scholarly journals Investment behavior of short-term versus long-term individual investors of PAN India – An empirical study

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 223-233
Author(s):  
Kannadas S.
Keyword(s):  
Risk Taking ◽  
Investment Decisions ◽  
Behavioral Approach ◽  
Individual Investors ◽  
Investment Behavior ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Investment Activity ◽  
Risk Return ◽  
Risk Appetite

Investment activity, followed by household and external savings, often plays a decisive role in strengthening the financial status of individual investors, as it contributes to further increases in wealth. This study analyzes the investors’ investment motives and actions to find better investment strategies and to do a systematic review of the investment behavior available for both short- and long-term individual investors. The study is mainly focused on factors and priorities influencing investment decisions. The data were obtained using the questionnaire approach from 201 individual investors within the age group from 18 to 80 from different parts of India. Every individual investor’s risk-tolerant score has been calculated on the basis of the investors’ holistic behavior, namely, investors with high-risk appetite, investors with a moderate and low-risk appetite. Non-parametric tests are applied to evaluate the behavioral approach of investors that are differently correlated to these factors. T-test is used to distinguish between the population mean of short-term and long-term investors’ risk-taking ability and priority of safeguarding the principal over return preference, rather than identified investment factors. As a result of the study, the factors influencing the investors’ decisions were found: income level, market participation experience and risk-return proportions, rather than age, gender, risk-taking ability and investment priority. This study enhances the existing literature by analyzing income, risk-return proportion and investment experience factors that influence investment decisions.

Does salience matter in investment decision?

Kybernetes ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 48 (8) ◽  
pp. 1894-1912
Author(s):  
Samra Chaudary
Keyword(s):  
Investment Decision ◽  
Investment Decisions ◽  
Equation Modeling ◽  
Individual Investors ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Multigroup Analysis ◽  
Money Managers ◽  
The Impact

Purpose The paper takes a behavioral approach by making use of the prospect theory to unveil the impact of salience on short-term and long-term investment decisions. This paper aims to investigate the group differences for two types of investors’ groups, i.e. individual investors and professional investors. Design/methodology/approach The study uses partial least square-based structural equation modeling technique, measurement invariance test and multigroup analysis test on a unique data set of 277 active equity traders which included professional money managers and individual investors. Findings Results showed that salience has a significant positive impact on both short-term and long-term investment decisions. The impact was almost 1.5 times higher for long-term investment decision as compared to short-term decision. Furthermore, multigroup analysis revealed that the two groups (individual investors and professional investors) were statistically significantly different from each other. Research limitations/implications The study has implications for financial regulators, money managers and individual investors as it was found that individual investors suffer more with salience heuristic and may end up with sub-optimal portfolios due to inefficient diversification. Thus, investors should be cautious in fully relying on salience and avoid such bias to improve investment returns. Practical implications The study concludes with a discussion of policy and regulatory implications on how to minimize salience bias to achieve optimum and diversified portfolios. Originality/value The study has significantly contributed to the growing body of applied behavioral research in the discipline of finance.

scholarly journals Short-Term Exuberance and Long-Term Stability: A Simultaneous Optimization of Stock Return Predictions for Short and Long Horizons

Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (6) ◽  
pp. 620
Author(s):  
Ioannis Kyriakou ◽  
Parastoo Mousavi ◽  
Jens Perch Nielsen ◽  
Michael Scholz
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Simultaneous Optimization ◽  
Investment Risk ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Fundamental Interest ◽  
Long Term Stability ◽  
Risk Appetite ◽  
Short And Long Term ◽  
Excess Stock Returns

The fundamental interest of investors in econometric modeling for excess stock returns usually focuses either on short- or long-term predictions to individually reduce the investment risk. In this paper, we present a new and simple model that contemporaneously accounts for short- and long-term predictions. By combining the different horizons, we exploit the lower long-term variance to further reduce the short-term variance, which is susceptible to speculative exuberance. As a consequence, the long-term pension-saver avoids an over-conservative portfolio with implied potential upside reductions given their optimal risk appetite. Different combinations of short and long horizons as well as definitions of excess returns, for example, concerning the traditional short-term interest rate but also the inflation, are easily accommodated in our model.

