scholarly journals A Study on the Dynamic Relationship between Digital Financial Development, Social Consumption and Economic Growth

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. p56
Author(s):  
Chen Hongxi ◽  
Peng Juan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Services ◽  
Lower Cost ◽  
Policy Recommendations ◽  
Real Economy ◽  
Economic Agents ◽  
Econometric Methods ◽  
Dynamic Relationship ◽  
Dynamic Relationships

With the development of the Internet, digital finance provides “efficient, responsible and commercially sustainable” financial services to more economic agents at a lower cost of capital and in a more convenient way, thus achieving the long-term goal of financial services that are both inclusive and precise in the real economy. Social consumption and economic growth are closely related, as the economy increases, so does consumption, and consumption also drives economic growth. By building a VAR model and using econometric methods, this paper empirically analyses that the three factors, namely digital economy development, social consumption and economic growth, have obvious roles and long-term dynamic relationships, but there is no good dynamic cycle between the three factors, and gives corresponding policy recommendations.

Study on Dynamic Relationship between Economic Growth and Energy Consumption in Chongqing - Based on 1980-2011 Data

2013 ◽  
Vol 448-453 ◽  
pp. 4319-4324
Author(s):  
Sheng Wang ◽  
Chun Yan Dai ◽  
En Chuang Wang ◽  
Chun Yan Li
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Energy Demand ◽  
Industrial Structure ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Improve Energy Efficiency ◽  
Dynamic Relationship ◽  
Equilibrium Relationship

Analyzed the dynamic interaction characteristics of Chongqing Economic growth and energy consumption between 1980-2011 based on vector auto regression model, impulse response function. The results showed that: 1 Between the Chongqing's economic growth and energy consumption exist the positive long-term stable equilibrium relationship, Chongqing's economic development depending on energy consumption is too high, to keep the economy in Chongqing's rapid economic development, energy relatively insufficient supply sustainable development must rely on the energy market, which will restrict the development of Chongqing's economy. 2At this stage, Chongqing continuing emphasis on optimizing the industrial structure to improve energy efficiency at the same time, the key is to establish and improve the energy consumption intensity and total energy demand "dual control" under the security system, weakening the energy bottleneck effect on economic growth.

scholarly journals Relationship between Financial Liberalization and Economic Growth in Emerging Economies: The Case of Vietnam

2016 ◽  
Vol 23 (01) ◽  
pp. 25-49
Author(s):  
Hoang Tran Huy ◽  
Huan Nguyen Huu ◽  
Linh Nguyen Thi Thuy
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Services ◽  
Financial Liberalization ◽  
Response Analysis ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Term Relation

This paper examines the process of financial liberalization in Vietnam over the period from 1993 to 2013. On adopting Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), the results suggest that there is a long-term relation between economic growth and financial liberalization, in which the financial market liberalization and financial services liberalization provide better support during the growth of Vietnam’s economy. In addition, using various techniques including Granger causality test, impulse response analysis, and variance decomposition, the paper also clarifies the motives for financial liberalization from the process of short-term financial development and economic growth in the country.

Investigating the Roles of Physical Infrastructure, Financial Development and Human Capital on Economic Growth in Bangladesh

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 154-175
Author(s):  
Faroque Ahmed ◽  
Md. Jamal Hossain ◽  
Mohammad Tareque
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Dynamic Relationship ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Physical Infrastructure ◽  
Long Term Impact

This article investigates the dynamic relationship among physical infrastructure, financial development, human capital and economic growth in Bangladesh, employing Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bound co-integration and Granger causality test for the period 1985–2019. The study finds a significantly positive long-term impact of physical infrastructure and human capital on economic growth. However, the effect of financial development on growth is found to be negative, and the result suggests that financial development will take place with economic growth. From the policy perspective, this study emphasises increasing investment in physical infrastructure and human capital for Bangladesh to foster long-term economic growth.

