scholarly journals Analysis of Crimean Hemorrhagic Fever Morbidity Rates in the Russian Federation in 2009– 2018 and Forecast for 2019

Author(s):  
A. S. Volynkina ◽  
N. D. Pakskina ◽  
E. S. Kotenev ◽  
O. V. Maletskaya ◽  
L. I. Shaposhnikova ◽  
...  

The review presents the analysis of epidemic and epizootic situation on Crimean hemorrhagic fever (CHF)in the Russian Federation in 2009–2018. Over the past decade, 980 CHF cases have been registered in Russia (2,8 %lethal). In 2009–2018, there was a significant expansion of the epidemiologically active area of the natural CHF focus.Epizootiological monitoring of the territory of natural CHF focus showed that in 2009–2018 the number of imago andpreimaginal phases of Hyalomma marginatum – the main vector of the CCHF virus in Russia, remained consistently high.The average long-term rate of Ixodidae ticks infestation by the CCHF virus in 2013–2017 was 3,3 %. In 2009–2018 in the south of the European part of Russia CCHF virus variants belonging to the genetic lines Europe-1 (V), Europe-3 (VII) and Africa-3 (III) were detected. There were no significant changes in the ratio of circulating genetic variants of the virus in the regions of the Russian Federation, which confirms the relative stability of the CCHF virus population. In 2018, CHF morbidity rate in the Russian Federation retained downward trend, however, in some regions of South Federal District the number of CHF cases increased. One of the reasons for CHF morbidity rate decrement in the Russian Federation in 2018 was the well-timed acaricidal treatments of cattle and natural biotopes in most of CHF endemic regions. 

Author(s):  
A. S. Volynkina ◽  
O. V. Maletskaya ◽  
O. N. Skudareva ◽  
I. V. Tishchenko ◽  
E. I. Vasilenko ◽  
...  

The review presents an analysis of the epidemiological and epizootiological situation on Crimean hemorrhagic fever in the Russian Federation in 2020. During the stated period, 32 CHF cases were registered, which is the minimum indicator since the activation of the natural focus of CHF in 1999. The mortality rate was 3.1 %. The incidence was recorded in the Rostov, Astrakhan Regions, Stavropol Territory, the Republics of Dagestan and Kalmykia. A significant decrease in the incidence of CHF was noted in all entities of the Southern Federal District and the North-Caucasian Federal District. An imported from the Republic of Crimea case of CHF was detected in Moscow. The seasonality of morbidity, occupational, and age composition of CHF patients, modes of transmission, features of the clinical course of the disease in 2020 corresponded to the data of long-term observations. Epizootiological monitoring of the territory of the CHF natural focus showed that the abundance of Hyalomma marginatum adults and the percentage of Ixodidae tick pools positive for the presence of CCHF virus markers corresponded to the average long-term indicators at stationary observation points in 2020 , which indicates the persisting epizootiological disadvantage of the territory of the natural CHF focus in the Russian Federation. The persisting high numbers and infection rate of H. marginatum ticks can contribute to the development of an unfavorable epidemiological situation in the south of the country with a possible increase in the incidence of CHF in the Russian Federation in 2021. 


Author(s):  
A. S. Volynkina ◽  
E. S. Kotenev ◽  
O. V. Maletskaya ◽  
O. N. Skudareva ◽  
L. I. Shaposhnikova ◽  
...  

The review presents an analysis of epidemic and epizootic situation of Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever in the Russian Federation in 2010–2019, summarizes the results of epizootiological monitoring of the CCHF natural focus territory in the south of European part of Russia. An unfavorable epidemiological situation regarding CCHF is maintained in the Russian Federation. In 2010–2019, 999 CCHF cases were registered in nine regions of Southern and North-Caucasian Federal Districts. In 2019, an increase in the CCHF incidence level in the entities of the SFD and NCFD was observed as compared to 2017–2018. The expansion of the territory with registered epidemic manifestations of CCHF continues. In 2010–2019, the number of imago and pre-imaginal phases of Hyalomma marginatum – the main vector of the CCHF virus in Russia, remained consistently high. High numbers of H. marginatum ticks and their CCHFV infection rates can contribute to the development of an unfavorable epidemiological situation in the south of the Russian Federation with a possible increase in the CCHF incidence in 2020.


