scholarly journals Fertile characteristics of the population of the East Sarajevo

2018 ◽  
pp. 369-379
Author(s):  
Мariana Lukic-Tanovic ◽  
Drasko Marinkovic

Early research related to the natural movement of the population of the City of Sarajevo has shown that the main demographic problems are: negative natural increase, raising the age limit of birth, reduction of the share of third-born children, increase in the overall mortality rate caused by aging of the population and increase in the mortality of population over 70 years of age. Also, the population policy measures that should be aimed at increasing birth rates at the level of the Republic of Srpska and the Municipalities of East Sarajevo are not adequate and sufficient. The analysis of the fertile characteristics of the City of Sarajevo, in that sense, is an extension of the research which could continue, thanks to the conducted census of 2013 (after 22 years without the population census in Bosnia and Herzegovina). The subject of the research work is the fertile characteristics of the population of the City of East Sarajevo according to the population census in 2013. The aim of the research is to present and analyze the extent and age structure of the fertile contingent plantation of the City of East Sarajevo, as well as the share of female fertile population in terms of the number of children born, which allows seeing the share of non-reproduction in reproduction. Also, the aim is to analyze the basic indicators of reproduction: fertility rate, total fertility rate, gross and net reproduction rate, and natural growth rates.

2014 ◽  
pp. 793-802
Author(s):  
Mariana Lukic-Tanovic ◽  
Danijel Danilovic

One of the main demographic problems of the Republic of Srpska is a negative natural increase which has been recorded from 2002 on-wards. The same problem has been registered in the city of East Sarajevo, so this trend and changes in the natural movement of the population of the city will be observed in future work and research. The components of natural movement were observed for the period from 1997 to 2012 because the official statistical records refer to that period. The aim of this paper was to analyze the basic components of natural increase, the birth rate, mortality rate and natural increase in East Sarajevo, and to determine if there is homogeneity in this respect, i.e. whether all municipalities of the city have the same trend when natural movement of population is concerned. This paper will also show how local authorities and local communities deal with certain demographic problems. Does the City Council implements appropriate measures of population policy and can the city of East Sarajevo expect ?a brighter future??


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 55-75
Author(s):  
Yana A. Skryabina

The article is devoted to the analysis of the fertility rate dynamics in the Republic of Bashkortostan and the study of the reproductive behaviour of the population entering into a registered marriage. The author examines the crude and total fertility rates, the net population reproduction rate, the total fertility rate by the order of births, as well as age-specific fertility rates. In addition, basing on the data of population surveys, the author regards reproductive intentions of citizens applying for marriage in the registry office, as well as reasons that may prevent them from having a child. The study shows that the Republic of Bashkortostan is characterized by a low fertility rate; the generation of children does not replace the generation of parents. The reproductive intentions of the respondents measured by the desired and expected number of children correspond to the small (two-child) family model. Among the main reasons that can prevent the birth of a child, the first two are financial and housing difficulties, and third is the desire to live for oneself for a while.


Author(s):  
Drasko Marinkovic

Republic of Srpska faces complex demographic problems that are manifested in a constant reduction in birth rates and negative population growth, reducing the number of pupils in primary schools, the process of depopulation, the disappearance of the villages, aging population, emigration of fertile and working-age population abroad. The components of natural movement of population in the period from 1996 to 2008 indicate problems in demographic development. The current rate of natural increase is negative and points to the disruption of vital structures of population with a range of negative consequences. At the level of the Republic of Srpska, family planning and social policy are under the strong influence of changes that occur in society. From the analysis of demographic determinants for the last ten years it is evident that in the Republic of Srpska, for a longer time, there has been active demographic recession initiated by an intensive reduction of fertility rates. In order to increase the fertility a broader social action is needed from which there should arise strategy for demographic development and family planning program that should take into account the number of children required for the replacement of generations. In accordance with the previous, it is needed to intensify activities on systematization of existing measures of population policy and to direct them primarily in pro-natal purposes, in order to distinguish measures of population and social policy. These activities should be developed at all levels, especially at the level of local government. .


