EFFECTS OF A PUBLIC DEBT AND DEFICIT BUDGET

2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 140-144
Author(s):  
Daniel Szybowski
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Foreign Capital ◽  
The State ◽  
Financial Policy ◽  
Foreign Investments ◽  
State Budget ◽  
The Public ◽  
High Level

The aim of the article is to present a problem concerning the effects of the public debt and the budget deficit. The public debt is a result of the lack of adequate income earned by the financial sector, what means that it must incur liabilities to be able to carry out its tasks or improper management of the state budget funds - what results in the budget deficit. The size of the state's debt and the public debt has a very large impact on the socio-economic situa-tion of the country as well as on its financial policy. Due to the high indebtedness of the state, the whole economy is disturbed, the state authorities are not able to allocate an adequate amount of the funds to stimulate invest-ments. Such actions slow down the dynamics of economic development, what means that the state authorities most often look for savings. Unfortunately, this usually happens at the expense of the ordinary(?) citizens. Countries that have a high level of the debts tend to lose their credibility internationally. This may result in the fall in the foreign investments and the outflow of the foreign capital.

IMPACT OF GOVERNMENT DEBT ON FINANCIAL SECURITY OF UKRAINE

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olena Pikaliuk ◽  
◽  
Dmitry Kovalenko ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
The State ◽  
Financial Security ◽  
State Budget ◽  
The Public ◽  
Debt Security ◽  
The Stability ◽  
The Impact

One of the main criteria for economic development is the size of the public debt and its dynamics. The article considers the impact of public debt on the financial security of Ukraine. The views of scientists on the essence of public debt and financial security of the state are substantiated. An analysis of the dynamics and structure of public debt of Ukraine for 2014-2019. It is proved that one of the main criteria for economic development is the size of public debt and its dynamics. State budget deficit, attracting and using loans to cover it have led to the formation and significant growth of public debt in Ukraine. The volume of public debt indicates an increase in the debt security of the state, which is a component of financial security. Therefore, the issue of the impact of public debt on the financial security of Ukraine is becoming increasingly relevant. The constant growth and large amounts of debt make it necessary to study it, which will have a positive impact on economic processes that will ensure the stability of the financial system and enhance its security.

scholarly journals System emerytalny i jego zmiany w Polsce w kontekście deficytu budżetowego oraz długu publicznego w latach 1999–2014

2015 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 219-232
Author(s):  
Jolanta Ciak ◽  
Bożena Kołosowska
Keyword(s):  
Public Finance ◽  
Economic Policy ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Pension System ◽  
The State ◽  
Future Generations ◽  
Financial Policy ◽  
State Budget ◽  
The Public ◽  
The Future

Since January 1999 a new pension system based on the reformed Social InsuranceInstitution (ZUS) and open pension funds (OFE) has been in force. The reformsdid not concern all the insured in ZUS uniformly, due to its scope and costs. The aim of the article is to present the changes in the Polish national pension systemand their influence on the public finance including the state budget. The influenceis considerable due to the long-lasting imbalance in the state budget and theaccumulating public debt. The authors discern that the changes suggested by thegovernment can be assessed as the choice between being responsible for presentand being responsible for the future. Thus the effects of the current changesin the pension system are moved to the future generations and the sources of theirfinancing, whether they are in the form of higher taxes, smaller public expenditureor higher public debt, will depend on the future economic policy includingthe financial policy.

scholarly journals The Impact Of Macroeconomic Factors In Economic Growth

2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (7) ◽  
pp. 331 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alush Kryeziu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Econometric Model ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
The Public ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators ◽  
The Impact

In this paper will be discussed the main concepts and trends of the macro-fiscal indicators in economic growth, as well as their importance in the economic development of different countries, with special emphasis in Kosovo. One of the aims of this paper is to define and explain the connection between macroeconomic indicators with specific emphasis: the public debt, budget deficit and inflation on economic growth. In order to analyze this impact of variables in economic growth, the targeted time period of research is the period from 2004 to 2014. While the data taken regarding Kosovo were obtained from the year 2005, due to the fact that earlier the data have been limited because of the developments in which Kosovo went through. The model that best represents the link between macro-fiscal indicators on economic growth is the linear regression as an econometric model. We will have the opportunity to see and interpret these data. The overall results have emerged in accordance with theoretical discussions presented, but this relationship has not turned out to be very strong because the coefficients acquired did not have great explanatory skills for economic phenomena.

