scholarly journals Size of government and economic growth: A nonlinear analysis

2012 ◽  
Vol 57 (194) ◽  
pp. 7-30 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shanaka Herath
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Sri Lanka ◽  
Polynomial Regression ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Analytical Framework ◽  
Optimal Level ◽  
Size Of Government ◽  
Developed Economies ◽  
Productive Output

The new growth theory establishes, among other things, that government expenditure can manipulate the economic growth of a country. This study attempts to explain whether government expenditure increases or decreases economic growth in the context of Sri Lanka. Results obtained employing a productive output series and applying an analytical framework based on second degree polynomial regression are generally consistent with previous findings: government expenditure and economic growth are positively correlated; excessive government expenditure is negatively correlated with economic growth; and investment promotes growth. In a separate section, the article examines Armey?s idea of a quadratic curve that explains the level of government expenditure in an economy and the corresponding level of economic growth [Armey, D. (1995). The Freedom Revolution. Washington, D.C.: Regnery Publishing Co.]. The findings confirm the possibility of constructing the Armey curve for Sri Lanka, and it estimates the optimal level of government expenditure to be approximately 27%. This article adds to the literature indicating that the Armey curve is a reality not only for developed economies, but also for developing economies.

scholarly journals The Impact of Real Exchange Rate Undervaluation on Economic Growth: Evidence from Panel Cointegration Approach

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mehdi Seraj ◽  
Cagay Coskuner ◽  
Seyi Saint Akadiri ◽  
Negar Bahadori
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Real Exchange Rate ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Developed Economies ◽  
Periodic Data ◽  
The Impact

Abstract This study revisited Dani Rodrik (2008) work on real exchange rate undervaluation and economic growth by using the Fully Modified Ordinary Least Square (FMOLS) and Dynamic Ordinary Least Square (DOLS). This research, to the best of authors' knowledge, is the first to use FMOLS and DOLS approach to empirically evaluate Rodrik work on the real exchange rate and economic growth using a Panel periodic data (six sets of five years) of 82 countries throughout 1990 to 2018. We used the Balassa Samuelson method to estimate the predicted real exchange rate and real exchange rate undervaluation. Finally, the study is in support of Rodrik conclusion that, real exchange undervaluation has a significant impact on the economic growth of the developing economies and statistically insignificant in the developed economies.

scholarly journals The South African tax mix and economic growth

2014 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 201-210 ◽  
Author(s):  
AH De Wet ◽  
NJ Schoeman ◽  
SF Koch
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
South African ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Indirect Taxation ◽  
Size Of Government ◽  
Direct Taxation ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Direct Tax

The research reported in this paper suggests that government fiscal policy can influence economic growth through alterations in the tax mix and the overall size of government spending.   The authors estimate the impact on economic growth of changes in fiscal policy via government expenditure, direct taxation and indirect taxation.  The results show that economic growth is negatively affected by increases in the size of government, as reflected in its expenditures and direct tax revenues, although significant indirect tax effects are not found.     

scholarly journals Volatility in Discretionary Public Spending and Economic Growth: A Cross Country Analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 59 (1) ◽  
pp. 45-68
Author(s):  
Muhsin Ali ◽  
Karim Khan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Performance ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Public Spending ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Developed Economies ◽  
Potential Control ◽  
Country Analysis ◽  
Cross Country ◽  
The Impact

Volatility in discretionary public spending has diverse implications for the overall economic performance of economies. In this study, we examine the impact of volatile non�systematic discretionary public spending on economic growth. By employing cross-country data of 74 developed and developing economies, we find that volatility in non-systematic discretionary public spending has an adverse impact on economic growth. In particular, such impact is severe in the case of less developed economies. Our findings are robust to the problem of endogeneity. In order to ensure the accuracy of the results, we conduct sufficient sensitivity analysis by incorporating a bunch of potential control variables. In most of the cases, the results with regard to the policy volatility remain intact. This suggests that effective spending rules, i.e. permanent numerical limits, should be imposed on budgetary aggregates to restrain governments from the volatile use of discretionary spending. JEL Classification: H3; H5 Keywords: Volatility in Discretionary Public Spending, Economic Growth, Effective Spending Rule

scholarly journals The Effect of Government on Economic Growth in Fiji

2003 ◽  
Vol 48 (01) ◽  
pp. 27-38
Author(s):  
D. P. Doessel ◽  
Abbas Valadkhani
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Empirical Relationship ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Size Of Government ◽  
High Productivity ◽  
Government Sector ◽  
The Government

This paper investigates the empirical relationship between the size of government and the process of economic growth in Fiji. The results reported here present a mixed picture, in that the model estimated specifies two different effects of the government sector on economic growth. Using annual time series data for the period 1964–1999, it is found that government expenditure exerts a strong beneficial impact on economic growth. However, marginal factor productivity in the government sector is found to be lower than that of the private sector. The reasons for this low productivity are two-fold: the result of the lack of market incentives and signals in the public sector and the involvement of Fiji's government in some activities which may be rationalised in terms of the socio-political objectives of the Fijian government. While recognising that there may be factors which may hinder the process of efficiency in the private sector, it can be argued that by shifting factors of production from the low productivity (government) sector to the high productivity (private) sector, the rate of growth of GNP will increase.

