scholarly journals Emerging risk factors and the disease pattern in Turkey: an analysis based on burden of diseases

Author(s):  
Seval H. Akgun ◽  
Rajasekharan K. Nayar

Knowledge about the burden of disease and injury alone is not sufficient for health improvement and for defining and evolving policies and strategies. In many low and middle income countries, the impacts of chronic diseases are increasing gradually each year. Anticipating, understanding and reducing the impact of chronic diseases on human health is of great importance. The aim of this paper was to assess the main risk factors in chronic diseases in a developing country and to identify the effects of individual risk factors on burden of disease by using comparative risk assessment methodology. The first BoD study in 2003 revealed that the high systolic blood pressure was ranked first and the prevention of high systolic blood pressure would prevent 108.468 of 430.459 deaths in Turkey. Smoking was at the second rank and prevention of smoking would prevent 54.699 deaths while control of cholesterol level within the normal limits would prevent 49.029 deaths. It is also indicated that adequate levels of physical activity would prevent 45.120 deaths and that consumption of the recommended amount of fruits and vegetables would prevent 38.734 deaths. In the 2013 study, smoking ranked first, followed by nutritional risks at the second rank followed by high BMI, high blood pressure and high sugar level respectively. Smoking, high blood pressure, obesity and tobacco use are the most important problems among the preventable deaths and disability in Turkey. It can be concluded that Turkey now resembles the pattern seen in developed countries and some developing countries with low mortality.  

Author(s):  
Tormod Brenn

The 738 oldest men who participated in the first survey of the population-based Tromsø Study (Tromsø 1) in Norway in 1974 have now had the chance to reach the age of 90 years. The men were also invited to subsequent surveys (Tromsø 2–7, 1979–2016) and have been followed up for all-cause deaths. This study sought to investigate what could be learned from how these men have fared. The men were born in 1925–1928 and similar health-related data from questionnaires, physical examination, and blood samples are available for all surveys. Survival curves over various variable strata were applied to evaluate the impact of individual risk factors and combinations of risk factors on all-cause deaths. At the end of 2018, 118 (16.0%) of the men had reached 90 years of age. Smoking in 1974 was the strongest single risk factor associated with survival, with observed percentages of men reaching 90 years being 26.3, 25.7, and 10.8 for never, former, and current smokers, respectively. Significant effects on survival were also found for physical inactivity, low income, being unmarried, high blood pressure, and high cholesterol. For men with 0–4 of these risk factors, the percentages reaching 90 years were 33.3, 24.9, 12.4, 14.4, and 1.5, respectively. Quitting smoking and increasing physical activity before 55 years of age improved survival significantly. Men should refrain from smoking and increase their physical activity, especially those with low income, those who are unmarried, and those with high blood pressure and high cholesterol.


Author(s):  
Lilian Messias Sampaio Brito ◽  
Luis Paulo Gomes Mascarenhas ◽  
Deise Cristiane Moser ◽  
Ana Cláudia Kapp Titski ◽  
Monica Nunes Lima Cat ◽  
...  

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5007/1980-0037.2016v18n6p678 The aim of this study was to investigate the impact of physical activity (PA) and cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) levels on the prevalence of overweight and high blood pressure levels in adolescents. In this observational, cross-sectional study, 614 boys aged 10-14 years were assessed for height, body mass, body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC) and blood pressure (BP). CRF was assessed using a run test (Léger Test) and subjects were then grouped according to their CRF level. PA level was assessed through a questionnaire (The Three Day Physical Activity Recall) and classified into two groups, namely > 300 minutes of PA/week and < 300 minutes of PA/week. Maturational stage was evaluated according to the development of pubic hair (self-assessment) as proposed by Tanner. We used statistical descriptive analysis, univariate and multivariate analyses in the total participants and subjects were divided by age. Fifty percent of the sample performed < 300 minutes of PA/week and 67.6% had unsatisfactory CRF levels. There was a higher prevalence of unsatisfactory CRF levels among subjects with altered BMI (overweight), WC (abdominal obesity) or BP (high blood pressure) for all age groups. PA history, however, did not show any significance. A total of 31% of participants were overweight, 24.8% had abdominal obesity and 15.4% had increased BP. Unsatisfactory CRF levels were found to be a better predictor for the diagnosis of cardiovascular diseases (CV) risk factors than PA history, regardless of age group. 


