scholarly journals Determinants of demographic development of the Republic of Srpska at the beginning of the 21th century

2014 ◽  
pp. 619-628
Author(s):  
Drasko Marinkovic ◽  
Aleksandar Majic

For decades now, the Republic of Srpska has been affected by the natural depopulation process and starting with 2002 it has been manifested through negative rate of natural increase resulting from natality decrease and mortality increase. During the target period, the number of the live-born declined by 28% whereas the number of the dead increased by 25%. Clearly, negative demographic figures along with negative migrations resulted in the total depopulation. Negative migration balance additionally complicates negative demographic trend, which results in total depopulation of large proportions. Major issue of the Republic of Srpska population is the phenomenon of low fertility resulting from a whole range of negative factors. Therefore, the implementation of population policy measures is fundamental for both society and population in the country.

Author(s):  
Drasko Marinkovic

Republic of Srpska faces complex demographic problems that are manifested in a constant reduction in birth rates and negative population growth, reducing the number of pupils in primary schools, the process of depopulation, the disappearance of the villages, aging population, emigration of fertile and working-age population abroad. The components of natural movement of population in the period from 1996 to 2008 indicate problems in demographic development. The current rate of natural increase is negative and points to the disruption of vital structures of population with a range of negative consequences. At the level of the Republic of Srpska, family planning and social policy are under the strong influence of changes that occur in society. From the analysis of demographic determinants for the last ten years it is evident that in the Republic of Srpska, for a longer time, there has been active demographic recession initiated by an intensive reduction of fertility rates. In order to increase the fertility a broader social action is needed from which there should arise strategy for demographic development and family planning program that should take into account the number of children required for the replacement of generations. In accordance with the previous, it is needed to intensify activities on systematization of existing measures of population policy and to direct them primarily in pro-natal purposes, in order to distinguish measures of population and social policy. These activities should be developed at all levels, especially at the level of local government. .


Author(s):  
Petar Golubovic ◽  
Suzana Markovic-Krstic

Demographic development belongs to the group of the primary social and developmental issues, and the demographic processes and tendencies in the population trends are included in the basic social processes which are expressed by the demographic (that is, synthetic social) indicators. The process of the depopulation of Vojvodina is a result of the several-decades long decrease in birthrate, ageing of the population and mortality rate which is related to a series of historical, socioeconomic, cultural educational, specifically local, family, as well as psychological factors. Unfavourable demographic circumstances in Vojvodina started already in the 1920s, and became more pronounced after World War II, in 1989 resulting in the negative natural increase (-1%o), in the process of a more intensive decrease in the population which today, in the 21st century, acquires greater dimensions (-4,7%o in 2002), creating not only disturbances in the demographic, but also in the economic-social structures. Taking into account the far-developed process of demographic ageing of the population of Vojvodina and the accepted reproductive norms implying a low fertility (giving birth to a smaller number of children or only one child) which does not ensure even the simple reproduction of the population, one cannot expect - in spite of the present immigrational processes (the inflow of refugees) and the absolute increase in the population (between the previous two censuses) - significantly more favourable population trends and a better prospective demographic picture of Vojvodina.


2006 ◽  
pp. 435-444 ◽  
Author(s):  
Drasko Marinkovic

Yearly rates of population increase and the data about the relative participation of particular areas in the total number of the population of the Republic of Srpska point to the interdependence between the natural movement and the tract processes of emigration, deagrarization and urbanization. These processes are in the harmony with the demographic transition which is followed by the changes in the structure of the active population. Unfavourable tendencies in the re-distribution and reinstatement of the tract-demographic polarization have the reflection in the disturbances in the demographic structures and in the strengthening of the process of the total ageing of the population, specially in the rural areas. These tendencies result in a more pronounced polarization in the reproduction of the population in which the urban areas take over the priority. With the trend of the low and negative natural increase, which has the immediate influence on the accelerated process of ageing of the population, further growth of the population and socio-economic development of the Republic of Srpska are questionable. In order to secure the constant growth of the population of this area, it is urgently necessary to conduct the measures of the population politics, that is, it is necessary to match the demographic and general socio-economic development.


