scholarly journals Protectionism and non-resource economic growth: Evidence from Azerbaijan

2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 121-129
Author(s):  
İlgar Seyfullayev
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Modern World ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Protective Measures ◽  
Study Results ◽  
Regulatory Measures ◽  
A Priority ◽  
Oil Sector ◽  
Oil Revenues ◽  
The Impact

In the modern world, many developing countries take protective measures to develop domestic industries and diversify their economies to ensure economic sustainability. This issue is a priority, especially in those countries where economic development is provided mainly through the export of natural resources. This article aims to assess the impact of protectionist measures on the development of non-resource sectors of the economy. The object of the study is the non-oil sector of the Azerbaijani economy, where oil revenues account for over 80% of the country’s total exports. The study covers the 2005–2019 years. Granger Causality test in the VAR environment was used to identify and assess the causal relationship between protectionist measures and the non-oil sector development. It was revealed that such indicators as “customs revenues” and “exchange rate” do not increase non-oil GDP. The study results suggest that increasing the effectiveness of protectionism (in terms of economic growth) requires more reasonable and consistent regulatory measures. Targeting priority sectors and establishing monitoring mechanisms on the results of protectionist measures is also a priority for assessing their feasibility.

scholarly journals Empirical Investigation of Capital Flight and Illicit Financial Flows, Economic Growth in Palestine

2019 ◽  
pp. 1-15
Author(s):  
Nemer Badwan ◽  
Mohammed Atta
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
The State ◽  
Balance Of Payments ◽  
Capital Flight ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Financial Flows ◽  
Study Results ◽  
Illicit Financial Flows ◽  
The Impact

In the present study was to verify the relationship between capital flight and illicit financial flows, exhibiting the impact of stable economic growth in Palestine during the period (2009-2018). We also use models of the balance of payments of the State, the study results showed that the total illicit financial flows, about $14.42 million annually, 16.4% of GDP. In addition, through the application of the net omissions and style error in the balance of payments and expenditures, the total capital flight estimated at $26.61 million, 19.6% of GDP. The Granger causality test shows that economic growth granger causes both the illicit financial flows and the capital flight. The study also found that there is a negative and significant relationship between economic growth and capital flight. Furthermore, there is a positive relationship between illicit financial flows and capital flight. We have examined theory (Granger) causality, which shows that economic growth causes all of the illegal financial flows and capital flight. The study showed also negative correlation and significant between economic growth and capital flight. Besides, it can be this relationship is negative between illicit financial flows and capital flight. This relationship can be detailed in this research. It seems this experimental investigation is also a strong relationship and engagement between capital flight and financial flows from the standpoint of their impact on economic growth in Palestine. It can be summarized in the study that the process of capital flows and capital flight represent an important role in raising the rate of economic recovery in the country and that the flow of capital within the state is one of the most important factors for national economic growth.

scholarly journals The impact of Tourism Industry on Economic Growth: the case of Algeria (cointegration & causal analysis)

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
pp. 10-26
Author(s):  
Boumedyen Taibi ◽  
Khadidja Lamri
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Tourism Industry ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Research Document ◽  
Oil Revenues ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Cointegration Relationship

The objective of this research document is to analyze the relationship between tourism and economic growth in Algeria during the period 1995-2018. To this end, an economic model was estimated according to the econometric methodology (cointegration relationship test and vector error correction model “VECM” in addition to the Granger causality test). The results showed that the number of tourists has a negative impact on economic growth in Algeria, which means that Algeria depends on other variables to increase economic growth, such as oil revenues. JEL Codes: C1, O4,  Z32.

scholarly journals The drivers of economic growth in China and India: globalization or financial development?

2017 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 54-84 ◽  
Author(s):  
Magda Kandil ◽  
Muhammad Shahbaz ◽  
Mantu Kumar Mahalik ◽  
Duc Khuong Nguyen
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Test Results ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Content Type ◽  
China And India ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
The Impact

Purpose Using annual data from 1970 to 2013 for China and India, this paper aims to examine the impact of globalization and financial development on economic growth by endogenizing capital and inflation and drawing comparisons between the two fastest growing emerging market economies. Design/methodology/approach In the long run, co-integration test results indicate that financial development increases economic growth in China and India. Findings The results also reveal that globalization accelerates economic growth in India but, surprisingly, impairs economic growth in China, as it increases competition for exports. The results furthermore disclose that acceleration in capitalization and inflation, as a proxy for aggregate demand, are positively linked to economic growth in China and India. Originality/value Causality test results indicate that both financial development and economic growth are interdependent. In contrast, causality runs from higher economic growth to increased globalization in India, while the results do not support long-term causality between globalization and economic growth in China.

