scholarly journals COVID-19 Forecasting using Multivariate Linear Regression

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Suganya ◽  
R.Arunadevi ◽  
Seyed M.Buhari

Abstract Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is an infectious disease caused by severe respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). It was first identified in December 2019 in Wuhan, the capital of China’s Hubei province. The objective of this research is to propose a forecasting model using the COVID-19 available dataset from top affected regions across the world using machine learning algorithms. Machine Learning algorithms help us achieve this objective. Regression models are one of the supervised machine learning techniques to classify large-scale data. This research aims to apply Multivariate Linear Regression to predict the number of confirmed and death COVID-19 cases for a span of one and two weeks. The experimental results explain 99\% variability in prediction with the R-squared statistics scores of 0.992. The algorithms are evaluated using the error matrix such as Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), and accuracy for top affected regions across the world.

Author(s):  
M. M. Ata ◽  
K. M. Elgamily ◽  
M. A. Mohamed

The presented paper proposes an algorithm for palmprint recognition using seven different machine learning algorithms. First of all, we have proposed a region of interest (ROI) extraction methodology which is a two key points technique. Secondly, we have performed some image enhancement techniques such as edge detection and morphological operations in order to make the ROI image more suitable for the Hough transform. In addition, we have applied the Hough transform in order to extract all the possible principle lines on the ROI images. We have extracted the most salient morphological features of those lines; slope and length. Furthermore, we have applied the invariant moments algorithm in order to produce 7 appropriate hues of interest. Finally, after performing a complete hybrid feature vectors, we have applied different machine learning algorithms in order to recognize palmprints effectively. Recognition accuracy have been tested by calculating precision, sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, dice, Jaccard coefficients, correlation coefficients, and training time. Seven different supervised machine learning algorithms have been implemented and utilized. The effect of forming the proposed hybrid feature vectors between Hough transform and Invariant moment have been utilized and tested. Experimental results show that the feed forward neural network with back propagation has achieved about 99.99% recognition accuracy among all tested machine learning techniques.


The advancement in cyber-attack technologies have ushered in various new attacks which are difficult to detect using traditional intrusion detection systems (IDS).Existing IDS are trained to detect known patterns because of which newer attacks bypass the current IDS and go undetected. In this paper, a two level framework is proposed which can be used to detect unknown new attacks using machine learning techniques. In the first level the known types of classes for attacks are determined using supervised machine learning algorithms such as Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Neural networks (NN). The second level uses unsupervised machine learning algorithms such as K-means. The experimentation is carried out with four models with NSL- KDD dataset in Openstack cloud environment. The Model with Support Vector Machine for supervised machine learning, Gradual Feature Reduction (GFR) for feature selection and K-means for unsupervised algorithm provided the optimum efficiency of 94.56 %.


Author(s):  
Marcos Ruiz-Álvarez ◽  
Francisco Alonso-Sarría ◽  
Francisco Gomariz-Castillo

Several methods have been tried to estimate air temperature using satellite imagery. In this paper, the results of two machine learning algorithms, Support Vector Machine and Random Forest, are compared with Multivariate Linear Regression, TVX and Ordinary kriging. Several geographic, remote sensing and time variables are used as predictors. The validation is carried out using four different statistics on a daily basis allowing the use of ANOVA to compare the results. The main conclusion is that Random Forest with residual kriging produces the best results (R$^2$=0.612 $\pm$ 0.019, NSE=0.578 $\pm$ 0.025, RMSE=1.068 $\pm$ 0.027, PBIAS=-0.172 $\pm$ 0.046), whereas TVX produces the least accurate results. The environmental conditions in the study area are not really suited to TVX, moreover this method only takes into account satellite data. On the other hand, regression methods (Support Vector Machine, Random Forest and Multivariate Linear Regression) use several parameters that are easily calculated from a Digital Elevation Model, adding very little difficulty to the use of satellite data alone. The most important variables in the Random Forest Model were satellite temperature, potential irradiation and cdayt, a cosine transformation of the julian day.


Geophysics ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 84 (1) ◽  
pp. V67-V79 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yazeed Alaudah ◽  
Motaz Alfarraj ◽  
Ghassan AlRegib

Recently, there has been significant interest in various supervised machine learning techniques that can help reduce the time and effort consumed by manual interpretation workflows. However, most successful supervised machine learning algorithms require huge amounts of annotated training data. Obtaining these labels for large seismic volumes is a very time-consuming and laborious task. We have addressed this problem by presenting a weakly supervised approach for predicting the labels of various seismic structures. By having an interpreter select a very small number of exemplar images for every class of subsurface structures, we use a novel similarity-based retrieval technique to extract thousands of images that contain similar subsurface structures from the seismic volume. By assuming that similar images belong to the same class, we obtain thousands of image-level labels for these images; we validate this assumption. We have evaluated a novel weakly supervised algorithm for mapping these rough image-level labels into more accurate pixel-level labels that localize the different subsurface structures within the image. This approach dramatically simplifies the process of obtaining labeled data for training supervised machine learning algorithms on seismic interpretation tasks. Using our method, we generate thousands of automatically labeled images from the Netherlands Offshore F3 block with reasonably accurate pixel-level labels. We believe that this work will allow for more advances in machine learning-enabled seismic interpretation.