Author(s):  
Suzanne K Robinson ◽  
Celia J Rodd ◽  
Daniel L Metzger ◽  
Atul K Sharma

Abstract Background We assess the impact of the 2017 American Academy of Pediatrics (AAP) guidelines on the prevalence of high blood pressure (BP) in generally healthy Canadian children and identify risk factors associated with high BP (elevated, stage 1, or stage 2 at a single visit). Methods A cohort of 7,387 children aged 6 to 18 years in the Canadian Health Measures Survey (CHMS, 2007 to 2015) had BPTru oscillometry with centiles and stages assigned using both the 2017 AAP guidelines and the 2004 Fourth Report from the National Institute of Health/National Heart Lung and Blood Institute (NIH/NHLBI). Results Although both shifted upwards significantly, mean population systolic BP and diastolic BP percentiles are now 24.2 (95% confidence interval: 23.3 to 25.2) and 46.4 (45.3 to 47.6). As a result, the population prevalence of high BP increased from 4.5% (3.9 to 5.2, NIH/NHLBI) to 5.8% (5.0 to 6.6, AAP), less than in US children measured by auscultation (14.2%, 13.4 to 15.0). Children with high BP were more likely to be overweight/obese, to be exposed to prenatal/household smoking, and to have hypertriglyceridemia, without differences in dietary salt, infant breastfeeding, neonatal hospitalizations, or exercise frequency. Conclusion The 2017 AAP guidelines increase the prevalence of high BP in Canadian children; Canadian prevalence appears lower than in the USA. This may reflect differences in measurement methods or in the prevalence of childhood overweight/obesity between countries, that is, 31.1% (28.9 to 33.3) versus 40.6% (39.5 to 42.0), respectively. Those with high BP were more likely to have other cardiac risk factors, including overweight/obesity, prenatal/household smoking exposure, and hypertriglyceridemia.


Circulation ◽  
2007 ◽  
Vol 116 (suppl_16) ◽  
Author(s):  
Marietta Charakida ◽  
Julian Halcox ◽  
Joanna Batuca ◽  
Ann Donald ◽  
Shirish Sangle ◽  
...  

Background: Antiphospholipid syndrome (APS) is characterised by increased thrombogenicity and/or pregnancy morbidity in the presence of raised levels of antiphospholipid antibodies (aPL). Increased oxidative properties of high density lipoprotein (HDL)(decreased activity of paraoxonase (PON)) is associated with increased risk for atherosclerosis and has been described in APS. The impact of PON on atherosclerotic disease progression in APS is unclear. We therefore examined the effect of PON on intima media thickness (IMT), and pulse wave velocity (PWV) in patients with positive aPL. Methods: We studied 77 women with positive aPL (aPL) aged 46.6±1.2 yrs (mean±SE) and a control group of 77 women aged 47.5±1.2 yrs matched for traditional cardiovascular risk factors. High resolution ultrasound was used to determine carotid IMT. Arterial stiffness was assessed non-invasively by carotid-radial PWV. PON activity was assessed by measuring p-nitrophenol formation and activity expressed as nmoles p-nitrophenol/ml serum/minute. Results: APL patients had significantly increased IMT and PWV compared to controls (0.75±0.02mm vs 0.65±0.01mm, p<0.001 and 9.14±0.18 m/s vs 8.56±0.21m/s, p<0.05 respectively). PON activity was significantly reduced in aPL compared to controls (91.5[64.3, 05.1]mmol/ml/min, median[IQR] vs 103.1[80.4, 111.5] mmol/ml/min, p<0.006). Although PON activity was not associated with vascular measures in controls, an inverse association was noted in aPL patients (r=−0.26 [cIMT] and r=−0.23 [PWV], both p<0.05). In multivariate analysis, accounting for cardiovascular risk factors, PON activity (β=−0.42, p<0.001), age (β=0.33, p<0.001) and systolic blood pressure (β=0.24, p<0.05) were independent determinants of cIMT while PON activity (β=−0.32, p<0.01) and systolic blood pressure (β=0.28, p<0.05) remained the only independent predictors of PWV in aPL positive patients. Conclusions: APS is associated with increased arterial stiffness and carotid intimal thickening. Paraoxonase activity is inversely associated with IMT and PWV in ApL positve patients. These findings indicate that oxidative stress may play an important role in the development of atherosclerosis in patients with primary antiphospholipid syndrome.