scholarly journals Higher Education Funding and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Croatia

2020 ◽  
Vol 67 (3) ◽  
pp. 409-421
Author(s):  
Maja Nikšić Radić ◽  
Hana Paleka
Keyword(s):  
Higher Education ◽  
Economic Growth ◽  
Structure Model ◽  
Higher Education Funding ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Economic Growth And Development ◽  
Social And Economic Development ◽  
Sustainable Economic Growth ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Growth Hypothesis

Deprived of investment in education, no country can expect sustainable economic growth and development. Higher education is particularly a priceless tool in today's era of globalization that requires continuous education to keep up with new knowledge. According to UNESCO (2014), higher education is no longer a luxury; it is essential to national, social and economic development. The impact of education on economic growth is possible to observe within the so-called ‘education led growth hypothesis’. The main aim of this paper it to analyse the higher education size and structure, model and financing sources in Croatia and to test the ‘education led growth hypothesis’ on the example of Croatia. The study will apply the Granger causality test to evaluate if there is any causal relationship between investment in higher education and economic growth in Croatia.

scholarly journals Modeling the Impact of Inflation Uncertainty on Food Sector Growth

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammad Reza Eslami ◽  
Ali Akbar Baghestany
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Policy Decision ◽  
Macroeconomic Policies ◽  
Inflation Uncertainty ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Agricultural Growth ◽  
Growth Variability ◽  
Augmented Dickey Fuller ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

Background: One of the most fundamental objectives of the macroeconomic policies is to realize the relationship between economic growth and inflation. According to some monetary policy advisors, inflation reflects erosion in consumer’s purchasing power. Inflation as an important economic variable, affect the economic growth and its impact on economic growth has been proposed in various theories. Agriculture plays an important role in providing the food security in Iran. Methods: A Bivariate GARCH model was employed to investigate the relationship between inflation uncertainty and agricultural growth. Results: The Augmented Dickey Fuller and Phillips Perron tests indicated all variables were stationary. Estimated models were utilized to generate the conditional variances of inflation and agriculture growth as proxies of inflation and growth variability. During the entire period 1990-2012, Bivariate Granger Causality test indicated that inflation uncertainty was the cause of growth in agriculture. This finding was in line with the hypothesis presented by (Logue and Sweeney, 1981). Conclusion: Due to the causality relation of inflation uncertainty and growth in agriculture, macro policy decision-makers are recommended to consider the price policies for improving agricultural production.

scholarly journals The impact of agriculture and renewable energy on climate change in Central and East European Countries

2020 ◽  
Vol 66 (No. 10) ◽  
pp. 447-457
Author(s):  
Nicoleta Mihaela Florea ◽  
Roxana Maria Badircea ◽  
Ramona Costina Pirvu ◽  
Alina Georgiana Manta ◽  
Marius Dalian Doran ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Renewable Energy ◽  
Greenhouse Gas Emissions ◽  
Greenhouse Gas ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Gas Emissions ◽  
The Impact

According to the objectives of the European Union concerning the climate changes, Member States should take all the necessary measures in order to reduce the greenhouse gas emissions. The aim of this study is to identify the causality relations between greenhouse gases emissions, added value from agriculture, renewable energy consumption, and economic growth based on a panel consisting of 11 states from the Central and Eastern Europe (CEECs) in the period between 2000 and 2017. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) method was used to estimate the long-term relationships among the variables. Also a Granger causality test based on the ARDL – Error Correction Model (ECM) and a Pairwise Granger causality test were used to identify the causality relationship and to detect the direction of causality among the variables. The results obtained reveal, in the long term, two bidirectional relationships between agriculture and economic growth and two unidirectional relationships from agriculture to greenhouse gas emissions and renewable energy. In the short term, four unidirectional relationships were found from agriculture to all the variables in the model and one unidirectional relationship from renewable energy to greenhouse gas emissions.