Author(s):  
T. A. Savitskaya ◽  
V. A. Trifonov ◽  
G. Sh. Isaeva ◽  
I. D. Reshetnikova ◽  
N. D. Pakskina ◽  
...  

The paper presents analysis of epidemiological situation on hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome around the world and in the Russian Federation over the period of 2009–2018. 5855 cases of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome were registered in Russia in 2018 (3.99 per one hundred thousand of the population). Downward trend is observed as compared to 2017 (by 29.6 %). Cases of cluster infection were not reported. It is established that the highest level of morbidity, exceeding the average level across Russia 3.9 times, was noted in the Volga Federal District, where 77.5% of the total cases occurred. The territory of the Russian Federation was differentiated by the HFRS incidence rates. The areas with high levels of morbidity included the entities of the Russian Federation with intensive index range between 9.08 and 41.39 per one hundred thousand of the population, among them Republics of Bashkortostan, Mari El, Tatarstan, and Mordovia, Udmurt and Chuvashi Republics, Kirov, Nizhny Novgorod, Penza, Samara, Ulyanovsk, Kostroma, Yaroslavl, and Jewish Autonomous Regions. The forecast for preservation of tense epidemiological situation on HFRS incidence in the territory of the Volga Federal District was substantiated.


Author(s):  
N. V. Rudakov ◽  
S. N. Shpynov ◽  
N. A. Pen’evskaya ◽  
A. I. Blokh ◽  
T. A. Reshetnikova ◽  
...  

Objective is to analyze the incidence of Siberian tick typhus (STT) in the Russian Federation over the period of 2010–2020, Astrakhan spotted fever (ASF) and Mediterranean fever (MF) since the official registration, and to forecast the development of the epidemic process for endemic rickettsioses for 2021. The analysis of the incidence of STT, ASF and MF in Russia for the period of 2010–2020, 2013–2020 and 2014–2020, respectively, has been carried out. The forecast of endemic rickettsioses morbidity in the European and Asian parts of Russia for 2021 has been made. The average long-term incidence of STT for 2010–2020 in the Russian Federation as a whole was 1.04 (CI95 1.02÷1.05) 0/0000, with no tendency to change. The maximum relative incidence of STT is typical for the Siberian Federal District (SFD), where the average long-term incidence rate for 2010–2020 was 6.20 (CI95 6.08÷6.31) per 100 thousand of the population. The Far Eastern Federal District (FEFD) – 4.70 (CI95 4.53÷4.87) 0/0000 came in second place, the third place was taken by the Ural Federal District (UFD) – 0.08 (CI95 0.07÷0.10) 0/0000. When assessing the 11-year dynamics of the relative incidence of STT by the Federal Districts, we have detected a tendency to its stabilization in the SFD and the FEFD. In the UFD, a significant downward trend was revealed. The upward trend in the incidence of STT remained in the Altai Republic. Major decline in STT incidence was observed in the Kurgan Region, Trans-Baikal Territory, Krasnoyarsk Territory, and the Republic of Khakassia. There was a declining trend in the incidence of Astrakhan spotted fever in the Astrakhan Region and the Republic of Kalmykia. In the Republic of Crimea and the city of Sevastopol there is no trend to increase the incidence of Mediterranean fever.


Author(s):  
T. A. Savitskaya ◽  
A. V. Ivanova ◽  
G. Sh. Isaeva ◽  
I. D. Reshetnikova ◽  
E. Kabve ◽  
...  