2005 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 395-401 ◽  
Author(s):  
Niki Stefanogiannis ◽  
Carlene MM Lawes ◽  
Maria Turley ◽  
Martin Tobias ◽  
Stephen Vander Hoorn ◽  
...  

AbstractObjectiveTo estimate the burden of disease due to selected nutrition-related risk factors (high total blood cholesterol, high systolic blood pressure, high body mass index (BMI) and inadequate vegetable and fruit intake) in 1997, as well as the burden that could potentially be avoided in 2011 if small, favourable changes in the current risk factor distribution were to occur.DesignData on risk factor levels, disease burden and risk associations were combined using comparative risk assessment methodology, a systematic approach to estimating both attributable and avoidable burden of disease. Disease outcomes assessed varied according to risk factor and included ischaemic heart disease, stroke, type 2 diabetes mellitus and selected cancers.SettingNew Zealand.ResultsApproximately 4500 deaths (17% of all deaths) in 1997 were attributable to high cholesterol, 3500 (13%) to high blood pressure, 3000 (11%) to high BMI and 1500 (6%) to inadequate vegetable and fruit intake. Taking prevalence overlap into account, these risk factors were estimated jointly to contribute to approximately 11 000 (40%) deaths annually in New Zealand. Approximately 300 deaths due to each risk factor could potentially be avoided in 2011 if modest changes were made to each risk factor distribution.ConclusionsHigh cholesterol, blood pressure and BMI, as well as inadequate vegetable and fruit intake, are major modifiable causes of death in New Zealand. Small changes in the population distribution of these risk factors could have a major impact on population health within a decade.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-6 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas Cochrane ◽  
Rachel Davey ◽  
Christopher Gidlow ◽  
Zafar Iqbal ◽  
Jagdish Kumar ◽  
...  

Background. Few studies have investigated individual risk factor contributions to absolute cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. Even fewer have examined changes in individual risk factors as components of overall modifiable risk change following a CVD prevention intervention.Design. Longitudinal study of population CVD risk factor changes following a health screening and enhanced support programme.Methods. The contribution of individual risk factors to the estimated absolute CVD risk in a population of high risk patients identified from general practice records was evaluated. Further, the proportion of the modifiable risk attributable to each factor that was removed following one year of enhanced support was estimated.Results. Mean age of patients (533 males, 68 females) was 63.7 (6.4) years. High cholesterol (57%) was most prevalent, followed by smoking (53%) and high blood pressure (26%). Smoking (57%) made the greatest contribution to the modifiable population CVD risk, followed by raised blood pressure (26%) and raised cholesterol (17%). After one year of enhanced support, the modifiable population risk attributed to smoking (56%), high blood pressure (68%), and high cholesterol (53%) was removed.Conclusion. Approximately 59% of the modifiable risk attributable to the combination of high blood pressure, high cholesterol, and current smoking was removed after intervention.