Demografija ◽  
2020 ◽  
pp. 55-73
Author(s):  
Draško Marinković ◽  
Ranka Perić-Romić ◽  
Aleksandra Petrašević ◽  
Vladimir Perendija ◽  
Aleksandar Majić

The study focuses on the socio-demographic analysis of postpartum women's perception of family planning and population policy measures in the Republic of Srpska. The demographic method, the structured analysis and the statistical processing of data obtained from a questionnaire conducted with a representative sample of surveys were performed for the purpose of the research. The main hypothesis is grounded on current tendencies of insufficient number of births, negative birth rates, population aging and the widespread single life in the Republic of Srpska. In this regard, it is essential to reflect on the fertile potential of postpartum women, their model of reproductive behavior and attitude towards family planning and current population policy measures. The analysis of postpartum women's perception confirmed the hypothesis that there was a necessity for additional verification of prenatal population policy measures in the Republic of Srpska as most surveys expressed desire to have more children. The obtained results may be considered valid for adopting policies and recommendations with an aim to conduct prenatal measures within the population policy in the Republic of Srpska.


2018 ◽  
pp. 369-379
Author(s):  
Мariana Lukic-Tanovic ◽  
Drasko Marinkovic

Early research related to the natural movement of the population of the City of Sarajevo has shown that the main demographic problems are: negative natural increase, raising the age limit of birth, reduction of the share of third-born children, increase in the overall mortality rate caused by aging of the population and increase in the mortality of population over 70 years of age. Also, the population policy measures that should be aimed at increasing birth rates at the level of the Republic of Srpska and the Municipalities of East Sarajevo are not adequate and sufficient. The analysis of the fertile characteristics of the City of Sarajevo, in that sense, is an extension of the research which could continue, thanks to the conducted census of 2013 (after 22 years without the population census in Bosnia and Herzegovina). The subject of the research work is the fertile characteristics of the population of the City of East Sarajevo according to the population census in 2013. The aim of the research is to present and analyze the extent and age structure of the fertile contingent plantation of the City of East Sarajevo, as well as the share of female fertile population in terms of the number of children born, which allows seeing the share of non-reproduction in reproduction. Also, the aim is to analyze the basic indicators of reproduction: fertility rate, total fertility rate, gross and net reproduction rate, and natural growth rates.


2021 ◽  
Vol 885 (1) ◽  
pp. 012009
Author(s):  
E B Bolkhosoeva ◽  
S R Khalbaeva ◽  
B O Gomboev ◽  
Ch B Urbanova ◽  
D A Gabeeva

Abstract This article examines the features of the formation of the population of the city of Ulan-Ude - the capital of the Republic of Buryatia (Russia). It shows how socio-economic and administrative changes have affected the total population, the share of the city in the overall population structure, as well as how the territorial structure has been transformed over the past 60 years. In the post-Soviet period, urbanisation has affected not only the capital city itself, but also suburban areas, while small towns and urban-type settlements have largely lost their prospects for territorial and demographic development. Unlike other regional centres of the Far Eastern Federal District, Ulan-Ude is experiencing population growth due to both migration and natural increase. The study is based on the analysis of official data from the All-USSR and All-Russian population censuses and the results of annual statistical reports by Rosstat and Buryatstat.


2014 ◽  
pp. 793-802
Author(s):  
Mariana Lukic-Tanovic ◽  
Danijel Danilovic

One of the main demographic problems of the Republic of Srpska is a negative natural increase which has been recorded from 2002 on-wards. The same problem has been registered in the city of East Sarajevo, so this trend and changes in the natural movement of the population of the city will be observed in future work and research. The components of natural movement were observed for the period from 1997 to 2012 because the official statistical records refer to that period. The aim of this paper was to analyze the basic components of natural increase, the birth rate, mortality rate and natural increase in East Sarajevo, and to determine if there is homogeneity in this respect, i.e. whether all municipalities of the city have the same trend when natural movement of population is concerned. This paper will also show how local authorities and local communities deal with certain demographic problems. Does the City Council implements appropriate measures of population policy and can the city of East Sarajevo expect ?a brighter future??


