scholarly journals The Islamic Stock Market and Macroeconomic Relationship

2021 ◽  
Vol 58 (1) ◽  
pp. 265-275
Author(s):  
Subur Karyatun Et al.
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Macroeconomic Fluctuations ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Industry Sector ◽  
Regression Techniques

This study aims to empirically confirm that macroeconomic factors, namely inflation, the rupiah exchange rate, and BI interest rates can determine the development of sharia stock prices. The sample in this study were listed on the Indonesian Sharia Stock Index (ISSI) in the Consumer Goods Industry sector with a total of 13 companies that met the sampling criteria. The results of the analysis using multiple linear regression techniques, prove that all macroeconomic factors namely inflation, the rupiah exchange rate and the yBI rate had no significant effect on sharia stock prices. The results of this study confirm that the sharia stock market is strong macroeconomic fluctuations even though in a limited period. The implications of this research for investors can be given special attention and consideration in determining sharia investment as an alternative investment in the capital market.

Analisis Pengaruh Inflasi, Nilai Tukar Rupiah, dan BI-Rate terhadap Harga Indeks Saham Syariah Indonesia

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 47-56
Author(s):  
Fifi Afiyanti Tripuspitorini
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Partial Least Square ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Monthly Period

Islamic investment is experiencing an upward trend from year to year. Many investors are starting to look at Islamic stocks. One of the Islamic stocks in Indonesia is the Indonesian Sharia Stock Index (ISSI). Investors must have many careful considerations to invest. One of the factors that may influence stock prices is macroeconomic factors. This study aims to determine how macroeconomic variables in the form of inflation, the rupiah exchange rate against the dollar, and Bank Indonesia interest rates can affect the ISSI stock price. This study uses a quantitative data approach. The data is obtained from the Sharia Stock Index (ISSI) in the monthly period January 2016 to December 2018.Meanwhile, data analysis used Partial Least Square (PLS) with the help of WarpPLS. The results showed that inflation and the rupiah exchange rate had no effect on the ISSI stock price. while the BI rate has a significant negative effect on the ISSI stock price.

scholarly journals A Time Series Analysis of the Nexus Between Macroeconomic Fundamentals and Stock Prices in Nigeria

2018 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 69-91
Author(s):  
Amassoma Ditimi ◽  
Bolarinwa Ifeoluwa
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Series Analysis ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Macroeconomic Fundamentals ◽  
The Government

AbstractSince macroeconomic fundamentals have been found to play a vital role for changes in the economy of a country. Consequently, the onus is on the appropriate regulatory authorities to take measures in making amendments in these policies to put the economy on the right development track. The aim of this study is to use time series analysis to empirically showcase the nexus between macroeconomic fundamentals and stock prices in Nigeria. The method used for this study was the Co-integration test and the EGARCH technique to estimate the possible influence of the selected macroeconomic fundamentals on stock prices. Volatility was captured by using quarterly data and estimated using GARCH (1,1) respectively. The study found there is a positive relationship between macroeconomic factors and stock prices in Nigeria. Therefore, the study recommends that the Federal authority should put in place policy measures that will enable the exchange rate to be relatively stabilized. This is because empirical evidence from studies has shown that exchange rate affects stock market prices. In addition, the government authority should ensure an enabling environment that would build the mindset of institutional investors in the Nigerian stock market due to the existence of information asymmetry problems among potential investors.

scholarly journals PENGARUH TINGKAT INFLASI, SUKU BUNGA BI, DAN NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH TERHADAP IHSG

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 118-129
Author(s):  
Desi Ratjaya Ningsih ◽  
Nur Aida Arifah Tara ◽  
Muhdin Muhdin
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Quantitative Methods ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Market Conditions ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Relationship

The Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) is a description of information regarding the movements of all stock prices that affect capital market conditions and produce a trend. There are three factors that mainly influence the IHSG, namely inflation, BI interest rates, and the rupiah exchange rate. The purpose of this study was to examine the relationship between inflation, BI interest rates, rupiah exchange rate and the IHSG in the period of 2016-2020. The method in this research used quantitative methods. The results showed that inflation and BI interest rates have a negative and insignificant effect on the IHSG, while the Rupiah exchange rate has a significant negative effect on the IHSG.Keywords :IHSG, Inflasi, Suku Bunga BI, Nilai Tukar Rupiah

scholarly journals ANALISIS FUNDAMENTAL MAKRO DAN INTEGRASI PASAR SAHAM DUNIA DENGAN BURSA EFEK INDONESIA

2017 ◽  
pp. 128
Author(s):  
Luh Gede Sri Artini ◽  
Nyoman Tri Aryati ◽  
Putu Vivi Lestari ◽  
Ni Putu Ayu Darmayanti ◽  
Gede Merta Sudiartha
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Market Integration ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
South East Asia ◽  
International Capital ◽  
Capital Market Integration ◽  
Positive Effect

