scholarly journals INFLUENCE OF THE BUDGET DEFICIT ON THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE STATE STABILIZATION POLICY

Author(s):  
R. Kalinovskyi ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 (1) ◽  
pp. 46-63
Author(s):  
Serhii YUSHKO ◽  

The article examines the indicators on the basis of which the budget execution in Ukraine is assessed. Budget revenues and expenditures are characterized. The paper demonstrates the features of calculating the budget deficit (surplus) in Ukraine before and after 2004 year, emphasizing that despite the special place of this indicator in the budget planning system, for various reasons for a number of years there was neglect of current regulations legislation and world experience in budget deficit management. It is emphasized the imperfection of the budget deficit indicator due to its inherent shortcomings, concluding that the absolute value of the budget deficit is important in connection with another indicator – budget financing. The components of budget financing are named and characterized. It was found that the most important role in the context of balancing the main budget of the state belongs to debt operations. It is demonstrated the relationship between indicators of budget deficit and financing (their modular values are the same), revenues and expenditures (identical provided the balances at the beginning and end of the reporting period), net borrowing and the amount of public debt (the value of the latter increases / decreases by the amount net borrowing). The examples of specific budget years demonstrate the facts of exceeding the total amount of funding (budget deficit) by net borrowings of the state; the conclusion about the significance of the indicator of net borrowings in assessing the state of public finances is drawn; the need for further search for ways to improve the quality of budget management, thoughtful borrowing planning, the implementation of active budget operations with securities is stressed.


2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 29-34
Author(s):  
Oleh Holovko ◽  
Lilia Solomonova

The purpose of this study is to analyze the components of the budget system of Ukraine as factors of financial and economic security to identify negative trends in the context of the implementation of decentralization reform. It is proved that the research of this direction should start with the analysis of the conceptual apparatus and structural relationships between categories. At the top level of the hierarchy there is the category of national security of Ukraine, which, according to current legislation, means the protection of state sovereignty, constitutional order and other national interests of the country from real and potential threats. The category of financial and economic security is also often used in the scientific literature. Given the above classification, in this case we are talking about the financial security of the country as a factor of economic security. Methodology. To stimulate economic development, the practice of modern budget regulation provides for the presence of a planned deficit, which is a source of local and public debt. Depending on the areas of its financing, there are domestic and foreign, local and national debts. The relationship between the above indicators determines the level of budget security of the country, which is one of the most important factors of financial stability was identified in the work. Results. It is proved that, according to the results of the analysis, practical recommendations on budget policy of Ukraine as a factor of financial and economic security should take into account the following steps: against the background of growing social burden on the budget, it is necessary to continue the redistribution of budget funds in favour of the regions, which will increase their level of financial autonomy and reduce the amount of transfer payments; pursue a strict restriction policy to prevent the growth of the state budget deficit and uncontrolled increase in debt; the problem of pension provision increases the burden on the state budget every year. It is necessary to take measures to create a cumulative system of state and non-state pension insurance. Practical implications. The practical consequences prove that in 2016 the public debt of the consolidated budget of Ukraine reached a record 81% of GDP. However, effective economic and budgetary policy allowed to reduce it in 2019 to 50.3%, which was positive. Moreover, the share of external debt was 29.2%. The high budget deficit in 2020 will lead to an increase in debt to 58.7% of GDP, which offsets the previous positive changes. It is determined that at the beginning and at the end of the study period the expenditures of the pension system of Ukraine have been equal to about 10% of GDP. At the same time, financing from own revenues has decreased from 8% to 6%, which is negative. The most critical situation became after 2013, when this indicator began to decline rapidly, increasing the burden on the state budget. Value/originality of the work is an analysis of the components of the budget system of Ukraine as factors of financial and economic security, which in contrast to the existing ones is based on the need for further implementation of decentralization reform and allows to develop practical recommendations for budget regulation.


Author(s):  
Damira Baigonushova

Twin deficits hypothesis suggests that there is a positive relationship between budget and current account deficits. The present study examines Twin Deficits Hypothesis over the period of 2005:01–20013:12 in Kyrgyzstan by using Vector Autoregressive Model technique. The results show that there are relationships between government expenditure, export and import. The causalities are from government expenditure to export and import. These results confirm the Keynesian view, which asserts the existence of twin deficits, meaning that the state budget deficit at weak real economy, in an open economy, increase imports, which is the cause of twin deficits in the economy of Kyrgyzstan. To solve the problem of twin deficits, the state must pursue an active foreign trade policy in addition to fiscal policy, as it is proven empirically the state budget deficit has a big impact on trade deficit, but not the main factor of trade deficit.


2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 28-32
Author(s):  
Lidiia Fedoryshyna

The purpose of this article is to study fiscal policy, which is one of the methods of regulating the country's macroeconomic policy. Theoretical approaches of scientists to the definition of the term "fiscal policy" are investigated. The contents and principles of the functioning of the mechanism of fiscal policy are disclosed. Method. Theoretical approaches to the definition of mechanisms and discrete components of the fiscal policy of the state and its criteria characteristics have been developed. The research has been based on the use of a systematic approach to the consideration of fiscal phenomena, on the fundamental principles of economic theory, systems theory, theory of finance, theory of taxes, etc. Results. It is observed that the budget deficit and the national debt are closely linked: the increase in the budget deficit leads to an increase in the national debt. But the absolute magnitude of the budget deficit, and therefore of the public debt, does not provide enough information for economic analysis. It is necessary to know what processes the budget deficit is serving, what changes in the reproduction cycle it reflects. It is also very important to measure changes in public debt in relation to changes in GDP. In addition, the tax burden is increasing as a result of these changes. Value/originality. It is determined that along with the expected changes in the methodology of calculation and procedure of tax payment, taxpayers are also concerned about the question of changing the tariff grid by the total amount of taxes due in absolute terms and in relation to the volume and resultant indicators of production activity (revenue, profit). An innovative tariff policy has been proposed and opportunities for using non-traditional agricultural insurance products have been revealed. Recommendations to improve the fiscal policy of the state have been made. The conceptual platform for harmonizing the mechanism of fiscal policy regarding economic entities is substantiated.


