scholarly journals ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PRODUKSI BOKAR (BAHAN OLAH KARET) DI KABUPATEN BATANGHARI

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 38-49
Author(s):  
Elisabeth Lumban Gaol ◽  
Armen Mara ◽  
Riri Oktari Ulma
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Test Model ◽  
Cultivated Land ◽  
Analysis Model ◽  
Land Area ◽  
Normality Test

This study aims to (1) the progress bokar production, the land area to produce crops, the land area of ​​old plants, the amount of labor, rainfall and number of days of rain in Batanghari regency during the period 2001 to 2015 (2) Determine how much influence hectarage produce, the land area of ​​old plants, the amount of labor, rainfall and number of days of rain to the production bokar in Batanghari regency during the period 2001-2015. The data used in this research is secondary data time series (time series) for 5 years (2001-2015). Test data is stationary using the unit root test Phillip Perron (PP). The analysis model is a linear regression. The test model using normality test, multicollinearity, heteroscedasticity test and autocorrelation test. The results showed that the area of ​​cultivated land, the area of ​​old plantation, the amount of labor, rainfall and amount of rain days together significantly affect the production of bokar in Batanghari regency. Partially, the factors that have a positive and significant effect on bokar production in Batanghari Regency are the area of ​​cultivated land and the amount of labor. Factor area of ​​old crop land have negative and significant effect, while rainfall factor and rainy day partially have no significant effect on bokar production.  

scholarly journals Dynamic Forecasting of Government Foreign Debt: Case of Indonesia

JEJAK ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 52-60
Author(s):  
Yozi Aulia Rahman ◽  
Amin Pujiati
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Foreign Debt ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Government Debt ◽  
Arima Models ◽  
Indonesian Government ◽  
Dynamic Forecasting

This study aims to forecast the value of the Indonesian government foreign debt in 2020-2024. The secondary data of time series during the period of 2010-2019 on Indonesian government foreign debt are used as the basis of forecasting for the next five years by using ARIMA (Autogressive Integrated Moving Average). The results show that the selected ARIMA models for forecasting are ARIMA (3,1,3) after the unit root test is carried out and 16 ARIMA models are tested. The value of government foreign debt is predicted to keep increasing from 2020 to 2024 amounted to USD 253.01. Then, compared to government debt in January 2010, within 11 years, government foreign  debt is predicted to rise by 169.6%.

scholarly journals PENGARUH INVESTASI DAN TENAGA KERJA TERHADAP PRODUK DOMESTIK REGIONAL BRUTO (PDRB) DAN PENDAPATAN ASLI DAERAH (PAD) KOTA BALIKPAPAN

2015 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 159
Author(s):  
Johana Rosmalia ◽  
Rusdiah Iskandar ◽  
Fitriadi Fitriadi
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression ◽  
Pathway Analysis ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Strong Relationship ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Regression Formula

This study used secondary data in the form of time series which are analyzed using Pathway analysis with multiple linear regression formula. The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of investment and labor to gross regional domestic product (GRDP) and regional revenues in Balikpapan city.  The results of the study was shown that Y = 0.202 - 0.098 X1 + 0.244 X2 + 0.825 X3. The results showed that investment, labor and gross regional domestic product (GRDP) have jointly effect on the regional revenues in Balikpapan city. Partially; the investment has no significant effect on gross regional domestic product (GRDP), labor has significant effect on gross regional domestic product (GRDP), gross regional domestic product (GRDP) has significant effect to regional revenues in Balikpapan city, the investment has no significant effect on regional revenues in Balikpapan city, and labor has no significant effect on regional revenues in Balikpapan city. The contribution of investment, labor and gross regional domestic product (GRDP) variable was about 93.5 % and it means that those have very strong relationship; meanwhile, the rest, about 6.5 %, has been influenced by other factors.

scholarly journals Pengaruh Investasi Dan Inflasi Terhadap Jumlah Penduduk Miskin di Kabupaten Jember Tahun 2000-2015

2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 81
Author(s):  
Abdul Latif Hamzah ◽  
Anifatul Hanim ◽  
Herman Cahyo
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Poor People ◽  
Poverty Level ◽  
Total Investment ◽  
Year 2000 ◽  
Very High

Conditions in Jember Regency from year to year economic growth is quite high, but the poverty level is very high as well. This study aims to determine the effect of investment and inflation on the number of poor people in the district of Jember in 2000- 2015. The method used in this research is multiple linear regression. The data used are secondary data formed in time series, the data used include investment, inflation in Jember district for 16 years in the year 2000-2015. Based on the results of the research, it can be seen that investment variables do not significantly affect the number of poor people in Jember, while Inflation has a significant effect on the number of poor people in Jember. Keywords: total investment, inflation, and poor people.