This study is a combination of previous studies about a relationship between the stock market with a macro economic performance  and research on the international capital market integration. There is a strong relationship between the stock price with a macro-economic performance, in which the macro economic variables according Tandelilin (2010.343) include Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the growth rate of inflation, interest rates and currency exchange rates. Research on the international capital market integration has been done because of  the domestic capital flows over the country and their potential gains from international diversification. Macroeconomic variables used in this study was limited to GDP growth, inflation, interest rate of Bank Indonesia Certificates ( SBI ) and the value of the US dollar against the rupiah exchange rate,  and stock index that used are Kuala Lumpur Stock Index, Thailand stock index and Singapore.   The objective of this paper are to to analyze the movement of macroeconomic and examine the degree of four stock market integration in South East Asia based on data from 2010 to 2014 with the period of observation January 2010 – December 2014. Analysis model regression multivariable is used to detect economic factor (GDP, inflation, interest rate and exchange rate) and south East Asia stock market (KLCI, STI and  STI) influence toward movement of the Indonesian composite stock market index in Indonesian Capital Market partially and simultaneous.   The results of this research indicate that GDP, inflation, interest rate, exchange rate, KLCI, SETI and  STI have significant effect on the IHSG. Based on the test results the coefficient of determination, the value of the Adjusted R Square of 96,9 % while the remaining 3,1 % is influence by other variables not included in this research.  Partially  GDP, Inflation and STI have insignificant positive effect on IHSG, interest rate have significant negative effect on IHSG. While KLCI and SETI have significant positive effect

Stock Market and Macroeconomic Behavior

2016 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 12-30 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nabila Nisha
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Highly Sensitive

An impressive body of research has documented that movement in stock prices are highly sensitive to changes in the macroeconomic variables of an economy. Past empirical studies have examined this relationship across different stock markets by either outlining the influence of only domestic factors or a few global variables. A recent phenomenon has been the shift of academic interest to the emerging economies to investigate this presumed linkage by focusing more on global factors due to the trend of globalization. The aim of this paper is therefore to examine the influence of only global macroeconomic factors upon stock returns in the emerging stock market of Pakistan. By employing Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), findings indicate that significant influence of the global macroeconomic factors of the international interest rates and the world price index is observed, which implies a gradual integration of KSE towards the global financial markets. Limitations and implications for practice and research are also discussed.

scholarly journals Causal Correlation between Exchange Rate and Stock Index: Evidence from VN-Index

2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (8) ◽  
pp. 43
Author(s):  
Tri Dinh Nguyen ◽  
Quang Hung Bui ◽  
Tan Thanh Nguyen
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Sample Period ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Adf Test

This paper will examine the causal correlation of exchange rates and stock prices in Vietnam. The data is collected daily from March 1<sup>st </sup>2007 to March 1<sup>st</sup> 2014. The whole sample period is divided into two sub-groups as before the stock market bottom, after stock market bottom and full sample period. Unit root tests are employed for checking the stationary of time series data such as ADF test, PP test and KPSS test. This paper employs the co-integration test and Granger causality test to identify the causal correlation between two variables. The results of paper prove that there is no causal correlation between exchange rate and stock price. It means that the stock price has no effect on exchange rate and vice versa. However, after stock market bottom from February 25<sup>th </sup>2009 to March 1<sup>st </sup>2014, this research finds that it has a long-run co-movement between these variables by applying the Johansen test.

scholarly journals SENSITIVITAS FAKTOR EKONOMI MAKRO DAN MIKRO DALAM MEMPREDIKSI VOLATILITAS HARGA SAHAM PERUSAHAAN SEKTOR INDUSTRI FOOD & BEVERAGES

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 85-100
Author(s):  
Abdul Kohar ◽  
Nurmala Ahmar ◽  
Suratno Suratno
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Share Price ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Stock Price Volatility ◽  
The Impact

The movement of macroeconomic factors can be used to predict the movement of the stock price, but different researchers are using different macroeconomic factors because there is still no consensus among them which macroeconomic factors that have an influence on stock prices. This study aimed to analyze and test the impact of macroeconomics factors which consisting of inflation, interest rates, exchange rate, and microeconomy factors, consisting of asset growth, growth earnings and sales growth to the volatility of stock prices on food and beverages companies listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange between 2011 and 2015 period. The study measure the sensitivity of inflation and interest rates and stock price volatility by regressing each variable with a share price which will produce the sensitivity value of each variable. A total of 66 samples are tested by using the classic assumption as the precondition for regression analysis techniques (multiple regressions). The results showed that inflation is partially affect the stock price volatility, Indonesia Interest Rate (SBI) is partially effect on stock price volatility, and exchange rate and microeconomics are partially no effect on stock price volatility.