The mediation role of public governance in the relationship between entrepreneurship and economic growth

2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 316-333
Author(s):  
Allam Mohammed Hamdan ◽  
Reem Khamis ◽  
Ammar Abdulla Al Hawaj ◽  
Elisabetta Barone
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
United Arab Emirates ◽  
Entrepreneurial Activity ◽  
Public Governance ◽  
Content Type ◽  
National Economic ◽  
Oil Revenues ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate the mediation role of public governance in the relationship between entrepreneurship and economic growth in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). Design/methodology/approach To achieve this aim, the study uses a 20-year time series analysis (1996–2015) and tests the effect of entrepreneurship on economic growth, through public governance, via a mediator model. Findings The study has determined that public governance buoys the positive effect that entrepreneurship activities exert on economic growth in the UAE. Based on this determination, the study posits a set of recommendations that focus on supporting entrepreneurship activities that play a significant role in economic growth. Originality/value The study adds to the literature on the impact of entrepreneurship on economies dependent on oil revenues vis-à-vis a public policy perspective. The study provides insights into the type of entrepreneurship that most efficaciously suits the Emirati social and cultural milieu in terms of fostering national economic growth. In addition, the study limns a vision of the role of public governance in creating an enabling environment that stimulates entrepreneurial activity and, in turn, increases economic growth in the Emirates.

Contribution of StockMarket Towards Economic Growth: An Empirical Study on Bangladesh Economy

2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 238 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sonia Rezina ◽  
Nusrat Jahan ◽  
Mohitul Ameen Ahmed Mustafi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Market Performance ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Stock Market Performance ◽  
Augmented Dickey Fuller ◽  
Johansen Cointegration Test ◽  
The Impact

The economic growth of a country is influenced by many different factors. This study aims to investigate the causal relationship between stock market development and economic growth in Bangladesh as well as the impact of stock market performance upon the economic growth of Bangladesh. The stock market performance has been measured by market capitalization ratio, number of listed companies, total value traded and turnover ratio; and the economic growth was represented by real gross domestic product. The periods taken for study were from year 1994 to year 2015.The effect of the stock market reform will also be addressed to explain the relationship. The study has been conducted using Augmented Dickey- Fuller Unit Root Test, Johansen Cointegration Test and the Granger Causality Test. The findings of the research should help the policy makers and regulators to look after their interest in the financial sector of the country.

scholarly journals TRADE OPENNESS AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FROM INDIA

2014 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 188-205 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qazi Muhammad Adnan Hye ◽  
Wee-Yeap Lau
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Rolling Window ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

The main objective of this study is to develop first time trade openness index and use this index to examine the link between trade openness and economic growth in case of India. This study employs a new endogenous growth model for theoretical support, auto-regressive distributive lag model and rolling window regression method in order to determine long run and short run association between trade openness and economic growth. Further granger causality test is used to determine the long run and short run causal direction. The results reveal that human capital and physical capital are positively related to economic growth in the long run. On the other hand, trade openness index negatively impacts on economic growth in the long run. The new evidence is provided by the rolling window regression results i.e. the impact of trade openness index on economic growth is not stable throughout the sample. In the short run trade openness index is positively related to economic growth. The result of granger causality test confirms the validity of trade openness-led growth and human capital-led growth hypothesis in the short run and long run.

scholarly journals An analysis of the impact of non-oil exports on economic growth: Evidence from Nigeria

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 15-23
Author(s):  
Lawali Bello Zoramawa ◽  
Machief Paul Ezekiel ◽  
Salisu Umar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Global Market ◽  
Agricultural Export ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Oil Exports ◽  
Oil Export ◽  
Oil Sector ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Bound Test ◽  
Ardl Bound Test

The study assessed the contribution of the non-oil sector to the economic growth in Nigeria between the periods 1981 and 2019. The study employed the ARDL bound test for cointegration to analyze the direction among the variables under review. The results of the analysis revealed that there is a negative and statistically significant relationship between non-oil exports (NOE) and economic growth (RGDP) in Nigeria during the period under investigation in the long-run for Manufacturing (MANX), solid mineral(SOLX) except for Agricultural export (AGRX). There is also a bidirectional causal relationship between non-oil exports and economic growth in Nigeria during the same period. The study, therefore recommended that the Nigerian government and other stakeholders should make a country’s non-oil export commodities more attractive and competitive in the global market which will prompt the demand for Nigeria’s non-oil goods at the international market.  Keywords: Non-Oil exports, Economic Growth,

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document