A new view into political business cycles: Household behaviour in Albania

2014 ◽  
Vol 64 (Supplement-1) ◽  
pp. 201-224 ◽  
Author(s):  
Endrit Lami ◽  
Holger Kächelein ◽  
Drini Imami
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Business Cycles ◽  
Public Employment ◽  
Political Business Cycles ◽  
Related Research ◽  
Economic Agents ◽  
Econometric Methods ◽  
Household Behaviour ◽  
The Subject ◽  
Main Factors

Over the last decades, there has been plenty of research and publications on Political Business Cycles (PBC), aimed at analysing and explaining the use of fiscal and monetary instruments to stimulate economic growth before elections, with the intention of impressing potential voters. Previous research on PBC in Albania reveals clear evidence of fiscal expansion before elections, but no significant changes in GDP and inflation as theory predicts. One possible explanation of this result could be economic agents’ expectations, which is the subject of this paper. We analyse consumers’ expectations before elections, the main factors underlying expectations, and the way in which these expectations influence their behaviour toward spending, and consequently the macroeconomic outcomes, deploying standard econometric methods widely applied in PBC related research. According to our research results, households’ consumption spending decreases before elections because of the higher uncertainty about their future economic situation due to the highly politicised public employment.

scholarly journals Non-Linear Relationship between Financial Development, Economic Growth and Growth Volatility: Evidence from Nigeria

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oro Ufuo Oro ◽  
Paul Alagidede
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Linear Relationship ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Financial Services ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Empirical Literature ◽  
Development Economic ◽  
Econometric Methods ◽  
Growth Volatility ◽  
The Relationship

The relationship between economic growth, growth volatility and financial sector development continues to attract attention in the theoretical and empirical literature. Over time, some studies hypothesize that finance has a causal linear relationship with growth. Recently several other authors contradict this claim and argue that the relationship that exists between finance and growth is nonlinear. We investigate these claims for Nigeria for the period between 1970 and 2015, using semi-parametric econometric methods, Hansen sample splitting techniques and threshold estimator. We observed no evidence of ‘Too much finance’ as claimed by many researchers in recent times. We show that the relationship between financial development and economic growth is U-shaped. This is equally true for the relationship between financial development and growth volatility. We also discuss policy implications of our findings and recommend financial innovations and decentralization of stock exchanges to boost access to financial services, in addition, improved regulation to enhance financial market efficiency.

scholarly journals Test FOR Dynamic Relationship between Financial Development and Economic Growth in Malaysia: A Vector Error Correction Modeling Approach

2007 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 61 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rosilawati Amiruddin ◽  
Abu Hassan Shaari Mohd Nor ◽  
Ismadi Ismail
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Vector Autoregressive ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Dynamic Relationship ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Error Correction Modeling

This paper purports to study the effectiveness of financial development to Malaysian economic growth utilizing quarterly data. In view of the priority given to dynamic relationship in conducting this study, Vector Autoregressive (VAR) method which encompasses Johansen-Juselius’ Multivariate cointegration, Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), Impulse Response Function (IRF), and Variance Decomposition (VDC) are used as empirical evidence. The result reveals a short-term and long-term dynamic relationship between financial development and economic growth. The importance of financial sector in influencing the economic activity is proven as a clear policy implication.

Capital Markets Union

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erik PM Vermeulen
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Capital Markets ◽  
Lower Cost ◽  
Access To Finance ◽  
Start Up ◽  
Capital Markets Union ◽  
Successful Innovation ◽  
Start Ups ◽  
The Eu

The Capital Markets Union (CMU) aims to strengthen capital markets and investments in the EU. The rationale behind such a union is that it is necessary to provide businesses, particularly start-up companies, with a greater choice of funding at lower cost. More generally, it is assumed that, in the long-term, greater choice increases access to finance and fosters economic growth. This chapter argues that although the CMU may be a necessary step, it has to be situated in a much broader discussion about how to create successful innovation ecosystems. Such an approach highlights the sector-specific needs of start-ups (and scale-ups) and the importance of mobilizing other players, particularly established corporations.

scholarly journals A Dynamic Relationship between Environmental Degradation, Healthcare Expenditure and Economic Growth in Wavelet Analysis: Empirical Evidence from Taiwan

