Mapping the Spatiotemporal Diversity of Precipitation in Iran
Abstract Despite located in a semi-arid and arid part of the world, Iran enjoys a very diverse climate. As a result, water availability in different regions of the country is in a veil of ambiguity. To have a better insight, we investigate the spatiotemporal diversity of precipitation over the country by analyzing the 33-years long monthly precipitation time series (1983-2016) at 461 measuring rain-gauge stations. Cluster Analysis (CA) both hierarchical and non-hierarchical clustering approaches and Principal Component Analysis (PCA) was used to determine the homogeneous precipitation zones at three macro, meso, and micro-scales. First, the country is divided into six precipitation macro-regions using CA. Each region shows a unique mean annual hyetograph and is influenced by a particular air moisture mass entering the country. Then, the six regions were divided into 10 regions of meso-resolution through Hierarchical clustering (HC) and K-Means Clustering. Finally, an optimal number of 24 micro-zones is established that reflect a comprehensive precipitation map over the country, employing PCA, Hierarchical clustering, and K-Means Clustering. The annual hyetograph of each zone showed a unique pattern and distribution with a varying magnitude of monthly precipitation compared to others. The long-term (i.e., 33-years) mean annual rainfall in each region and zone is calculated, and the monthly and annual-precipitation water availability in the country is estimated. The result gives an accurate insight into the amount of precipitation that is expected to fall in each zone during each month of the year, that may be used as the reference for the prediction of the dry and wet seasons and years and also for the allocation of the harvested precipitation water to different consumptive sectors. The result shows that the Hierarchical clustering and PCA have significant classification performance in meso and micro- climatological zoning. Also, it was observed that there are significant similarities between the PCA and Hierarchical clustering (Ward’s method-Pearson correlation) results in micro-climatological zoning.