scholarly journals COMPONENTS OF THE BUDGET SYSTEM OF UKRAINE AS FACTORS OF FINANCIAL AND ECONOMIC SECURITY

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 29-34
Author(s):  
Oleh Holovko ◽  
Lilia Solomonova
Keyword(s):  
Public Debt ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Economic Security ◽  
The State ◽  
State Budget ◽  
Decentralization Reform ◽  
State Pension ◽  
Practical Recommendations ◽  
Budget System

The purpose of this study is to analyze the components of the budget system of Ukraine as factors of financial and economic security to identify negative trends in the context of the implementation of decentralization reform. It is proved that the research of this direction should start with the analysis of the conceptual apparatus and structural relationships between categories. At the top level of the hierarchy there is the category of national security of Ukraine, which, according to current legislation, means the protection of state sovereignty, constitutional order and other national interests of the country from real and potential threats. The category of financial and economic security is also often used in the scientific literature. Given the above classification, in this case we are talking about the financial security of the country as a factor of economic security. Methodology. To stimulate economic development, the practice of modern budget regulation provides for the presence of a planned deficit, which is a source of local and public debt. Depending on the areas of its financing, there are domestic and foreign, local and national debts. The relationship between the above indicators determines the level of budget security of the country, which is one of the most important factors of financial stability was identified in the work. Results. It is proved that, according to the results of the analysis, practical recommendations on budget policy of Ukraine as a factor of financial and economic security should take into account the following steps: against the background of growing social burden on the budget, it is necessary to continue the redistribution of budget funds in favour of the regions, which will increase their level of financial autonomy and reduce the amount of transfer payments; pursue a strict restriction policy to prevent the growth of the state budget deficit and uncontrolled increase in debt; the problem of pension provision increases the burden on the state budget every year. It is necessary to take measures to create a cumulative system of state and non-state pension insurance. Practical implications. The practical consequences prove that in 2016 the public debt of the consolidated budget of Ukraine reached a record 81% of GDP. However, effective economic and budgetary policy allowed to reduce it in 2019 to 50.3%, which was positive. Moreover, the share of external debt was 29.2%. The high budget deficit in 2020 will lead to an increase in debt to 58.7% of GDP, which offsets the previous positive changes. It is determined that at the beginning and at the end of the study period the expenditures of the pension system of Ukraine have been equal to about 10% of GDP. At the same time, financing from own revenues has decreased from 8% to 6%, which is negative. The most critical situation became after 2013, when this indicator began to decline rapidly, increasing the burden on the state budget. Value/originality of the work is an analysis of the components of the budget system of Ukraine as factors of financial and economic security, which in contrast to the existing ones is based on the need for further implementation of decentralization reform and allows to develop practical recommendations for budget regulation.

Education and the Greek Economy1

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nikolaos Vettas
Keyword(s):  
Education System ◽  
National Income ◽  
The State ◽  
University Education ◽  
State Budget ◽  
The Public ◽  
System Functioning ◽  
Greek Economy ◽  
Overall Performance ◽  
High Level

Education affects the Greek economy in two main ways. Expenditure for education services is a significant part of national income, hence, a better design of the education system directly contributes to overall higher efficiency and welfare. Education also contributes toward building 'human capital', a high level of which is a condition for competitiveness without a need to resort to lower wages. Public spending for education tends to be lower than the EU average, however households tend to privately spend significant amounts, especially due to the high value they assign to university education. Overall, the Greek education system is significantly underachieving its potential and its overall performance is mediocre. Lack of appropriate incentives appears to be the cause for many of the failures, as neither education units nor individuals are seriously evaluated and systematically rewarded for their progress. The State exercises excessive control over the entire system, making it too inflexible, formalistic and averse to change and adaptation to new conditions. Before the crisis, and as long as a relatively high number of graduates could find employment in sectors of the economy not exposed to competition (including the public sector), and as long as the State budget could contribute the funds that kept the system functioning, there were no incentives for reform. Education has been hit hard during the crisis: funding has decreased significantly, the institutions and rules have not improved and many high quality people have migrated abroad. However, as public finances and household savings will remain under pressure for the foreseeable future, the reform of the education system in Greece becomes an urgent priority and an important condition for growth.

scholarly journals THE INFLUENCE OF THE SHADOW ECONOMY ON THE SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF UKRAINE

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuliia Romanovska ◽  
Lily Strapachuk
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Shadow Economy ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Economic Security ◽  
The State ◽  
State Budget ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
High Inflation ◽  
High Level ◽  
The Impact