Wohin Rubel und Euro fließen

2018 ◽  
Vol 59 (4) ◽  
pp. 22-28
Author(s):  
Björn P. Jacobsen ◽  
Nelly Kozlova
Keyword(s):  
Direct Investment ◽  
Home Country ◽  
Investment Behavior ◽  
Investment Activity ◽  
Trade Relations ◽  
Doing Business ◽  
Import And Export ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
German Investment

Abstract Es gibt sie – langfristige russische Direktinvestitionen in Deutschland, wie die von Ilim Timber. Ursprünglich wollte das St. Petersburger Forstprodukteunternehmen nur deutsche Maschinen für eine neue Produktionsstätte in Russland kaufen und entschied sich dann dazu, zwei komplette Sägewerke in Wismar und Landsberg zu übernehmen (Tepavcevic, 2013) – oder die des Investors und Vorsitzenden der Sankt Petersburger Kirov-Werke Georgi Semenenko in Rostock (Mangler, 2017). Sie dienen nicht – wie oftmals bei russischen Investitionen in Deutschland unterstellt – der Kapital- oder Systemflucht, sondern werden aus strategischen Überlegungen heraus präzise geplant und erweisen sich als ökonomisch nachhaltig. Und umgekehrt gibt es auch die deutschen Erfolgsgeschichten in Russland, wie die von Pobeda Knauf, von Siemens Gas Turbine Technologies – einem Gemeinschaftsunternehmen der Siemens AG und der russischen Power Machines zur Produktion von Gasturbinen –, der Robert Bosch GmbH, von Mustang Neva im Bereich der Textilherstellung oder der Beteiligung von Henkel an der ERA AG in Tosno, die Wasch-, Reinigungs- und Scheuermittel sowie Kosmetika herstellt. Aber das wirtschaftspolitische Umfeld wird rauer. Ein Indikator dafür sind neben den kurzfristig reagierenden Import- und Exportzahlen vor allem die auf Langfristigkeit und Verlässlichkeit fußenden Investitionen russischer Unternehmen in Deutschland sowie deutscher Unternehmen in Russland. Der „Russian Investment Monitor“ der Hochschule Stralsund sowie der „German Investment Monitor“ der Polytechnischen Hochschule „Peter der Große“ in Sankt Petersburg ermöglichen eine fundierte Analyse und dienen als zuverlässiges Barometer der deutsch-russischen Wirtschaftsbeziehungen. When analyzing the long-term trade relations between two countries, import and export data are of limited help. Here the direct investment behavior is a much better indicator. However, direct investment figures entirely based on the stocks of investment are open to interpretation and might be even misleading. This is where the “Russian Investment Monitor” in Germany and the “German Investment Monitor” in Russia is of help. Analyzing investment behavior on the company level reveals the trust investors assign to their home country and the host country. Russian investments in Germany seem to be declining with China taking over the lead. Moreover, the Russian investments in Germany seem to a large part be motivated by capital flight rather than by traditional investment motives. However, exceptions to the rule exist. On the other hand, German investments in the Russian Federation seem to be more strategic and economically sustainable although the challenging political environment has reduced the German investment activity in Russia and opened the door to increasing Chinese direct investments. In summary, the German-Russian investment relations seem to be at the crossroads. Keywords: quot doing business ranking quot, investitionsverhalten, investitionstätigkeit, effizienzerhöhung, direktinvestitionen

scholarly journals The Main Drivers for Sustainable Decisions in a Family Business That Impact the Company’s Performance

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (20) ◽  
pp. 8659
Author(s):  
Adriana Cioca ◽  
Kassam Wehbe ◽  
Delia Popescu ◽  
Constanta Popescu
Keyword(s):  
Human Resources ◽  
Family Business ◽  
Investment Decisions ◽  
Family Businesses ◽  
Economic Sustainability ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Sustainable Performance ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Good Operation

The successful ways in which families have conducted their businesses decade after decade have drawn scholars’ attention to what the mainstream ideas are when it comes to making sustainable decisions. This article focuses on the main drivers behind sustainable decisions made by family businesses with respect to three pillars: economic, environmental, and social. In this context, the authors’ aim is to present a statistical model for forecasting companies’ future revenue in the next financial year by analyzing the relationship between the main internal drivers of family businesses and their corresponding financial objectives. Additionally, the analysis of the long-term strategy and the short-term actions indicates an understanding of environmental awareness. Reaction time in investment decisions represents a challenge for the sustainable performance of family companies. Human resources with good operation management in family businesses contribute to the assurance of long-term business stability and high returns on investments. The results will contribute to the literature on economic sustainability of family businesses.

