning system. The method of ana­lysis and the synthesis has been used to assess the planned and actual indicators (revenues, expenditures, deficit of the State Budget of Ukraine; public and guaranteed public debt). Results. The essence and role of the budget planning in ensuring the stability and balance of state and local budgets have been determined. Theoretical and methodological principles of functioning of the budget planning system have been revealed. The analysis and assessment of planned and actual indicators such as revenues, expenditures, deficit of the State Budget of Ukraine; public and guaranteed public debt for 2015–2019 have been made. The ways of improving the budget planning system in the conditions of institutional trans­formations have been substantiated. Conclusion. A detailed analysis and assessment of the impact of internal and external factors on the financial and economic environment is needed in order to develop the budget planning system in terms of institutional transformation. It will provide an opportunity to iden­tify regular trends in the dynamics of macroeconomic indicators and budget indicators. An im­portant task is to develop economic and mathematical models based on the assessment of eco­no­mic development opportunities of the country, the tax potential of administrative territorial units. Keywords: budget policy, budget system, budget planning, budget revenues, budget expenditures, budget deficit, public debt.

scholarly journals The Impact Of Macroeconomic Factors In Economic Growth

2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (7) ◽  
pp. 331 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alush Kryeziu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Econometric Model ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
The Public ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators ◽  
The Impact

In this paper will be discussed the main concepts and trends of the macro-fiscal indicators in economic growth, as well as their importance in the economic development of different countries, with special emphasis in Kosovo. One of the aims of this paper is to define and explain the connection between macroeconomic indicators with specific emphasis: the public debt, budget deficit and inflation on economic growth. In order to analyze this impact of variables in economic growth, the targeted time period of research is the period from 2004 to 2014. While the data taken regarding Kosovo were obtained from the year 2005, due to the fact that earlier the data have been limited because of the developments in which Kosovo went through. The model that best represents the link between macro-fiscal indicators on economic growth is the linear regression as an econometric model. We will have the opportunity to see and interpret these data. The overall results have emerged in accordance with theoretical discussions presented, but this relationship has not turned out to be very strong because the coefficients acquired did not have great explanatory skills for economic phenomena.

scholarly journals THE INFLUENCE OF THE SHADOW ECONOMY ON THE SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF UKRAINE

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuliia Romanovska ◽  
Lily Strapachuk
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Shadow Economy ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Economic Security ◽  
The State ◽  
State Budget ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
High Inflation ◽  
High Level ◽  
The Impact

The article considers the approaches to the interpretation of the category "shadow economy", which causes a variety of approaches to assessing the impact of the shadow economy on the socio-economic development of Ukraine. The spread of the pandemic and the complication of economic conditions, formed as a result of the introduction of forced restrictive measures, have led to the growth of the shadow economy in Ukraine. The index of shadowing of the economic sphere in relation to the inflation index and the level of the state budget deficit has been studied. The factors that led to the shadowing of the economy and caused the growth of the share of the shadow sector in the economy of Ukraine are highlighted. The main components of shadow employment are identified. Business entities operating in the shadow sector have significantly more competitive advantages and much higher efficiency than legally operating businesses. As a result, such enterprises are an obstacle to the flow of funds to the budgets of all levels of the country, and as a consequence, have a negative impact on socio-economic development in general. In recent years, state budget expenditures have been growing too slowly, which indicates a high level of shadowing of the economy in conditions of high inflation and, consequently, negatively affects the socio-economic security of society. Budget expenditures are closely linked to public policy, which allows the state to curb the level of economic shadowing through measures to reform relevant areas. It is investigated that the State budget expenditures grow too slowly, which indicates a high level of shadowing of the economy in conditions of high inflation. The paper substantiates the reasons for the growth of the shadow economy and identifies the main measures to reduce shadow employment, the manifestations of which are the deformation of social and economic institutions of the state. The de-shadowing of the economy provides citizens with the right to social protection, in the form of social guarantees in case of unemployment, temporary incapacity for work, accidents or occupational diseases during official work, pensions, etc.

scholarly journals Public debt of Ukraine and its influence on main socio-economic indicators

2020 ◽  
pp. 5-10
Author(s):  
Sergii Stepanenko
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
The State ◽  
Debt Management ◽  
Economic Indicators ◽  
The Public ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
Debt Dynamics ◽  
Public Debt Management