The article considers the approaches to the interpretation of the category "shadow economy", which causes a variety of approaches to assessing the impact of the shadow economy on the socio-economic development of Ukraine. The spread of the pandemic and the complication of economic conditions, formed as a result of the introduction of forced restrictive measures, have led to the growth of the shadow economy in Ukraine. The index of shadowing of the economic sphere in relation to the inflation index and the level of the state budget deficit has been studied. The factors that led to the shadowing of the economy and caused the growth of the share of the shadow sector in the economy of Ukraine are highlighted. The main components of shadow employment are identified. Business entities operating in the shadow sector have significantly more competitive advantages and much higher efficiency than legally operating businesses. As a result, such enterprises are an obstacle to the flow of funds to the budgets of all levels of the country, and as a consequence, have a negative impact on socio-economic development in general. In recent years, state budget expenditures have been growing too slowly, which indicates a high level of shadowing of the economy in conditions of high inflation and, consequently, negatively affects the socio-economic security of society. Budget expenditures are closely linked to public policy, which allows the state to curb the level of economic shadowing through measures to reform relevant areas. It is investigated that the State budget expenditures grow too slowly, which indicates a high level of shadowing of the economy in conditions of high inflation. The paper substantiates the reasons for the growth of the shadow economy and identifies the main measures to reduce shadow employment, the manifestations of which are the deformation of social and economic institutions of the state. The de-shadowing of the economy provides citizens with the right to social protection, in the form of social guarantees in case of unemployment, temporary incapacity for work, accidents or occupational diseases during official work, pensions, etc.

scholarly journals Public debt of Ukraine and its influence on main socio-economic indicators

2020 ◽  
pp. 5-10
Author(s):  
Sergii Stepanenko
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
The State ◽  
Debt Management ◽  
Economic Indicators ◽  
The Public ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
Debt Dynamics ◽  
Public Debt Management

Introduction. Solving the problem of public debt management is one of the key factors of economic stability in the country. The budget capacity of the state and the stability of its national currency largely depend on the nature of the debt problem settlement. The need to address these issues requires finding ways to improve the mechanism of public debt management and servicing in Ukraine. The purpose of the article is to study the public debt dynamics of Ukraine and model the nature of its impact on key socio-economic indicators in modern conditions. Results. The dynamics and structure of the state and state-guaranteed debt of Ukraine for the period 2013-2019 are analyzed. The negative dynamics of the growth of the total amount of debt during 2014-2018 is determined. In 2019, the total amount of debt in hryvnia decreased due to the reduction of external and guaranteed debt, but in dollar terms increased, which threatens the financial stability of the country. Using the software product EViews 10 based on the Granger causality test, the system of causal relationships between the dynamics of public debt (index) and indicators of socio-economic development: GDP growth rate, industrial production index, real income index, employment index, the index of exports of goods and services, the index of imports of goods and services has been researched. On the basis of the established causal relations the autoregressive influence models of the public debt dynamics on indicators of social and economic development are constructed, on which the error does not exceed 5%. Conclusions. According to the results of the constructed models, the negative impact of public debt on the main socio-economic indicators is determined, which is confirmed by the negative values of the elasticity indexes of socio-economic indicators. The built models serve as a preventive tool of public debt management, with the help of which it is possible to promptly respond to threats to socio-economic development by monitoring the level of public debt dynamics. Key words: public debt, public debt management, socio-economic development, financial security of the state.

scholarly journals State debt management in the context of Ukraine's economic development

2020 ◽  
pp. 21-25
Author(s):  
Artem HUSIEV
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
The State ◽  
Economic Consequences ◽  
Debt Management ◽  
Optimal Decision ◽  
Main Task ◽  
State Budget ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Debt Policy

The paper explores the theoretical and methodological basis of the concept of public debt management. The relationship between the problem of public debt and economic development of the country has been revealed. The dynamics of Ukraine's public debt for the period 2010-2019 have been analyzed. The default as a means of state debt policy has been investigated and its main economic consequences are presented. The international experience of managing public debt on the example of Argentina has been analyzed. The economic essence of technical default has been defined and the concept of technical default as a priority direction of Ukraine's state debt policy in the current conditions has been proposed. Public debt is a set of State commitments to internal and external creditors. State debt Management provides for state creation of the concept of debt policy. In economic terms, the main task of debt management is to maintain the level of public debt on a moderate level. In Ukraine, the problem of state indebtedness is particularly relevant after 2014. However, the most acute this problem was at the beginning of 2020 with the beginning of the recession economy and raising the deficit of the State budget. There are three main strategies to address public debt: investing in the country's economic development and timely repayment of liabilities, default and technical default. The strategy of investing in the country's economic development envisages emission of money or additional involvement in order to stimulate economic development, as well as timely payment of debts and interests. This strategy is appropriate in terms of relatively small amounts of public debt. Defaulted involves declaring the state insolvency payment obligations to creditors. Defaulted in the short run means a rapid deterioration in the economic situation in the country, but under certain conditions, there may be positive consequences in the long run. The technical default means the state's inability to pay debts on a certain date if there is a possibility of their payment in the future. In Ukraine today, the optimal decision of the state debt policy is the proclamation of technical default to restructure debts and prevent aggravation of socio-economic crisis in the country.