FISCAL POLICY, INSTITUTIONS AND GROWTH: NEW INSIGHTS

2016 ◽  
Vol 64 (05) ◽  
pp. 1251-1278
Author(s):  
SAIMA NAWAZ ◽  
M. IDREES KHAWAJA
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Institutional Environment ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Association ◽  
Positive Role ◽  
Full Sample ◽  
Developed Economies ◽  
The Impact

The paper attempts to analyze the impact of fiscal policy on economic growth while considering level of development and controlling for state of institutions. We extend the Solow growth model by incorporating fiscal policy and institutions through using total factor productivity. Our empirical analysis includes a panel of 56 countries. The empirics demonstrate that impact of fiscal policy on growth is statistically insignificant in the full sample. However, splitting the sample into developed and developing economies, positive association with economic growth in developed economies and negative association in developing economies observed. Our findings thus inform that fiscal policy contributes positively to growth only in developed economies. The reason for this seems to be an enabling institutional environment in developed economies. This kind of enabling institutional environment allows fiscal policy to play positive role in developed economies and absence of such environment contributes to the negative impact of fiscal policy in developing economies.

scholarly journals Monetary Policy and Economic Growth: A Review of International Literature

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 123-137 ◽  
Author(s):  
Enock Nyorekwa Twinoburyo ◽  
Nicholas M. Odhiambo
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Developed Economies ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Theoretical Evolution ◽  
The Relationship

Abstract This paper aims to survey the existing literature, both theoretical and empirical, on the relationship between monetary policy and economic growth. While there has been a wide range of studies on the existing relationship between monetary policy and economic growth, the nexus between the two remains inconclusive. This paper takes a comprehensive view of the theoretical evolution of the relationship and the respective recent empirical findings. Overall, this paper shows that the majority of findings support the relevancy of monetary policy in supporting economic growth, mainly in financially developed economies with fairly independent central banks. The relationship tends to be weaker in developing economies with structural weaknesses and underdeveloped financial markets that are weakly integrated into global markets. This paper concludes that monetary policy matters for growth both in the short-run and long-run despite the prevailing ambiguous relationship. The paper recommends intensive financial development measure for developing countries as well as structural reforms to address to supply side deficiencies.

scholarly journals FISCAL POLICY AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT

2009 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 450-476 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexandros Mourmouras ◽  
Peter Rangazas
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Developing Countries ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Relative Size ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Infrastructure Investment ◽  
Public Infrastructure ◽  
Size Of Government ◽  
Economic Growth Rates

This paper offers possible explanations for three generally observed facts about fiscal policy and development: (F1) the relative size of government increases as an economy develops, (F2) the rise in government and taxation are associated with rising or constant economic growth rates, and (F3) today's developing countries have larger government sectors than today's developed countries had at similar stages of development. The explanations for these facts are based on the structural transformation from traditional to modern production, rising public infrastructure investment, and less democratic governments in many of today's developing economies.

scholarly journals Estimating the Optimal Level of Public Debt for Economic Growth: An Evidence from Pakistan

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 222-232
Author(s):  
Muhammad Ashfaq ◽  
Ihtsham UlHaq Padda
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Optimal Level ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Fiscal Deficit ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Bound Test

Background: In underdeveloped economies, the role of public debt is very vital with the intention of achieving a desirable level of output, employment and sustainability in long run economic growth. Fiscal deficit in developing economies is a common phenomenon because of low tax base and high imports. Economy of Pakistan is also facing fiscal deficit and trade deficit since its independence, so it relies on public debt to fill this fiscal gap. Objectives: The objective of this study is to estimate the optimal level of public debt for economic growth. Methods: This study explores the nonlinear relationships between public debt and economic growth of Pakistan by using time series data. The ARDL bound test technique is used to estimate the short-run and long-run impact of debt on economic growth. The growth maximizing level of debt is also estimated. Results: According to the estimated parameters, the optimal level of public debt is 60% of GDP. It also indicates that increase in government borrowings will raise economic growth in Pakistan in the long run. However, in the short run, if public debt increases it will boost economic growth after some levels of public debt and it will start declining. Conclusions: This study implies that public debt must be discouraged beyond optimal level of debt, as above optimal level it adversely affects the economic growth. Implications: The implication of the findings of the study is that higher interest rate curbs economic growth, therefore, present policy of keeping high interest rate by government should be revisited. Recommendations: Government of Pakistan should focus on fiscal and current account deficit, which are the main cause of increasing public debt, because higher public debt is not good for economic growth. Also, suitable fiscal policy is needed to control the debt burden and to get rid-off Ponzi game of debt from Pakistan by strictly enforcing the Fiscal Responsibility and Debt Limitation Act 2005.