Introduction. Solving the problem of public debt management is one of the key factors of economic stability in the country. The budget capacity of the state and the stability of its national currency largely depend on the nature of the debt problem settlement. The need to address these issues requires finding ways to improve the mechanism of public debt management and servicing in Ukraine. The purpose of the article is to study the public debt dynamics of Ukraine and model the nature of its impact on key socio-economic indicators in modern conditions. Results. The dynamics and structure of the state and state-guaranteed debt of Ukraine for the period 2013-2019 are analyzed. The negative dynamics of the growth of the total amount of debt during 2014-2018 is determined. In 2019, the total amount of debt in hryvnia decreased due to the reduction of external and guaranteed debt, but in dollar terms increased, which threatens the financial stability of the country. Using the software product EViews 10 based on the Granger causality test, the system of causal relationships between the dynamics of public debt (index) and indicators of socio-economic development: GDP growth rate, industrial production index, real income index, employment index, the index of exports of goods and services, the index of imports of goods and services has been researched. On the basis of the established causal relations the autoregressive influence models of the public debt dynamics on indicators of social and economic development are constructed, on which the error does not exceed 5%. Conclusions. According to the results of the constructed models, the negative impact of public debt on the main socio-economic indicators is determined, which is confirmed by the negative values of the elasticity indexes of socio-economic indicators. The built models serve as a preventive tool of public debt management, with the help of which it is possible to promptly respond to threats to socio-economic development by monitoring the level of public debt dynamics. Key words: public debt, public debt management, socio-economic development, financial security of the state.

scholarly journals State debt management in the context of Ukraine's economic development

2020 ◽  
pp. 21-25
Author(s):  
Artem HUSIEV
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
The State ◽  
Economic Consequences ◽  
Debt Management ◽  
Optimal Decision ◽  
Main Task ◽  
State Budget ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Debt Policy

The paper explores the theoretical and methodological basis of the concept of public debt management. The relationship between the problem of public debt and economic development of the country has been revealed. The dynamics of Ukraine's public debt for the period 2010-2019 have been analyzed. The default as a means of state debt policy has been investigated and its main economic consequences are presented. The international experience of managing public debt on the example of Argentina has been analyzed. The economic essence of technical default has been defined and the concept of technical default as a priority direction of Ukraine's state debt policy in the current conditions has been proposed. Public debt is a set of State commitments to internal and external creditors. State debt Management provides for state creation of the concept of debt policy. In economic terms, the main task of debt management is to maintain the level of public debt on a moderate level. In Ukraine, the problem of state indebtedness is particularly relevant after 2014. However, the most acute this problem was at the beginning of 2020 with the beginning of the recession economy and raising the deficit of the State budget. There are three main strategies to address public debt: investing in the country's economic development and timely repayment of liabilities, default and technical default. The strategy of investing in the country's economic development envisages emission of money or additional involvement in order to stimulate economic development, as well as timely payment of debts and interests. This strategy is appropriate in terms of relatively small amounts of public debt. Defaulted involves declaring the state insolvency payment obligations to creditors. Defaulted in the short run means a rapid deterioration in the economic situation in the country, but under certain conditions, there may be positive consequences in the long run. The technical default means the state's inability to pay debts on a certain date if there is a possibility of their payment in the future. In Ukraine today, the optimal decision of the state debt policy is the proclamation of technical default to restructure debts and prevent aggravation of socio-economic crisis in the country.

scholarly journals System emerytalny i jego zmiany w Polsce w kontekście deficytu budżetowego oraz długu publicznego w latach 1999–2014

2015 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 219-232
Author(s):  
Jolanta Ciak ◽  
Bożena Kołosowska
Keyword(s):  
Public Finance ◽  
Economic Policy ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Pension System ◽  
The State ◽  
Future Generations ◽  
Financial Policy ◽  
State Budget ◽  
The Public ◽  
The Future

Since January 1999 a new pension system based on the reformed Social InsuranceInstitution (ZUS) and open pension funds (OFE) has been in force. The reformsdid not concern all the insured in ZUS uniformly, due to its scope and costs. The aim of the article is to present the changes in the Polish national pension systemand their influence on the public finance including the state budget. The influenceis considerable due to the long-lasting imbalance in the state budget and theaccumulating public debt. The authors discern that the changes suggested by thegovernment can be assessed as the choice between being responsible for presentand being responsible for the future. Thus the effects of the current changesin the pension system are moved to the future generations and the sources of theirfinancing, whether they are in the form of higher taxes, smaller public expenditureor higher public debt, will depend on the future economic policy includingthe financial policy.

scholarly journals Debt Component of Ensuring the Sustainability of Public Finances in Ukraine: The Status and Trends