Brazil faces stagnation risk in 2017

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Government Spending ◽  
Pension Reform ◽  
Investment Decisions ◽  
Fiscal Crisis ◽  
New Wave ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Business Investment ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Government

Subject The risk that the Brazilian economy will stagnate, rather than recover, this year. Significance The recent passage of legislation freezing government spending and the ambitious pension reform currently under discussion in Congress are the flagship policies of the government of President Michel Temer. Both seek to defuse Brazil’s fiscal time bomb in the long term. However, they offer little support to immediate expansion in an economy that not only has been in recession since the second quarter of 2014 but is also locked in a low-growth trap will few apparent short-term escape routes. Impacts Popular dissatisfaction may trigger a new wave of demonstrations, further weakening the government. As long as the fiscal crisis persists, the government’s ability to stimulate the economy will be limited. Political risk will be a crucial factor in business investment decisions in Brazil.

An Analysis of Restaurant Characteristics and Meal Prices in Melbourne, Australia

1996 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 79-93 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pemasiri J. Gunawardana ◽  
Inka I. Havrila
Keyword(s):  
Investment Decisions ◽  
Marketing Strategies ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Function Approach ◽  
Hedonic Price ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Hedonic Price Function ◽  
Price Functions ◽  
Restaurant Meals

This paper applies the hedonic price function approach to identify and estimate the variations in meal prices according to various characteristics of a sample of restaurants in Melbourne, Australia. The estimated hedonic price functions have important implications for restaurant marketing strategies and provide useful information to customers, and may serve to improve the efficiency in the market for restaurant dining. From the point of view of restaurant operators, the results indicate how short-term and long-term investment decisions may be made to impart particular characteristics. From the perspective of customers, the results provide information on price premia and discounts for restaurant meals according to each of the characteristics, including locations.

scholarly journals Regulação ineficaz para forçar alongamento: O caso da Previdência Complementar Aberta no Brasil

2019 ◽  
Vol 17 (4) ◽  
pp. 33
Author(s):  
Luiz Guilherme Carpizo ◽  
Márcio Gomes Pinto Garcia
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Portfolio Management ◽  
Risk Taking ◽  
Causal Effect ◽  
Portfolio Allocation ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Additional Risk ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Impact

<p>Despite the fall in the interest rate observed in Brazil in recent decades, and specific regulations on the private pension segment that encourage long-term risk taking, institutions in this segment appear to be considerably sensitive to short-term factors, while avoiding exposure to long-term risk factors. With portfolio allocation data from large entities, we implemented a VAR model to evaluate the impact of interest rate changes on portfolio management decisions and performed a counterfactual analysis to define the causal effect of regulation on additional risk taking. Results indicate that interest rate increases lead to significant and persistent reduction of investment in riskier assets with longer maturities, while the implemented regulation was not able to force greater risk-taking by institutions, in addition to generating distortions in segments of the Brazilian financial market.</p>

Does underconfidence matter in short-term and long-term investment decisions? Evidence from an emerging market

2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Maqsood Ahmad
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Investment Decision ◽  
Investment Decisions ◽  
Investment Strategies ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Investment Decision Making