2014 ◽  
Vol 52 (194) ◽  
pp. 771-774
Author(s):  
Suprada Pokharel ◽  
Dakki Sherpa ◽  
Om Krishna Malla

Introduction: The impact of vascular factors in POAG is well known and controversial. Some reports have shown high blood pressure in POAG, some low systolic blood pressure and some described no difference in blood pressure between POAG and controls. However decreased ocular perfusion pressure was found in most of the studies. Our study aims to assess the role of hypertension in POAG . Methods: It was cross-sectional case–control hospital based study carried out from 1st June 2012 to 1st June 2013. There were 40 cases and 100 controls included in the study. The role of hypertension were compared with those hypertensive patients with glaucoma (cases) and hypertensive patients without glaucoma (controls). Results: Age above 50 years (odds ratio: 4.827 with 95% CI 1.862-12.517), male genders (odds ratio: 3.10 with 95% CI 1.356-7.146) and low diastolic perfusion pressure (odds ratio: 3.857 with 95% CI 1.362-11.224) showed strongly positive association with POAG. High systolic blood pressure (odds ratio: 1.476 95% CI 0.627-3.476), high diastolic blood pressure (odds ratio: 1.348 95% CI 0.587-3.096) and low systolic perfusion pressure (odds ratio: 1.8661 with 95% CI 0.649- 5.335) were weakly associated with glaucoma in our study. Conclusions: Age above 50 years, male gender and low diastolic perfusion pressure were strong risk factor for the development of POAG. Keywords: diastolic blood pressure; diastolic perfusion pressure; POAG; systolic blood pressure; systolic perfusion pressure.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bruno Ramos Nascimento ◽  
Luisa Campos Caldeira Brant ◽  
Simon Yadgir ◽  
Gláucia Maria Moraes Oliveira ◽  
Gregory Roth ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Hypertension remains the leading risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD) worldwide, and its impact in Brazil should be assessed in order to better address the issue. We aimed to describe trends in prevalence and burden of disease attributable to high systolic blood pressure (HSBP) among Brazilians ≥ 25 years old according to sex and federal units (FU) using the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2017 estimates. Methods We used the comparative risk assessment developed for the GBD study to estimate trends in attributable deaths and disability-adjusted life-years (DALY), by sex, and FU for HSBP from 1990 to 2017. This study included 14 HSBP-outcome pairs. HSBP was defined as ≥ 140 mmHg for prevalence estimates and a theoretical minimum risk exposure level (TMREL) of 110–115 mmHg was considered for disease burden. We estimated the portion of deaths and DALYs attributed to HSBP. We also explored the drivers of trends in HSBP burden, as well as the correlation between disease burden and sociodemographic development index (SDI). Results In Brazil, the prevalence of HSBP is 18.9% (95% uncertainty intervals [UI] 18.5–19.3%), with an annual 0.4% increase rate, while age-standardized death rates attributable to HSBP decreased from 189.2 (95%UI 168.5-209.2) deaths to 104.8 (95%UI 94.9-114.4) deaths per 100,000 from 1990 to 2017. In spite of that, the total number of deaths attributable to HSBP increased 53.4% and HSBP raised from 3rd to 1st position, as the leading risk factor for deaths during the period. Regarding total DALYs, HSBP raised from 4th in 1990 to 2nd cause in 2017. The main driver of change of HSBP burden is population aging. Across FUs, the reduction in the age-standardized death rates attributable to HSBP correlated with higher SDI. Conclusions While HSBP prevalence shows an increasing trend, age-standardized death and DALY rates are decreasing in Brazil, probably as results of successful public policies for CVD secondary prevention and control, but suboptimal control of its determinants. Reduction was more significant in FUs with higher SDI, suggesting that the effect of health policies was heterogeneous. Moreover, HSBP has become the main risk factor for death in Brazil, mainly due to population aging.


2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (3) ◽  
pp. 253-261 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kevin S King ◽  
Min Sheng ◽  
Peiying Liu ◽  
Christopher D Maroules ◽  
Craig D Rubin ◽  
...  