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (522) ◽  
pp. 178-186
Author(s):  
T. A. Koliada ◽  
◽  
L. Y. Bench ◽  
N. D. Rybina ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
The State ◽  
Financial Risks ◽  
Medium Term ◽  
State Budget ◽  
Public Finances ◽  
Managerial Decisions ◽  
The Status ◽  
Debt Security ◽  
Us Dollar ◽  
The Impact

The article is aimed at evaluating the State debt and the State-guaranteed debt as components of ensuring the sustainability of Ukraine's public finances, identifying trends and factors that determine debt security and affect the pace of development of the country's economy. The article discloses the indicators of measuring the sustainability of public finances; indicators of effectiveness of the policy of ensuring the sustainability of Public Finances of Ukraine until 2030 are presented; the role and importance of debt security in ensuring the sustainability of public finances is determined. A factor analysis of the State debt and the State-guaranteed debt is carried out on the main grounds – the average US dollar exchange rate per year, GDP, revenues and expenditures of the State budget – in order to identify trends in changes in its structure and volumes for the period 2016-2020. The main financial risks and the degree of their impact on debt security are defined, a forecast of the State debt and the State-guaranteed debt of Ukraine for the medium term for 2021-2023 has been developed using the polynomial trend. The likelihood of a worsening the debt situation in Ukraine by 2023 and, as a result, a deterioration in the resilience of public finances due to the unfolding of the coronavirus pandemic, which can be equated with the crises of 2008-2009 and 2014-2015, is proved. Proposals to improve Ukraine's debt security in the context of the coronavirus pandemic have been substantiated. Prospect for further research in this direction is to prove the need to make managerial decisions to ensure the sustainability of public finances, taking into account not only macroeconomic, but also political and institutional factors, the impact of which increases significantly in the context of democracy.

scholarly journals SOCIO-ECONOMIC INDICATORS OF TERRITORIAL REGION

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuliia Romanovska ◽  
Marina Makarenko ◽  
Veronika Khmaruk
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Social Protection ◽  
Swot Analysis ◽  
The State ◽  
Economic Indicators ◽  
State Budget ◽  
Internal Factors ◽  
The Social ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
The Impact

The study of some indicators of the components of socio-economic development of the region on the example of Vinnytsia region, namely production, financial, demographic, scientific and technical, social, environmental. It is stated that the provision of socio-economic development of the territorial community is realized through the financial content of the social sphere at the expense of own municipal funds and subsidies from the state budget. The assessment of expenditures proves that the social protection of the Vinnytsia region ensures compliance with the constitutional guarantees of citizens. The studied indicators of the Vinnytsia region prove that the socio-economic development of the community is aimed at ensuring the statutory guarantees of social protection of citizens, as well as streamlining the existing system of municipal assistance, benefits and compensation. One of the most successful system technologies that allows you to assess the impact of external and internal factors is a SWOT-analysis. The results of the SWOT analysis make it possible to assess the ability to withstand threats, as well as to overcome internal shortcomings. Thus, the internal factors of socio-economic development of the Vinnytsia region are dominated by strengths. With regard to agriculture and industry, the situation in the region is currently exacerbated by a shortage of skilled labor, namely, specialists in engineering and manufacturing. External labor migration increases the risk of further development of the labor industry. Declared indicators of socio-economic development of the territorial community are considered in terms of a set of different social and economic goals, rational and reasonable use of municipal and state financial resources. The given separate indicators characterizing social and economic development of territorial community allow to define acceptability of conditions for life and development of the person, social and economic stability of community. Changes in social and economic indicators under the influence of internal factors are the basis for the formation of qualitative socio-economic development of the region and the state as a whole.

scholarly journals Modeling the stability of the financial system of the country

2019 ◽  
Vol 65 ◽  
pp. 04015
Author(s):  
Valdemar Vitlinskyi ◽  
Liubov Makhanets
Keyword(s):  
Public Finance ◽  
Financial System ◽  
System Stability ◽  
Financial Security ◽  
State Institutions ◽  
The Public ◽  
The Stability ◽  
The Impact

The security of the public finance sector of Ukraine requires monitoring of indicators of the stability of the financial system of the country, as well as modeling the impact of these indicators on the country’s financial security. It is shown that the stability of the financial system of the economy can be checked with the help of the provisions of econophysics. The concept of equilibrium is using to determine stability. The influence of factors on the level of financial security, which is one of the aspects of assessing the stability of the financial system of Ukraine is able to evaluate by simulation. The model of the financial system stability of the country is constructed in the paper. This research can serve as the basis for the adoption by the relevant state institutions of sound decisions on ensuring the stability of the financial system of Ukraine.

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