Regional comprehensive drought disaster risk dynamic evaluation based on projection pursuit clustering

Water Policy ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 410-428 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yongnan Zhu ◽  
Lei Li ◽  
Yong Zhao ◽  
Zhongmin Liang ◽  
Haihong Li ◽  
...  

Abstract We used system theory to analyze the structure of a regional drought disaster system and separated the drought disaster risk system into three subsystems. These were drought disaster-causing factors, disaster-inducing environments, and disaster-bearing bodies. Analysis of the main factors of these subsystems allowed the establishment of a regional comprehensive drought disaster risk evaluation index system. To simultaneously evaluate the distribution and development trends of the regional comprehensive drought disaster risk, we established a dynamic evaluation model. Based on the ideas of the projection pursuit clustering method and the dynamic comprehensive evaluation method, the model can make use of multi-dimensional space–time drought disaster information. The model was applied to evaluate comprehensive drought disaster risk in the Xuzhou region, China. The evaluation results show that the method was able to illustrate the development trend and distribution of the comprehensive drought disaster risk in the Xuzhou region. The clustering zoning results show that Pizhou City is the area with the highest risk in Xuzhou, while Fengxian has the lowest. The development trend of comprehensive drought disaster risk with time is not significant.

2013 ◽  
Vol 385-386 ◽  
pp. 392-395
Author(s):  
Jiang Hong Zhen

Based on the concept of ecological civilization construction, the paper constructs a comprehensive evaluation index system, standard and model of ecological civilization construction. Using Analytical Hierarchy Process based on Entropy Technical and Grey Correlation Method, the paper calculates and analyzes the ecological civilization construction level of Inner Mongolia during 1990 to 2010. The results show: The ecological civilization construction level in Inner Mongolia rises ceaselessly since 1990 and it is in the intermediate stage at present. The development speed of ecological civilization construction has stage characteristics during the study period and it has entered the period of accelerated development since 2003. But the development trend of each component index of ecological civilization construction is not the same. Ecological environment, ecological security and ecological economic index improved significantly, while ecological social and ecological culture construction level is relatively low and develop slowly.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Songjia Zhang ◽  
Weiyang Yu ◽  
Teng Chen

The environmental quality of the ecological protection zone directly affects the water quality and air quality of the area, thereby affecting the quality of people’s life. This paper constructs the evaluation index system of the environmental quality of the ecological protection area and determines the classification standards of each index, proposes the extension evaluation method of the environmental quality of the ecological protection area, and uses the entropy weight method to determine the weight of each level of index. Its purpose is to understand the development trend of environmental quality in all aspects of the ecological reserve through the dynamic evaluation of the environmental quality of the ecological reserve, so as to take corresponding countermeasures to promote the healthy development of the area. The constructed model was used to dynamically evaluate the environmental quality of the ecological reserve in Zhangjiakou City from 2008 to 2019. The research results show that the environmental quality gaps in different aspects of the ecological reserve of Zhangjiakou City are relatively large, and the overall regional ecological environment characteristic value is decreasing year by year, reflecting that the environmental quality of the ecological reserve of the region is getting better year by year.


2013 ◽  
Vol 859 ◽  
pp. 511-514 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jing Jing Wan ◽  
Ying Hua Song

This paper has put forward a comprehensive assessment model of the emergency management capability of the coal mine accidents which is based on AHP and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, and has made an empirical analysis. Firstly, the meaning and the key contents of the emergency management capability of coal mine accidents was elaborated. Secondly, the comprehensive evaluation index system of coal mine accidents emergency management capability was established. And then, the first class index weights were determined by AHP. Finally, this paper made a comprehensive evaluation of a certain regions emergency management capability of coal mine accidents by means of the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation.


Forests ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (11) ◽  
pp. 1526
Author(s):  
Honghong Yu ◽  
Jiameng Yang ◽  
Mengyuan Qiu ◽  
Zhiyong (John) Liu

Under the background of China’s proposal to achieve “carbon neutralization and carbon peak”, it is an important task for each province to clarify their forest ecological security (FES) status. However, there is little understanding of the temporal and spatial evolution of forest ecological security and its influencing factors. Based on the Pressure-State-Response (PSR) model, this paper constructed a comprehensive evaluation index system for forest ecological security and used the CRITIC method and panel data to estimate the dynamic changes in FES for 31 provinces in China (excluding Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan) between 2009 and 2018. Furthermore, the obstacle degree model was used to determine the important obstacle factors affecting FES. The results showed that: (1) The comprehensive indices of FES of most provinces in mainland China were increasing, showing a good development trend during the study period; (2) subject to the limitations of resources and economic conditions, the FES at the provincial level showed significant spatial heterogeneity, which generally presents a distribution characteristic of “low in the western region and high in the central and eastern regions”; and (3) the primary obstacles restricting the improvement of FES level in most provinces of China were forest state indicators or input response indicators, followed by pressure indicators. Therefore, it is recommended to take targeted measures to reduce the intensity of forest cutting and the incidence of forest disasters, improve the utilization efficiency of forest resources, the productivity of forestland and the input-output level of forestry industry, and strengthen the training of professional talents and technical input according to the resource endowment condition of each province so as to improve the level of forest ecological security.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Lili Wan ◽  
Qiuping Peng ◽  
Tianci Zhang ◽  
Zhan Wang ◽  
Yong Tian