scholarly journals PENGARUH ZIS (ZAKAT, INFAK, SEDEKAH) DAN ZAKAT FITRAH TERHADAP PENURUNAN KEMISKINAN DI INDONESIA PERIODE 1998 - 2010

Media Ekonomi ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 83
Author(s):  
Jumadin Lapopo
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Developing Countries ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Poverty Reduction ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Analysis Model ◽  
Independent Variables

<p>Poverty is being a problem in all developing countries including Indonesia. Among goverment programs, poverty has become the center offattention in policy at both of the regional and national levels. Looking at thephenomenon of poverty, Islam present with solution to reduce poverty through Zakat. This study aims to analyze the effect of ZIS and Zakat Fitrah against poverty in Indonesia in 1998 until 2010, data used in this study is secondary data and uses time series data, for the dependent variabel is poverty and for independent variables are ZIS and Zakat Fitrah. The analysis tools used in this study is to use multiple regression analysis model and the assumptions of classical test using the software Eviews-4. In this study also concluded that the ZIS variables significantly affect to the reduction of poverty in Indonesia although the effect is very small. In the variable Zakat Fitrah not significantly affect poverty reduction in Indonesia because of the nature of Zakat Fitrah is for consumption and not for long-term needs. The results of this study can be used for the management of zakat to be able to develop the management and to get a better system for distribution of zakat so that the main purpose of zakat can be achieved to reduce poverty.<br />Keywords : Poverty, Zakat Fitrah, ZIS.</p>

Pengaruh pertumbuhan ekonomi, inflasi dan pengangguran terhadap tingkat kemiskinan di Sumatera Selatan

2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Novegya Ratih Primandari
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Linear Regression Model ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Poverty Rate ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Ordinary Least Square

This research aims to analyze effect of economic growth, inflation and Unemployment on the Rate of Poverty in the Province of South Sumatera. This research used secondary data in the form of time series data from 2001-2017. The method used quantitative approach by applying a linear regression model with OLS estimation Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method. The results of this study indicate that partially and simultaneously Economic Growth, Inflation and Unemployment have a significant effect on the Poverty Rate in the Province of South Sumatera.

A New Non-Parametric Subspace-Based Approach for Unit Root Test

2019 ◽  
Vol 18 (01) ◽  
pp. 1950009 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mehran Farahikia ◽  
Masoud Yarmohammadi ◽  
Hossein Hassani
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Statistical Testing ◽  
Block Bootstrap ◽  
Testing Methodology ◽  
Non Parametric

A new non-parametric subspace-based approach is introduced for unit root test in AR(1) process. The proposed approach contains block-bootstrap and spectrum properties of a time series as well as statistical testing methodology. The simulation result validates the proposed test and indicates its superiority compared with other existent procedures.

scholarly journals DAMPAK TINGKAT SUKU BUNGA KREDIT, INFLASI DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI TERHADAP JUMLAH KREDIT BANK UMUM SWASTA NASIONAL YANG DISALURKAN DI INDONESIA

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 33-44
Author(s):  
Muhammad Rizki Saputra ◽  
Ryan Juminta Anward ◽  
Rizali Rizali
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Statistical Test ◽  
Economic Variable ◽  
Quarterly Data ◽  
Private Banks ◽  
Econometric Technique

The objective of this research is to (1) analyse the influence of loan interest rate, inflation and economic growth to loans disbursed by national private banks in Indonesia. This research uses quarterly data for ten years from 2007 to 2016. The methodology used in this research is time series econometric technique which is the unit root test, statistical test and classical assumption test. The result of this research shows that loan interest rate and inflation variable have a negative correlation and statistically is not significant to loans that disbursed by national private banks in Indonesia. While Indonesian economic growth and global economic variable have a positive correlation and statistically is significant to loans that disbursed by national private banks in Indonesia.

scholarly journals Purchasing Power Parity in Commonwealth of Independent States

2014 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gülçin Güreşçi Pehlivan ◽  
Esra Ballı ◽  
Muammer Tekeoğlu
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
Cross Section ◽  
Purchasing Power Parity ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Purchasing Power ◽  
Power Parity ◽  
Panel Unit Root ◽  
Independent States

The Purchasing Power Parity suggests that differences in relative prices in two countries move together with nominal exchange rates in the long run. This study examines the validity of PPP as transition economies for Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS). Purchasing Power Parity holds only when the real exchange rate is stationary in the equation. To test the stationary, we used both time series and panel data analysis. Testing unit root both with time series and panel data in this study, provides us double check of the results. We also test the cross sectional dependence to choose the appropriate panel unit root test. Our test statistics indicate that there is cross section dependence between countries. Hence, one needs to take into consideration the cross section dependence while undertaking unit root tests. Otherwise, the results would be biased. ADF and KPPS indicate that PPP cannot be accepted for the countries except for Russia. According to the panel unit root test results indicate that PPP does not hold for Armenia, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan except for Russia.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document