Pengaruh Faktor Fundamental, Risiko Sistematis Dan Ekonomi Makro Terhadap Return Saham Syariah Yang Tergabung Di Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) Pada Periode 2010 – 2014

2017 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 54-70
Author(s):  
Hasanah Setyowati ◽  
Riyanti Ningsih
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Systematic Risk ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Analysis Model ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Return On Equity ◽  
Equity Ratio ◽  
Regression Techniques ◽  
The Exchange Rate

This study aimed to obtain empirical evidence on the influence of fundamental factors, systematic risk and macroeconomics on the returns Islamic stock of companies incorporated in the Jakarta Islamic Index in 2010-2014. The variables used were the fundamental factors that are proxied by Earning Per Share (EPS), Return on Equity (ROE), Debt to Equity Ratio (DER); Systematic risk is proxied by Beta Shares; macroeconomic factors is proxied by the inflation rate and the exchange rate. The samples of this study are the enterprises incorporated in Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) at the Indonesian Stock Exchange. The sampling method was using purposive sampling. There were 12 samples of Islamic stocks that meet the criteria to be used as samples. The analysis model used is multiple linear regression techniques and the type of data used is secondary data. The study found that all variables, which are Earning Per Share (EPS), Return on Equity (ROE), Debt to Equity Ratio (DER), Beta stock, inflation and the exchange rate do not significantly affect the return of sharia stock either simultaneously or partially.

Macroeconomic Factors and Pakistani Equity Market”

2004 ◽  
Vol 43 (4II) ◽  
pp. 619-637 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Nishat ◽  
Rozina Shaheen
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Industrial Production ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Reverse Causality ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Equilibrium Relationships

This paper analyzes long-term equilibrium relationships between a group of macroeconomic variables and the Karachi Stock Exchange Index. The macroeconomic variables are represented by the industrial production index, the consumer price index, M1, and the value of an investment earning the money market rate. We employ a vector error correction model to explore such relationships during 1973:1 to 2004:4. We found that these five variables are cointegrated and two long-term equilibrium relationships exist among these variables. Our results indicated a "causal" relationship between the stock market and the economy. Analysis of our results indicates that industrial production is the largest positive determinant of Pakistani stock prices, while inflation is the largest negative determinant of stock prices in Pakistan. We found that while macroeconomic variables Granger-caused stock price movements, the reverse causality was observed in case of industrial production and stock prices. Furthermore, we found that statistically significant lag lengths between fluctuations in the stock market and changes in the real economy are relatively short.

scholarly journals Pengaruh Tingkat Suku Bunga, Inflasi Dan Nilai Kurs Terhadap Harga Saham Perusahaan Perhotelan Yang Terdaftar Di Bursa Efek Indonesia Per Triwulannya Periode 2016-2018

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 871-877
Author(s):  
Rahmat Dewa Bagas Nugraha ◽  
H.M Nursito
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Quantitative Study ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Ratio Analysis ◽  
The Interest Rate

This study aims to determine and analyze the factors that affect stock prices through appropriate ratio analysis. As for the ratio of interest rates, inflation and exchange rates. Researchers want to know and analyze the effect partially or simultaneously between interest rates, inflation, and exchange rates on stock prices. This research is a quantitative study using secondary data. The object of this research is hotel companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the period 2016-2018. The sample used in this study were 3 hotel with certain characteristics. The results of research simultaneously using the F test show that there is no influence between interest rates, inflation and exchange rates on stock prices because the calculated value is smaller than the table. Partially with the t test it can be concluded that there is no influence between interest rates on stock prices because the tcount value in the interest rate variable is smaller than the t table. Likewise, the t calculation of inflation and the exchange rate is smaller than the t table, so that there is no partial effect of the two variables on stock prices. Keywords: Stock Prices, Interest Rates, Inflation and Exchange Rates

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