scholarly journals The prediction model for cardiovascular disease using Yazd's health study data (YaHS)

Author(s):  
Seyed MohammadReza Tabatabaei Nodoushan1 ◽  
Fatemeh Saadatjoo ◽  
Masoud Mirzaei

Introdution: Ischemic heart disease is one of the most common diseases, which has led to high mortality rates all over the world. This disease is caused by narrowing or blockage of coronary arteries, which are the provider of blood to the heart. Identifying the people susceptible to this disease and bringing changes in their lifestyles has been said to reduce the related mortality rates and increase the patient's longevity. Methods: Yazd people Health Study (YaHS) was conducted on a random sample of 10,000 people living in the city of Yazd, Iran in the years 2014-15 for a general health and disease survey. These data were first balanced by bootstrapping technique due to their unbalanced nature. Next, classification methods were used in the training phase. Various classifiers, such as artificial neural network, rule inducer, regression, and AdaBoost were used in order to evaluate the proposed method with two scenarios. Results: The results showed that the screening of the people susceptible to ischemic heart disease had the most significant effect on increasing the sensitivity of the discovery classifier of CN2 subgroup through using balanced data by bootstrapping method followed by their analysis for the purpose of producing a sample of the patients. This classifier proved to have the potential for detecting 83.6% of the people susceptible to this disease. Conclusion: Therefore, it can be concluded that data mining methods are effective in screening for susceptible people with ischemic heart disease. This method can be compared with other traditional screening methods in that it is more cost-effective and faster.

2008 ◽  
Vol 108 (6) ◽  
pp. 1172-1177 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sami Tetri ◽  
Liisa Mäntymäki ◽  
Seppo Juvela ◽  
Pertti Saloheimo ◽  
Juhani Pyhtinen ◽  
...  

Object The well-known predictors for increased early deaths after spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) include the clinical and radiological severity of bleeding as well as being on a warfarin regimen at the onset of stroke. Ischemic heart disease and atrial fibrillation may also increase early deaths. In the present study the authors aimed to elucidate the role of the last 2 factors. Methods The authors assessed the 3-month mortality rate in patients with spontaneous ICH (453 individuals) who were admitted to the stroke unit of Oulu University Hospital within a period of 11 years (1993–2004). Results The 3-month mortality rate for the 453 patients was 28%. The corresponding mortality rates were 42% for the patients who had ischemic heart disease and 61% for those with atrial fibrillation on admission. The following independent predictors of death emerged after adjustment for sex and the use of warfarin or aspirin at the onset of ICH: 1) ischemic heart disease (hazard ratio [HR] 1.67, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.12–2.48, p < 0.02); 2) atrial fibrillation on admission (HR 1.79, 95% CI 1.12–2.86, p < 0.02); 3) the Glasgow Coma Scale score on admission (HR 0.82 per unit, 95% CI 0.79–0.87, p < 0.01); 4) size of hematoma (HR 1.11 per 10 ml, 95% CI 1.07–1.16, p < 0.01); 5) intraventricular hemorrhage (HR 2.62, 95% CI 1.71–4.02, p < 0.01); 6) age (HR 1.04 per year, 95% CI 1.02–1.06, p < 0.01); and 7) infratentorial location of the hematoma (HR 1.93, 95% CI 1.26–2.97, p < 0.01). Conclusions Both ischemic heart disease and atrial fibrillation independently and significantly impaired the 3-month survival of patients with ICH.


2019 ◽  
Vol 26 (3) ◽  
pp. 99-107
Author(s):  
Elena V. Bolotova ◽  
Anna V. Kontsevaya ◽  
Irina V. Kovrigina ◽  
Larisa P. Lyuberitskaya

Aim.In this work, we undertook a study of age/sex-specific mortality rates from circulatory system diseases and certain nosological forms in 2015 and 2018 among outpatients of Research Institute — Ochapovsky Regional Clinical Hospital No. 1 delivering primary healthcare services.Materials and methods.We studied age/sex-specific mortality rates from circulatory system diseases among adult population using the data from the medical records of deceased outpatients (Form 025/u), extracts from autopsy reports, as well as medical certificates of death for 2015 and 2018. Non-standardised and standardised mortality rates were calculated.Results.In 2015, all-cause mortality rate by the medical organisation reached 6.2 per 1,000 population, with the total number of deaths from circulatory system diseases amounting to 49.6%. The non-standardised mortality rates from the circulatory system diseases totalled 307.81 per 100,000 population, including the non-standardised mortality rates from cerebrovascular diseases (44.68), ischemic heart disease (129.08) and myocardial infarction (4.96). Standardised mortality rates from circulatory system diseases amounted to 201.96 (men — 70.58, women — 131.38). In 2015, chronic ischemic heart disease (41.94%) ranked first as the cause of mortality among circulatory system diseases followed by diagnoses requiring additional interpretation and examination of primary medical documentation (35.48%), i.e. not clearly defined causes of death; and cerebrovascular diseases (14.52%). In 2018, chronic ischemic heart disease also ranked first (47.54%) followed by cerebrovascular (36.21%) and other diseases (16.39%) (ICD codes I26, I71.1, R00.8).Conclusion.It is shown that more attention from the cardiological and therapeutic services of primary health care is required in coding death-causing circulatory system diseases.