Income Inequality and Economic Growth: Heterogeneity and Nonlinearity

2019 ◽  
Vol 24 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Abebe Hailemariam ◽  
Ratbek Dzhumashev
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Income Inequality ◽  
Measurement Errors ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Threshold Effect ◽  
Growth Effect ◽  
Developed Economies ◽  
Nonlinear Growth ◽  
Cross Country ◽  
The Relationship

AbstractThis paper examines the relationship between income inequality and economic growth in a broad panel of countries over the period from 1965 to 2014. We utilize an improved dataset for inequality with reduced measurement errors, which fosters cross-country comparability. In addition, we investigate whether accounting for heterogeneity across countries alters the estimated effect of inequality on growth, and whether the inequality-growth nexus varies with the level of income inequality. Our estimates show that after accounting for heterogeneity, the nonlinear growth effect of income inequality remains statistically and economically significant. We find a threshold effect of inequality on economic growth, and this threshold is higher for developing economies than for developed economies.

scholarly journals PENGARUH PENDAPATAN ASLI DAERAH, DANA BAGI HASIL, DANA ALOKASI UMUM, DAN DANA ALOKASI KHUSUS TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI KOTA MANADO

2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (01) ◽  
Author(s):  
Meylani M. Arina ◽  
Rosalina A.M. Koleangan ◽  
Daisy S.M. Engka
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Local Governments ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Revenue Sharing ◽  
Size Of Government ◽  
Local Revenue ◽  
Analysis Technique ◽  
The Government ◽  
The City

ABSTRAK Pertumbuhan ekonomi dipengaruhi oleh berbagai faktor, diantaranya adalah  pengeluaran pemerintah (government expenditure). Besar kecilnya pengeluaran pemerintah sangat tergantung pada pendapatan yang diterima oleh pemerintah itu sendiri dalam kurun waktu tertentu. Di era otonomi daerah maka sumber pendapatan daerah terdiri atas PAD, DBH, DAU, dan DAK. Semakin besar pendapatan yang diterima oleh pemerintah daerah akan semakin baik sebab mempengaruhi secara positif pembiayaan pembangunan ekonomi di daerah, dalam arti bahwa belanja pemerintah untuk pembangunan ekonomi juga akan semakin besar sehingga pada akhirnya pertumbuhan ekonomi akan mengalami peningkatan.Tujuan dari penelitian ini untuk menganalisis Pendapatan Asli Daerah (PAD), Dana Bagi Hasil (DBH), Dana Alokasi Umum (DAU), Dana Alokasi Khusus (DAK) berpengaruh atau tidak terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Kota Manado. Teknik analisis yang digunakan adalah analisis regresi berganda. Hasil penelitian bahwa secara parsial hanya Pendapatan Asli Daerah (PAD) bertanda positif dan berpengaruh signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Kota Manado. Sedangkan Dana Bagi Hasil (DBH), Dana Alokasi Umum (DAU) dan Dana Alokasi Khusus (DAK) bertanda negatif dan tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi. Selanjutnya secara bersama-sama Pendapatan Asli Daerah (PAD), Dana Bagi Hasil (DBH), Dana Alokasi Umum (DAU) dan Dana Alokasi Khusus (DAK) terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Kota Manado bertanda positif dan berpengaruh signifikan. Dan untuk pengaruh secara simultan Pendapatan Asli Daerah (PAD), Dana Bagi Hasil (DBH), Dana Alokasi Umum (DAU) dan Dana Alokasi Khusus (DAK) secara bersama sama berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap Perekonomian Kota Manado. Kata Kunci : Pendapatan Asli Daerah, Dana Bagi Hasil, Dana Alokasi Umum, Dana Alokasi Khusus, dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi ABSTRACT                Economic growth is influenced by various factors, including government expenditure. The size of government expenditure depends on the income received by the government itself in a certain period of time. In the era of regional autonomy, the source of regional income consists of PAD, DBH, DAU, and DAK. The greater the income received by local governments will be better because it positively influences the financing of economic development in the region, in the sense that government spending on economic development will also be greater so that ultimately economic growth will increase.                     The purpose of this study is to analyze Local Own Revenue (PAD), Revenue Sharing Funds (DBH), General Allocation Funds (DAU), Special Allocation Funds (DAK) influence or not for economic growth in Manado City. The analysis technique used is multiple regression analysis. The results of the study that partially only Local Own Income (PAD) is positive and has a significant effect on economic growth in the city of Manado. Whereas Revenue Sharing Funds (DBH), General Allocation Funds (DAU) and Special Allocation Funds (DAK) are negative and do not have a significant effect on economic growth. Furthermore, together with Local Own Revenue (PAD), Revenue Sharing Funds (DBH), General Allocation Funds (DAU) and Special Allocation Funds (DAK) for economic growth in Manado City, they are positive and have a significant effect. And for the simultaneous influence of Local Own Revenue (PAD), Revenue Sharing Funds (DBH), General Allocation Funds (DAU) and Special Allocation Funds (DAK) together have a positive and significant effect on the Economy of Manado City. Keywords: Local Revenue, Revenue Sharing, General Allocation Funds, Special Allocation Funds, and Economic Growth

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