PurposeThe purpose of this article is to clarify the mechanism by which underconfidence heuristic-driven bias influences the short-term and long-term investment decisions of individual investors, actively trading on the Pakistan Stock Exchange.Design/methodology/approachInvestors' underconfidence has been measured using a questionnaire, comprising numerous items, including indicators of short-term and long-term investment decision. In order to establish the influence of underconfidence on the investment decisions in both the short and long run, a 5-point Likert scale questionnaire has been used to collect data from the sample of 203 investors. The collected data were analyzed using SPSS and AMOS graphics software. Hypotheses were tested using structural equation modeling technique.FindingsThis article provides further empirical insights into the relationship between heuristic-driven biases and investment decision-making in the short and long run. The results suggest that underconfidence bias has a markedly negative influence on the short-term and long-term decisions made by investors in developing markets. It means that heuristic-driven biases can impair the quality of both short-term and long-term investment decisions.Practical implicationsThis article encourages investors to avoid relying on cognitive heuristics, namely, underconfidence or their feelings when making short-term and long-term investment strategies. It provides awareness and understanding of heuristic-driven biases in investment management, which could be very useful for finance practitioners' such as investor who plays at the stock exchange, a portfolio manager, a financial strategist/advisor in an investment firm, a financial planner, an investment banker, a trader/broker at the stock exchange or a financial analyst. But most importantly, the term also includes all those persons who manage corporate entities and are responsible for making its financial management strategies. They can improve the quality of their decision-making by recognizing their behavioral biases and errors of judgment, to which we are all prone, resulting in more appropriate investment strategies.Originality/valueThe current study is the first to focus on links between underconfidence bias and short-term and long-term investment decision-making. This article enhanced the understanding of the role that heuristic-driven bias plays in the investment management and more importantly, it went some way toward enhancing understanding of behavioral aspects and their influence on the investment decision-making in an emerging market. It also adds to the literature in the area of behavioral finance specifically the role of heuristics in investment strategies; this field is in its initial stage, even in developed countries, while, in developing countries, little work has been done.

Corporate risk-taking with long-term, short-term and subordinate credit ratings

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dror Parnes
Keyword(s):  
Risk Taking ◽  
Design Methodology ◽  
Credit Ratings ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Interaction Terms ◽  
Domestic Credit ◽  
Lag Variables ◽  
Corporate Risk

PurposeThis study empirically examines, from the first quarter of 1981 until the fourth quarter of 2017, the relations across customary domestic issuer credit ratings (long-term, short-term and subordinate) and three popular corporate risk-taking measurements (the variability of operating profitability, net profitability, and research and development expenses).Design/methodology/approachThe author deploys categorical regressions and robustness tests with control variables, interaction terms, fixed effect variables, lag variables and delta variables.FindingsThe author documents that both short-term and subordinate domestic credit ratings are key determinants of the volatility of operating profitability. The author also identifies long-term credit ratings as secondary factors, yet they do affect broader corporate risk-taking behavioral features (along all three measurements). Furthermore, the author finds that the higher (lower) the credit ratings assigned, i.e. the superior (inferior) the credit quality externally judged, the more (less) overall risk firms tend to undertake.Originality/valueIt is the first research to examine both the inclusive influence and the granular effects of credit ratings on corporate risk-taking (CRT) behavior. It is also the only enquiry to inspect the specific relationships along three types of domestic issuer credit ratings: long-term, short-term and subordinate ratings.

scholarly journals The Triad of Risk-Related Behaviors (TriRB): A Three-Dimensional Model of Cyber Risk Taking

2018 ◽  
Vol 60 (8) ◽  
pp. 1163-1178 ◽  
Author(s):  
Noam Ben-Asher ◽  
Joachim Meyer
Keyword(s):  
Risk Taking ◽  
Three Dimensional ◽  
Three Dimensional Model ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Targeted Interventions ◽  
Protective Actions ◽  
Alerting System ◽  
Tactical Decisions ◽  
Cyber Risk

Objective: We identify three risk-related behaviors in coping with cyber threats—the exposure to risk a person chooses, use of security features, and responses to security indications. The combinations of behaviors that users choose determine how well they cope with threats and the severity of adverse events they experience. Background: End users’ coping with risks is a major factor in cybersecurity. This behavior results from a combination of risk-related behaviors rather than from a single risk-taking tendency. Method: In two experiments, participants played a Tetris-like game, attempting to maximize their gains, while exogenous occasional attacks could diminish earnings. An alerting system provided indications about possible attacks, and participants could take protective actions to limit the losses from attacks. Results: Variables such as the costs of protective actions, reliability of the alerting system, and attack severity affected the three behaviors differently. Also, users dynamically adjusted each of the three risk-related behaviors after gaining experience with the system. Conclusion: The results demonstrate that users’ risk taking is the complex combination of three behaviors rather than the expression of a general risk-taking tendency. The use of security features, exposure to risk, and responses to security indications reflect long-term strategy, short-term tactical decisions, and immediate maneuvering in coping with risks in dynamic environments. Application: The results have implications for the analysis of cybersecurity-related decisions and actions as well as for the evaluation and design of systems and targeted interventions in other domains.

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