Author(s):  
Inssaf El Guabassi ◽  
Zakaria Bousalem ◽  
Rim Marah ◽  
Aimad Qazdar

In recent years, the world's population is increasingly demanding to predict the future with certainty, predicting the right information in any area is becoming a necessity. One of the ways to predict the future with certainty is to determine the possible future. In this sense, machine learning is a way to analyze huge datasets to make strong predictions or decisions. The main objective of this research work is to build a predictive model for evaluating students’ performance. Hence, the contributions are threefold. The first is to apply several supervised machine learning algorithms (i.e. ANCOVA, Logistic Regression, Support Vector Regression, Log-linear Regression, Decision Tree Regression, Random Forest Regression, and Partial Least Squares Regression) on our education dataset. The second purpose is to compare and evaluate algorithms used to create a predictive model based on various evaluation metrics. The last purpose is to determine the most important factors that influence the success or failure of the students. The experimental results showed that the Log-linear Regression provides a better prediction as well as the behavioral factors that influence students’ performance.


Artificial intelligence is the technology that lets a machine mimic the thinking ability of a human being. Machine learning is the subset of AI, that makes this machine exhibit human behavior by making it learn from the known data, without the need of explicitly programming it. The health care sector has adopted this technology, for the development of medical procedures, maintaining huge patient’s records, assist physicians in the prediction, detection, and treatment of diseases and many more. In this paper, a comparative study of six supervised machine learning algorithms namely Logistic Regression(LR),support vector machine(SVM),Decision Tree(DT).Random Forest(RF),k-nearest neighbor(k-NN),Naive Bayes (NB) are made for the classification and prediction of diseases. Result shows out of compared supervised learning algorithms here, logistic regression is performing best with an accuracy of 81.4 % and the least performing is k-NN with just an accuracy of 69.01% in the classification and prediction of diseases.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Laura Crocetti ◽  
Matthias Schartner ◽  
Benedikt Soja

<p>Earthquakes are natural hazards that occur suddenly and without much notice. The most established method of detecting earthquakes is to use a network of seismometers. Nowadays, station positions of the global navigation satellite system (GNSS) can be determined with a high accuracy of a few centimetres or even millimetres. This high accuracy, together with the dense global coverage, makes it possible to also use GNSS station networks to investigate geophysical phenomena such as earthquakes. Absolute ground movements caused by earthquakes are reflected in the GNSS station coordinate time series and can be characterised using statistical methods or machine learning techniques.</p><p>In this work, we have used thousands of time series of GNSS station positions distributed all over the world to detect and classify earthquakes. We apply a variety of machine learning algorithms that enable large-scale processing of the time series in order to identify spatio-temporal patterns. Several machine learning algorithms, including Random Forest, Nearest Neighbours, and Multi-Layer Perceptron, are compared against each other, as well as against classical statistical methods, based on their performance on detecting earthquakes from the station coordinate time series.</p>


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 66-74
Author(s):  
Hezha M.Tareq Abdulhadi ◽  
Hardi Sabah Talabani

Thoracic surgery refers to the information gathered for the patients who have to suffer from lung cancer. Various machine learning techniques were employed in post-operative life expectancy to predict lung cancer patients. In this study, we have used the most famous and influential supervised machine learning algorithms, which are J48, Naïve Bayes, Multilayer Perceptron, and Random Forest (RF). Then, two ranker feature selections, information gain and gain ratio, were used on the thoracic surgery dataset to examine and explore the effect of used ranker feature selections on the machine learning classifiers. The dataset was collected from the Wroclaw University in UCI repository website. We have done two experiments to show the performances of the supervised classifiers on the dataset with and without employing the ranker feature selection. The obtained results with the ranker feature selections showed that J48, NB, and MLP’s accuracy improved, whereas RF accuracy decreased and support vector machine remained stable.


Sentiment analysis is the classifying of a review, opinion or a statement into categories, which brings clarity about specific sentiments of customers or the concerned group to businesses and developers. These categorized data are very critical to the development of businesses and understanding the public opinion. The need for accurate opinion and large-scale sentiment analysis on social media platforms is growing day by day. In this paper, a number of machine learning algorithms are trained and applied on twitter datasets and their respective accuracies are determined separately on different polarities of data, thereby giving a glimpse to which algorithm works best and which works worst..


Author(s):  
Iqbal H. Sarker

In the current age of the Fourth Industrial Revolution ($4IR$ or Industry $4.0$), the digital world has a wealth of data, such as Internet of Things (IoT) data, cybersecurity data, mobile data, business data, social media data, health data, etc. To intelligently analyze these data and develop the corresponding real-world applications, the knowledge of artificial intelligence (AI), particularly, machine learning (ML) is the key. Various types of machine learning algorithms such as supervised, unsupervised, semi-supervised, and reinforcement learning exist in the area. Besides, the deep learning, which is part of a broader family of machine learning methods, can intelligently analyze the data on a large scale. In this paper, we present a comprehensive view on these machine learning algorithms that can be applied to enhance the intelligence and the capabilities of an application. Thus, this study's key contribution is explaining the principles of different machine learning techniques and their applicability in various real-world applications areas, such as cybersecurity, smart cities, healthcare, business, agriculture, and many more. We also highlight the challenges and potential research directions based on our study. Overall, this paper aims to serve as a reference point for not only the application developers but also the decision-makers and researchers in various real-world application areas, particularly from the technical point of view.


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