2019 ◽  
Vol 34 (6) ◽  
pp. 1755-1760
Author(s):  
Mireme Rushiti ◽  
Fauzi Skenderi ◽  
Resul Hamiti

The aim of this study is to analyse the demographic components, with focus on the changes that occur in the number of the population, the density by which is the country populated, the natural flow (movement) of the population, emphasis on the natural growth of the population. As elsewhere in the world, the population in the Republicof North Macedonia as well plays a main role and it is the main factor for the growth and development of the country. However, the population is subject to change and growth depending on various factors such as natural, economical and social factor. The demographic development is expressed through the indicators of the components of the natural movement: natality, fertility, mortality, etc. The number of the population is one of the key factors that is influencing the socio-economic development. As the population is both productive on one side and consumer of material goods on the other, production and consumption depends on the number of the population. Compared to the historical development of human society, in the Republic of North Macedonia, the role of the population in the production process has changed. These changes are most noticeable in the last decades, when the technical-scientific progress has taken a big step, thus significantly affecting the population-production ratios. At the end of the second millennium and the beggining of the third one in North Macedonia's geographic area, significant changes have taken place in the socio-economic plan and especially in the demographic one of its population. Special emphasis is given to the natural movement of the population, which affects the movement of the total population in the Republic of North Macedonia. In this paper we will treat the natural increase of the population in the Republic of North Macedonia for the period from 1994 to the present day, namely its ratio by nationality. Of particular importance in this paper are the spatial and national differences of the natural population movement in the Republic of North Macedonia, and mainly to present more clearly these differences, we have analyzed the latest 2018 data by the Statistical Office of the Republic of North Macedonia for the natural increase of the population of the municipalities, which we have presented in tabular, graphic and cartographic form. Given the differences in natural increase within the country, the expected results are foreseen in the discovery of relevant information about their changes, their trends, and the interaction between the basic indicators obtained by applying relevant statistical parameters and those that portray the development of Republic of North Macedonia over a given period of time. This paper attaches particular importance to the aforementioned demographic features during the period 2003 to 2018 at the state level.


2008 ◽  
Vol 40 (1) ◽  
pp. 192-206 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mirjana Rasevic

The most important problem of demographic development of Serbia is the fact that individual strivings, aspirations and responses accompanying the process of giving birth to children are not rational from the aspect of the needs of the society. Reproductive norms are low. The society did not even try, via its institutions, to exert influence on the formation of attitude about the desired number of children, or to largely alleviate a number of obstacles to their realization. Facing the consequences of reproductive behavior is a reality and definitely follows in the upcoming time as well. Is there a space for action undertaken by educational system as a part of political response with the aim of rehabilitation of giving birth? It seems that this space exists and that at least two measures impose themselves in that sense. Reduction of individual age at the end of school and population education. Postponing giving birth for later and later age is a very important cause of a very low fertility level in Serbia today. The reform of educational system might influence an earlier entering of parenthood by reducing the individual age at the end of schooling. Population education is imposed as a new direction of population policy, bearing in mind that an individual does not have enough specific knowledge. More or less, the relation between individual behavior and macro-processes is not perceived, the consequences of unsatisfactory population tendencies, slow pace of demographic changes and their postponed effect are not recognized, one does not think about the preservation of national identity, culture and duration.


2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 257-278 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shirzad Azad

In spite of her troubled presidency at home and premature, ignominious exit from power, Park Geun-hye made serious attempts to bolster the main direction of the Republic of Korea’s (ROK) foreign policy toward the Middle East. A collaborative drive for accomplishing a new momentous boom was by and large a dominant and recurring theme in the Park government’s overall approach to the region. Park enjoyed both personal motivation as well as politico-economic justifications to push for such arduous yet potentially viable objective. Although the ROK’s yearning for a second boom in the Middle East was not ultimately accomplished under the Park presidency, nonetheless, the very aspiration played a crucial role in either rekindling or initiating policy measures in South Korea’s orientation toward different parts of a greater Middle East region, extending from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) to Morocco.


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