Vietnam Public Expenditure Review in the Period of 2007-2017 and Some Recommendations

2018 ◽  
Vol 34 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hoang Khac Lich ◽  
Nguyen Thi Huyen
Keyword(s):  
Low Income ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Public Expenditure ◽  
Low Income Countries ◽  
Viet Nam ◽  
State Budget ◽  
Total State ◽  
High Level ◽  
Budget Expenditure

This study explores the current situation of public spending of Vietnam in the period from 2007 to 2017. The results show that the total state budget expenditure has increased over the past 10 years; however the growth rate of public expenditure has reduced. The state budget deficit and the ratio of public debt to GDP have remained at a high level. The analysis also indicates that there has been an increase in the proportion of recurrent spending in total state budget expenditure. By constract, the percentage of investment expenditure tends to decrease. Expenditures on health, education and science and technology have risen in recent years. Keywords Public expenditure, budget deficit, public debt, development investment expenditures, recurrent expenditures References  [1] Barro, Robert J., “Government spending in a simple model of endogeneous growth”, Journal of Political Economy 98 (1990) 5: 103-125.[2] Ngân hàng Thế giới, “Đánh giá chi tiêu công Việt Nam: Chính sách tài khóa hướng tới bền vững, hiệu quả và công bằng”, 2017.[3] Ngân hàng Thế giới, “Cải thiện hiệu suất và công bằng trong chi tiêu công”, 2017.[4] Sanjeev Gupta, Benedict Clements; Emanuele Baldacci and Carlos Mulas-Granados, “Fiscal Policy, Expenditure Composition and Growth in Low-Income Countries”, Journal of International Money and Finance, 24 (2005) 3, 441-463.[5] Vũ Sỹ Cường, “Cải cách chi tiêu công: Từ lý luận đến thực tiễn ở Việt Nam”, Viện Chiến lược và Chính sách Tài chính, 2018.

IMPERATIVES AND RISKS OF THE STATE BORROWINGS’ ACCUMULATION

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 (6) ◽  
pp. 26-43
Author(s):  
Vasyl KUDRYASHOV ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Peak Load ◽  
Banking System ◽  
The State ◽  
State Budget ◽  
State Sector ◽  
Budget Support ◽  
Analysis Of Dynamics

Analysis of dynamics of indicators of the state and the state-guaranteed debt in Ukraine in recent years is carried out and imperatives of the growth of public debt are determined. It is found out that its primary factors were the expansion of financing of the state budget for budget support of the state sector of economy, banking system, as well as the financing of the budget deficit. It is concluded that the solving of such tasks was carried out under conditions of aggravation of financial risks, namely: revenue mobilization, attraction of an additional resource for the purpose of financing the budget deficit and deficit-debt adjustment, under-fulfilment of privatization plans, admission of high inflation, as well as depreciation of the national currency. It is noted that the growth of public debt was due to an increase in the state borrowings, which were used to repay obligations, cover the costs of conducting the active operations and shift part of the borrowings of corporations and institutions to the state budget. The conduct of active operations was aimed at providing the financial support to the state banks and state institutions, DGF and capitalization of some private banks. Changes in the volume of the state borrowings are disclosed in terms of the ratio of their internal and external components. The reasons and consequences of growth of costs of deficit-debt adjustment (active operations within the framework of the state budget) are determined. Under conditions of non-fulfillment of revenue plans from privatization of the state property, such a policy will lead to aggravation of fiscal risks (retention of high indicators of the state borrowings and debt financing at the expense of the NBU and the state banks). The policy of state borrowings (in terms of internal and external components) turned out to be inconsistent: sharp changes were allowed in attracting the resource from internal and external sources, and the implementation of debt policy was marked by significant peak load on the state budget as well as their high profitability both in domestic and foreign markets. The volume of loan servicing continued to grow, which became a factor of increasing budget expenditures. Financing of borrowings using the resources of the NBU and the state-owned banks were reaching high rates. The author proposes the directions of fiscal policy aimed at restraining and restricting the state and the state-guaranteed debt by introducing changes to fiscal policy in Ukraine.

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