Background and purpose Vascular risk factors have been associated with decreased cerebral blood flow (CBF) but this is etiologically nonspecific and may result from vascular insufficiency or a response to decreased brain metabolic activity. We apply new MRI techniques to measure oxygen extraction fraction (OEF) and cerebral metabolic rate of oxygen consumption (CMRO2), hypothesizing that decreased CBF related to these vascular risk factors will be associated with increased OEF, confirming a primary vascular insufficiency. Methods 3T MRI was obtained on 70 community-based participants in this IRB-approved study with informed consent, with previous assessment of systolic blood pressure, hypertension medication, elevated serum triglycerides, low serum HDL, and diabetes mellitus. CBF was measured using phase contrast adjusted for brain volume (ml/100 g/min), OEF (%) was obtained from T2-Relaxation-Under-Spin-Tagging (TRUST), and CMRO2 (μmol/100 g/min) was derived using the Fick principle. Stepwise linear regression identified optimal predictors of CBF with age, sex, and hematocrit included for adjustment. This predictive model was then evaluated against OEF and CMRO2. Results Hypertriglyceridemia was associated with low CBF and high OEF. High systolic blood pressure was associated with high CBF and low OEF, which was primarily attributable to those with pressures above 160 mmHg. Neither risk factor was associated with significant differences in cerebral metabolic rate. Conclusion Low CBF related to hypertriglyceridemia was accompanied by high OEF with no significant difference in CMRO2, confirming subclinical vascular insufficiency. High CBF related to high systolic blood pressure likely reflected limitations of autoregulation at higher blood pressures.


Circulation ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 137 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Susanne Rospleszcz ◽  
Barbara Thorand ◽  
Tonia de las Heras Gala ◽  
Christa Meisinger ◽  
Rolf Holle ◽  
...  

Background: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a major cause of mortality and morbidity. Traditional risk factors include systolic blood pressure, diabetes, adiposity, cholesterol and smoking. The prevalence and distribution of these risk factors in the population have changed within the last decades and CVD mortality rates have been declining. However, the impact of these changes on the contribution of the single risk factors to overall CVD risk remains to be investigated. Hypothesis: We assessed the hypothesis that the population attributable risk (PAR) of traditional risk factors changes from 1985 to 2000. Methods: The sample comprises N = 11 760 participants aged 30 - 65 years from four prospective population-based cohort studies enrolled in Southern Germany in 1985, 1990, 1995, and 2000. Participants were followed up for incident CVD events for ten years. We analyzed the traditional risk factors hypertension, defined as systolic blood pressure ≥ 140 mmHg or treatment with antihypertensive medication; diabetes mellitus; obesity, defined as a Body Mass Index ≥ 30 kg/m 2 ; hypercholesterolemia, defined as total cholesterol levels ≥ 200 mg/dL; and smoking. We calculated the PAR first according to Levin’s formula using both crude relative risks as well as adjusted hazard ratios and second as an average of all single sequential PARs according to the formulae by Ferguson. Results: Temporal trends in prevalence varied for the respective risk factors. The prevalence of hypertension decreased slightly for women (from 25.0% in 1985 to 23.0% in 2000) and increased slightly for men (32.3% to 33.3%), whereas the prevalence of diabetes and obesity increased for both women and men. Prevalence of hypercholesterolemia decreased slightly for women (from 73.4% to 71.4%) and more pronounced for men (80.5% to 74.5%). Prevalence of smoking increased for women (20% to 23.6%), but decreased for men (36.4% to 32.4%). CVD events occurred in 2.4% of women in 1985 and 2.3% in 2000; for men, event rates were and 6.2% and 6.3%, respectively. For both women and men the risk factor with the highest PAR in 1985 was hypertension (64.0% and 43.3%, respectively according to Levin’s formula). However, in 2000 the risk factor with the highest PAR was hypercholesterolemia (78.2% and 57.0%, respectively). The PAR for diabetes declined for women and increased for men. The PAR for smoking varied substantially between the studies without a discernible trend. According to Ferguson’s formulae, the PAR of all risk factors taken together increased from 74.3% to 84.2% in women and from 70.8% to 81.8% in men. Conclusion: In conclusion, the CVD risk attributable to traditional risk factors has increased within the last decades. However, different methods of calculating the PAR have to be taken into account. These trends might influence public health policies focusing on the management of these risk factors in order to effectively prevent CVD.


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