2017 ◽  
pp. 148-158
Author(s):  
V. Faltsman

The author, using his own statistical estimates of key indicators that reflect the state of the Russian economy, considers the possible scenario of its development, describing how the new stage of the foreign trade crisis would evolve, as well as the prospects of Russia’s economic growth, investment and innovative processes, the standards and quality of living of the population. The concept is proposed suggesting local incremental recovery growth in separate industries of the Russian economy with minimal risks, borrowings and budget deficit.


2021 ◽  
pp. 81-90
Author(s):  
Yurii Lupenko ◽  
◽  
Yurii Radionov ◽  
◽  
◽  
...  

The state financial system must function smoothly and respond promptly to destabilizing exogenous and endogenous factors that can arise at any time. Therefore, ensuring the financial system's stability and improving its mechanisms is an important component of public policy. The purpose of the article is to reveal the essence of the financial system's stability, identify internal factors of the financial vulnerability of Ukraine that may affect the effectiveness of the country's financial system, and find ways to overcome them. The content of the concept of "stability of the financial system" is revealed. It is established that the use of different terminology indicates the complexity and, at the same time, the versatility of this term. According to international experience, the country's central bank has a decisive role in assessing the stability of the financial system; in Ukraine, this function is performed by the National Bank of Ukraine. It was found that inefficient use of budget funds is one of the key factors in the financial system's vulnerability. The state of execution of the State Budget of Ukraine in 2020 is analyzed. It has been established that over the last decade, the budget has been executed with a deficit, and the existence of a significant budget deficit leads to a movement in the “debt spiral”. The Government borrows a significant amount of money to implement the budget, and therefore it is becoming increasingly difficult to attract them on reasonable terms. Failure to receive the funds leads to late spending. Thus, the budget deficit, public debt, and inefficient use of budget funds are the internal factors that increase the financial system's vulnerability and undermine its stability.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 (6) ◽  
pp. 26-43
Author(s):  
Vasyl KUDRYASHOV ◽  

Analysis of dynamics of indicators of the state and the state-guaranteed debt in Ukraine in recent years is carried out and imperatives of the growth of public debt are determined. It is found out that its primary factors were the expansion of financing of the state budget for budget support of the state sector of economy, banking system, as well as the financing of the budget deficit. It is concluded that the solving of such tasks was carried out under conditions of aggravation of financial risks, namely: revenue mobilization, attraction of an additional resource for the purpose of financing the budget deficit and deficit-debt adjustment, under-fulfilment of privatization plans, admission of high inflation, as well as depreciation of the national currency. It is noted that the growth of public debt was due to an increase in the state borrowings, which were used to repay obligations, cover the costs of conducting the active operations and shift part of the borrowings of corporations and institutions to the state budget. The conduct of active operations was aimed at providing the financial support to the state banks and state institutions, DGF and capitalization of some private banks. Changes in the volume of the state borrowings are disclosed in terms of the ratio of their internal and external components. The reasons and consequences of growth of costs of deficit-debt adjustment (active operations within the framework of the state budget) are determined. Under conditions of non-fulfillment of revenue plans from privatization of the state property, such a policy will lead to aggravation of fiscal risks (retention of high indicators of the state borrowings and debt financing at the expense of the NBU and the state banks). The policy of state borrowings (in terms of internal and external components) turned out to be inconsistent: sharp changes were allowed in attracting the resource from internal and external sources, and the implementation of debt policy was marked by significant peak load on the state budget as well as their high profitability both in domestic and foreign markets. The volume of loan servicing continued to grow, which became a factor of increasing budget expenditures. Financing of borrowings using the resources of the NBU and the state-owned banks were reaching high rates. The author proposes the directions of fiscal policy aimed at restraining and restricting the state and the state-guaranteed debt by introducing changes to fiscal policy in Ukraine.


2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 140-144
Author(s):  
Daniel Szybowski

The aim of the article is to present a problem concerning the effects of the public debt and the budget deficit. The public debt is a result of the lack of adequate income earned by the financial sector, what means that it must incur liabilities to be able to carry out its tasks or improper management of the state budget funds - what results in the budget deficit. The size of the state's debt and the public debt has a very large impact on the socio-economic situa-tion of the country as well as on its financial policy. Due to the high indebtedness of the state, the whole economy is disturbed, the state authorities are not able to allocate an adequate amount of the funds to stimulate invest-ments. Such actions slow down the dynamics of economic development, what means that the state authorities most often look for savings. Unfortunately, this usually happens at the expense of the ordinary(?) citizens. Countries that have a high level of the debts tend to lose their credibility internationally. This may result in the fall in the foreign investments and the outflow of the foreign capital.


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