Stanovnistvo ◽  
1998 ◽  
Vol 36 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 49-80
Author(s):  
Svetlana Radovanovic

The Sirinic district is located in one of the four mountain valleys (Sirinic, Sredska, Opolje and Gora) in the Sara mountain region. Its geographic boundaries almost match the administrative borders of the commune of Strpce. It is first mentioned in Serb manuscripts of the first half of the XIV century. The census taken in 1455 by the Turks shows a relatively high density of Serb population. The Albanians immigrated to the Sirinic district from northern Albania after the second mass migration of Serb population in 1737. They came from north and east, from southern parts of Kosovo, Kacanicka gorge and the Valley of Skoplje. A larger-scale settlement of Albanians into the Sara mountain region was prevented by massive Islamization of native Serb population in the districts of Gora, Opolje and Sredska. Thus, a multi-ethnic buffer zone was formed during Turkish reign which has been basically preserved until today. For this particular reason the region has attracted interest of many domestic and foreign researchers ever since early XIX century. Elaboration of two multi-disciplinary scientific research projects by the Institute of Geography "Jovan Cvijic" of the Serb Academy of Science and Arts in the period from 1989 to 1994 was based on the same considerations. One of the projects is fully concerned with the Sirinic district and the author of this paper was asked to study migrations and the origins of Albanian population as well as to organize and conduct a population census in the commune of Strpce. Immigration of Albanians to the Sirinic district took place in several phases which ultimately led to the formation of five mixed Serb-Albanian settlements located between a group of four homogenous Albanian and seven such Serb settlements. Thus, a relatively stable ethnic and geographic structure was formed as early as in the XIX century. Its territorial and demographic proportions did not substantially change regardless of all tumultuous historical and political events that had since taken place. A more detailed analysis shows that the share of Albanians in total population of the district rose from about 29% in 1931 to only 33% in 1989 in spite of the natural increase in population in excess of 30 per thousand ever since the early 1980s. However, demographic growth of Albanian population remained much below the level of the biological reproduction rate due to intensive emigration i.e., a negative migratory balance ranging from 21.8 per thousand in 1961 to 26.5 per thousand in 1989. The causes for emigration were economic and, for decades, bound toward Kosovo, Western Macedonia and the Valley of Skoplje. Emigration to Turkey began in late XIX century, resumed during the Balkan Wars and was recorded again in the early 1980s (encouraged by the Balkan Treaty signed by the FPRY, Greece and Turkey) but did not much affect total demographic movement of Albanians in the Sirinic district. Economic emigration of population to Switzerland and Germany has been growing from the 1960s onward. This paper also reviews parallel existence and functioning of two crucially different homeostatic demographic systems - the Albanian and the Serb - in the same compact geographic environment. The paper also points to the preserved awareness of a fixed (tribal) affiliation and finally displays a detailed review of migratory dynamics and origins of Albanian population, number of houses (families) and the number of members of each clan in 1989.


Populasi ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sukamdi Sukamdi

Using "own children method", the Total Fertility Rate (TFR) in Indonesia based on the 1990 Population Census is lower (3326) than as hadbeen expected. This has resulted in the fast decrease of fertility rate during the last decade. There is a tendency that the decrease of fertility rate in Indonesia is correlated negatively to fertility rate. The lower the fertility rate, the faster the decrease would become. It tends to be a deviation to the usual concept that correlation between fertility rate and its decrease is positive.'This maybe because the fertility rate of Indonesia is still higher than the optimum value.Based on the decreases occurred during the last two decades, it is estimated that Indonesia will soon reach a replacement level after the year 2000. It might be even sooner if the decline of the fertility rate during the period of 1980-1990was applied. Along with the increase of life expectancy, this will rapidly change the population structure.The total fertility rate varied among provinces. There are several provinces which have very low fertility rate and are estimated to continue until the year 2000. They are, for instance,Yogyakarta and Bali. However, there are also provinces having high fertility rates such as Southeast Sulawesi and Irian Jaya. This differentiation infertility rates should be noted in implementing the population policy.


2006 ◽  
pp. 435-444 ◽  
Author(s):  
Drasko Marinkovic

Yearly rates of population increase and the data about the relative participation of particular areas in the total number of the population of the Republic of Srpska point to the interdependence between the natural movement and the tract processes of emigration, deagrarization and urbanization. These processes are in the harmony with the demographic transition which is followed by the changes in the structure of the active population. Unfavourable tendencies in the re-distribution and reinstatement of the tract-demographic polarization have the reflection in the disturbances in the demographic structures and in the strengthening of the process of the total ageing of the population, specially in the rural areas. These tendencies result in a more pronounced polarization in the reproduction of the population in which the urban areas take over the priority. With the trend of the low and negative natural increase, which has the immediate influence on the accelerated process of ageing of the population, further growth of the population and socio-economic development of the Republic of Srpska are questionable. In order to secure the constant growth of the population of this area, it is urgently necessary to conduct the measures of the population politics, that is, it is necessary to match the demographic and general socio-economic development.


