Study of the dynamic evaluation model of overall hydrological alteration degree based on the RVA and set pair analysis–Markov chain methods

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (5) ◽  
pp. 1515-1524
Author(s):  
Jinping Zhang ◽  
Xin Zhang ◽  
Honglin Xiao

Abstract The concept of overall hydrological alteration degree in the traditional range of variability approach is no longer suitable for the requirements of the current changing environment. First, by introducing the analytic hierarchy process and including the concept of deviation in the range of variability approach, the traditional range of variability approach is improved. Second, by using the daily flow data from the Guide gauging station in the lower reaches of Longyangxia reservoir from 1954 to 2017 and by combining the concept of connection degree in set pair analysis, a more comprehensive overall hydrological alteration degree is obtained. Finally, based on the results of overall hydrological alteration degree in each period, a dynamic evaluation model of overall hydrological alteration degree is established based on a set pair analysis–Markov chain method. The results show that the overall hydrological alteration degree of the Longyangxia reservoir in the postimpact period is at the second level; its average is −0.43, but its identity tends to increase. Furthermore, the dynamic evaluation model shows that the overall hydrological alteration degree of its stable state will be 0.1726, its impact flow changes and its stable state will be at the third level. This is a positive developing trend.

2011 ◽  
Vol 383-390 ◽  
pp. 6587-6593
Author(s):  
Guo Zhong Huang ◽  
Zhong Guang Wu ◽  
Can Sheng Yang ◽  
Hui Liu

Given factors influencing construction safety has characteristics of fuzziness and uncertainty, an evaluation model based on Fuzzy-Set Pair Analysis is put forward, which combines advantages of fuzzy comprehensive analysis method and set pair analysis method. According to characteristics of construction, the construction safety evaluation index system is constructed, the weight of each index is determined by Interval Analytic Hierarchy Process (IAHP) and connection degree is calculated, so the safety condition development and uncertainty rank of evaluated construction sites are calculated. It is shown that the model can deal with certainty and uncertainty of information in safety evaluation at the same time, thus good results can be obtained through application of the model.


2021 ◽  
pp. 341-341
Author(s):  
Yu-Kun Luo ◽  
Xiao-Hua Yang

In recent decades, people's attention to human settlements has been increasing. However, the research on the evaluation method of the suitability of human settlements is still in the exploratory stage, and there is no universally accepted evaluation method worldwide. Considering the uncertainty in the evaluation index system, this paper combines the set pair analysis (SPA) theory and the Logistic model to construct a new evaluation model of the suitability of human settlements and applies the model to the dynamic evaluation of the suitability of human settlements in Qingpu district from 2007 to 2016. The evaluation results show that the overall suitability of human settlements in Qingpu district is on the rise. Based on the analysis of the evaluation results, this paper puts forward some opinions on the development plan of Qingpu District and verifies the validity of the constructed model.


2013 ◽  
Vol 869-870 ◽  
pp. 288-292
Author(s):  
Dong Jie Liu ◽  
Zhen Lin Wei

In order to overcome the drawbacks that occur when traditional safety assessment methods do not consider the certain and uncertain characteristics of information and in order to enhance the calculation efficiency, a new Identical Discrepancy Contrary (IDC) system is safety comprehensive assessment model based on Set Pair Analysis is established. Incorporating the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) to obtain the index weight, this model analyses the uncertainties in the degree of connection acquired by assessment, and then makes the identical discrepancy contrary system research on the certainty and uncertainty of information in the engineering system.


Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 821 ◽  
Author(s):  
Meimei Wu ◽  
Wei Ge ◽  
Zongkun Li ◽  
Zening Wu ◽  
Hexiang Zhang ◽  
...  

Despite the rapid development of risk analysis in dam engineering, there is a relative absence of research on the environmental impact of dam break. As a systematic theory, set pair analysis has a good effect in dealing with uncertainties, although the result is relatively rough and easy to distort. A connection degree of five grades and a generalized set of potential are introduced to improve traditional set pair analysis. Combined with the index system, the evaluation model of the environmental impact of dam break is established, which is based on generalized set pair analysis. Taking Sheheji Reservoir dam as an example, a comparison of evaluation results of fuzzy mathematics theory and generalized set pair analysis is made, which verifies the scientificity and practicability of the method proposed in this paper. The results show that the evaluation grade of the environmental impact of dam break at Sheheji Reservoir is serious, and appropriate management measures should be taken to reduce the risk.


2021 ◽  
Vol 283 ◽  
pp. 02033
Author(s):  
Ziyi Zhang ◽  
Yu Sun ◽  
Han Xu ◽  
Qiyun Zhu

In recent years, urbanization has developed rapidly, and urban road play a vital role as the premise. Due to the good effectiveness of asphalt pavement, which is more popular in urban road, and road maintenance demands are also increasing. In order to make the maintenance work appropriate, accurate pavement performance evaluation is the premise. This paper collects the data of a road pavement condition in Shanghai and calculates the sub-indexes of each section. We use the entropy weight method to obtain the influence degree of each sub-index. Then we use the revised set pair analysis to construct the comprehensive performance evaluation model of urban road pavement. The analysis shows that compared with the standard method and the set pair analysis, the revised model is more objective, in line with the actual use of the road.


Author(s):  
Zheng Li ◽  
Juliang Jin ◽  
Yi Cui ◽  
Libing Zhang ◽  
Chengguo Wu ◽  
...  

Abstract In order to describe the micro motion between the connection number components and seek a more applicable evaluation model, quantitatively evaluate and analyze regional water resources carrying capacity (WRCC). Firstly, an evaluation index system and grade standards of regional WRCC were constructed. Then, a method for determining the connection number was proposed, which considered the micro motion between the connection number components in system structure. Finally, built an evaluation model based on set pair analysis (SPA) and partial connection number (PCN) that used subtraction set pair potential (SPP) to identify vulnerability factors, and identification results were compared with total partial connection number (TPCN). The model was applied to Huaibei City, Anhui Province, China. The results showed that: the WRCC grade value was between 2 and 3 that was poor; the support and regulation subsystem grade value was between 2 and 3, and the pressure subsystem grade value was between 1 and 2. SPP identified that the support force and regulation force subsystem were the vulnerable subsystems. Eight indexes such as water resources per capita, rate of ecological water consumption and density of population were the main indicators causing the poor WRCC, which were in good agreement with the local measured data. In addition, the SPP and TPCN are compared to further verify rationality of the connection number determination method and reliability of the identification results. The model established in this paper has strong applicability and can also be used for the dynamic evaluation of other resources, environment and ecological carrying capacity. The results in this study can provide a scientific basis for water resources management and decision-making.


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