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (4) ◽  
pp. 1386 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cheng-Feng Wu ◽  
Fangjhy Li ◽  
Hsin-Pei Hsueh ◽  
Chien-Ming Wang ◽  
Meng-Chen Lin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Wavelet Analysis ◽  
Environmental Pollution ◽  
Integrated Circuit ◽  
Healthcare Expenditure ◽  
Control Variable ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Dynamic Relationship ◽  
Expansion Stage

This paper analyzes the co-movement and causal linkages between environmental pollution and healthcare expenditure, taking economic growth as a control variable by using wavelet analysis for Taiwan over the period 1995 Q1–2016 Q4. The results show that there exists co-movement and causality between environmental pollution and healthcare expenditure at different frequencies and times. The changes in the relationships of the two variables are observed in certain events such as the period of the expansion stage, the policy of environmental pollution, and the issue of the National Health Insurance Integrated Circuit card (NHI-IC) in Taiwan. In the short-term, positive causality runs from healthcare expenditure to environmental pollution before 2004, while negative causality runs from healthcare expenditure to environmental pollution before 2007 in the long-term. After adding economic growth as a control variable, positive causality runs from healthcare expenditure to environmental pollution in the period 2009–2011 in the short-term, while negative causality running from healthcare expenditure to environmental pollution is shown in 2008 in the long-term. The results indicate that “higher government health expenditure leading to higher demand for environment quality” exists in different sub-periods and the argument may concern the factor of economics in the long-term. The positive healthcare lead in the short-term may be based on economics in the expansion stage. Also, the issue of NHI-IC possibly affects the dynamic relationship between healthcare expenditure and environmental pollution without considering economics. Based on empirical analysis, certain policy and managerial implications are addressed for decision-makers at macroeconomic and microeconomic levels.

scholarly journals The Concept of Macro-Economic Policy Based on the Compromise between Inflation and Growth

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 485-496
Author(s):  
V.I. Maevsky ◽  
◽  
A.A. Rubinstein ◽  
◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Economic Policy ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Phillips Curve ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Econometric Methods ◽  
Theoretical Approaches

The article describes a concept of a long-term macro-economic policy based on a compromise between economic growth and inflation that accompanies this growth. This concept differs from the existing theoretical approaches supported by monetary authorities in that it does not rely on the notion of Russia as a small open economy and it does not focus on price volatility as the number one problem in the long-term perspective. The theoretical framework usually used to address the relationship between economic growth and inflation is the Phillips curve and its modifications. In our study, this problem is connected to the phenomenon of non-neutrality of money in the long term. The analysis uses the simulation model of the shifting mode of reproduction (SMR model) and econometric methods. It is shown that a compromise between economic growth and inflation can be achieved if the long-term monetary policy results in the approximately equal rates of real GDP and inflation. Such monetary policy is possible to realize provided that some important macro-economic conditions are fulfilled, for example, the rouble undervaluation coefficient is reduced, the debt-to-gross-domestic- product ratio is increased, the ratio of international (foreign exchange) reserves to GDP is decreased, and the transition to a fiscal deficit policy is implemented. In other words, a systemic approach is required. This is not an easy way but it will ensure a growth in GDP rates and lower inflation.

Financial Crises: Sources, Manifestations, Consequences

2012 ◽  
pp. 46-66
Author(s):  
E. Rustamov
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crises ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Economic Policies ◽  
Real Economy ◽  
Asset Sales ◽  
Economic Agents ◽  
Price Bubbles ◽  
Short And Long Term ◽  
Long Term Impact

Building on the empirical studies and financial crises theories, a general framework describing the mechanisms of crisis formation and transmission is developed. Factors of crisis formation include external and internal imbalances, shocks, deficiencies of economic policies and changes in the economic agents behavior (in particular, as concerns price bubbles formation and burst). Channels of crisis transmission include direct links between financial organizations; "negative loss spirals" arising from massive asset sales; increase in uncertainty. The framework is employed to the analysis of several crisis episodes in 1990s and 2000s (Mexican, Asian, Russian and Argentine crises). The channels of crisis transmission to the real economy are also considered. The approaches to measuring both short- and long-term impact of crises on fiscal stability and economic growth are discussed.

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