2014 ◽  
pp. 433-442
Author(s):  
Aleksandar Knezevic

According to the results from the 2011 Census, in Autonomous Province of Vojvodina (hereinafter referred to as ?Vojvodina?) there were 1,815 Slovenians, or 45% of the total number of Slovenians in the Republic of Serbia. Slovenians make up only 0.09% of the total population in Vojvodina. All demographic indicators show a profound demographic decline in the population based on biological depopulation that began in the late 1960s. Furthermore, a negative trend in natural increase was further strengthened by inverse migrations that started several years after they had colonized Vojvodina, especially south Banat. Slovenians in Vojvodina, at an average age of 52.1 years, were ranked second place in the rank of ethnicity by age, which clearly indicates to intense process of population ageing and inability to achieve positive effects of natural movement. Although this population is statistically small in number, this paper clarifies the underlying causes of extremely unfavorable demographic trends that characterized Slovenian population in Vojvodina over the last several decades.


2019 ◽  
Vol 51 (6) ◽  
pp. 785-798 ◽  
Author(s):  
Quanbao Jiang ◽  
Shucai Yang ◽  
Shuzhuo Li ◽  
Marcus W. Feldman

AbstractMany factors have contributed to the decline in China’s fertility level. Using China’s population census data from 1990, 2000 and 2010, the present study investigates the factors causing the decline in China’s fertility rate by decomposing changes in two fertility indices: the total fertility rate (TFR) and the net reproduction rate (NRR). The change in the TFR is decomposed into the change in the marital fertility rate (MFR) and the change in the proportion of married women (PMW). Four factors contribute to the change in the NRR. The following are the main findings. A drop in the MFR caused a decrease in the TFR and the NRR between 1989 and 2000. However, the change in MFR increased TFR and NRR between 2000 and 2010. Marriage postponement caused a decline in the fertility level between 1989 and 2000 as well as between 2000 and 2010. The effect of the MFR and marriage postponement varied with age and region and also between urban and rural areas.


2018 ◽  
Vol 28 (4) ◽  
pp. 1235-1243
Author(s):  
Fauzi Skenderi ◽  
Resul Hamiti ◽  
Mireme Rushiti

The end of the second millennium and the beginning of the third one in the territory of the Republic of Macedonia changes have intensively marked both the social and economic demographic of its population. Within this demographic, special emphasis should be placed on the natural movement of the Macedonian population. In this paper, the following will be about the natural increase of the overall population of Macedonia and the natural increase by ethnicity. Of particular importance in this paper are the spatial and national differences of natural population movement in Macedonia, and mainly to present more clearly these differences, we analyzed the most recent data of 2017 by the Statistical Office of the Republic of Macedonia for the natural increase of the population of the municipalities, which we presented in tabular, graphical and cartographic form. Indices of births in general, births by maternal age, maternal, maternal, mortality, cause of death, etc. are very important not only for the development of the demographic process but also for the development of the country in general. The main purpose of this paper is to identify the aging population phenomenon at national and national level. This paper attaches particular importance to the aforementioned demographic features during the period 1994 to 2017 at the state level.


2021 ◽  
Vol 885 (1) ◽  
pp. 012009
Author(s):  
E B Bolkhosoeva ◽  
S R Khalbaeva ◽  
B O Gomboev ◽  
Ch B Urbanova ◽  
D A Gabeeva

Abstract This article examines the features of the formation of the population of the city of Ulan-Ude - the capital of the Republic of Buryatia (Russia). It shows how socio-economic and administrative changes have affected the total population, the share of the city in the overall population structure, as well as how the territorial structure has been transformed over the past 60 years. In the post-Soviet period, urbanisation has affected not only the capital city itself, but also suburban areas, while small towns and urban-type settlements have largely lost their prospects for territorial and demographic development. Unlike other regional centres of the Far Eastern Federal District, Ulan-Ude is experiencing population growth due to both migration and natural increase. The study is based on the analysis of official data from the All-USSR and All-Russian population censuses and the results of annual statistical reports by Rosstat and Buryatstat.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document