In order to clarify the comprehensive operational capabilities of the airport and better plan the sustainable development mode of the airport, this paper studies the evaluation method of airport environmental carrying capacity. First, this paper proposes the concept of airport environmental carrying capacity by taking into account the complex characteristics of airports affected by multiple factors and then selects 16 representative evaluation indicators to construct an indicator system based on the Driving Force-Pressure-State-Response (DPSR) framework. Finally, the accelerated genetic algorithm-projection pursuit model is established to model a comprehensive evaluation index, which is used to calculate the airport environmental carrying capacity (AECC). The results of the case study show that the AECC of Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport (CAN) decreased year by year from 2008 to 2017, which is in line with the coordinated development level of CAN. By analysing the changing mechanism of AECC and indicators, we get 6 key influencing indicators that led to the continuous decline of AECC and put forward some political suggestions to improve the AECC.


2014 ◽  
Vol 638-640 ◽  
pp. 2446-2449 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bo Liu ◽  
Ju Qin Shen ◽  
Gao Yan Xu ◽  
Liang Tang ◽  
Zi Lin Xu ◽  
...  

With the aim to improve the controlling efficiency of engineering project, this essay probes into the comprehensive evaluation of controlling efficiency of engineering project and put forward scientific comprehensive evaluation method to provide support to reasonable comprehensive evaluation of controlling efficiency of engineering project. Complete comprehensive evaluation index system of controlling efficiency of engineering project is constructed from three aspects, i.e. implementation efficiency of construction objective, external coordination efficiency and professional qualification enhancement efficiency; based on matter-element analytical method, mathematic model that could evaluate controlling efficiency of engineering project comprehensively is constructed.


2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (5) ◽  
pp. 4423-4430
Author(s):  
Qiang Wang

Objectives: This paper chose the front section of the assembly line of the explosive packaging machine as the design object, and studied the application of the interactive genetic model in the packaging machinery. Methods: Through the research on the product characteristics and the development trend of the packaging machinery, the main points of the design of the packaging machinery were summarized. The application models of two interactive genetic algorithms based on the compound fitness allocation strategy (HFAS) and the graded fitness allocation strategy were established in this paper. Results: The parameter setting of the compound fitness distribution strategy was analyzed, and the better scheme was selected for the case of the packaging machine design. Conclusion: In this paper, a specific case of the application of interactive genetic algorithm in the design of packaging machinery products—the design of the front section of the explosive packing machine was discussed. The total arrangement method and fuzzy evaluation method were used to evaluate the design results. Two methods were used to evaluate the design results.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (8) ◽  
pp. 2268 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wang ◽  
Wang ◽  
Chen

To evaluate the ecological niche of photovoltaic agriculture in China, an evaluation index system was constructed. Based on the presentation form of interval numbers, we used the interval entropy weight method and interval cloud model to measure the niche state value and niche role value of photovoltaic agriculture. In this way, we determined the development trend of the ecological niche of photovoltaic agriculture. The results show that Chinese photovoltaic agriculture is in a good state and plays a good, but weak, role. The ecological niche of China’s photovoltaic agriculture will undergo a four-stage evolution process: positioning, integration, leap, and symbiosis. China has completed the positioning stage and entered the integration stage. Hence, it is important to constantly improve the level of industrial integration technology and to form a new photovoltaic agriculture recycling economic ecosystem.


2013 ◽  
Vol 357-360 ◽  
pp. 1783-1788
Author(s):  
Chang An Zhou ◽  
Hong Ren ◽  
Jing Yang Zhou

In order to solve the existent problems of incomplete and ambiguous information during the evaluation on the multiple constraints factors of city underground space development and utilization, this paper applies analytic hierarchy process and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method to construct the comprehensive evaluation index system of the multiple constraint factors of city underground space development and utilization, then Yuzhong District, Yubei District, Beibei District in Chongqing respectively as an example, and comprehensively to evaluate the multiple constraint factors of city underground space development and utilization. Example analysis shows that, it has high feasibility and effectiveness that applies the method of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation to the multiple constraint factors of city underground space development and utilization, and it can contribute to solve fuzziness and uncertainty problems of the evaluation process.


2012 ◽  
Vol 452-453 ◽  
pp. 726-730
Author(s):  
Yao Wu Wei

ERP (Enterprise Resource Planning) is a kind of advanced management method and ideological system, which is an effective tool to improve operating efficiency. In reference to the domestic and foreign relevant research results, this paper attempts to find a set of evaluation index system and method, which is suitable for small and medium-sized enterprises in China implementing ERP system performance evaluation according to characteristics. Then use AHP to determine each index weight and evaluate comprehensively ERP implementation performance of small and medium-sized enterprise employing the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method. This can provide ERP project methodological guidance and help enterprise to carry out the scientific decision, improve the success rate of ERP implementation, and promote the process of ERP in our country popularity.


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