The review used the data from operational monitoring carried out by the Reference Center for Monitoring over HFRS – “Kazan Research Institute of Epidemiology and Microbiology of the Rospotrebnadzor”, based on official data provided by the Rospotrebnadzor institutions in the constituent entities of the Russian Federation. Statistical processing was conducted using conventional methods of variation statistics applying the Excel program. Over the past decades, hantavirus diseases have become very relevant and spread throughout the world. In the territory of the Russian Federation, natural foci of HFRS are located in the European part of the country, Western Siberia and Far East. The most epidemically active foci are situated in the European part of Russia. Over the past decade, the intensive incidence rate of HFRS in the Russian Federation stayed within the range of 3.0–9.5 per 100 thousand of the population, the long-term average annual indicator – 5.2 per 100 thousand of the population. In 2020, 3845 cases of HFRS were registered (2.62 per 100,000 of the population). There was a decrease in the incidence of HFRS by 3.6 times, compared with the indicators of 2019. A factor that may have influenced the decrease in the incidence of HFRS was the depression of the epizootic process among small mammals, the main carriers of HFRS pathogens, due to natural and climatic factors. The nature of the distribution of HFRS incidence across the territory of the Russian Federation in 2020 was heterogeneous. Statistical processing of the data made it possible to identify 5 groups of territories that differ in the level of HFRS incidence. Almost all constituent entities of the Volga Federal District and the Kostroma Region belonging to the Central Federal District were classified as groups of territories with high and very high incidence rates. In 2021, the deterioration of the epidemiological situation is predicted in the summer-autumn period of the year in the Volga Federal District and four entities of the Central Federal District. 


Author(s):  
O. V. Maletskaya ◽  
S. A. Shcherbakova ◽  
A. P. Beyer ◽  
T. V. Taran ◽  
B. A. Khapaev ◽  
...  

It is stated that due to epidemic manifestations Crimean hemorrhagic fever (CHF) has recently become one of the most pressing issues in the South of the European part of the Russian Federation, the area where its integrated natural focus is situated. In this respect, analyzed are the data on CHF monitoring over the past decade (since 1999); determined are the main epidemiological peculiarities of the infection in the modern period. Furthermore, outlined are the basic principles of development of the unified standard concerning epidemiological and laboratory diagnostics of the disease. Emphasized is the importance of differentiation in scope and nomenclature of diagnostic investigations in laboratory facilities of different echelons, which makes it possible to increase plausibility and quality of the surveys conducted, and carry out verification of the results obtained.


2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 1281
Author(s):  
Olga Vladimirovna KARSUNTSEVA ◽  
Olga Nikolaevna DENISOVA ◽  
Tatiana Alexandrovna BURKINA

The approaches to understanding the concept of ‘economic security of a region’ have been systemized in the article; the terms have been extended due to the introduction of the concept of ‘economic security of a digital infrastructure of a region’, and the modern innovative mechanisms for ensuring the economic security of a region in the context of digital transformation have also been summarized. The most typical threats to economic security for the regions of the Volga Federal District of the Russian Federation in the context of digitalization have been highlighted in the article. The conclusion has been made about the economic security goals of the region, which directly depend on the regional characteristics of the use of digital technologies and the long-term needs of society.


Author(s):  
N. V. Rudakov ◽  
S. N. Shpynov ◽  
N. A. Pen`evskaya ◽  
D. V. Trankvilevsky ◽  
E. V. Yatsmenko ◽  
...  