1979 ◽  
Vol 07 (03) ◽  
pp. 197-236 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Petkov

However great the success in the therapy of hypertension, atherosclerosis and ischemic heart disease has been gained today by recent efficient drugs, the definite healing of patients is not yet attained. The late discovery of reserpine, such an efficient drug of plant origin against hypertension, convinced so far reluctant scientists to consider the chemical compounds of the plant world. With respect to this traditional medical knowledge, it seems to define more accurately the specificity of these healings-sometimes recommended unspecifically for a whole branch of medicine. This experimental verification should not use inconsiderably the present-day classification of diseases; there should be an awareness that conventional experimental methods in pharmacology are often unsuitable for revealing the real biological activity of one or another medicinal plant. The interest in the mellennial empirical field of health care is acknowledged by the World Health Organization which promotes research and development of traditional medicine, along with investigations into its psychosocial and ethnographic aspects. These studies cover a number of plants growing in Bulgaria that have a healing effect in hypertension, atherosclerosis and ischemic heart disease according to the data of traditional medicine. Using screening methods, extracts and chemically pure substances were investigated; extraction was done with solvents such as water, ether, chloroform, dichloretan, ethanol, methanol, and acetone. Most of the experiments were carried out on anesthetized cats, rabbits and dogs. The substances tested were applied mainly intravenously, and in some experiments orally. Chronic experiments were also carried out on wakeful dogs with induced hypertension, on animals fed on an atherogenic diet, and on animals with induced arrhythmia and coronary spasm. Data are presented of clinical examination of some plants of active substances isolated from them. Major results of these studies are presented for the following plants: Garlic; Geranium; Hellebore; Mistletoe; Olive; Valerian; Hawthorn; Peucedanum arenarium; Periwinkle; Fumitory. For another 50 plants growing in Bulgaria and in other countries the author presents his and other investigators' experimental and clinical data about hypertensive, antiatheromatous and coronarodilatating action.


2017 ◽  
Vol 22 (5) ◽  
pp. 397-403 ◽  
Author(s):  
John C. Quindry

In the search for innovative solutions to treat ischemic heart disease, recent basic science and clinical approaches have focused on remote ischemic preconditioning (RIPC). Remote ischemic preconditioning involves short intervals of limb blood flow occlusion by the application of a blood pressure cuff inflated to a suprasystolic pressure. The promise of RIPC in the development of new cardioprotective therapies is founded on the premise that it is cost-effective, technically simple, and overcomes many logistical and biochemical hurdles associated with other ischemic preconditioning approaches. However, RIPC as a research subarea is still in its infancy and clinical applications for individuals at high risk of cardiovascular disease remain elusive. The thesis of the current review is that observational and mechanistic similarities between exercise-induced preconditioning and RIPC may reveal novel therapeutic links to cardioprotection. While reductionist understanding of the exercised heart is still in the formative stages, available mechanistic knowledge of exercise-induced cardioprotection is juxtaposed to RIPC and potential implications discussed. In total, additional research is needed in order to fully appreciate the mechanistic and translative connections between exercise and RIPC. Nonetheless, existing rationale are strong and suggest that RIPC approaches may be helpful in the development and application to pharmacologic interventions in those with ischemic heart disease.


2020 ◽  
Vol 93 (1113) ◽  
pp. 20190764 ◽  
Author(s):  
Silanath Terpenning ◽  
Arthur Stillman

Stable ischemic heart disease remains a major cause of morbidity and mortality. Although there are multiple imaging modalities to diagnose and/or assist in the clinical management, the most cost-effective approach remains unclear. We reviewed the relevant and recent evidence-based clinical studies and trials to suggest the most cost-effective approach to stable ischemic heart disease. The limitations of these studies are discussed. Incorporating the results of recent multicenter trials, we suggest that for appropriate patients with coronary artery disease with any degree of stenosis or presence of coronary calcium, optimal medical therapy may be most cost-effective. Invasive coronary angiography and/or coronary revascularization would be primarily for non-responders or >/=50% left main stenosis. Stress cardiac magnetic imaging would be performed for those patients with non-diagnostic coronary CT angiography from motion and non-responders from optimal medical therapy in non-diagnostic coronary CT angiography group from high coronary calcium. These paths seem to be safe and cost-effective but requires modeling for confirmation.


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