Objective of the study was to analyze the incidence of Siberian tick-borne typhus (STBT) in the Russian Federation between 2010 and 2019, Astrakhan spotted fever (ASF) and Mediterranean fever (MF) since official registration, and forecast the development of the epidemic process for endemic rickettsioses for 2020. Materials and methods. The analysis of the incidence of STBT, ASF and MF in the Russian Federation over the period of 2010–2019, 2013–2019 and 2014–2019, respectively, in relation to the results of zoological-entomological monitoring. Results and discussion. The average long-term incidence rate of STBT for 2010–2019 in the Russian Federation on the whole was 1.1 0 /0000 (DI95 1.05÷1.08) without trends towards change. The maximum relative incidence of STBT is typical for the Siberian Federal District (SFD) where the average long-term incidence rate for 2010–2019 amounted to 6.28 per 100 thousand of the population. In the second place is the Far Eastern Federal District (FEFD) – 5.17 0 /0000, in third – the Ural Federal District (UFD) – 0.1 0 /0000. When assessing the 10‑year dynamics of the relative incidence of STBT, we have revealed a significant tendency to increase in the FEFD, a tendency to stabilize in the SFD and a significant downward trend – in the UFD. A reliable increasing trend in STBT incidence was detected in the Altai Republic and in the Khabarovsk Territory. Major decline in STBT incidence was observed in the Trans-Baikal territory, Krasnoyarsk territory, Kurgan Region and the Republic of Khakassia. There is a marked tendency to increase in the incidence of MF in the Republic of Crimea. In the Astrakhan Region and the Republic of Kalmykia, there is an expressed tendency towards the reduction in the ASF morbidity rates.


2020 ◽  
pp. 59-70
Author(s):  
Aleksandr Nikolaevich Matrosov ◽  
◽  
Aleksandr Nikolaevich Kuznetsov ◽  
Aleksandra Vasilevna Ivanova ◽  
Nikolay Mikhaylovich Ermakov ◽  
...  

The territory of the Saratov Region is situated predominantly in steppe area and is not among the constituent entities of the Russian Federation characterized by consistently high human infections with hemorrhagic fever (HFRS) incidence rates among the population. In certain years, extreme weather events in combination with good feeding and protective conditions result in hard to forecast outbreaks of the red vole numbers – main carrier of the hantavirus Puumala. Risk territories for intensive and extensive epizooty development are intra-zonal and azonal forest biotopes, to which recreation, residential areas and dacha settlements adjust. Epidemic complications on HFRS have been registered since 1960s. The outbreaks of the disease occurred in 1986, 1992, 1999, and 2014. Record-breaking as regards the number of cases outbreak was reported in 2019, associated with intensive sub-snow reproduction of the red vole during winter season. Intensive morbidity rate was 109.7 per 100 thousand of the population, which is tens of times higher than the long term average annual values (7.2). Under the given circumstances, a broad range of preventive measures was implemented, including additional monitoring investigations, restrictive, and sanitary-technical activities, outreach campaign, disinfection and deratization. As a result of the measures performed, incidence rates in the first half of 2020 was reduced to 5.7 per 100 thousand of the population. The lessons learned can help to avoid similar events in the region, other constituent entities that are enzootic in terms of this zoonosis. The results obtained should also be taken into account when monitoring other zoonoses relevant to the region, as well as on the territories of other subjects of the Russian Federation.


2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
pp. 30-44
Author(s):  
Ekaterina A. Edinak ◽  
Andrey G. Korovkin ◽  
Ivan B. Korolev

Abstract The article proposes a solution of the task of achieving the target regional population size and structure, which would be sustainable in the long term, by means of managing its movement. The significance of this task is justified by the growing concentration of population and labour in a few number of Russia’s regions in the current and projected periods, primarily due to migration processes. The apparatus of matrix equations is used to shape the conditions for reaching the target size and structure of the population. The article presents the estimates of the equilibrium population of the Russian Federation and the possibilities of reaching the target population size in prospect. The demographic forecast of Rosstat up to 2035 in three variants is considered as a target. For each of variants, the required increase of population via birth and immigration is calculated. The possibilities to assess the need in population inflow and to achieve the target population size by using the methodology proposed in the article are shown by the case of the Far Eastern Federal District. It is argued that nowadays a crucial element of social and economic policy in the regions should be creation of new jobs with higher labour productivity and therefore, reduction of the need for foreign labour migrants in the Russian labour market.


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